Bloomberg Surveillance - Bloomberg

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Yen May Move to 150 Per Dollar, Shilling Says Apr 05, 2017

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Gary Shilling, president of A. Gary Shilling and a Bloomberg View columnist, discusses the Japanese Yen and says China's growth is slowing. Prior to that, Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence's chief U.S. equity strategist, says S&P 500 valuation's at a 15-year high, but may not have found its peak. Nancy McLernon, CEO of the Organization for International Investment, says lobbying gets a bad rap but it's educating. Toby Cosgrove, CEO of Cleveland Clinic, says we haven't gotten the right aspects of health-care reform.

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Rice's Actions in Trump Intelligence May Be Improper, Lake Says Apr 04, 2017

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Bloomberg View columnist Eli Lake says Susan Rice's actions may not be illegal but improper is another question. Prior to that, Bob Hormats, the former Goldman Sachs executive and State Department official who is now vice-chairman at Kissinger Associates, says Trump doesn't know much about China and will have to listen to President Xi Jinping when they meet later this week. Tim Armstrong says he picked the name Oath for Yahoo and AOL's re-branding to show commitment to businesses and consumers. Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank's co-head of FX research, says the South African rand isn't a currency for rookie FX traders. Finally, Itay Michaeli, an auto analyst at Citigroup, says there's not an auto bubble for lending with subprime loans.

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Democrats Need Message for Working Class, E. J. Dionne Says Apr 03, 2017

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E.J. Dionne, the Washington Post columnist and senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, says Democrats need to craft a compact message for the working-class voters who are hurting the most in today's economy. Prior to that, Sebastien Galy, an analyst at Deutsche Bank Securities, says a weaker British pound is led by a stronger dollar and a dovish Bank of England. Ted Alden, a senior fellow at the Council of Foreign Relations, says the Trump administration wants to get a sense of China's willingness to cooperate on North Korea. Finally, Scott Wren, Wells Fargo's chief equity strategist, says markets will be driven by policies that are implemented.

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Sen. Warren Would Defend Dodd-Frank to the Death, Eisman Says Mar 31, 2017

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Steve Eisman, a money manager at Neuberger Berman Group, discusses bank regulation and says too little leverage in the banking system is bad. Peter Navarro, the director of the National Trade Council, says the U.S. has significant trade deficits with 16 nations and Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross will take a comprehensive look at trade balances. New York Fed President William Dudley says a couple more rate hikes this year seems reasonable. Finally, Mohamed El-Erian, a Bloomberg View columnist, says Brexit is a response to the lack of inclusive growth.

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Corporate Tax Reform Will Help Markets, Holland Says Mar 30, 2017

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Michael Holland, chairman of Holland & Co., says getting some kind of corporate tax reform in the next six months will help the markets. Absolute Strategy Research's Ian Harnett says the Fed will have difficulty raising rates for a third or fourth time this year. Ian Bremmer, president of Eurasia Group, says there is both internal pressure and pressure from the European Union for Prime Minister Theresa May to unify the U.K. after Brexit. Finally, Jonathan Miller, president of Miller Samuel, says New York City real estate prices are moving sideways or down.

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Faster Economic Growth Requires Structural Reform, Buiter Says Mar 29, 2017

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Willem Buiter, Citigroup's chief economist, says faster economic growth requires structural reforms, more capital expenditure and an elimination of trade barriers. Daniel Yergin, IHS' vice chairman, says Germany has kept the EU together. Finally, Vitor Gaspar, the IMF's fiscal affairs director, says the link between politics and economics was a tradition until the 20th century -- something that's been lost recently.

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German Banking Market Needs to Be Restructured, Herro Says Mar 28, 2017

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David Herro, CIO of Harris Associates, says Germany is one of the worst markets for banking because it has a competitive marketplace. Prior to that, Tobias Levkovich, Citigroup's chief U.S. equity strategist, says the reaction to Trump's election in markets have been off-the-cuff and not real investing. Finally, Joachim Fels, PIMCO's global economic advisor, says 3-to-4 percent growth is unrealistic now.

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Aspects of Financial Crisis Still Linger, Crescenzi Says Mar 27, 2017

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Anthony Crescenzi, a Pimco money manager, says inaction in Washington has hurt the U.S. economy. Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments' chief global strategist, says tax reform isn't the next issue for the Trump administration. Jim Kochan, Wells Fargo's chief fixed-income strategist, says the high-yield market still offers value as yields will move sideways through 2017. Finally, Michael Cohen, Barclays' head of energy commodities research, says most commodity prices are driven lower by macro developments.

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U.S. Equities Aren't the Only Game in Town, Levitt Says Mar 24, 2017

Show notes

Brian Levitt, a senior strategist at OppenheimerFunds, says there's going to be a pause in markets as we deal with the reality of politics. Peter Tague, Citigroup's co-head of global M&A, says it's tougher for private equity to make money now. Finally, UBS Securities' Julian Emanuel says a lot of pockets in the market are at historically high valuations.

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The Russians Hacked Our Election, Slaughter Says Mar 23, 2017

Show notes

Anne-Marie Slaughter, the president of New America Foundation, says the Russians hacked the presidential election and the U.S. needs to respond, but the national trauma of 9/11 and the Iraq War has made the U.S. more timid and reluctant to use force. Prior to that, Deutsche Bank's Sebastien Galy says the catalyst for a stronger dollar will be better data in the U.S. Then, Tony Dwyer, Canaccord Genuity's chief market strategist, says you should never sell until you're in close proximity to a recession. Nicholas Burns, a professor at Harvard University's Kennedy School, says you need to work across borders to counter modern terrorism. Finally, Erwin Chemerinsky, the dean of University of California, Irvine's School of Law, says Neil Gorsuch is smart and articulate but isn't answering many questions in Congress.

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