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Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week.
1) In the US - US retail sales unexpectedly picked up in November as lower gasoline prices allowed consumers to spend more to kick off the holiday shopping season.
2) In the UK - It's crunch time for last-minute shoppers ahead of the holidays in London - with retailers hoping for a last-minute surge in spending, despite the general economic gloom.
3) In Asia - Bank of Japan officials see little need to rush into scrapping the world’s last negative interest rate this month as they have yet to see enough evidence of wage growth that would support sustainable inflation
4) In Washington - Anticipation of a new wave of investors has Bitcoin booming once again. Key to the newfound optimism are indications that the US will soon approve exchange-traded funds that invest directly in the cryptocurrency.
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On today's podcast: 1) Equities held gains after the Federal Reserve validated bets that it will soon move to easier policy and pushed stock market gauges toward all-time highs. 2) Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said she plans to visit China again in 2024, seeking to deepen areas of cooperation and improve communication even as she vowed to continue confronting Beijing over national security concerns and human rights. 3) Citigroup will shutter its municipal business, one of the most dramatic moves yet by Chief Executive Officer Jane Fraser as she seeks to squeeze better returns out of the Wall Street giant. Full Transcript: Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Karen. Stocks are set for their fifth weekly gain, with rate cut bets giving traders a lot of hope heading into twenty twenty four. Equities are pushing for all time highs after J. Powell indicated this week the Fed could ease monetary policy soon. The S and P is advancing toward its seventh consecutive weekly advance. Oil is looking at its first weekly gain in almost two months. Neil Dutta of Renaissance Macro Research says the Fed is following a framework that will allow the US economy to grow. The die has been cast for this for a little bit of time now, I mean, and that's because inflation is slowing more rapidly than they expect. I mean, I think the Fed is following essentially a rules based framework where they're taking changes in inflation and the unemployment rate and translating that into expectations around the federal funds rate. And that's basically what's happening. In fact, last month, Neil detis that he expected the Fed to cut rates by March, so he says he is not surprised by the pivot, but Nathan Dudda's expectations were not shared by many on Wall streets, such as Peter Sheer, head of Macro's strategy at Academy Securities. Really took me by surprise of how comfortable the power was with cutting rates. So when I was at four twenty, I was getting nervous about risk assets because I thought the only way you have to four percent, given what the FED was saying, is for economic conditions to turn much worse. They didn't turn much worse, and yet we're at four percent because of the FED. So I think we have some room for risk to continue to rally, and it's been a great run. Peter Sheer with Academy Securities also tells Bloomberg, despite hawkish stances from the European Central Bank and Bank of England, he expects more growth outside the US. He specifically focused on shine Up. He anticipates further cooperation with the US and increased stimulus measures, and that's the signal that Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen is sending Karen. She says she's going to visit China again next year with a goal of deepening ties and improving communication with the world's second biggest economy. Speaking of the US China Business Council in Washington, Secretary Yellen said that the discussions will focus on difficult topics, but she expects cooperation from both sides. America's fundamental economic strength means that we have nothing to fear from healthy economic competition with China or any other country. The United States does not seek to decouple from China. This would be damaging to both our economies. Still, Treasury Secretary Yellen says the US will pursue export controls and investment restrictions that have angered China. She did stress the need to engage to prevent what she calls a wide range of diplomatic and financial crises. Well as for the latest moves in China, Nathan, the People's Bank of China pumped a record amount of cash into the economy to try to prop up as struggling property market and boost de mad It marked a bullish signal to investors who have been disappointed in china recent piecemeal approaches to stimulus. Meanwhile, stocks across Asia traded higher on optimism over a FED pivot. Now let's turn to a major move in US banking Karen Bloomberg News has learned City Group is shutting down its municipal bond business. It is one of the most dramatic moves yet in CEO Jane Fraser's ongoing restructuring as she looks to squeeze better returns out of the Wall Street Giant. Bloomberg Finance team leader Sally Bakewell says although the move was expected, it is still a shock. City was an absolute powerhouse in this four trillion market for US state and for local debt. It helped on deals for some very prominent buildings in landmarks, such as the World Trade Center rebuilding the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey. It was also one of the lead underwriters Bloomberg. Sally Bakewell says City will complete the wine down by the end of the first quarter. Source to say the moves expected to effect about one hundred employees and some more news on the labor front this morning, Nathan General Motors cutting more than one thousand, three hundred hourly job. Is it a pair of plants in Michigan. It comes less than a month after GMS he unionized workforce. It proved a new labor contract the counts will take effect January. First s turned to politics Now Karen and messaging out of Washington. President Biden continues to urge Israel to be more cautious in its war with Hamas. Bloomberg z ed Baxter has the details a bit of a change from the message he's delivered for the last week. NIC spokesman John Kirby says keywords are lower intensity possible transitioning from what we would call high intensity operations, which is what we're seeing them do now, to lower intensity operations sometime, you know, in the near future, meaning more surgical operations aimed at a Moss leaders rather than the current force. Biden says the focus should be getting Hamas, but also saving civilian lives. I'm at Baxter Bloomberg Radio, all right, and thanks. Meanwhile, in Europe, Ukraine has taken a win and a loss at the EU leader summit in Brussels. The leaders have agreed to open membership talks with Ukraine, but they couldn't not agree on a new financial aid package. That debate will extend into early next year. Hungary's Victor Orbond planned the are blocked the planned fifty billion euro package despite support from the twenty six other EU leaders. The amount of newly committed Western eight for Ukraine has fallen to its lowest level since Russia's invasion almost two years ago. That has Russian President Vladimir Putin expressing renewed confidence in his war aims at his annual end of year news conference. Coming back to the ghouls, they remain unchanged, I will remind you it means the Nazification, the neutralization all of Ukraine and its neutral status. This was President Putin's first end of your news conference since he ordered the Ukraine invasion in February of last year. S and P futures are higher by three tens of one percent, up thirteen points. Now futures up one hundred and twenty five points, that's again of a third of one percent, and Nasdaq futures are about a third of one percent higher as well, up fifty three points. Global headlines straight ahead, plus a check of sports. This is Bloomberg sor Ry Nathan. Thanks. It's time now for a look at some of the other stories making news around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's John Tucker. John, good morning, and good morning, Karen. Google Will stop telling police witch users we're near a crime. That story in this report this morning from Bloomberg's Amy Morris, Google is changing its maps tools so the company no longer has access to users individual location histories. It cuts off its ability to respond to law enforcement warrants that ask for data on everyone who is in the vicinity of a crime. The change comes three months after a Bloomberg BusinessWeek investigation that found police across the US are increasingly using warrants to obtain location and search data from Google, even for nonviolent cases and even for people who had nothing to do with the crime. Google will roll out the changes gradually through the next year on its own Android and Apple's iOS mobile operating systems. Amy Morris Bloomberg Radio. President Biden trying to rally support among seniors, highlighting new government caps and prescription drug prices, saying the effort will help crack down on price gouging by the pharmaceutical companies. Year before we pass the cization, drug maker's jacked up prices nearly four times faster and inflation went on and they were already too high. Let's call this for what it is is, simply, it's a rip off. Under legislation passed by Democrats, pharmaceutical companies are required to pay rebates to Medicare when they increase certain drug prices passed inflation rates into Bloomberg News Morning consult Paul released Thursday, Biden trailed Donald Trump across a number of swing states. US defense officials say a cargo ship caught fire in the Red Sea this morning into being hit by a projectile launched by rebel controlled Yimmen. The attack and eyed Lightberian flag vessel further escalates a campaign by Yemmens, Iran backed Hooti rebels who claim responsibility for a series of missile assaults in recent days. A lawyer for two former election officials told members of a jury and federal court Thursday they should send a message in considering how much former Mayor Rudy Juliani should have to pay for spreading diffamatory lies about them as part of his effort three years ago to keep President Trump in office. At the last minute decision, Juliani decided not to testify as planned on Thursday. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News. Now, I'm John Tucker, and this is Bloomberg. Karen, all right, John, thank you well. We do bring you news throughout the day right here on Bloomberg Radio. But now you can get the latest news on demand, and that means you can get it whenever you want it. Subscribe to Bloomberg News Now and you can get the latest headlines right at the click of a button. Get informed on your schedule. You can listen and subscribe to Bloomberg News Now on the Bloomberg Business app, Bloomberg dot com plus Apples, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Time now for the Bloomberg Scores Update with John Stashauer John Karon. Blowout in the Desert. Just a few days after the Raiders had a home game and lost to the Vikings three did nothing. They had another home game and beat the Chargers sixty three to twenty one. This game was twenty one nothing in the first quarter. It was forty two to nothing at halftime. That's a near NFL record. It was sixty three to seven midway through the fourth quarter. The Raiders rookie quarterback Adan O'Connell through four touchdown passes. The Chargers lost four fumbles. It's the most points the Raiders have ever scored in the game, and it's the most points the Chargers have ever allowed. Celtics twelve and I went home. They've be in Cleveland, won sixteen to one oh seven. Warriors now just ten and fourteen, playing without the suspended Draymond Green. They lost to the Clippers in LA. Won twenty one one thirteen. Big NBA story so far this year the Minnesota Timberwolves now eighteen and five A one nineteen one oh one win in Dallas. Luca Dompson scored thirty nine and the loss. In Sacramento's win over Oklahoma City the Aaron Fox points for the King Shay Gilgess Alexander scored forty three the loss the Thunder. George McGinnis, the Hall of Famer who played for the Pacers and Sixers, has passed away at the age of seventy three. Capital Is lost in Philadelphia four to three in a shootout in LA. On the day that the Dodgers introduced Joe Otani, they added another player, pitcher Tyler Glass, now comes from Tampa Bay with outfielder and Manuel Margo. The Rays get a couple of prospects in return. Remember, Otani is not going to pitch. He's only going to hit in twenty twenty four. Don Statieward, Bloomberg's courts Karen, all right, John, thank you. While we are watching stocks, they're set for a fifth weekly game this on the Fed pivot, and we want to discuss all of this. We're going to be bringing in Andrew Sheets, the global head of Corporate Credit research Ed Morgan Stanley, for that discussion and ahead of EDSMP futures are higher again this morning. They're up three tenths even percent of about fourteen points. Dwaen Nasdaq futures all also up three tenths of up percent. This is Bloomberg from coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on Syria's exam, the Bloomberg Business Appen Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager. There is plenty of fuel for optimism in the US market, with the Federal Reserve signaling this week that it is in fact ready to start thinking about cutting interest rates next year. But when it comes to global central banks like the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, they're holding firm on higher for longer. So what's this mean for the outlook headed into twenty twenty four. Let's get some answers now from Andrew Sheets, global head of corporate credit research at Morgan Stanley. Andrew, it's great to speak with you this morning. So what does a more dovish FED and a more hawkish ECB mean in your world? So? I think the important starting point is that I think we've seen an evolution of the data that's much better than we or the market would have expected six months ago. You know, over the last twelve months, the US economy has grown three percent year every year, and inflation's been declining. And in Europe you've seen again inflation really start to moderate in a way that the ECB a number of central bank watchers would not have expected six months ago. So I think the important factor, the most important factor, is that this year has been all about inflation, and inflation is finally coming down, which gives these central banks a lot more flexibility to moderate policy as that happens. So again, you know, you've seen central banks react to that a little bit differently, the FED sounding a little bit more dubvish, the ECB sounding a little bit more hawkish, But I think the core message as you go into next year is these are central banks that are done hiking. They're going to be cutting, and the path is going to be easing going forward. But the path is going to be easing at a much different pace. It seems like when we hear this more hawkish tone from the likes of Madame Legarde, what could that mean for a global bond markets If we see higher for longer in the Eurozone and maybe not so much here in the US. Well, I think what the market might test is how credible that more hawkish rhetoric really is. You know, we've seen a very weak PMI data out today from the Eurozone. You're seeing inflation in the Eurozone come down quickly, and on Morgan Stanley's forecast it continues to decline quickly. And so you know, we can understand from a strategic standpoint, not wanting to ease up too early on the rhetoric run inflation, wanting to establish the ECB's credibility on inflation. But as the data continues to come in, as inflation data continues to fall, as the growth data is soft, we'd be surprised. We would not expect the ECB to continue to sound this hawkish into next year, and would expect them to be to be easing policy in line with the FED into twenty twenty four. Interesting, what about the Fed's credibility? Is there a risk that the FED pivots back the other way next year? Is that something in your forecast? It's not in our forecast. And I think the point about credibility is key. You know, credibility is everything in central banking, and I think to the credit of the FED, they are talking more dubbishly as core inflation is coming down on Morgan Stanley's estimates with the…
Full show notes at the publisherOn today's podcast: 1) President Joe Biden’s unprecedented actions to erase student-loan debt have fallen flat with the young voters in swing states he needs to win reelection, according to the latest Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll. 2) After clashing in recent years, Wall Street traders and the Federal Reserve are – for once – broadly in sync: The great monetary pivot is near as central bankers engineer a once-unthinkable soft landing in the world’s largest economy. 3) House Republicans threatened the US Food and Drug Administration with a subpoena as they intensify scrutiny of the agency’s efforts to deal with quality problems with drugs made in India and China.Full transcript: Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. We want to bring you fresh data now. In the twenty twenty four presidential race, a new Bloomberg News Morning Consul poll shows former President Donald Trump now ahead of President Biden in all seven of the swing states that are likely to decide next year's election. Trump leads forty seven to forty two percent across those states. That is outside this poll's margin of error of one percent. The survey finds President Biden failing to gain traction among suburban women in Michigan, young voters, and union households. He trails Trump in Michigan forty six to forty two percent. As concerns over inflation ride high. Council of Economic Advisor's chair Jared Bernstein tells Bloomberg that sentiment should improve as we get closer to election if we continue to maintain our progress lower prices, not just in the things I mentioned where they're actually coming down eggs, milk, toys, TVs, but also in areas of healthcare. That's the path that we need to stay on. We're not there yet, We're moving in the right direction. But how do we know that. Well, one thing we really need to see is for some of these sentiment indices to reflect that progress, and Jared Bernstein with the Council of Economic Advisors admits those sentiment indices have not gotten better yet. Well, Nathan, another demographic that's expressing concern is Generation Z. The Bloomberg Morning Console poll also finds many young voters in swing states don't think Biden is doing enough on student loan payments. However, Around University professor Wendy Schiller thinks former President Trump's support could wane as he re enters the spotlight. As he comes back into the limelight and independence are reminded of why they have not voted for Trump or Trump's surrogates in the last three elections. That's where I think the polling becomes more favorable, if you can put it that way, for Biden, in the sense that he is a chance to win those voters back into the Democratic camp at least at the present and Brown Universities. Wendy Schiller also says Democrats will need to improve their messaging to get Biden re elected in twenty twenty four. Well, another complication for the president, Karen the House has voted along party lines to formally authorize the impeachment inquiry into President Biden. This sets up a high profile clash with the White House over the investigation that's focused on Biden family finances and business dealings. House Oversight Chair James Comer spoke after the vote. We have a simple question that I think of no blooming majority of Americans have. What did the Bidens do to receive the tens of millions of dollars from our enemies around the world. Despite those accusations from Republican James Comer, Democrat Jamie Raskin says, the attacks on the president are baseless. They understand there's no real evidence to support any presidential offense here. They haven't even named what they think the crime is. House Democrat Jamie Raskin says the impeachment inquiry is purely about next year's election. Well, we turn to the markets now, Nathan and the monetary pivot that traders have been waiting for. After keeping interest on hold, the FED gave its clearest signal yet that its historic policy tightening campaign is over, projecting rate cuts in twenty twenty four, Fed heire J Powell's News Conference United, one of the biggest post meeting rallies in recent memory. The down closed at a record and the S and P gained one point four percent, but Powell did not entirely rule out tightening. Inflation has eased from its highs, and this has come without a significant increase in unemployment. That's very good news, but inflation is still too high ongoing progress and bringing it down is not assured, and the path forward is uncertain. Chairman Powell reiterated that the FED remains data dependent, but former Atlanta FED President Ans Lockhart says the Fed's tentatively DUBBSH stance, as he puts it, is appropriate at this time. It's clear that they're going into twenty twenty four with the idea that they will be cutting rate, and the summary of economic projections showed to range among fifteen of them from two cuts to four cuts, so it's not a really tight census yet. And former Atlanta FED President Dennis Lockhart says markets are reacting positively to Powell's stands, and the FED gets more data this morning with retail sales do at at eight thirty am Wall Street Time. Well Karen traders may be helping for smoother sailing on the NASDAG today. A system error forced some stock orders on the exchange to be canceled yesterday. Sources tell us Nasdaq's investigating an order entry issue that caused inaccuracies and delays. Although it did not resolve the issue before the end of trading yesterday, the Nasdaq says it will be ready today. Nathan, overseas, we get two major rate decisions from the Bank of England and European Central Bank. Bloomberg's Ewan Pots joins us from London with a preview. Good morning, Ewan, Good morning Karen, Nathan. They're calling it super Thursday with rate decisions from key central banks right across Europe. We've already had a surprise rate hike from Norway. Up next announcements from the ECB and the BOE. The risk of recession in the euro Area will be front of mind for Presidents Christine Legarde. We're here from the ECB at eight fifteen am Eastern time. But first up the Bank of England. Way's sticky inflation with a very sluggish economy. That UK right decision comes in two hours time in London. I'm Une Pots, Bloomberg Radio okay you and thank you. Elsewhere in Europe, UBS is stepping up efforts to recoup hundreds of millions in cash bonuses that Credit Sweeze paid to retain deal makers before it's collapse. Sources say UBS has contacted hundreds of bankers and offered some multi year payment plans as it tries to claw back a chunk of the one point two billion Swiss francs and restricted cash bonuses. One source says UBS is seeking to recover less than six hundred and fifty one million Swiss francs. Meanwhile, in Russia, Nathan President Vladimir Putin is speaking at his annual end of year news conference. He says inflation in Russia's running between seven and a half to eight percent and that Russian companies are paying back their foreign loans. Putin added his war aims in Ukraine remained the same and he does not expect to mobilize a second wave of troops right now. And it is time now for a look at some of the other stories making news around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg, John Tunker, johncinb Morning, Good Morning. Care in the House and Senate have agreed to a massive defense bill. The story in this report from Washington and Bloomberg's Amy Morris. The House passed an eight hundred and eighty six billion dollar defense bill after bipartisan negotiations between the House and Senate. Hard right Republicans had tried to attach restrictions on abortions, transgender care, and diversity initiatives, but those didn't make it into the final bill. Republicans did score some victories, like requiring all promotions to be merit and performance based, outlawing the flying of the LGBTQ flag on military basis, and the teaching of critical race theory and drag show performances will also be banned on bass. Military personnel will also get a five point two percent pay increase in the new bill. Amy Morris, Bloomberg Radio. Negotiators continue to make progress on a border deal. The key negotiators have been meeting with the Department of Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorcis. Senator Chris Murphy if Connecticut been leading negotiations for the Democrats. As a real complicated set of law, but there's still no reason that we can't finish this by the time we wrap up for the year. Lawmakers are scheduled a head out of town as soon as tomorrow. The US working with allies to create a multinational effort to protect ships passing through the Red Sea. It's an effort to stem a surgeon attacks by hootie fighters that has provoked unease about commercial trade passing through one of the world's most vital waterways. A federal judge granted Donald Trump's request to pause the twenty twenty election obstruction case scheduled for trial at March well he presses a claim for sweeping immunity against criminal charges. US District Judge Tanya Chunkin at Washington pause the hearings and upcoming deadlines in the case while Trump appeals her earlier ruling denying him immunately from prosecution over events that took place while he was president. Industry regulators say California's risk of power shortfalls and blackouts has fallen as more renewable energy and batteries are added to its electric grid, but at the same time, they and such threats in New York have risen thanks to higher electricity demand and new restrictions on gas fire power plants. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it With Bloomberg News Now, I'm John Tucker and this is Bloomberg Karen. All right, John, thanks what we do bring you news throughout the day here on Bloomberg Radio. Just as John said, but now you can get the latest news on demand, and that means you can get it whenever you want it. Just subscribe to Bloomberg News Now to get the latest headlines at the click of a button. Get informed on your schedule. You can listen and subscribe to Bloomberg News Now on the Bloomberg Business app, Bloomberg dot Com plus Apples, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. It is time now for the Bloomberg Sports Update. Here's John stash Hour, John Karen and Milwaukee on a night for the buckstar Jannis onto the Compo. He poured in sixty four points. That's as previous career high of fifty five. It's a Bucks team rerecord. They beat Indiana one forty to one twenty six. Jana's twenty of twenty eight from the field and twenty four of thirty two from the free throw line. He's the first player in NBA history to have twenty or more from both and shoot seventy percent or better in both. There was an incident after the game. Giannis went into the Pacers locker room to try to get the game ball, and there was apparently some kind of a melee that broke out. Wizards lost at home by twenty New Orleans one, with Brandon Ingram scoring forty, and the Wizards are now three and twenty. Lakers won only by three in San Antonio, when the Spurs have now lost eighteen games in a row. The NBA has suspended Raymond Green indefinitely, citing his repeated history of incident. Ruins lost in overtime at New Jersey two to one. It's the Chargers and Raiders tonight, kicking off Week fifteen, both teams with only five wins on the season a lot of injuries. Chargers without their quarterback Justin Herbert for the rest of the season in their top whiteout, Keenan Allen won't play tonight due to a foot injury. The Raiders have decided to stick with rookie quarterback Aidan O'Connell. Whiteout. Devonte Adams was questionable with an illness. The NFL has gave me Super Bowl sixty to Los Angeles. That's where the first Super Bowl was played, and the NFL says there'll be a regular season game played next year in South Paolo Brazil. John Stashewer Bloomberg Sports from coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on Sirius Exam, the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. As we head into a twenty twenty four re election campaign for President Biden, he has been struggling to show voters that the policies that he's put forward, whether it's by partisan infrastructure, it's the Inflation Reduction Act and student debt relief, are working for the voters that he needs to win reelection. Those struggles are reflected in the latest Bloomberg News Morning Consult poll of swing states, just out this morning, and here with us to discuss it as Bloomberg News Politics reporter Gregory Cordy. Gregory, it's great to have you with us this morning. We just saw these numbers cross the Bloomberg terminal moments ago. I know this is an update right of the swing state pole that we conducted just a couple months ago. So what did we find. Yeah, actually, this is the third iteration of this pole. We've been doing it monthly and we're going to continue to do it monthly through the election next November. And what we're seeing is a slow but unmistakable movement in former President Donald Trump's direction in each of these seven swing states, or I should say these swing states collectively. But now for the first time in this poll every one of these seven swing states, Trump is now leading in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin. Michigan was the one that was tied the first two times we did this poll. Now President Trump is leading by four and so this is a pretty good poll for him, and it shows how President Biden continues to struggle, as you said, to convince voters that his economic policies are working. Yeah. To see the turnaround in President Biden's disfavor in Michigan is particularly notable when you think about how he's put himself out there as the most pro union president ever. He was the first president to walk a picket line in Michigan, and it doesn't seem at least from this polling that that's worked out for him thus far. Yeah, we took a particular interest in Michigan this month in part because it had been so close and now it seems to be leaning Trump. And you're absolutely right. It's a state that Biden absolutely needs to win. It's one of those blue wall industrial states that we talk about that are so important for Democrats, and it shows that Biden's really not improving among those union voters. Now. The unions themselves are pretty happy with Biden. Biden claims to mean it's pro union president in history. He walked the picket line with workers back when the United Auto Workers were on strike earlier this year, and that political support from the White House helped the UAW get a pretty good contract. But rank and file auto workers aren't necessarily listening to their union leadership on this, and we've seen union workers more willing to vote for Donald Trump, especially on these issues of trade and competition with China and immigration and other issues other than collective bargaining. President Trump has made inroads on It is fascinating to see how the former president continues to make inroads on these economic issues when we go by the data every day here on Bloomberg, and we're seeing the signs of improvement in the US economy pretty steadily. What does that say about this disconnect that we're seeing between the way the economy is going and how it's working out for this current president in his polling numbers. Yeah, you've absolutely put your finger on one of the central questions and frankly, one of the big riddles of this election year, as…
Full show notes at the publisherOn today's podcast:
1) Volodymyr Zelenskiy pleaded with US lawmakers to approve $61 billion in aid vital to his war effort but left Washington with no clear commitment that his most important ally will keep up support as his fight against Russia’s invasion drags toward a third year.
2) The Federal Reserve will likely hold interest rates steady for a third straight meeting, while pushing back against market expectations of rate cuts as soon as March.
3) The COP28 climate talks in Dubai ended in a historic deal that committed the world to a transition away from all fossil fuels for the first time.
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On today's podcast: 1) Google’s legal defeat at the hands of Fortnite maker Epic Games Inc. threatens to roil an app store duopoly with Apple Inc. that generates close to $200 billion a year and dictates how billions of consumers use mobile devices. 2) Harvard President Claudine Gay will remain in office after receiving backing from the University’s highest governing body, according to a report from the college’s student newspaper. 3) A monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics report due Tuesday is set to show consumer prices were unchanged again in November, giving the Federal Reserve room to consider lower interest rates in the months ahead, according to Bloomberg Economics. Full Transcript: Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. We want to begin this morning with an antitrust ruling that threatens to upend the mobile app economy. A federal jury in San Francisco has ruled in favor of video game developer Epic Games, declaring that Alphabet's mobile app store has a monopoly over distribution of programs and payments on its Android software. Like Apple's App store, Google Play charges up to thirty percent commissions for users, and it generates close to two hundred billion dollars a year. Bloomberg Executive editor Peter Elstrom says this was a surprise ruling after Epic lost a similar case against Apple two years ago, but he says there are some key differences. Google had a whole series of special deals that it was cutting with different companies from different fees within the app store. For example, Spotify, the music service, essentially bypass the fees from the Google App Store. In many cases, companies pay thirty percent fees. So the argument was that Google. Google had something that they called Project hug where they were trying to keep the most important apps within the store not go to rival stores that could compete against them in the Google Play Store, and Epic argued that this was at a competitive behavior. Bloomberg's Peter Elstrom says Alphabet plans to appeal the decision. Epic didn't seek financial penalties, but it is looking for changes to the Google Play Store. Well, we turned to Washington, now, Nathan, where the focus is on geopolitics and the fight over a foreign aid in Congress. Ukraine's President Vladimir Zelenski is in Washington for a two day visit. He spoke alongside Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin at the National Defense University yesterday. Process war on Ukraine isn't just about Is it just about some old fashioned dictatorship trying to settle scores real or imagined. It's not just Moscou trying to split Europe again. It's put him put in attacking that big sheet that happened back in nineteen eighty nine. And President Zelenski also met with the head of the International Monetary Fund, A christ Alina Georgiaeva, who announced the dispersal of nine hundred million dollars in aid. Selenski meets today with President Biden and Republican lawmakers. They refused to budge on about sixty billion dollars in new assistance without funds for the southern border. Well, Karen, the focus is also on the other major global conflict in the Middle East. President Biden is warning Israel that public support for its war against Hamas could shift as the civilian death told mounts in the Gaza strip. The President is still backing Israel's fight, as I said after the attack, Mike, commitment to the safety the Jewish people and the security of israel Is right to exist, is independent as an independitary state is just unshakable. President Biden spoke at a Whinehouse Honkka reception as his administration pushes Congress for new aid. Meanwhile, Nathan last Week's Congressional testimony over campus anti semitism continues to Royal higher education. More than seven hundred faculty members at Harvard University have signed a petition urging school leadership to resist political pressures, including calls for the removal of President Claudine Gay. More than a thousand students at alumni, including billionaire donors like Bill Lackman, are demanding this school replace her, and this morning, sources tell the school's newspaper at the Harvard Crimson, that Gay will remain in office. After receiving backing from the university's highest governing body, Gay in the heads of MIT and the University of Pennsylvania struggle to say directly that calling for the genocide of Jews violates school harassment policies. Liz McGill stepped down as Penn's president over the weekend. Sticking with politics, the Supreme Court has agreed to hear former President Donald Trump's claims of presidential immunity over the Special Council's twenty twenty election interference case. Bloomberg Zed Baxter has that story. Special counsel Jacksmith filed the motion, saying it goes to the heart of democracy whether Donald Trump or any other president has what Trump has claimed as absolute immunity. Trump filed an appeal that would go to win Appellet Court, but Smith petitioned the highest court in the land to try to get an expedited ruling. It would end up there in any event. The fighting Mirk's the first time the Court has been asked to intervene in one of these cases on election interference. Regarding mister Trump, Smith is asked for the court to rule during this term, which ends in June. Ed Baxter, Bloomberg Radio, All right, ed, thanks. Elsewhere in politics, ousted former Congressman George Santos is in plea talk to the prosecutors, and Bloomberg's Nancy Lyons has the details. Prosecutors say in a filing that they're engaged in discussions with George Santos in hopes of resolving the matter without a trial. Santos was set to appear to hearing Tuesday. Santos is charged with multiple federal counts of stealing public funds and lying on federal disclosure forms. Two people tied to Santos's congressional campaign as former fundraiser and former treasurer, have both pleaded guilty to federal charges in Washington. Nancy Lyons, it's Bloomberg Radio. All right, Nancy, thank you. We have some major economic news on the calendar this morning. The November Consumer Price Index comes out at eight thirty Wall Street time. The final Federal Reserve meeting of the year kicks off today and we get the decision and Chair J. Powell's news conference tomorrow. Markets are looking for rate cuts next year. But Bloomberg Intelligence chief US interra strate Strategistyreg Jersey thinks Powell is going to push back. The Fed is still an inflation fighting mode, right and I think that they don't want the market to think that they're going to be cutting very early, because that's loosening financial conditions quite a lot. And because of that, the big risk is to markets on Wednesday is that they say, hey, we're probably not going to cut quite as aggressively as the market's thinking right now. In Bloomberg, Syra Jersey says, even if headline inflation meets market expectations, core CPI could remain elevated enough to keep rates on hold well into twenty twenty four. Tim how to take a look at some of the other stories making news around the world with Bloomberg's Amy Morris. Good morning, Amy, Good morning, Nathan. Firefighters didn't find anyone trapped in the debris of that New York City apartment building yesterday. Part of the seven story building collapsed, leaving apartments exposed and walls just sheered off. Neighbors are stunned. Came from the top first and it just started falling down everywhere. I just see a lot of stuff just flying down. I don't even know the bullet and phone and tire really look was scared. I was, I'm thinking, you know, oh, everybody's okay. Fire officials say two people did suffer minor injuries while they were evacuating the damaged building. After a poll last week showed Mayor Eric Adams approval rating for a record low twenty eight percent, there's a new poll showing who could be the person to succeed Adams. Leading the list. Former New York Governor Andrew Cuomo. Political consultant Ken Friedman says Cuomo would be a viable candidate, and he tells WABC New York the timing for Adams is just awful. The migrant issue is a terrible problem for any mayor, to be fair, and I can't you know, I've thought about it a lot. And have you put you put LaGuardia in office now, I don't think he could handle this, or even Giuliani. Frankly, some observers say it's the migrant crisis that's hurting Adams more than anything else. Former Trump lawyer Rudy Giuliani's defamation case is underway in DC. Giuliani had earlier admitted he spread lies about two Georgia election workers, accusing them of manipulating ballots, but now as the case gets underway, Giuliani now denies that he likes when I testify, to get the whole story, and it will be definitively clear that what I said was true and that whatever happened to them, which is it's unfortunate if other people overreact, but everything I said about them is true. The hearing is to determine how much he owes for spreading the lies about the women. President Biden last week said he was willing to make significant compromises over border policy now before Congress breaks for winter recess. Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell told the White House in his Senate floor remarks, it would be imperative for any other Senate support mister President when it comes to keeping America safe. Border security is not a side show. It's ground zero. McConnell's latest push comes as Ukrainian President Voladimir Zelensky is scheduled to address the Senate. Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News. Now, I'm Amy Morrison. This is Bloomberg. Nathan, all right, Amy, thank you time now for the Bloomberg Sports Update, brought to you by Tri State Outy. Good morning, John Stanshout, Good morning, Nathan. The legend of Tommy Cutlet Stavino continues to grow. It's quite a story. Undrafted rookie quarterback latches on with his hometown team while still living with his parents. He goes from third string quarterback to first leads the Giants to three straight wins. Last night, DeVito ran for seventy one yards and he completed seventeen of twenty one passes, one per touchdown. Gasito in a shotguncept three receivers lacked partly news light Torino call signals and take what's the snack back to throw Woo's KOs White, Wo's Ques White looking for someone on cover crosse to the year zone touchdown Giants Hi Sea Hodgin on WFA N. Giants led the Packers by eight. Green Bay rally took the lead on a TV with a minute half to go, but de Veto drove the Giants into field goal range and they won twenty four to twenty two on a Randy Bullock thirty seven yarder. The Giants still just five and eight, but amazingly in the NFC, that's only one game out of a playoff spot. There were two Monday Nighters and the Titans of Dolphins also a thriller in Miami. Huge comeback by Tennessee down two touchdowns less than three minutes to go, they scored fifteen points a TV at two pointer or another TV fifty one seconds later. Tennessee won twenty eight twenty seven. Surprising details emerging about the show Aotani contract with the Dodgers. It is for seven hundred million dollars, but all but twenty million will be deferred and paid off starting in twenty thirty four. This allows the Dodgers to afford other players, and they're said to be in it for another Japanese import pitcher, y Ashinobo Yamamoto, who the Mets and Yankees also cover. Yanks met with him yesterday. Nixon Islanders both beat Toronto, the Nets lost in Sacramento. John Stash Edward Bloomberg sports from coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on Syrias exam, the Bloomberg Business app and Bloomberg Dot com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. We could have a sea change coming to the way we access the apps that make our smartphones more than just phones. The federal jury in San Francisco has found that Alphabet's mobile app store Google Play is a monopoly after a nearly month long antitrust case with fortnitemaker Epic Games. For more on this what it could mean for the multi billion dollar mobile app economy, we are pleased to be joined by Bloomberg News technology reporter Mark Bergen Mark, Good morning. What are the implications from this victory for Epic Games? Morning? I mean the implications in one way is that Epic and many other kind of all these apps that charge for subscriptions or sort of in app services will be conceivably able to pass us along to consumers. They will just state that cut they were making that thirty percent over to Google. If the policy actually changes, is that something that they no longer have to make and so that those companies will either have more money for their own shareholders or that they can actually just charge cheaper rates to consumers. Interesting to see that potential implication when the whole idea of antitrust cases is to try to lower prices for consumers. But you're thinking that Epic and some other app providers that might be the opposite case for them. Oh no, no, and sorry, I mean I presumably they could lower prices here because this is money that like, that's the argument that Epic has been making, right, that they the reason they have to have the higher fees is because that they you know, every time someone buys something within the app Store for a thirty percent cost to the Apple in the play Store, thirty percent coast to Google. And so now they've been arguing in others that they can pass these savings along with cheaper cheaper rates, pass the savings along. Okay, yeah, for sure, let's get the miss here there. But Epic lost a similar fight against the Apple App Store two years ago. What made its case against Google play so different? It's a really interesting question because I know Google will certainly argue that they are a lot more open than Apple. I mean, Apple is, Google has Android was a bunch bigger. They have, like they have a different Samsung soa it has its own app store, and Huawei, these sort of hardware manufacturers. Google is that does allow other app stores to exist on Android phones in a way that that Apple just doesn't on iPhones. I mean this this u is a different political climate in some ways, Like Google is back against the ropes on a number of issues around around antitrust and both with its search position in its app store. And this something that that Fortnite has been an epic its owner has been working on for years. So does this verdict have applications then for the Apple App Store or any other providers that offer app stores on their platforms, or is it just you know, just for alphabet This is I mean, this is a this is a two company market in some ways, and in many ways Apple dominates, right, So so another company sort of gives us a full clarity about how much they make. But you know a lot of estimates show that Apple just makes so much more money from that's app store, like iPhone users spend a lot more money. So this is something that could certainly impact Apple. I think you know what Epic CEO Tim sweet Sciaty's after is not just a legal victory, but he's actually after a policy business practice change. He wants the business models and the app stores to fundamentally change, and they have been for for the past few years, both Apple and Google have lowered the fees they take for some subscription services like Netflix, and they've made some concessions and been forced to make concessions and other markets. So I think, you know, we can also see that after the ruling, Google came out and said there they're contesting this, so they're certainly not going now without a fight. How difficult to fight is it g…
Full show notes at the publisherOn today's podcast:
1) Global leaders express concern over civilian deaths in Gaza
2) President Biden's Israel support dents poll numbers as Putin, Netanyahu Talk Amid Rising Tensions Over Israel-Hamas War
3) Traders look for rate clues ahead of this week's Fed meeting
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Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week.
1) In the US - We preview Federal Reserve policy meeting and news conference with Chair Jerome Powell. Economists see the Fed’s policy committee maintaining a benchmark interest rate target of 5.25% to 5.5%, with bond traders leaning toward a cut in the first half of 2024.
2) In the UK - It's a big week ahead for central banks in Europe too - with both the Bank of England and the European Central Bank meeting on Thursday. Market bets on rate cuts from policymakers in London and Frankfurt have been ramping up - but there's more data to come too.
3) In Asia - The Chinese economy has struggled this year in its post-Covid recovery. For months, the optimists have been hoping for signs of a turning point. Might there be a glimmer of improvement in the week ahead?
4) In Washington DC - we look ahead to what we can expect from congress in the new year.
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On today's podcast: 1) The Palestinian Authority is working with US officials on a plan to run Gaza after the ongoing war is over, with one of its top leaders arguing that Israel’s aim to fully defeat Hamas is unrealistic and the militant group should instead join it under a new governing structure. 2) President Joe Biden’s son Hunter was indicted on nine federal tax charges in a development that will become a political headache for the White House and Democrats as the 2024 campaign ramps up. 3) Treasury yields rose as traders pared expectations for the Federal Reserve to ease monetary policy aggressively next year after a better-than-forecast jobs report. Full Transcript: Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Amy Morris. Here are the stories we're following today. This morning, we are learning the Palestinian authority is working with the US on a plan to run Gaza after the fighting ends. Palestinian Prime Minister Mohammad stay I spoke with Bloomberg News. He says his preferred outcome would be to include Hamas as a junior partner in a post war administration, if they are ready to come to ground, to an agreement and really accept the political platform of the PLO, accept the tools of struggle because this is an important point of difference between us and them, and then there will be a room for talk. Otherwise it's just simply things will continue to be the same. Prime Minister Mohammad Staya also tells Bloomberg he does not believe Hamas can be eradicated by Israel. His comments are at odds with the stated aim of Israel's military campaign to wipe out the militant group following the deadly October seventh terrorist attack. The war in Gaza so far has killed more than sixteen thousand Palestinians. That's according to the Hamas run Health Ministry. Now the major legal news breaking overnight in the US that could be a new political headache for President Biden. The president's son Hunter has been indicted on nine new federal tax charges in Los Angeles. That's on top of the federal gun charges he's facing in Delaware. We get more from Bloomberg's David Voriakis. It expands on an earlier agreement in which he would have pleaded guilty in federal court in Delaware and in July and avoided prison. Under this indictment, he could theoretically be sentenced to as much as seventeen years in prison. What government alleges is, I will quote, the defendants spent this money on drugs, escorts and girlfriends, luxury hotels and rental properties, exotic cars, clothing, and other items of a personal nature. In short, everything by his taxi. Bloomberg's David Voriaki says. These new charges come as House Republicans plan to vote next week on formalizing their impeachment inquiry into President. By this latest indictment against Hunter, Biden does not offer evidence that the President benefited from or was involved in his son's activities. Also in the twenty twenty four election, Amy Republican Ron DeSantis's campaign is dealing with more disappointing news, as Bloomberg said, Baxter reports a fundraising event for the Florida governor tend to be canceled. About three thousand donors were invited to a Never Back Down super Pack lunch and to be held before this week's debate. A ten thousand dollars contribution would have given donors access to the lunch where Casey Dessentis was scheduled to speak, as well as a ticket to the debate itself, and an invite to a post debate celebration with a governor. Well, just a couple of days prior to the date, Never Back Down decided to cancel. Scott Wagner, who leads the pack, cited lack of interest. In November, a similar event raised one million dollar dollar, aed Baxter, Bloomberg Radio Right, Thank You ed Elsewhere in politics, more fallout for those IVY League presidents who struggled to denounce campus anti semitism on Capitol Hill this week. The presidents of Harvard and the University of Pennsylvania have issued statements clarifying their positions, but now investment manager Ross Stevens has withdrawn a one hundred million dollar donation that he had planned to give to Pen. Those details from Bloomberg's Charlie Pellett. Stevens is co founder of stone Ridge Asset Management, and he had pledged a stake in the firm to the Ivy League University to fund the Stevens Center for Innovation in Finance. According to a letter to university officials, Lawyers representing the firm said the school had violated anti discrimination and anti harassment policies it had accepted in order to become an investor in New York. Charlie Pellett Bloomberg Radio. Okay, Charlie, thank you. Turning to markets, Investors are waiting for a critical data point this morning, the November jobs report, coming ahead of next week's FED meeting, their last of twenty twenty three. Let's get a preview from Bloomberg's Michael McKee. We should be seeing signs of a slowing economy in the labor market, but economists say not just yet. The consensus forecast is November saw the pace of hiring pick up, while unemployment was unchanged. About thirty thousand jobs won't be new, they will just reflect the return of autoworkers to pay rolls after the UAW strike, but hiring in healthcare, leisure and hospitality and government should keep healthy numbers Beyond manufacturing, markets are pricing a lower than anticipated number. However, so strength could lead to higher rates as investors worry the FED may not yet be done with rate hikes. Michael McKee, Bloomberg Radio, Mike, thank you. Turning overseas, the Japanese yen has surged over the past day. Traders betting the Bank of Japan will scrap the world's last negative interest rate regime sooner than previously thought the advance and Japanese stocks and bonds lower. At one point, the en jumped almost four percent against dollar. Checking Japanese currency right now the end at one forty four to twenty three against the dollar and elsewhere in Asia, Amy top communist leaders in China are promising to strengthen fiscal policy and boost demand while implementing a flexible and targeted monetary policy. China's state run news agency reports officials dropped the word forceful, which was included in previous policy. This came at a meeting chaired by Chinese President Shi Jinping and in corporate news. Back here in the US, the shakeup continues at Spotify. Chief financial officer Paul Vogel is departing after we'd already heard Spotify's head of marketing is heading for the exits. The streaming company announced widespread layoffs earlier this week, totally about fifteen hundred jobs. And now we'll joining us with a look at some of those other stories making news around the world. We bring in Bloomberg's Michael Barr Good Friday morning. Michael, Good morning to you. Nathan. Gunfire outside of Jewish synagogue and upstate New York. It's being investigated as a possible hate crime. Police said shots were fired outside Temple Israel in Albany just hours before the start of Honkkah. The synagogue's preschool was in session and put on lockdown. Nobody was hurt. Very angry and frustrated. Governor Kathy Hochel spoke out last night about the incident. Any act of anti Semitism is unacceptable and undermine the public safety at our synagogue. The first night of Hanukah is even more deplorable. Authorities took a twenty eight year old man in custody for allegedly firing two rounds from a shotgun. Meanwhile, the National Manora on the ellipse by the White House was also lit last night. Since the October seventh start of the Israel Hamas War, law enforcement agencies have warned of a spike in anti Semitic and Islamophobic crimes in the US. Police said gunman who killed three faculty members at the University of Nevada, Las Vegas was an unemployed professor who stuffed his waistband with ammunition before beginning the attack. Authority say sixty seven year old Anthony Polito brought a list of targets, although those shot weren't on that list. Sheriff Kevin mcmahill with the Las Vegas Metropolitan Police Polino was armed with the Taurus nine millimeter handgun. He had brought eleven magazines to the scene with him. Nine loaded magazines were found on his person after the shooting. Polito died in a shootout with police Wednesday, minutes after opening fire inside of building housing a business school. A fourth victim of visiting professor is hospitalized with life threatening injuries. The White House says it is troubled by the Senate's failure to move forward on a supplemental budget request. White House National Security Council spokesman John Kirby says time he is running out to provide more a to Ukraine in its fight against Russia. We've got a few more weeks here and then we're out of Schlitz when it comes to help in Ukraine with this kind of securities systems, so that we've been able to provide, and that's just that that should be unacceptable to everybody, Admiral Kirby says. The emergency request, which also includes funding for Israel and US border securities, being held up by a small number of Republicans demanding what President Biden describes as extreme border policies. Global news twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with the Bloomberg News Now, I'm Michael Barr, and this is Bloomberg Gaming and Mike, we can get much more Bloomberg News right on your dashboard. The new Bloomberg Business app features Apple Car Play, Android Auto. Get all the offerings that we have on Bloomberg right in your car. Download the Bloomberg Business App from the Apple App Store or Google Plays. Presented by our sponsor Interactive Brokers, time now for the Bloomberg Sports Update, brought to you by Tri State OUTI. Good morning, John stash Hour, Good morning Nathan. When golfers began to leave the PGA Tour for the new Live Tour, John Rahm was outspoken against the idea. He said he doesn't play golf for the money, but for the love of the game. Rom just joined the Live Tour for a deal. It'll get him north of three hundred million dollars. He's ranked third in the world. The reigning Masters champ upset of the AFC Patriots was just their third win of the season, first in six weeks. They built up a twenty one to three lead midway through the second quarter went on to win in Pittsburgh twenty one to eighteen Bailey's zappy through three touchdown passes. It'll be the Pacers and Lakers tomorrow night in Las Vegas Championship game of the NBA's inaugural in season tournament. Indiana beat Milwaukee and the Lakers blew out New Orleans Islanders a seven three home win over Columbus. Devil's won two to one at Seattle. Aaron Judge was on ABC asked his reaction to the acquisition of his new teammate, Juan Soda. I'm excited. I'm excited. You know. It's he's a generational talent. You know. We gave up quite a few, you know, special pitchers in the package. But I think everybody, everybody in Pinchrofts is looking forward to having won Sodo Grissom, you know, for do all those guys, you know, and so it's going to be a fun year. GM Brian Cashman said the Yankees are in it to win it. He says signing having Soto on the team this season could help their chances of signing them to a long term deal. He's due to be a free agent. Cashman on Monday will be in California to meet with Japanese free agent picture Yashinobu Yamamoto, and the Mets also want to sign him. The Orioles have been owned by the Angelos family since nineteen ninety three of Bloomberg report that they could be for sale and in talks with billionaire and Baltimore native David rubenstaff doms dash Ellen. Bloomberg sports from coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on Sirisxam, the Bloomberg Business app in Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. What comes the day after Israel's war with Hamas. The Palestinian authority says it is working with the US on a plan to run the Gaza strip after the fighting ends. One of its top leaders argues Israel's aim to fully defeat the Palestinian militant group Hamas is unrealistic. Palestinian Prime Minister Mohammad Staya says his preferred outcome would be for Hamas to become a junior partner under the Palestine Liberation Organization, helping to build a new independent state that includes the West Bank, Gaza, and East Jerusalem. Mohammed Staya spoke with Bloomberg's Ethan Branner from his office in the West Bank. Gaza is an integral part of the state of Banistlin right, and the Balestinian territory includes Gaza, West Bank and Jerusalem. So when we talk about two states, the geography of the two states is Gaza, Jerusalem and the West Bank. So this integral part of the Balistina territory should always be there is there a fear of going in after this operation by Israel that you're sort of following in on their tanks. We start a concern. We said that we are not going to go there on and Israelian militia what does it mean. It means that for us there has to be an arrangement. Our people are there and we need to put together structure and we need to put together a mechanism. This is something that we are working on with the international community in order for us to make it possible. There were there will be huge needs in terms of relief, reconstruction, to remedy the wounds, and are you ready to take that on? Not by ourselves, I mean, obviously we need international assistance, but this is your plan, your planners that the PA would when this thing ends, be the kind of vehicle for rebuilding Gaza by all means. Look, when Israel encouraged into Gaza in twenty fourteen, who did all the reconstruction, and we were still reconstructing Gaza. Most of the most of aspects of infrastructure has been actually built by the Palatina Authority, and even before the war, I should tell you that there were there under implementation a total value of eight hundred million dollars of infrastructure projects, that is and that has been under implementation by US roads, hospitals, water networks, electricity, desalination plants and so on. So we, as I told you, we never abandoned Gaza. We never left Gaza. So now any day after it should also include a package of assistance with the full engagement of the international community, because ourselves we cannot do it. A lot. The relationship between the PA and Hammas is very complicated. It's been there was after all, civil war, as you said in two thousand and seven. But the Israeli say they want to eradicate Hamas. Is that a goal that is achievable? Can you do it? First of all, you know, we tried four times or more to come to an agreement with Hamas, but it didn't work and correct and we signed four agreements. Unfortunately none of them was ever implemented by them by them, and recently we have had a dialogue in Egypt and an almen and we agreed on certain issues, we did disagree on a number of issues, and we did form a committee to keep them engaged. That was the idea, but unfortunately all these sort of things has happened, and then now things are going in a totally different direction. Now. For Israel to say that they are going to eradicate or eliminate Hamas, I don't think that's a possible goal to achieve simply because Hamas is not in Gaza only Hamas is in Libanon. Hamas in leadership, everybody knows in Kata, and they're here in the Wost Bank and so on and so forth. So what is needed really is a situation in which that Palestinian unity should be be allowed to function on very clear the bonds and agenda. We did put together certain bonds for Hamas to accept, they never accept it, including the recognition of international legitimacy, United National Resolutions, be a LO commitments and so on and so forth. We even invited Hamas to become part of the Ballistini and Balistan Liberation organ They neve…
Full show notes at the publisherOn today's podcast:
1) Elon Musk’s SpaceX has initiated discussions about selling insider shares at a price that values the closely held company at $175 billion or more, according to people familiar with the matter.
2) The latest jockeying between President Joe Biden and Republicans in Congress over Ukraine aid is fueling fresh concerns over Washington’s commitment to support Kyiv’s fight against Russia as the 2024 US election nears.
3) Former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley solidified her claim to be the main alternative to Donald Trump for the Republican presidential nomination, drawing attacks from her rivals over her connections to Wall Street donors and hawkish foreign policy views.
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On today's podcast: 1) Russian President Vladimir Putin arrived in the United Arab Emirates to start a rare foreign trip that will also include a visit to Saudi Arabia, with bolstering cooperation among strategic oil producers a top priority. 2) Israeli leaders rebuffed mounting pressure to halt the military campaign in the southern Gaza Strip, vowing to press on until Hamas is eradicated even as the death toll rose and the United Nations warned that civilians had no safe harbor amid the bombing. 3) President Joe Biden said he may have decided to serve just one term if Donald Trump were not seeking to return to the White House, arguing the former president poses a grave threat to American democracy. Full transcript: Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. We begin with the latest on the war in the Middle East. Israeli leaders are vowing to continue their fight to eradicate Hamas despite criticism from international groups. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu lashed out after the un said there are no longer any safe places in Gaza. I say, to the women's rights organizations, to the human rights organizations, you've heard of the rape of Israeli women, horrible atrocities, sexual new relation. Where the hell are you? Prime Minister Natanyahu's troops are continuing to press into the southern Gaza city of han Yunis Well, Nathan. Back here. In the US, presidents of three prestigious universities, Harvard, MIT, and Penn were called to Capitol Hill to explain to lawmakers what they're doing about an outbreak of anti Semitism on their campuses. Bloomberg's Amy Morris has more from Washington. The university presidents told lawmakers they won't tolerate anti semitism on their campuses as they cope with protests over the Israel Humas war. During heated questioning, by New York Republican Elis Stephonic. Harvard University professor doctor Clauding Gay cited free expression and says the school consistently enforces its rules of conduct, even of views that are objectionable, offensive, hateful. It's when that speech crosses into conduct that violates our policies against bullying Haras. Does that speech not cost that barrier? Does that speech not call for the genocide of Jews and the elimination of Israel? We embrace a commitment to free expression. Alumni and donors, citing incidents of anti Semitism, psychologists just aren't doing enough to create a safe learning environment for Jewish students in Washington. Amy Morris, Bloomberg Radio, all right, Amy, thank you. In other news this morning, Vladimir Putin has arrived in the United Arab Emirates at the start of a trip that will also include a visit to Saudi Arabia. It is a rare overseas trip since the invasion of Ukraine. The Russian president is seeking to bolster partnerships with key oil producers. Bloomberg's Rosalind Mathieson says the visit reveals a lot about the way Putin sees his position. He's really not left Russia very much since he invaded Ukraine almost two years ago. He's been to China, he's been to some of the proof ree States, but he's not really ventured any further than that. So simply the fact that he now feels confident enough to travel to the UAE, to travel to Saudi Arabia, to meet with some very very high level officials in both countries shows perhaps a reflection of how he's feeling at the moment about his hold on power at home, about where he's born in Ukraine is at and really that he's not feeling isolated on the global stage. Bloomberg's Ros Matheson says Putin's previously limited trips mainly two close allies since he ordered troops into Ukraine. Well, let's turn to US politics now, Nathan And a revealing comment from President Biden. The president says he might have decided not to run for reelection if former President and Donald Trump were not in the race. At a fundraiser in Massachusetts, the President said, quote, we can't let him win for the sake of the country. He was asked about the comment afterward. I expect so, but look, it is running and I just have to rus not no, not now. The President's comments come as polls show many voters are concerned about his age and the prospects of a Biden Trump rematch. Well. Meanwhile, Karen, the President's re election campaign does expect to raise more than fifteen million dollars in events across the country over the next five days. Biden is back in Washington after those three fundraisers in Boston, there was one actually that included singer James Taylor. On Friday, the President plans to travel to Los Angeles for a fundraiser with film director Steven Spielberg and Rob Reiner. Oh, we turned to the markets now, Nathan, as we await the crucial Friday jobs are pored. Another labor data point is reinforcing optimism of rate cuts, and we get the latest from Bloomberg's John Tucker and Karen. It's just what the Fed wants to see. The jolts or job opening survey pulling back in October to the lowest level since early twenty twenty one. It underscores the gradual cooling in the labor market that policymakers want. The labor market seems to be softening through slowing demand for new workers, rather than employers cutting jobs. A separate report shows easing inflation in the service sector. The ten year US yields that briefly top five percent in October broke below four point two percent. They're lower still this morning. It all feeds into the Goldilock scenario. Still some investors are warey. We're calling the story of Goldilocks had a few bears in it. Friday, we do get the monthly jobs report, and next week is the Fed meeting. John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio Now lots to come John, Thank you. Also today, the CEOs of some of the biggest banks on Wall Street are in Washington to testify before Congress. More on that from Bloomberg Financial correspondent Chanelli Bossik, JP Morgan CEO Jamie Diamond, and Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon are among big bank CEOs set to face the Senate Banking Committee today in Washington. The committee, led by Senator Shared Brown, has held the hearing with the big banks every year since Brown became chairman in twenty twenty one, saying that he's there to protect the main street economy and the bankers will face questions on everything from mortgage rates to savings rates after the Federal Reserve has raised interest rates so dramatically. In Washington, d C. I'MTIONALI Bassic Bloomberg Radio Shanelle, thank you. What we heard from another bank executive ahead of those hearings. The Bank of America CEO Brian moynihan is talking about the economy. His firm still expects us off landing rather than a recession. The reality is going to be a slowdown, but we have it as being positive. The way customers are spending their money is leveled out. In other words, there's not this good service, this massive change. So some things are growing faster, but it's leveled out, meaning that all the categories are kind of grow on plus or minds the average. And so that's all good news that the economy's normal life. Bank of America CEO Brian moynihan made the comments yesterday at Goldman Sachs US Financial Services. Come friends, time now for a look at some of the other stories making news around the world. For that, we're joined by Bloomberg's Amy Morris. Samy. Good morning, Good morning, Karen, and we're learning that Russian President Vladimir Putin has just arrived in Abu Dhabi, a rare foreign trip to bolster oil cooperation with Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. Back here at home, House Speaker Mike Johnson says House Republicans have come to an inflection point in their impeachment inquiry of President Biden. Bloomberg's nanacylliance brings us an update. Speaker Johnson says the House has no choice but to take an official vote on an impeachment inquiry next week. The White House has refused to acknowledge the legitimacy of the probe since no vote was taken, which is the usual course. They're refusing to turn over key witnesses to allow them to testify as they've been subpoena. They're refusing to turn over thousands of documents for the National Archives. The impeachment inquiries over President Biden's alleged involvement and his son Hunter's overseas business dealings. The investigation so far has produced no direct evidence. In the press has denied any wrongdoing. In Washington, Nancy lyons Bloomberg Radio Now Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer says Yesterday's classified Senate hearing that was supposed to be about Ukraine was quote hijacked by Republicans trying to force a conversation about the US border. Schumer offered Republicans a chance to offer an amendment to the package, but that would require sixty votes to pass any amendment they want. If they can get sixty votes, they can solve the border problem. It's plain and simple. Senator Schumer has set up a procedural vote on a supplemental spending bill that does not include border provisions that'll be set for later today. Meanwhile, Ukrainian President Vladimir Zelensky canceled his address to the US Senate yesterday as those negotiations bogged down. Former President Donald Trump is reportedly likely to attend his New York civil fraud trial tomorrow. His attendance would come just days before he's expected to take the stand again next week. Trump is set to be the defense's last witness in that case on Monday. He last has to fight on November sixth. New York Attorney General Letitia James accuses Trump and others of inflating the value of assets in order to obtain more favorable loans. Members of Hollywood's actors union have voted to ratify the deal with studios, ending their strike after nearly four months. The seventy eight percent approval from the members of the Screen Actors Guild American Federation of Television and Radio Artists was no certainty. Some prominent members had voiced assent on that deal. A rejection of the agreement would have meant a return to the bargaining table and the possibility of workers going back on strike. Global news twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now. I'm Amy Morris and this is Bloomberg Karen. All right, Amy, thanks, So we do bring you news throughout the day right here on Bloomberg Radio. But as Amy said, you can now get the latest news on demand, and that means whenever you want it. Subscribe to Bloomberg News Now to get the latest headlines at the click of a button. Get informed on your schedule. You can listen and subscribe to Bloomberg News Now on the Bloomberg Business app, Bloomberg dot com plus Apple Well, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts all time. Now for the Bloomberg Sports Update, by John Stashaur John Karen. Milwaukee and the Lakers will join Indiana and New Orleans for the semifinals the NBA's in season tournament tomorrow night in Las Vegas. The Bucks scored thirty four or more points in all four corners. They shot sixty percent from the field and made sixty percent of their three pointers. They beat the Knicks in Milwaukee one forty six to one twenty two Giannis Sunde. The couple scored thirty five points. Damian Lillard added twenty eight. Julius Randall scored forty one for the Knicks, who gave up the most points they've given up in a game since nineteen seventy nine. Closer game in La Lakers top Phoenix one oh six to one oh three. The Stars were out Lebron James thirty one points and Kevin Durant thirty one in the loss. He missed the three at the buzzer that would have tied the game, So it'll be the Pacers against the Bucks. The Lakers against the Pelicans championship game on Saturday. College trips to New York. Fifth rank Yukon beat ninth rank North Carolina eighty seven to seventy six, only the eighth trade ever between the Yankees and Red Sox. The Yanks get outfielder Alex Perdugo from Boston. The Red Sox get three pitchers, most of whom spent last season in the minor leagues. Yankees also looking to acquire Juan Soto at the winter meetings underway in Nashville. The bigger story, Who's gonna get shoe A? Otani? The favorite right now? The Dodgers. Their manager Dave Roberts, met with Otani for a couple of hours at Dodgers Stadium. Roberts said Otani is our top priority. John stash Award Bloomberg Sports from coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on Siriusxam, the Bloomberg Business app in Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager. On a busy morning overseas and in domestic Paul, including in Israel, where they are pressing on with the fight against Hamas in southern Gaza despite international pressure to end the war. Russian President Vladimir Putin is on a rare trip outside his country just landing in the United Arab Emirates today, and US President Joe Biden is raising new questions with his latest comments on why he's running for reelection. Lot's to get to this morning with Bloomberg new senior editor Bill Ferries, who joins me now. Bill, So, the fighting goes on in Gaza, and from the looks and sounds of it, it's about as intense as it's ever been. Absolutely, there's a lot of reports that the death toll and southern Gaza has picked up. Israel Is sending forces all around the second biggest city in Gaza there in the south in Prime Minister net and Yahoo today said we will fight until the end, calling for a quote crushing victory. At the same time, Israeli officials have said that they are willing to or another pause if or cease fire if that really allows more hostages to be released. But you know, from the beginning, I think since October seventh, when Hamas went into Israel, the Israeli government has said one of their ultimate goals here is to destroy the mass leadership, and I think they're going to proceed in that direction, whether or not they get more hostages out. Is there a risk that Israel could lose international support if the bombardments maintain this level of intensity. Yeah. Absolutely. I think you've already seen them on the defensive internationally, trying to really focus on their efforts to minimize civilian casualties. But you have people like even the United Nations agencies that are operating there saying at this point there's really no safe place for Palestinians in the Gaza Strip to evacuate too. You know that all places are effectively targets at this point. So I think there's certainly a public relations battle that goes along with the battle in Gaza, and I think that's one that Israel. The public relations battle is one that Israel is really struggling with. And while we watched the movement in the Gaza Strip, Bill, we are also monitoring movements by Russian President Vladimir Putin. We got the headline just moments ago that he has arrived in the United Arab Emirates. This is a pretty rare trip abroad for the Russian president. It is there's a lot going on here. I think. On the one hand, you know, you go to you go to the UAE, and you go to Saudi Arabia, where he's expected I think later in the day. You go there for one reason, and that's to talk about oil and energy. Russia has been supportive of the Opek plus arrangement to cut production further beginning in January. Russia and Saudi Arabia are really the backbone of that Opek plus agreement. Though Russia has not really been cutting back on production, it needs those oil sales to fund its war in Ukraine. But I think there's also just a very symbolic gesture and putin traveling, making this trip just sort of showing that he can travel. There's not many places where he can go at this point where he wouldn't be at risk of getting arrested for the for the Ukraine War. He's skipped a Brick summit in South A…
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