Bloomberg Surveillance - Bloomberg

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Interest Rates Are Going to Normalize, Blain Says May 22, 2018

Show notes

Bill Blain, Mint Partners Fixed Income Strategist & Head of Capital Markets, says he's positive about the U.S.-China trade riffs in the long-term. Tim Armstrong, Oath Inc. CEO, says consumers are flocking to quality content right now. David Kirkpatrick, Techonomy CEO & Founder, offers Facebook some advice: be more transparent. Poonam Goyal, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst, reviews Marvin Ellison's run as CEO at J.C. Penney per the announcement he's headed to Lowe's.

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Populism is Resentment of Elites, Schneider Says May 21, 2018

Show notes

Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Chief Economist & Managing Director, thinks President Trump's mercantilist approach to trade is off. Bill Schneider, George Mason University Professor & Political Analyst, says the flavor of populism is resentment of elites. Patricia Laya, Venezuela Bureau Chief, says many of the voting centers in Venezuela were empty yesterday. Kevin Tynan, Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst, joins us to talk the new $78,000 price tag on Tesla's Model 3.

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Trade is About Win-Win, Sachs Says May 19, 2018

Show notes

Chad Bown, Peterson Institute for International Economics Senior Fellow, & Enda Curran, Bloomberg's Chief Asia Economics Correspondent, discuss the impact of President Trump's steel and aluminum tariffs. Marc Chandler, Brown Brothers Harriman Senior Vice President of New York & Head of Currency, says a trade war is not easy to win and it is not desirable. Francine Lacqua, Bloomberg Surveillance TV Anchor & Editor at Large, joins us from Rome to report on the general elections this coming Sunday. Jeffrey Sachs, Columbia University Professor & Nobel Laureate, says the new tariffs are one of the most reckless policies that one can imagine.

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Less Volatility Ahead, Moore Says May 19, 2018

Show notes

Kate Moore, BlackRock Chief Equity Strategist, says she wants companies to make growth generative investments, not just investments to appease outsiders. Hans Humes, GreyLock Capital Chairman & Chief Executive Officer, says Venezuela is a kleptocracy at this point. Dennis Gartman, Gartman Letter Publisher, discusses his cryptocurrency bet in his retirement account. Gene Munster, Loup Ventures Co-Founder, says an Apple-Tesla combo makes sense but it's a fairy tale that is never going to happen.

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Italy Election was Unexpected, Eichengreen Says May 18, 2018

Show notes

Barry Eichengreen, Author & University of California Berkeley Professor, provides his definition of populism: anti-elite, anti-authoritarian, and anti-other. Coronado, President & Founder of MacroPolicy Perspectives, says core goods prices really aren't showing the strength that they've been wanting to see. Mark McCormick, TD Bank Head: FX Strategy North America, says this is a tricky time for emerging markets. Scott Mushkin, Wolfe Research Senior Research & Staples Analyst, notes geography matters for the food industry.

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Surveillance: Oil Will Be Even Higher in 2 Years, Grisanti Says May 17, 2018

Show notes

Julian Lee, Bloomberg Oil Strategist, and Chris Grisanti, Grisanti Capital Management CEO, join us to discuss oil touching $80/barrel for the first time since 2014. Libby Cantrill, PIMCO Head of Public Policy, says the latest trade spat within the White House administration is emblematic of the deeper fissures in Washington. Federico Santi, Eurasia Group Associate, says the new Italian government is likely to set up a challenge for the European Union. Alberto Ramos, Goldman Sachs Co-Head of Latin America Economic Research, says the IMF cannot solve underlying debt problems in EM countries.

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Models Don't Work in Crisis, says Spence. May 16, 2018

Show notes

Michael Spence, Nobel Laureate & NYU Professor of Economics & Business, says models don't work in crisis, but experience does. David Riley, Bluebay Asset Management Chief Investment Strategist, says the resurgence in the U.S. dollar is the pain trade for markets. Jane Foley, Rabobank Senior FX Strategist, thinks the consensus short dollar position for 2018 is capitulating. Miranda Carr, Haitong International Executive Director of Equity Research, says China cannot rely on U.S. Technology in the long term. Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg Television & Radio Chief Washington Correspondent, finds its hard to say that these congressional investigations aren't political at this point.

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Q2 Will Be the Comeback Kid, says Frances Donald May 15, 2018

Show notes

Guy Johnson, Bloomberg Television, recaps his exclusive interview with Turkey's Prime Minister Erdogan. *AND* Phoenix Kalen, Societe Generale Director of Emerging Markets Strategy, says (if) Turkey's central bank fails to 'step in' crisis could reach a tipping point. Frances Donald, Manulife Asset Management Senior Economist, says that this morning's data suggests that Q2 is going to be the comeback kid that we hoped it would be. Ryan Prete, Bloomberg Government State Tax Reporter, says that after yesterday's sports betting ruling, states will want to take steps to ensure they get a piece of this untapped profit. Brooke Lampley, Sotheby's Fine Art Division Vice Chairman, discusses the importance of the collector in creating context after Sotheby's $157M sale of a Modigliani nude.

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Trade Wars Not the Biggest 2018 Risk, Purves Says May 14, 2018

Show notes

Michael Purves, Weeden & Co. Chief Global Strategist & Head of Equity Derivatives, says you can't be dismissive of higher interest rates in the volatility story. Isaac Boltansky, Compass Point Senior VP & Policy Analyst, has noticed a lot of empty offices in D.C. government agencies. Steve Ricchiuto, Mizuho Securities Chief U.S. Economist, joins us to wrap sound from our interview with Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester and discuss eco data. Jonathan Ferziger, Bloomberg Middle East Politics Reporter, reports from Israel on the the U.S. Embassy move from Tel Aviv to Jerusalem.

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People Respond to Higher Wages, Goolsbee Says May 11, 2018

Show notes

Mike Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist & Chief Market Strategist, says 4% on the 10-year is a bit of a moonshot. Nick Wadhams, Bloomberg News State Department Reporter, and Steven Cook, CFR Senior Fellow Middle East, join us to provide insight on the escalating tensions between Israel, Iran, Russia, and Syria. Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says tech will be the best performing sector at the end of this year. Austan Goolsbee, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Professor, says the tax cut was pretty negligible.

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