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Economic Take — Business
Economic Take

A weekly podcast dissecting the latest trends in the economy that businesses should know about, from trade dynamics to labor market fluctuations. All from JPMorgan Chase Commercial Banking’s Head Economist, Jim Glassman.

Copyright: © Copyright 2019 All rights reserved.

Latest Episodes:

The consumer and globalization Apr 26, 2022

Show notes

Many of us remember the price shocks of the 1970s, but there are not many parallels with that era in terms of the forces that currently drive inflation.

Find more market, economic and business insights at jpmorgan.com/CB.

The excess demand narrative doesn’t fit the facts Apr 19, 2022

Show notes

There’s a widespread notion that the current spike in prices signals an overheated economy. But under close inspection, those details don’t add up.

Find more market, economic and business insights at jpmorgan.com/CB.

An ode to the Fed’s 2% inflation target Apr 12, 2022

Show notes

The Fed’s activity now is a hallmark of its modern approach: Set investors’ expectations for steady, predictable long-term inflation — and avoid the temptation to hit the brakes.

Find more market, economic and business insights at jpmorgan.com/CB.

Job growth is approaching a demographic cliff Apr 05, 2022

Show notes

Employment has grown by 887,000 monthly on average since April 2020 as the economy got back on its feet. Now that we’re back to pre-pandemic employment conditions, the pace of hiring will grind down very quickly.

Find more market, economic and business insights at jpmorgan.com/CB.

Don’t fear the Fed Mar 29, 2022

Show notes

Will the Fed’s game plan pull the rug from under the recovery? The roller-coaster ride over the past two years seems less influenced by the Fed and more by non-monetary factors.

Find more market, economic and business insights at jpmorgan.com/CB.

A favorable forecast, no matter the chatter Mar 22, 2022

Show notes

The Fed said last week it expects growth to settle down to a trend-like pace and that unemployment will stabilize. What explains all the concern out there where the Fed sees no issue?

Sticker shock: What will come of it? Mar 15, 2022

Show notes

Will the recent spike in gas prices and other commodities set back the post-pandemic economic recovery? There’s good reason to think we’ll be able to ride this one out.

Seasonal adjustments confused by two years of pandemic Mar 08, 2022

Show notes

The economic numbers we talk about are seasonally adjusted, smoothing out the natural ups and downs of a calendar year so we get a clearer picture. But since the pandemic, it’s getting tricker to tell what’s a standard seasonal swing or a COVID curveball.

Energy turmoil ahead: How will it affect the recovery? Mar 01, 2022

Show notes

The current geopolitical crisis will slow growth by a couple percentage points. But the drag caused by rising energy prices will be heaviest for regions of the globe that depend on imported fuel.

Who’s on first: Wages, prices, productivity or margins? Feb 22, 2022

Show notes

Concerns that rising labor costs could be inflationary are misplaced because wages move in concert with other factors—many of them decades in the making.

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