Bloomberg Surveillance - Bloomberg

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Latest Episodes:

The Fed Will Remain the Fed, Bandholz Says Apr 27, 2018

Show notes

Harm Bandholz, Unicredit Chief U.S. Economist, says he has a hard time imagining a scenario where the Fed would do 5 rate hikes. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor, is worried about what's happening in Eastern Europe. Neil Shearing, Capital Economics Chief Emerging Markets Economist, says the European economy seems to have lost some steam. Timothy L. O'Brien, Bloomberg Gadfly & Bloomberg View Executive Editor, says on a day to day basis, we need to adhere to the facts when it comes to Mueller's investigation and Michael Cohen.

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The IMF & the World Bank Spring Meetings Apr 27, 2018

Show notes

In an ode to our fantastic lineup from the IMF & World Bank Group Meetings last week, it's a Surveillance Special! Tom Keene and Francine Lacqua talk trade, global growth, and geopolitical risks with world leaders, including: the Economy Minister of Spain Roman Escolano, the first IMF Deputy Managing Director David Lipton, the European Commission Commissioner for Economic & Financial Affairs Pierre Moscovici, the Economy & Finance Minister of France Bruno Le Maire, and the Deputy Prime Minister of Turkey Mehmet Simsek. All interviews were broadcast on site at the IMF & World Bank Group Meetings in Washington, D.C. this past Friday, April 20.

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The Geopolitical Order Tipping Point with Bremmer Apr 26, 2018

Show notes

Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group President & Founder, says a long term solution to trade disputes will require something New Deal-like. Brian Wieser, Pivotal Research Senior Research Analyst, says advertising is in a constant state of evolution. Alberto Gallo, Algebris Investments Head of Macro Strategies, says the ECB is also not sure why we're seeing weak European data. Cheryl Bolen, Bloomberg Government White House Reporter, breaks down the stark contrast in shipping costs from the U.S. versus China. And James Albertine, Consumer Edge Research Auto Analyst, recaps Ford and GM earnings with us.

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We Deployed All Our Fiscal Muscle, Zentner Says Apr 25, 2018

Show notes

Alex Webb, Bloomberg Gadfly Columnist, hops in the studio to break Twitter's earnings. Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Economist, says we've guaranteed hampered longer-term potential growth. Jack Ablin, Cresset Wealth Advisors CIO & Founding Partner, says potential GDP is much lower than it's been in the past. And Victor Anthony, Aegis Capital Corporation Analyst, says Twitter is returning back to growth.

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Disappointing 1Q for European Data, Santos Says Apr 24, 2018

Show notes

Vince Reinhart, BNY Mellon Chief Economist & Chief Investment Strategist, says in the long run, we're anchored by the growth of aggregate supply. Gabriela Santos, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, says the hard data in Europe has disappointed. Elsa Lignos, RBC Global Head of FX Strategy, says RBC is forecasting some dollar strength into year end. And Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo Head of U.S. Large-Cap Bank Research, says JPMorgan is best in class for governance.

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Trade Could Derail It All, Pearl Says Apr 23, 2018

Show notes

Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Founder, says the market should be thinking about inflation risks but it's not currently. David Pearl, Epoch Investment Partners Co-Chief Investment Officer and Portfolio Manager, says Boeing looks a lot cheaper on free cash flow than it does on earnings right now.Tom Porcelli, RBC Capital Markets Chief U.S. Economist, says Europe has stabilized. Kit Juckes, Societe Generale Global Fixed Income Strategist, doesn't think oil prices are going to run away.

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Wild Cards on the Horizon, IMF's Lipton Says Apr 20, 2018

Show notes

Adam Posen, Peterson Institute of Economics, says he still doesn't think inflation risks are very high. Isabelle Mateos Y Lago, BlackRock Investment Institute Chief Multi Asset Strategist, says markets are in a wait-and-see David Lipton, First IMF Deputy Managing Director, says the IMF's message is to prolong the recovery while things are still good. Mario Centeno, EuroGroup President, says most countries in Europe have strong fiscal positions.

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You Could Broaden the Tax Base, Furman Says Apr 19, 2018

Show notes

Jason Furman, Former Council of Economic Advisers Chairman, thinks we could have a more pro-growth tax system. Nathan Sheets, PGIM Chief Economist and Former Under Secretary of the Treasury, is concerned about the political dynamic we're seeing globally. Mark Haefele, UBS Global Chief Investment Officer, says emerging markets have held up well as the dollar weakens. Tom Keene and Francine Lacqua discuss the Fed with Milken Institute's Chief Economist Bill Lee.

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Economy is Doing Relatively Well, Zingales Says Apr 18, 2018

Show notes

Kate Moore, BlackRock Chief Equity Strategist, says she still strongly believes that equities are the place to be. Luigi Zingales, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Professor, does not think we've seen the worst of the populist surge yet. Francisco Blanch, Merrill Lynch Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says oil prices could definitely push higher if geopolitical risk becomes more prominent. John Sununu, Former WH Chief of Staff under President George H.W. Bush, joins us to remember Barbara Bush.

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This Economy is a Healthy Tortoise, Kelly Says Apr 16, 2018

Show notes

Sonali Basak, Bloomberg Finance Reporter, and Ira Jersey, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief U.S. Interest Rate Strategist, wrap Bank of America's earnings. Steven Cook, Council on Foreign Relations Enrico Mattei Senior Fellow for Middle East and Africa studies, says Syria is not a mission that neither Obama nor Trump have fully taken on. David Kelly, JPMorgan Asset Management Chief Global Strategist, asks if we can please appreciate how good earnings are. George Goncalves, Nomura Securities Managing Director, thinks we're going to see further price erosion.

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