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On today's podcast: 1) US regulators for the first time approved exchange-traded funds that invest directly in Bitcoin, a move heralded as a landmark event for the roughly $1.7 trillion digital-asset sector that will broaden access to the largest cryptocurrency on Wall Street and beyond. 2) A monthly report on US consumer prices due Thursday will probably show another soft inflation reading thanks in part to more declines in the goods sector, according to Bloomberg Economics. 3) Nikki Haley and Ron DeSantis immediately went on the attack in the final Republican debate before the Iowa caucuses, relentlessly accusing each other of lying and flip-flopping on issues. 4) The judge overseeing New York’s $370 million civil fraud trial against Donald Trump derailed the former president’s plan to make a statement during closing arguments in the case Thursday, citing Trump’s refusal to agree to standard court rules about what he can and cannot say. Full transcript: Good morning. I'm John Tucker and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. Bitcoin is trading up seven tenths of a percent to around forty six two hundred and forty dollars. This comes after US regulators for the first time approved exchange traded funds that invest directly in bitcoin. It's a move heralded as a landmark event for the roughly one point seven trillion dollar asset sector, and Bloomberg Crypto editor Anna Aurera says it will broaden access to the largest cryptocurrency the hope. Bitcoin proponents and sort of crypto proponents think it's a big deal because it sort of gives easier access to mainstream investors to investing in crypto. One of the big issues with cryptocurrencies is that you need to self custody it, and that that's exposed is used to hacks and people just stealing your asset. In this case, you would have a custodian like coinbase sort of people that do it professionally holding the underlying bitcoin, and you're just buying shares in it. Bloomberg Santa Rara says the sec authorized funds from industry heavyweights black Rock and Vasco and Fidelity to smaller competitors including Valkyrie, to begin trading today. Well, John, reaction is pouring in after the approval of the bitcoin ETF and we come up with SEC Commissioner hester Purse. I'm delighted that we're at the end of this saga. I know there's still there's still u there's still pieces of it to go, but I think this is a big milestone. The decision by hester Perse and the SEC comes a day after a false post on the SEC's x account claiming that the agency had approved the ETFs. The regulator subsequently said that the account had been compromised and OARC Investment Management. Kathy Woods says the approval of the spot bitcoin ETF will be a price moving event long term. She spoke with Bloomberg's Carol Masser after the SEC decision. I was speaking to Eric belchunis her colleague, and according to his estimates, there's there's four billion dollars waiting, you know, in the wings. And I said to him, well, from your lips to God's ears, that would be amazing. Kathy would also slam the SEC Cherry Gary Gensler. She says Gensler denigrated the whole cryptospace by reiterating the agency does not endorse digital assets. Well, we want to turn to the economy now, John, and Wall Street is bracing for the latest inflation report. Economists are forecasting consumer prices rose two tenths of a percent in December. Let me get a preview from Bloomberg's Michael McKee. The question going into the CPI report is who will care? The Fed is already locked into no change at the January thirty first meeting, so and as expected number won't affect the Central Bank's decision. It's the bond market that matters, at least in the short run. Headline inflation is expected to rise a base effect because inflation printed negative in December of twenty twenty two, but core inflation is forecast to keep falling. That's what the Fed wants to see. Michael McKee, Bloomberg Radio. All right, thanks Mike. The ahead of the New York Federal reserves as the interustrates are now high enough to bring down inflation. But John Williams also suggest that policy makers need more evidence that price rises are slowing before they start easing. My base case is that the current restrictor stance in Monte policy will continue to restore balance and bring inflation back to our two percent longer run goal. I'll expect that we will need to maintain a restricted stance of policy for some time to fully achieve our goals, and it will only be appropriate to dial back the degree of policy restraint when we're confident that inflation is moving towards toward two percent on a sustained basis, as New York Fed President John Williams, adding that any rate cuts would be dependent on the path of inflation and the economy. Turning to politics, the gloves were off during last night's Republican debate in Des Moines, Iowa, between Nicky Haley and Ronda Santis. During the debate on CNN, Hailey accused of Santus of mismanaging his campaign. He has blown through one hundred and fifty million dollars. I do know how you do that through his campaign. He has nothing to show for it. He spent more money on private planes than he has on commercials trying to get islands to vote for him. If you can't manage a campaign, how are you going to manage a country? Disantus accused Haley of making misleading statements about her record as governor. That word salad is the problem. Governor says he's always supported school choice and she failed to deliver. She blames other people. Leadership is about getting things done, stop making expect disantisin. Haley also talked about the border Ukraine, aid and abortion, and two people absent from the debate, Donald Trump and Chris Christie, the former New Jersey given or Chris Christie suspending his Republican presidential bid yesterday. From the moment I got into the race, the decision that I made was really simple. I would rather lose by telling the truth then lie in order to win. Christy also said he was going to make sure that he does not enable Donald Trump to ever be president of the U the United States again. Meanwhile, John Trump did not appear at the debate because he was at a nearby town hall. Today, the GOP front runner set to make an appearance in New York at the civil far on trial against him and Bloomberg's Amy Morris hands the latest. Today's hearing will cap a eleven week long trial in which New York Attorney General Letitia James seeks to ban Trump from the real estate industry within the state. Trump wants to deliver a personal statement while in court his own closing argument, but would not agree to the limits the judge said on what he could say, so he won't be allowed, just as Arthur Engern had already held Trump liable for fraud and is expected to deliver a verdict in coming weeks now. In addition to this case, Trump also faces five other trials, including a defamation suit in less than a week. Amy Morris Bloomberg Radio Time Now for a look at some of the other stories making news around the world, and for that were joined by Bloomberg's Amy Morris Amy Good Morning, Good Morning. Care and Transportation Secretary Pete Buddhajet says Boeing's tax nine airplanes airplanes rather, will remain grounded until regulators say that they are safe to fly. That dashes hopes for a quick return to the skies. Our concern and our fidelity is not to the success of any company. It is to the safety of the traveling public. Secretary Buddha judge did not specify how long it could take, but says the process will not be rushed. He adds Boeing has to demonstrate that every planet delivers to airlines is one hundred percent safe. President Biden's son is scheduled to appear in federal court today in Los Angeles on tax charges. Today's hearing will be an arraignment for Hunter Biden, who was accused of choosing not to pay more than a million dollars in taxes and evading other taxes. House Republicans yesterday conducted a hearing to hold Biden in contempt of Congress for defying a subpoena to sit for a closed door deposition, but Hunter Biden made a surprise visit and said he would only testify in a public forum. Biden's attorney, Abby Lowell Hunter chows a hearing we're Republicans or could not distort, manipulate, or misuse that testimony. And Republicans have tried to tie Hunter Biden's business dealings to his father, but acknowledge they have found no concrete evidence of wrongdoing. And former President Donald Trump is staying quiet on who his choice for a vice president might be. Well, I can't tell you that, really, I mean, I know who it's going to be. Give us a hint. I'll give you. We'll do another show sometime. During last night's Fox Newstown Hall event, Trump said he's open to his vice presidential choice being someone who's currently competing against him for the GOP nomination. Experts who identify and manage global risks say there is a high chance of a global catastrophe happening within a decade. The World Economic Forum survey shows nearly two thirds of respondents expect the higher chance of disaster in the next ten years. About thirty percent expect the same in the next two years. The report sites risks from misinformation, a potential recession, and extreme weather events, and a record number of Americans are signed up for the Affordable Care Act. This year, the Biden administration announced more than twenty million people signed up for health insurance plans under ACA, beating last year's record of sixteen million, and that number is likely to increase as Americans have until January seventeenth to enroll Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want with Bloomberg News. Now I may me Morris and this is Bloomberg Karen we Amy. Thank you what we do bring you news throughout the day here on Bloomberg Radio. But now you can get the latest news on demand, and that means whenever you want it. You can just subscribe to Bloomberg and News Now to get the latest headline to the click of a button. You can get informed on your schedule. You can listen and subscribe to Bloomberg and News Now on the Bloomberg Business Now, Bloomberg dot com plus Apples, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. And it's time now for the Bloomberg Sports Update. Here's John stash Hour John Ken. To truly appreciate what Nick Saban accomplished as the football coach at Alabama, you have to look at where the program was before he got there. They had a couple of seasons with only four wins, another with three, and he only won seven in his first season on the job. But in his next sixteen years, Saban won one hundred and ninety nine games and lost only twenty three. He won six national championships in a twelve year span, and when you throw in that he also won one at LSU. Saban has to be considered one of the greatest coaches, if not the greatest, in college football history. He's retiring at the age of seventy two. Still at the top of his game. Alabama nearly beat the eventual national champion Michigan in the College Football Playoffs semifinals. Pete Carroll also seventy two years old. He's no longer the coach of the Seahawks. He was great at USC went to Seattle and in fourteen years got the Seahawks to the playoffs nine times, won a Super Bowl. He won fifty one more games than any other coach that the Seahawks have ever had. And now seven NFL teams are looking for a new coach, so that doesn't count. In New England, where seventy one year old Bill Belichick is expected to de park Kawhi Leonard a new deal with the Clippers. He would have been a free agent after the season. It's a three year extension. Ought to make a little under the Supermax Clippers. One last night so to the Celtics in overtime over Minnesota. Boston now eighteen and zero at home, the Wizards dropped to six and thirty one. They lost that Indiana. John stash Aller Bloomberg Sports from coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on sirisxam the Bloomberg Business app in Bloomberg dot com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm John Tucker. We want to continue our coverage of the SEC authorization of bitcoin spot ETFs and what the breakthrough means for the broader crypto space. Yesterday, Archie Investment CEO Kathy Wood, longtime Bitchi Bull, joined Bloomberg BusinessWeek host Carol for a conversation on Bloomberg Radio and the platform X discussing the SEC decision and what it means for bitcoin and other digital assets, and the statement afterwards from the SEC Commissioner, Gary Gensler. Let's bring you part of that discussion right now. When you're talking about institutions that you know have been very fearful of this space because of Gary Gensler, and you know all of the drama, I think they're going to tread lightly. I don't know if you saw, but Gary Gensler put out a piece today right as we're about to go effective, and I'm sure we all went effective roughly around the same time, and he just denigrated the whole crypto space, and I was just like, I couldn't believe it. So anyway, it's with that kind of trepidation that institutions are going to have to you know, work through and do all of their due diligence. However, I do think that a lot of investors have considered, you know, have been curious. And you'll see we've been from a marketing campaign. We've been using this tagline, aren't you a bit curious? There are so many people who are curious out there. Of course, a lot of our existing clients know all about bitcoin because we have owned it since twenty fifteen, but there are a lot of people who really have a hunger to know, and we can see that as more and more people read our research, tune into our Bitcoin Brainstorm that we do with Rod and Bitcoin Park in Nashville, Tennessee, read our bitcoin monthlies and you know, read all we have to say about crypto and blogs and in our brainstorm summary. So you know, we are getting all the curiosity. I think that's why we started. So we know a lot of people are waiting and believe it or not, Carol, the curious extend to state pension funds and state treasurers we're talking to, So it's a really broad swap. Well, catch people and I do wonder what you think success will be out of the gate in terms of investment flows. What's your hope, what's your goal or estimate in terms of bringing investors into the fund. Well, it's very interesting. I was we were I was speaking to Eric Beltunis, her colleague, and according to his estimates, there's there's four billion dollars waiting, you know, in the wings. And I said to him, well, from your lips to God's ears, that would be amazing. And you know, we hope we get our fair share of it. I mean, we've certainly, we've certainly done a lot to educate the community, and we experience a lot of gratitude for that too, from from from the innovation communities, including the bitcoin community, but also from the financial community, those who really are trying to find the next big idea. And can I ask you, as you mentioned SEC chair Gary Gensler at the top, and as the headlines crossed the Bloomberg that he the SEC approved all of those proposals for the spoppy coin ets yours included, along with everyone else the eleven. He also said investors should be cautious on crypto. He said SEC's action doesn't imply approval of crypto exchanges. And if you look at all the SEC filings yours included, there's a long list of concerns that there's This is still kind of a new concept and new idea. The old guard, you know, basically throw out there all kinds of risks and you know, some people call it fea…
Full show notes at the publisherOn today's podcast: 1) A highly anticipated decision by the US Securities and Exchange Commission on whether to approve a spot-Bitcoin exchange-traded fund quickly morphed into a major cybersecurity incident on Tuesday. 2) Boeing Chief Executive Officer Dave Calhoun fought back tears as he said the planemaker must own up to its shortcomings as it grapples with a safety incident that has renewed questions over the quality of its manufacturing. 3) Donald Trump’s claim that he is immune from prosecution was met with skepticism by a US appeals court panel, suggesting an uphill battle in his effort to avoid a criminal trial over his attempt to overturn the 2020 election in his final days as president. Full transcript: Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. We begin with the drama surrounding the highly anticipated decision into the United States first exchange traded fund tied directly to bitcoin. We get the latest from Bloomberg's John Tucker. John, what's the latest, Nathan? You're going to add this to the long list of twists and turns in the ten plus year effort to bring a spot bitcoin to EDF to market. Somebody hacked the ex account of the Securities and Exchange Commission. It made a false posts the SEC had approved a Bitcoin ETF. The agency quickly denied any approval and said its ex account had been compromised. The false post on the SEC's X account was up for a number of minutes before the agency clarified it was inaccurate, But in that period Bitcoin posted a jump to almost forty eight thousand dollars before falling back to forty five thousand. About a dozen companies have applied to listingts back by bitcoin in the US. The SEC has until today to take action at least in one of those applications. I'm John Tucker, Bloomberg radio. All right, John, thank you well. Now we want to get the latest on the grounded Boeing seven thirty seven Max nine. The planemaker CEO Dave Calhoun says the company will have to face its own shortcomings as it deals with the door plug belowout on last week's Alaska Airlines flight. We're going to approach this number one acknowledging our mistake. We are going to approach it with one hundred percent in complete transparency every step of the way. We're going to work with the NTSB, who is investigating the accident itself, to find out what the weak cause is. I have a long experience with this group. They're as good as it gets. And Boeing CEO Dave Calhoun fought back tears as he addressed an all hands meeting on the incident. Alaska and United Airlines say they've discovered more Max nine jets with loose bulls after the FAA ordered the model grounded formally. Inspections still have not yet begun. All right, Keren, Well, let's turn to politics now. A federal appeals court appears skeptical of Donald Trump's claim that he's immune from prosecution on charges that he illegally tried to overturn the twenty twenty election. Bloomberg's Amy Morris reports from Washington. The former president was in the courtroom during the hearing when Appeals Court Judge Florence pen asked a Trump lawyer whether a president would be immune for having taken a bribe or ordering Seal Team six to murder a political rival. Trump's legal team responded that the president would have to be impeached and convicted first. At a press conference after the hearing, Trump said that denying him immunity would cause quote bedlam in the country. Trump is also expected to sit in on a hearing tomorrow in his civil fraud case in New York. In Washington, Amy Morris Bloomberg Radio, all right, Amy, thanks, so we're learning more about the hospitalization of Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin and the lapse in communication regarding his whereabouts. Austin had prostate cancer surgery on December twenty second, and was re admitted to the hospital on New Year's Day because of complications. National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby explained the timeline surrounding Austin's condition and when the president knew about it. He was not informed until last Friday that Secretary Austin was in the hospital. He was not informed until this morning that the root cause of that hospitalization was prostate cancer. National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby, the White House has announced a review of proto calls around Cabinet secretaries who are unreasonable or incapacitated. Well, another cabinet secretary, Secretary of State Anthony Blincoln, is still in the Middle East, Karen. He meets today with Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas in Tel Aviv. Yesterday, Blincoln said Israel must stop undercutting Palestinian governance and rein in settler violence. Israel must stop taking steps that undercut Palestin's ability to govern themselves effectively extrame the settler violence carried out with impunity. Settlement expansion, demolitions, evictions all make it harder, not easier, for Israel to achieve lasting piece and a Secretary blinkn has met with the leaders of Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Cattter, the United Arab Emirates, and Turkey during his latest Middle East trip. Well, Nathan, we want to get back to the markets and update you on a story we told you about yesterday, It is now official. Hewlett Packard Enterprise has agreed to buy Juniper Networks for fourteen billion dollars. The maker of data center hardware will pay forty dollars to share in cash for Juniper. That price represents more than half of HPE's twenty one billion dollar market value and a thirty two percent premium over Juniper's closing price before talks of a deal emerged. Sticking with the tech theme, Karen Ces the Consumer Technology Association's annual trade show of all Things Tech is underway in Las Vegas, and Bloomberg Technology reporter Ed Ludlow is covering the show for US Day one at cs Las Vegas. The theme is definitely AI everything. Take, for example, Walmart, a big box retailer, but putting a lot of emphasis on a new generative AI search tool in the Walmart app on iOS only. Instead of searching for a specific item, the generative AI search allows you to look for an event or a theme. Then there's a kind of mainstay announcement. What was interesting is Google and Amazon both went after Apple's airplay, So in Google's case, they're working on the ability to cast video from an Android smartphone to a TV. Amazon actually want to step further. They developed technology where you can stream video from either an Android phone or an iOS or iPhone to Amazon's own TV hardware. Ed Ludlow for Bloomberg News in Las Vegas, Nevada. All right, Ed, thank you well. I did mention Amazon and they are also making news this morning at a different front. Bloomberg News has learned Amazon's live streaming site Twitch is poised to get thirty five percent of its staff, and that's about five hundred workers. Time now for a look at some of the other stories making news around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Amy Morris Samy. Good morning, Good morning, Kieren. More than forty states are under blizzard, wind, snow or flood alerts. Winter storms continue to blanket the country. Bloomberg meteorologist Robed Carolyn significant storm system that spent the last twenty four hours wreaking havoc from the Great Lakes to the Gulf Coast. Now lifting out of the northeast. The worst of the weather of this morning across eastern portions of New England, but we'll still see snow on the backside of the system from Michigan into parts of the Ohio and Tennessee River valleys. Scattered showers are possible over Virginia and the Carolinas. The heavy rain, though in north in New England, should end, as should the snow, but windy conditions will continue from the mid Atlantic into the Northeast today. Bloomberg Meteorologist Rob Carolyn said at Republican leaders say Congress, we'll need another temporary spending measure to avoid a partial government shut down in ten days. How's Republican Matt Rosendale of Montana tells ABC he does not support the bipartisan compromise on spending. Cast we're still looking at about one point six trillion dollars spend in discretionary spending, and we're going to be holding a press conference with members of the House and Senate saying that we are more concerned with securing our southern border and making sure that that is taken care of than we are in writing another check to Joe Biden to continue his agenda, and the Senate Republican John Thune says they will need a stopgap measure to march. Minority leader Mitch McConnell acknowledged there's just not enough time to resolve lingering spending differences before the deadline. We need to prevent a government shutdown, and so the obvious question is how long does the cr need to be And that'll be up to the Majority leader and the Speaker to determine the links at how Speaker Mike Johnson has said he will not bring a continuing resolution to the floor for a vote. Vice President Kamala Harris was back in Atlanta for a roundtable discussion on protecting voting rights. We have seen in the state of Georgia by example of what is happening in the country, anti voter law laws that have limited dropboxes made it illegal to even provide food and water to people standing in line, often for hours. Vice President Harris met with city and state leaders near the Georgia Tech Campus. Global news twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News. Now I Amy Morris in this is Bloomberg Karen, all right, Amy, thank you well. We do bring you news throughout the day right here on Bloomberg Radio, much as Amy said, but now also as she said, you can get the latest news on demand whenever you want it. You just subscribe to Bloomberg News Now to get the latest headlines of the click of a button, you can get informed on your schedule. You can listen and subscribe to Bloomberg News Now on the Bloomberg Business app, Bloomberg dot com plus Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Well, and it's time now for the Bloomberg Sports Update. Here's John stash Hour John Karn. Just two years ago, Mike Rabel was the NFL the year he coached the Tennessee Titans to the AFC Championship game back in twenty nineteen. But after four straight winning seasons, two seasons under five hundred six to eleven, this past year and the Titans have fired dray Ball, and that immediately begins seculation that he could become the new coach of the New England Patriots, assuming Bill Belichick departs. Raybell played for the Patriots for eight years, won three Super Bowls. The biggest underdog of Wildcard Weekend the Pittsburgh Steelers. They have to go play red hot Buffalo, and the Steelers won't have their best defensive player, TJ Wantt out with a knee injury. Mason Rudolph will be their quarterback, and he was the third string QB for much of this season. Tyrese Haliburton has the strained hamstring injury, but it could have been worse. He's gonna miss only a couple of weeks. Haliburton averaging twenty four points the game. He leads the NBA in assists. The next have won five straight since they made that trade with Toronto. They blew out Portland. The Lakers top Toronto by one. Anthony Davis scored forty one. Memphis just lost John Moran for the season, but had to win at Dallas's Desmond Main score thirty two. Minnesota improving to twenty six and ten with a win in Orlando, Detroit falling to three and thirty four. The Pistons blown out by Sacramento. Perdue, number one in the college basketball lost at Nebraska Huskers, beating number one for the first time in forty one years, and second rank Houston, who was undefeated, was upset by Iowa State. John Stanshower Bloomberg sports from coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on Sirius exam. The Bloomberg Business app in Bloomberg dot com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. As we still wait for a decision from the Securities at Exchange Commission on approvals for the first spot bitcoin ETFs. Investors briefly thought that decision was made yesterday, only to find out the SEC's social media had been hacked. New questions about security at the agency tasked with ensuring the security of your investments. Bloomberg's Crity Gupta is here with us now. To call this an embarrassment for the SEC seems like it might be understating things. Yeah, it's a really interesting and almost ironic situation that you see from the SEC and of course a lot of these bitcoin issuers, because at its core of the concern about this ETF was simply this idea that bitcoin is a very volatile asset. It's a decentralized asset, it's a hard to track asset, and that means that if you start to create a vehicle, in this case, an ETF that allows the masses and the general public easier access to this volatile cryptocurrency, basically, what might the repercussions of that be. Cybersecurity was one of them. Hacking was one of them. So it's only kind of ironic on a day where, or I guess the day before, where largely the expectation was that the SEC would actually give some sort of approval. That expectation also shared, by the way, by our Bloomberg Intelligence ETF team, that this is exactly how it all plays out on by the way, a social media platform owned by Elon Musk, who himself has been quite an advocate for the cryptocurrency, and he's also been at loggerheads with SEC chairman Gary Gensler in the past, not just about crypto but about his own trying to get Tesla to go private. We remember that four to twenty tweet a while back, and the history that Elon Musk has with the SEC. Yeah, and ironically, the SEC is now going to be investigating themselves for the idea of simply did the call kind of come from inside the house at the end of the day, because it's been investigated from the social media platform from ex's perspective about the actual hack itself, and it's been found out that it's actually wasn't a flaw in the platform itself. In fact, someone got a home hold of a number associated with the account. Because the account did have two factor verification, they were able to post something like this. But now there's a big question about whether that person or that individual or the organization was within the SEC. And for that ironically, again, the SEC now investigating themselves for market manipulation because it did move billions of dollars in cryptocurrency. Yeah, it's more than just an irony. It's raising a lot of questions about a security in and of itself within the SEC. Does this affect the timeline for whatever the SEC is going to decide about bigcoin ETFs to have this kind of hiccup, So the expectation is that it shouldn't affect the timeline. So by the end of today, basically we should get an actual decision by the SEC about whether they or not they approved or at least make a decision on at least one of the etf that a filed. Remember we have I believe six that are currently the attention is on. It could paved the way for plenty more after that, So it shouldn't change the timeline. If it does, however, it would be one to mark for the history books, because never in history of the SEC's approval process for ETF regardless of whether it's a Bitcoin ETF or just a different kind of asset class. Do they reject ETF this late in the process. And that's why you start to see a lot of the consensus again, including Bloomberg Intelligence saying that this ETF process for Bitcoin should be a no brainer simply because they wouldn't have let it get this far if approval wasn't in the cards. Is this going to raise questions about the approval process itself? To have this kind of question raised about what when the…
Full show notes at the publisherOn today's podcast: 1) Investigators probing the fuselage blowout on a Boeing Co. 737 Max 9 on Jan. 5 determined that the door plug moved upward before ejecting and that fittings holding the part in place came loose, as the two US carriers operating the now-grounded aircraft said their own maintenance checks uncovered loose bolts on the parked jets. 2) Donald Trump’s lawyers will spar with federal prosecutors Tuesday in a high-stakes court battle to determine if he is immune from charges of trying to overturn the 2020 election because he was president at the time. 3) US lawmakers demanded answers from the Pentagon after Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin failed to notify the White House about his hospitalization for four days, saying they weren’t satisfied with the explanation for his absence. 4) The White House’s “work is not done” when it comes to lowering prices for American consumers according to the president’s top economic advisor, Lael Brainard. That’s despite the recent slowing of inflation that has seen the headline consumer price index fall to 0.1% in November. Full Transcript: Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. We begin with the latest developments in the investigation into the door panel blowout on a Boeing seven thirty seven Max nine. Bloomberg's John Tucker is here with the latest, John and Nathan. More and more of the focus is turning to bolts and whether they were properly tightened, as the NTSB tries to find answers to how that unused door panel blew off that Alaska Airlines Boeing seven thirty seven Max nine over Portland. Another airline says it's found loose bolts. United confirms it found loose bolts after inspecting identical door plugs as the one that blew out on the Alaska plane. NTSB chairman Jennifer Hamendi, we are aware of the reports of that are coming back from the inspections from United and Alaska and Boeing. Our team is collecting that information and there will be some follow up from the inspections. It's unclear how many loose polts were found. The NTSB may now broaden the probe into other Max nine jets beyond the Alaska Airlines model on which the accident occurred. It intensified scrutiny of the manufacturing process at Bowling and its key supplier, Spirit Aerosystems, which makes the fuselage for the seven thirty seven Max. I'm John Tucker, Bloomberg Radio. All right, John, Thanks well. Another major story that we're following this morning involves a high stakes court hearing in Washington, d C. Lawyers for Donald Trumpell's spar with federal prosecutors over whether the former president is immuniform charges of trying to overturn the twenty twenty election results. Bloomberg's Amy Morris has more from Washington. Oral arguments are set for today before a three judge panel with the US Court of Appeals for the d C Circuit over whether Donald Trump is shielded from prosecution for his actions before and during the January sixth riot at the US Capitol. Now Trump said on social media he planned to attend, but he is not expected to address the court. The judges could hand down their ruling at any time after the hearing, and a ruling in favor of Trump could be a fatal blow to the Justice Department's efforts to try him. While either side has the right to appeal. Neither the full DC Court nor the US Supreme Court are required to take the case, so this Court's ruling could be the final word in Washington. Amy Morris Bloomberg Radio, Okay, Amy, thank you will staying in Washington. Bipartisan anger is building against Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin. We get that story from Bloomberg's Dan Schwartzman. Politicians on both sides of the isle are demanding answers as to why Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin failed to let anyone know he was hospitalized on New Year's Day. The retired general didn't even let the White House know he was at Walter Reed Medical Center for four days, depending on a day after that. Austin was hospitalized, but did not tell the White House, Congress, or even the deputy Defense Secretary for several days. Republican Senator Susan Collins Remaine says it's quote inexplicable that the Secretary's condition remains shrouded in secrecy, while Massachusetts Democrat Seth Mulden says this astounding that the president in Austin's own deputy did know he was in the hospital. According to White House spokesman John Kirkby President Biden has no plans to replace Austin. Dan Schwartzman Bloomberg Radio. All right, Dan, thanks now to the latest developments in the Middle East. Secretary of State Anthony Blncoln says, who the militants will face consequences if they continue to attack ships in the Red Sea, he told reporters, and more violence will be detrimental for the region. It's clearly not in the interest of anyone Israel Lebanon Hasbola for that matter, to see to see this escalator and to see an actual conflict, and the Israelis have been very clear with us that they want to find a diplomatic way for it. Secretary of State Anthony Blincn meets with Israel's leader Benjamin and Yahoo later today. Let's turn back to markets now, Karen, As you mentioned, futures are lower following yesterday's rally on Wall Street that saw the Nasdaq surge more than two percent. In Asia, the knee Can in Japan closed at its highest level in thirty four years. Me and mole Nathan. Former bond king Bill Gross is signaling he is now steering clear of treasuries in a post on x gros said ten year treasury yields at four percent are overvalued. Gross made millions late last year after a big bet the Fed would pivot toward interest rate cuts for twenty twenty four. Well Karen, the President's top economic advisor, says the White House's work is not done when it comes to lowering prices for American consumers. Lyyle Brainerd spoke with Joe Wisenthal and Tracy Alloway on the Bloomberg Godlots podcast. Some prices have not come down, and we're fighting pretty hard to get those prices to come down. One area that really is difficult for Americans is healthcare. White House Economic advisor Lyle Brainerd ads the administration will use its position to continue calling out corporations who aren't passing along cost savings to consumers. For the full conversation, download the latest edition of Bloomberg Odd Lots that's available everywhere you get your podcasts. And Shares of Nvidia closed at a record high. The company's chip technology dominates in data centers used to create artificial intelligence software where now in Nvidia's announced new products to help the personal computer industry lower consumers with AIPCS. Another chip maker in the spotlight this morning, Nathan Samsung Electronics has posted at six straight quarter of declining operating profit. The results underscore how demand for smartphones and the memory chips remained sluggish given economic uncertainty, and shares of Match are up more than eight percent in early trading. That says The Wall Street Journal reports Elliott Investment Management has built a stake of about a billion dollars in the dating app company. Time now for a look at some of the other stories making news around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Amy Morris. Amy, Good morning, Good morning, Karen. Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Orcis was an eagle pass taxes to meet with elected leaders and border patrol agents at the southern US border. Now, he says it's too early to tell if the significant drop in border crossings over the past week is related to the holiday season or stepped up enforcement operationations in Mexico. Our immigration system is outdated and broken and has been in need of reform for literally decades. On this, everyone agrees. Arizona Senator Kirsten Cinema, an independent who has been central in negotiations, says She's not sure whether text is going to be available, but she hopes there will be something to present this week. House Republicans are pushing to impeach may orc As Senate Republicans want him to help cut a border security deal. President Biden meanwhile moving to win back black voters. Bloomberg's Nancy Lyons has more on his trip to South Carolina. President Biden delivered remarks at Mother Emmanuel Ame Church in Charleston, South Carolina, where white supremacist killed nine people in twenty fifteen. Biden says, our country must deal with racism. It is a poison throughout our history. Driptest nation apart, says no place in America, not today tomorrow. Ever, Biden's favorability among black voters in seven swing states has slipped so seven percentage points since October to sixty one percent in December. That's according to a Bloomberg News Morning Consult poll in Washington. Nancy Lyons Bloomberg Radio. Now. Former President Trump wants his supporters to give him a definitive win in Iowa, even with a commanding, leaving the polls with less than a week before the caucuses. Trumps stressed turnout the people of this state are going to cast the most important vote of your entire lives. I believe that too very much. I used to say that twenty sixteen, and I believed it then, and now I believe this is even much more important. The Trump campaign believes a decisive Iowa victory would put pressure on his GOP rivals to drop out. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis and former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley have failed to gain much significant ground in the Iowa polls against Trump. Next up New Hampshire January twenty third. That's where Nicki Haley has been gaining more momentum while still trailing Trump. Global news twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now. I Mamy Morris and this is Bloomberg Karen righting me. Thank you. We to bring you news throughout the day here on Bloomberg Radio. But now you can get the latest news on demand whenever you want it. Subscribe to Bloomberg News Now to get the latest headlines at the click of a button. Get informed on your schedule. You can listen and subscribe to Bloomberg News Now on the Bloomberg Business app Bloomberg dot Com plus Apples, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Time now for the Bloomberg Sports Update. Here's John stash Hour John Karn. The Michigan Wolverines national champions in college footwall in Houston. They beat Washington thirty four to thirteen. It was a quick start for Michigan. First two possessions were both Donovan Edwards touchdown runs. They covered forty one and forty three yards. Michigan didn't get into the end zone again until the fourth quarter. Blake Korum scored capping a seventy one yard drive, and later Quorum scored again, coming after Mike Stanisil's eighty one yard interception return. Washington star quarterback Michael Pennix junior twenty seven of fifty one, did have two interceptions. Mission goes fifteen to zero, wins the national title for the first time since nineteen ninety seven, and the question now is if Jim Harbar returns as coach or heads back to the NFL. The Washington Commanders looking for a new coach after they had the second worst record in the NFL. They've got new ownership and Ron Rivera fired after four years on the job. Carolina Panthers already knew they were looking for a new coach now at GM as well as the Panthers fired to the manager Scott Fitterer. Celtics got forty points from Jalen Brown, but lost at Indiana one thirty three to one thirty one. The Pacers lost their star player Tyrese Haliburton a hamstring injury. He's headed for an MRI. John Moran is headed for a season ending shoulder surgery. Memphisis star guard was suspended for the first twenty five games of the season and ends up only playing nine games on the year. Wizard's thirtieth loss to the year beaten by Oklahoma City one thirty six to one twenty eight. The Bruins lost at Colorado four to three in a shootout. John Stash Edward Bloomberg sports from coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on Sirius, Exam, the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager Boeing is working to get at seven thirty seven Max nine Jets back in the air after the FAA ordered them temporarily grounded following last week's door panel blowout. But the investigation into the cash cow for Boeing is finding more installation issues maybe than just the ones on that Alaska Airlines flight. For more, we're joined now by Bloomberg News Global Aviation head Benedict Campbell. Thanks for being here, Benedict. Get us caught up on the investigation so far. Good morning. So we heard from the NTSB again yesterday, the holding daily press briefings to give the latest update. And what we heard yesterday is that indeed they are still focused on this particular Alaska aircraft, but they've said that they might well be looking more deeply at other aircraft broadly, more broadly than just the seven three seven Max nine. Right now, the focus remains very much on that door panel, on that plug as they call it, that came flying out, and they're trying to determine what exactly caused that component to come loose. One thing that they did say was they are focused intensely on the bolts that are sort of a fixing that particular component. And speaking of bolts, we have heard from United Air and from Alaska that they've found some loose bolts on their aircraft, so obviously that's sort of the area around which the investigation is focused right now. How unusual is it to see these signs of improper tightening on an aircraft like this? Is this part of the reason why we're getting these suggestions that the investigation could go beyond the Max nine Absolutely, and this is obviously something you don't want to find on an aircraft. Is something that they have found, not just in this case, but also in previous sort of investigations where they looked at improper manufacturing. We had a misaligned drilling holes on some seven three sevens last year. Then we had some loose bolts in another part of a plane. So these defects appear to come up again and again. And you have to remember the Max, the seven three seven Max has a very sort of fragile reputation after these two crashes that happened almost five years ago. A lot of people still somewhat squeamish about that aircraft and an Abbus not Abbus Boeing have managed to repair that reputation, but somewhat fragilely. And the question now is will that pull them back into a hole. How can they emerge from that? Those are a lot of things they're trying to work through right now. Yeah, it raises the question about whether Boeing could be running into a crisis of confidence with flyers. Is that the concern for Boeing? That is very much the concern. I mean, we've seen the crisis of confidence on the side of the investors. If you look at what happened with the stock yesterday took a deep tumble. Spirit Aerosystems, that's the company that makes the fuselage for the seven three seven is by An is by far Boeing's most important supplier. They also dropped quite sharply yesterday. So there is a real crisis and confidence For the time being, it's the focus is very much sort of on the investor side, on the financial side. But if this spreads into a bigger crisis, say the flyers, the flying public, and then the customers ultimately, that will obviously be something very hard for Boeing to get back from. This had been the year, or supposed to be the year of the great comeback of Boeing. They've they've had a couple of difficult years, as I said, but they'd managed to get their manufacturing back in order, the orders and deliveries are back. They'd planned to really increase the output rate of the seven three seven. All of these things were sort of what l…
Full show notes at the publisherOn today's podcast: 1) US air-safety officials retrieved the fuselage panel that blew off during an Alaska Airlines flight on Jan. 5, as authorities begin piecing together evidence to learn what led to the sudden decompression on the almost-new Boeing Co. 737 Max 9 aircraft. 2) US congressional leaders announced a deal on a top-line spending level for the current fiscal year, lessening the chances of a partial government shutdown on Jan. 20. 3) The Pentagon’s failure to notify President Joe Biden that his defense secretary had been hospitalized for four days was the result of a series of errors, including confusion over Lloyd Austin’s wishes and his chief of staff falling ill, people familiar with the matter said. 4) United Launch Alliance’s long-awaited Vulcan rocket lifted off on Monday, heralding a new era for the longtime Pentagon contractor fighting to expand market share against Elon Musk’s SpaceX. Full Transcript: Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. We begin with the latest developments involving Boeing after disaster was narrowly averted on an Alaska Airlines flight on Friday. Boring stock right now is down more than eight percent, and we get more from Bloomberg's John Tucker, John and Nathan. The airlines around the globe have been grounding Boeing seven thirty seven Max nine half to a fuselage section on a brand new Alaska Airlines jet blew out during a flight on Friday. This is a door panel that can be sealed or used for access, depending on the configuration. Only luck prevented a more disastrous outcome. The National Transportation Safety Board cheer Jennifer Homandi says Alaska Airlines pilots did report pressurization warning lights on three earlier flights of the two month old plane in question. The auto pressurization fail light that did illuminate in three previous flights, one on December seventh, one on January third, and one on January fourth. A schoolteacher in Portland found the missing fuselage door plug in his backyard. The door plug that blew out was next to seats twenty six A and twenty six P, and just by chance, there was nobody sitting there. The plane did carry one hundred and seventy one passengers, a valuable data usually collected by the so called black box that was a raised Boeing suppliers. Spirit Aerosystems Holdings was the company that installed the planel on the nearly new jet. John Tucker Bloomberg Radio, all right, John, thank you well be now when to turn to the latest developments in the Middle East. Secretary of State Anthony Blincoln is in the region for a fourth time since the Israeli Hamas war broke out. Lincoln is warning the war could quote easily become a wider conflict. He spoke during a news conference in Doha. This is a conflict that could easily a tastasize, causing even more insecurity, more suffering and Secretary of State blank And met with Jordan's Kingdomdullah on Sunday, a day after stops in Turkey and Greece. Well back here in the US here, and the risk of a government shutdown on January twentieth has eased somewhat with word of a deal on spending caps. Bloomberg's Amy Morris has details from Washington. Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer and House Speaker Mike Johnson negotiated the bipartisan deal, which caps spending at one point five to nine trillion dollars. Republicans have agreed to a set of budget moves to spare immediate cuts to domestic agency budgets. The deal does not include an agreement to block all conservative policy writers, so there still may be debates over defunding investigations into former President Trump, and while that might cause an impass later, for now, lawmakers have the framework they need to avoid a government shut down this month. The next deadline is February second. In Washington, Amy Morris, Bloomberg Radio, all right, Amy, thank you now. The latest on the health of Lloyd Austin. Bloomberg News has learned the Pentagon's failure to notify prison and in bid and that his Defense secretary had been hospitalized for four days, was the result of a series of errors. They include confusion over Austin's wishes and his chief of staff, Falling Hill from a Republican Congressoman list. Cheney is looking for answers I think they've got some very serious explaining to do. I think that there's a real difference between public transparency and you know, alerting the commander in chief to the fact that Secretary of Defense is in the hospital. Apparently the deputy Secretary was on vacation in Puerto Rico. I think it's inexplicable. We need to know more about exactly what happened there. But that's not the way the Pentagon ought to be conducting business. And that's former Congressome and liszt Cheney. On Saturday, Secretary Austin apologized for failing to inform the public for days, while saying he's on the mend and expects to return to the Pentagon soon. Let's turn to Wall Street now, Karen Bank earnings and the possible Bitcoin ETF will be front and center this week. More from Bloomberg's Charlie Pellett. Friday, we hear from JP Morgan, Chase, City Group, Bank of America, Anne Wells Fargo. Early earnings reports come amid questions about the path of inflation and FED interest rate POTLESE. Cameron Dawson is chief investment officer at New Edge Wealth. The thing that's the biggest challenge for US for earning sestaments in twenty four is the expectation that topline growth will re accelerate in a year where nominal growth because of inflation is expected to decelerate. Also this week, the Securities and Exchange Commission will decide whether to approve an exchange traded fund tied directly to the world's largest cryptocurrency in New York, Charlie Bloomberg Radio, All right, Charlie. Thanks. In company news, Bloomberg News has learned MRK is in advanced talks to acquire cancer drugmaker Harpoon Therapeutics. The price tag about seven hundred million dollars. San Francisco based Harpoon is developing drugs that harness the body's immune system to fight cancer. Shares of Harpoon are up about one hundred percent well. Also, while following Apple Care, which has fallen almost six percent to kick off the new year, Jeffries says Apple's iPhone sales slump in China is deepening and the companies likely to see volumes decline further this year. Apple saw a double digit falled volumes in December. Jeffries forecast a similar decline for twenty twenty four. Checking shares of Apple right now they are a little changed to the downside. And on the economic front, Nathan, inflation will be the focus for our investors. Bloomberg's Any del Judaice has more the Labor Department issues the Consumer Price Index Thursday and the Producer Price Index Friday, both covered December. Rising gasoline prices could have an impact on the household data, says Bloomberg Economics. Looking further out, Bloomberg economics 's US inflation continuing to run above the federal reserves two percent target this year, even with all the raid hikes. Vinny del Judice, Bloomberg Radio, Nathan, thank you. It's time for a look at some of the other stories making news around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Amy Morris, Sammy, Good morning, Good morning, Karen. Ukraine suffered a second large scale Russian missile barrage this year as temperatures dropped below freezing in the latest escalation of aerial attacks. Now, this barrage killed one woman and left at least thirty more people wounded. After months of relatively few air strikes, Russia is ramping up bombardment just before the new year, firing hundreds of missiles at cities across Ukraine, including the capital. Meanwhile, Ukraine has been targeting bases and occupied Crimea, with the Air Force saying over the weekend that it destroyed our Russian command post there. Meanwhile, President Joe Biden is set to visit Charleston, South Carolina, today, including a stop at Mother Emmanuel Ame Church, where back in twenty fifteen, nine church goers were shot and killed by a self proclaimed white supremacist. Charlotte City Councilman Malcolm Graham is the brother of one of those victims. Cynthia Graham heard and tells ABC News that when the President visits local black history points of interest, he's sending us strong message of visiting sites like the new Historic African American Museum, he makes a point that history matters, that black history matters. It just not just occurs in the month of February, that black history is also American history. Biden, meanwhile working to shore up support among black voters and Nicki Haley's home state as the Republican governor of former governor of South Carolina, is rising in the polls. Texas Republican Congressman Tony Gonzalez reflected on the third anniversary of the January sixth attack on the Capitol and stands by his labeling of the mob as domestic terrorists, refusing to accept former President trump statements made on the writers describing them as heroes and hostages. They're certainly not heroes. You know. They broke the law, and we have to obey our laws. We are a nation of laws, and they have to obey the laws. Representative Gonzales tells ABC's This Week he does not support Donald Trump's proposed plan to pardon those convicted for their actions that day. Hospitals across the country are telling people mask up flu and COVID nineteen cases are once again on the rise. The viruses have actually been on the incline for the past few weeks. Health officials are predicting infections will increase even more throughout this month. Global news twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News. Now. I'm Amy Morris and this is Bloomberg Karen Hurry, Amy, thank you. We do bring you news throughout the day here on Bloomberg Radio. But now you can get the latest news on demand, and that means whenever you want it. Subscribe to Bloomberg News Now to get the latest headlines at the click of a button. Get informed on your schedule. You can listen and subscribe to Bloomberg News Now on the Bloomberg Business app, Bloomberg dot Com plus Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Time now for the Bloomberg Sports Update, here's John stash Hour John Karen. The NFL regular season is over. The playoffs begin on Saturday with a late afternoon game between the Cleveland Browns and the Houston Texans. A team that won only eleven games over the previous three seasons won ten this year, and the Texans won the AFC South when Jacksonville lost its game yesterday at Tennessee twenty eight to twenty. Saturday night, it'll be Miami at Kansas City. The Dolphins blew a lead in the AFC East and last night's lost to Buffalo twenty one to fourteen cost the Dolphins the AFC East, so they're a wildcard and they'll take on the Chiefs Sunday at one Eastern Pittsburgh in Buffalo. Then it's Green Bay at Dallas. The Packers gaining a wildcard spot with a seventeen to nine win over Chicago. The Cowboys won the NFC East. They blew out Washington yesterday thirty eight to ten. Sunday night, it'll be the Rams in Detroit, so Matthew Stafford will face his former team in the wildcard weekend will conclude next Monday night. Slumping Philadelphia at Tampa Bay, Eagles have been a train wreck down the stretch of the season, losing five to the last six. They were beaten by the Giants yesterday twenty seven to ten. The Bucks won the NFC South with a nine to nothing win over Carolina Atlanta Falcons of fired coach Arthur Smith. Will the Patriots part ways with Bill Belichick after twenty five years as coach there? We should find out soon. Michigan and Washington played tonight in the Houston for the National Championship, both teams fourteen and er. Although the Huskies haven't won a game by more than ten points since September, the Wolverines are the famous from coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on Syrias Exam. The Bloomberg Business app in Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager. Airlines around the world are starting to ground their Boeing seven thirty seven Max nine jets after part of the fuselage blew out on a brand new model operated by Alaska Airlines last Friday. It is another blow to Boeing's turnaround efforts after two deadly seven thirty seven Max crashes nearly five years ago. From More, we were joined by Bloomberg News. Aviations are Anthony Palazzo. Anthony, what more do we know about why this mishap happened and where the investigation stands? Hi Nathan, thanks for having me. Yeah, So, we had two developments late late yesterday. One is that the investigators have found the door panel that fell out of the plane. This is a key piece of evidence and they're going to be looking very closely at the condition of that panel to understand why it popped out of the fuselage section. The panel was found in the backyard of a Portland area school teacher. So what could that panel tell us about how this happened? Well, well, what they've what they've said so far is that they've looked at they've looked at the tabs that hold that panel in from the interier of the plane, which was largely undamaged, and that they didn't find a whole lot of They didn't find, you know, a problem there. So they're gonna so they're going to need to keep going to understand exactly how this came off. Those those panels are screwed in with four bolts. They're not in use, although they can be opened from the outside of the plane. Those are essentially openings that are built for an emergency door. But a lot of the a lot of the airlines that use this aircraft, it's a stretched Boeing seven point thirty seven Max Jet, a lot of the airlines don't use those exit doors because they're not needed for the seat configurations that they need. So this is putting more scrutiny on the manufacturing process at Boeing, particularly around the seven thirty seven Max. Is there something particular about the Max nine that could have caused a problem like this as opposed to the seven thirty seven Maxes that were involved in those crashes that we all remember just a few years ago. Yes, well, the well, the the Max nine is a stretched version of the of the core Boeing Max plane, which is called the Max eight. So it's a it's a bit longer, and it can seat more people. But because it can seat more people in its in its most densely packed configurations, it requires more additional safety exits. So a lot of a lot of the low cost carriers that would use that plane would would want to put in more seats and therefore more more emergency exits most carriers. So now the Max eight does not have that that kind of a kind of configuration, doesn't have those exits and doesn't need them. The way that Boeing has done it is that they put in the essentially modular cutouts into the frame so they can make all the fuselages the same, and then when they finish the aircraft they can decide, you know, with the customer whether or not to install those doors or to install plugs in those holes. So now that's the difference. Yeah, right, And now we have a couple of hundred of these seven thirty seven Max nines getting taken out of service, these low cost carriers including Alaska and United grounding these jets. How big a blow potentially could this be for Boeing When it's been trying to put a turnaround plan into place. Well, it's a real setback, you know. The extent to how deep or how long term it ends up being that's all yet to be determined. But certainly investors are selling down the stock. This morning we sell that shares go down about eight point three percent in pre market trading. Their supplier is Spirit Aero Systems, that is a former Boeing unit that makes…
Full show notes at the publisherBloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week.
In the US - As earnings season kicks off, we preview what we can expect from some of Wall Street's biggest banks.
In the UK - The economic trajectory will be back in focus in the coming days - as a batch of data will help tell us whether Britain may avoid a recession.
In Asia - Taiwan's presidential election is set for January 13th.The results will help shape the course of US-China relations for years to come.
In DC - With the race for President in full swing, we look at a new series of new Gallup polls focusing on the election.
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On today's podcast: 1) New York City and Boston are straddling the line between what could be a snowy weekend or just a lot of rainhttps://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-01-04/us-east-coast-braces-for-weekend-snow-or-rain-weather-watch from a system sweeping up the US East Coast this weekend. 2) A monthly US jobs report due Friday will probably show many industries refrained from hiring as employment gains increasingly concentrated in a handful of sectors, according to Bloomberg Economics. 3) The options market for US Treasuries was abuzz Thursday following the emergence of a large bearish wager that Friday’s jobs report will trigger the biggest backup in benchmark yields in more than nine months. 4) Secretary of State Antony Blinken left for his fourth trip to the Middle East since the Oct. 7 attack on Israel, as part of US efforts to counter growing risks of a broader regional conflict. Full Transcript: Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. We begin with the first major winter storm to hit the East Coast so far this season. Let's get the very latest on that with Bloomberg meteorologist Rob Carol and Rob Nathan. The weekend storm is going to be worse to the north and west of the district in Baltimore, and also north and west of New York City and north and west of Boston. The major cities are going to see some mixing with rain that that's going to hold down the accumulations. But it's the areas to the north and west that are going to do quite well where it stays all snow. Three to five inches possible north and west of the district in Baltimore, while north and west of New York City as much as five to eight inches will fall. We could see as much as five to ten inches of snow north and west of Boston during the storm. Okay, Rob, So when do you expect this wintry weather is going to end. Storm's going to wind down during the evening and overnight hours in the district in Baltimore. In New York city. It comes to an end Sunday afternoon the Boston area. I will see it ending late Sunday night early Monday morning, and we should see quite a bit of an improvement weatherwise into Monday of next week. Okay, Rob, Carolyn, thanks for that. We'll be checking back with you for more on this East coast winter storm throughout the day. Mowe now turned to the crucial jobs are poored for the month of December. Nathan It's forecast a show one hundred and seventy five thousand jobs were added a last month, and we get more from Bloomberg's Michael McKee. Wall Street goes into today's jobs report expecting strength in hiring and wages. That was not what the Fed was expecting a few months ago. The central bankers want job growth of about one hundred thousand a month and unemployment in the fours to signal an easing of labor market inflation pressures. Instead, they're likely to get a continuing conundrum, a strong labor market but falling inflation, making it hard to know the best path for interest rates. They will probably focus on the composition of jobs. Some analysts say job growth should be concentrated in low wage sectors like healthcare, assistants and restaurants, and that will be the sign the Fed wants that the economy is slowing. McKee, Bloomberg Radio. All right, Mike, thanks for the options market. It's been a buzz ahead of the jobs report. There is a large parish wager underway on yields rising to four point one five percent by the end of the day. That would mark the biggest one day rise in tenure yields since late March. It would be a further retrenchment for treasuries following last year's furious two month rally. In checking the tenure right now, it is at four point zero three percent. Well, Nathan. Rates are also in focus overseas. Traders are pairing bets on cuts from the European Central Bank. Let's go to London and get the latest from Bloomberg's Ewen pots Hore Youwen, Karen, and Nathan. It's the first time since mid December that traders are betting on fewer than six quarter point rate reductions from the ECB. At the end of last year, the market was pricing as much as one hundred and seventy four basis points of cuts. That number has now slipped blow one hundred and fifty basis points and key data this morning, shining more lights on the inflation pitcher. You're area CPI coming in at two point nine percent in the year to December. That's a higher number than the previous month as energy subsidies expire in a number of countries. In London, you and pot Splomberg Radio, all right, you and thank you. Now we turned to the latest developments in the Middle East. Secretary of State Antony Blincoln is returning to the region, his fourth trip since the October seventh attack on Israel. Bloomberg Zamie Morris reports from Washington, there is a risk the war between Israel and Hamas can spread into a broader regional conflict. This trip is part of US efforts to prevent that. Secretary Blincoln will travel to Turkey, Jordan, Cotter, the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Israel. State Department spokesman Matthew Miller says they don't expect some of these conversations to be easy. We want to prevent the conflict from spreading, but part of that means that people need to stop taking strikes against our soldiers, and if they take strikes against our soldiers, we're going to do what we need to protect ourselves. Groups backed by Iran have escalated attacks across Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, and Yemen and armed forces in a rocker also warning of a quote dangerous escalation after a US right killed a senior commander in an Iran backed militia in Washington, Amy Morris, Bloomberg Radio, all right, Amy, thanks. Meanwhile, the Islamic State group has claimed responsibility for the two explosions that killed almost one hundred people in Iran. The attacks risked inflaming tensions further in the Middle East, with Iran saying it had been targeted because of its stands on Israel. Bloomberg Henry Meyer looks at the impact of the Islamic State taking responsibility for the attacks. It's significant in the sense that it reduces the risks of a more confrontation between Israel and Iran. Iran had said that the bloss with the work of people who were trying to punish it for its stance on the Israeli offensive in Gaza. And you know, obviously any suspicion of Israeli involvement could have proved extremely explosive, and Bloomberg Henry Meyer notes US officials said from the start the attacks had the hallmark of a group such as Islamic State. Back here in the US, Karen, there's more fallout over the resignation of former Harvard president Claudine Gay. The Reverend Al sharped and led a protest at Bill Ackman's Manhattan offices yesterday. The civil rights activist says the billionaire investors campaign against Gay is a blow to the diversity, equity and inclusion movement. Gay stepped down as Harvard's first black president this week in a backlash over her handling of campus antisemitism and accusations of plagiarism. Meantime, Nathan Business Insider is reporting Bill Lackman's wife, Nary Auxman, plagiarized multiple sections of her doctoral dissertation at MIT. Acman responded to the report in a post on X, writing, you know you struck a chord when they go after your wife. Time now for a look at some of the other stories making news around the world. For that, we're joined by Bloomberg's Amy Morris. Amy, Good morning, Good morning, Karen. Residents in the small town of Perry, Iowa, held a vigil last night, hours after a gunman opened fire at the local high school, killing a sixth grader and wounding four other students in the school's principal, Andrea Meyer, is a two thousand and four alumna at the school, and she spoke at last night's vigil green rally around our survivors, our community, our teachers, our first responders, and we're going to show them what we've shown them every day for as long as I have known that we appreciate them, enjoy them, respect them, and dare I say love them. The suspect, identified as seventeen year old Dylan Butler, a student at Perry High School, also died of an apparent self inflicted gunshot wound. Classes are canceled throughout the school district for today. Florida Governor Ronda Santis and former UN Ambassador Nicky Haley held back to back CNN town halls in Iowa last night as they fight to be primary GOP presidential challenger to Donald Trump, who already has a huge lead in the polls. DeSantis called Haley a phony who is quote playing for voters who are not even core Republicans. I'm the only one that has a chance to beat Trump and win the general election. Nicki Haley can't get conservative voters. She's the darling of the never trumpers. While in New Hampshire, Nikki Haley said of the primary process, quote, Iowa starts at New Hampshire corrects it. So she responded to criticism about that comment during CNN's town hall in Iowa. We're going to continue to be here. I mean, I've told people get used to this face, and I've been here over and over again. But if I didn't love Iowa, I wouldn't keep coming to Iowa. While they did take jabs at each other, Haley and Desantas also focused their attacks on front runner Donald Trump, and next week will be a busy one for Trump. Bloomberg's Nancy Lyons reports Donald Trump has two major court hearings next week. One of them is in Washington on his claim of immunity from charges he overturned the twenty twenty election that's set for January ninth, Then two days later, planning to attend the closing arguments in Manhattan that's for the New York civil trial against him and his sprawling real estate company. Days after that, the nominating process begins with the January fifteenth Iowa CAUCUSUS. Then a day after that, a civil defamation case against Trump begins in New York in which Ejing Carroll is seeking to million dollars in damages. It's unknown if Trump will be attending that trial in Washington. Nancy lyons Bloomberg Radio Global News twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now. I'm Amy Morris, and this is Bloomberg Karen. All right, Amy, thanks soby to bring in news throughout the day right here on Bloomberg Radio. But now, as Amy said, you can get the latest news on demand whenever you want it. Subscribe to Bloomberg News Now. You can get the latest headlines right at the click of a button. Get informed on your schedule. You can listen and subscribe to Bloomberg News Now on the Bloomberg Business app Bloomberg dot Com, but also apples, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Time now for the Bloomberg Sports update. Here's John stash Hour John Karn. What a game in San Francisco, battle of the last two NBA champions. The Warriors had an eighteen point lead on the fourth quarter on the Nuggets, and then Denver closed the game on a twenty five to four run and he won at one thirty to one twenty seven thanks to Kolo Jokins thirty four points, ten assists, nine rebounds. He hit the game tying shot and then after a Steph Curry turnover, he hit the game winner, a forty footer that he banked in at the buzzer. Milwaukee won at San Antonio won twenty five to one twenty one. This was the first time that Jannis, sent to the Compo won against the guy that many field plays like, Giannis Victor Wembinama. Yanna scored forty four points. Wem bin Yama scored twenty seven. Ricky Rubio, retiring at age thirty three, twelve years and the NBA, played for four teams, most recently Cleveland, who bought out his contract. He was a professional player in Spain at the age of fourteen. Bruins lost at home to Pittsburgh six to five. Sydney Crosby wont it for the Penguin the power play goal in the third period. The Red Sox traded Chris Sale to Atlanta. He just got a two year extension with the Braves for thirty eight million dollars, despite all the injuries he's had in recent years. Week eighteen in the NFL starts tomorrow. Nine teams have Clint playoff spots. Five spots still up for drafts. Buffalo, Jacksonville, Tampa Bay, and Green Bay are in with Week eighteen victories. The winner tomorrow night, patried Houston, and Indianapolis is in the playoffs. Pittsburgh tomorrow needs a win and then a Buffalo loss on Sunday night. John Stashwer Bloomberg Sports from coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on Syrias Exam, the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager. Well. The first weekend of twenty twenty four is going to bring the East Coast the first major winter storm we've seen in quite a while, actually, so let's bring in Bloomberg beedrologist Rob Carolyn to help us get set for what's coming. What you're looking at, Rob, the first accumulating snow of the season for lots of us. It's taken a time for winter to get going, but it's going to get going now with Gangbusters Nathan storm coming out of the lower Mississippi River Valley is going to come up the along the East coast during the weekend, and it's going to bring us eisenble snowfall to many of the suburban locations around the major cities in the mid Atlantic and Northeast. This isn't a huge snowstorm for the District of Baltimore, for New York City or Boston because the ocean is still fairly warm water temperatures than in the forties. That influence is going to mean that we see Boston and New York City, and especially Washington and Baltimore mixing with and changing the rain at times. But once you get inland away from that influence to the ocean, there's going to be some sizeable snowfalls from say Frederick, Maryland, all the way on up through the suburbs north and west of New York City, and then well north and west of Boston. There could be some spots to get over ten inches of snow from this storm, no kidding. So, like you said, it's been a while since we've had a major winter storm along the East coast. I mean, or are we ready for this? I think we're ready. I mean we've had a lot of practice. Anybody over the age of fifteen has seen, you know, a number of snowstorms in their lifetime. But yeah, last winter, I think the deepest snow we saw in the Boston area was like three and a half inches in February. So I think the big problem is going to be pe will not used to driving in it because it's been over a year. The good news is it's falling on a Saturday night and a Sunday in many areas, so their traffic won't be as bad. We don't have school in session, so that'll be helpful. But people are definitely going to have to take some time, particularly in those areas where there's going to be that transition from a mixture of rain and snow to snow, because that snow will be heavier and wetter. Therefore it's more slippery, it's greasy. So those areas just north and west of Boston, New York City, Washington, and Baltimore really need to be careful when the precipitation's falling during Saturday afternoon through Sunday. Well, a lot of people who live along the Interstate ninety five quarriter know that that freeway is often right along the boundary between where rain and snow happens. I mean, if this system sticks around for a little bit longer than expected, could we be in for a pretty dicey Monday morning commute. I think Monday morning is going to be okay, particularly in the district in Baltimore, because it dries out Sunday afternoon, So I think the roadways are going to be okay. York City Boston different story. Those areas where they don't get a chance to clean up the slush along the I ninety five corridor. Temperatures are going to be going down Sunday night, and that's going to have the tendency allow those surfaces to refr…
Full show notes at the publisherOn today's podcast: 1) Several previously confidential documents related to Jeffrey Epstein were made public in federal court in New York after a yearslong battle over their release. 2) The US Supreme Court will chart the nation’s political future as it confronts a potentially stark choice over efforts to remove Donald Trump from this year’s presidential ballot for trying to overturn his 2020 election loss. 3) Iran said blasts that killed almost 100 people in a central province were aimed at punishing its stance against Israel’s invasion of Gaza, building on signs the war against Hamas could tip into a broader regional conflict. Full Transcript: Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. We begin with previously confidential documents related to Jeffrey Epstein, now made public in federal court in New York. This follows a year's long battle over their release. The documents were part of a twenty fifteen lawsuit against Epstein associate Glene Maxwell, who's serving a twenty year sentence for sex trafficking. Bloomberg editor Tony Aaron says, most of these documents have been seen, but there'd been redactions. A lot of people had thought there'd be some massive client list or a nice list of names that would be easy for them to follow. It wasn't anything like that. We've been getting about so far, about forty of what's probably going to be hundreds of documents, and in those we've seen names like Bill Clinton, Prince Andrew Britain, and a few others that are all very very familiar and Bloomberg's Tony Aaron says former President Clinton Andrev denied knowing about or participating in Epstein's appropriate conduct. Well, Nathan. Ties to Epstein have led to career downfalls for former Barclay CEO Jess Staley and Apollo Global Management co founder Leon Black, and they've harnished reputations of other high profile figures like Bill Gates and Leslie Wexner, though all have denied knowing about or participating in an inappropriate conduct with Epstein. Virginia Juphrey is the Epstein victim who sued to have these documents released. Paul Pelletier is a former federal prosecutor who's been following the case. Part of the reason why Jeffrey Epstein was prosecuted in New York, or at least was indicted in New York, was because Virginia Giffrey would not stop and former federal prosecutor Paul Pelletier was speaking there. Jeffrey Epstein was charged with sex trafficking in July twenty nineteen, but died by suicide in a Manhattan prison cell before he could stand trial. Okay, Karen, Let's turn to politics in the US now. Former President Donald Trump is now asking the Supreme Court to overturn the ruling and Colorado that has kicked him off that state's primary ballot. Bloomberg Legal editor Eric Latterson says this appeal has a number of possible outcomes. The court could rule, for example, that the Colorado Supreme Court didn't give Trump to process. That's another argument that Trump is making. He's also arguing Detection three of the Fourteenth amend that which you borrow's insurrectionist from holding office federal office, doesn't apply to the office of the presidency, and the Supreme Court could overturn that Colorado decision based only on those findings that they wished, without weighing in on whether Trump was an insurrection In Bloomberg's Eric Larson says the former president faces many ongoing legal cases, but he is still the front runner for the Republican presidential nomination. Now Nathan to an issue that's expected to weigh heavily on voters' minds in the twenty twenty four presidential election. Immigration at the southern border. Republican House Speaker Mike Johnson is pushing for a GOP only border bill, Democrats argue goes too far in securing the US border with Mexico. Johnson led a GOP delegation into the border yesterday as Republicans look to pressure Democrats on border policy changes. The impassover immigration has complicated congressional talks to avert a partial government shut down later this month, and puts more than fifty billion dollars in military at Ukraine at risk should talks collapse. As for rising tensions in the Middle East, care and authorities in Iran say two deadly explosions in a central province our retaliation for its stance against Israel. The US says it has nothing to do with the attacks. Bloomberg's Ed Baxter has the details, and it says neither did Israel. Iran is characterizing them as terror attacks. More than one hundred people killed. The blastnare the grave of Iranian commander Solomane. US State Department quick to respond, spokesman Matthew Miller, I do want to address some of the irresponsible claims that I have seen circulate and say that number one, the United States was not involved in any way, and any suggestion to the contrary is ridiculous, and number two, we have no reason to believe that Israel was involved. Miller says it's in no one's interest to see the conflict escalate, and note it comes a day after an attack in Beyrout that killed in Iran backed Hamas militant leader Ed Baxter Bloomberg Radio, all right, ed, thank you well. Separately, more than a dozen countries we're in the around backed Houthi group in Yemen against continuing their attacks on shipping in the Red Sea. The attacks have disrupted global commerce and triggered a build up of Western naval power in the area. Sources say the US and its allies are considering possible strikes against the Houthis. I'm a concern that the maritime task force launched by Washington may not eliminate this threat to the vital waterway, which normally handles about twelve percent of global commerce. Let's turn out to the economy, Karen and the release of the December FED minutes. Officials expect rates to remain in restrictive territory for some time, but they acknowledge those rates have probably peaked, and Richmond FED President Thomas Barkin says a soft landing is not inevitable. I'd caution you to focus less on the rate path and more on the flight path. Is inflation continuing its descent and is the broader economy continuing to fly smoothly? Conviction on both questions will determine the pace and timing of any change in rates. Richmond Fed president Thomas bark And also did not rule out a March interest rate cut. And in corporate news, Nathan's social media giant TikTok's looking to grow the size of its US e commerce business tenfold to as much as seventeen point five billion dollars this year. Bloombergy tech reporter Alex Spirinka says TikTok's ambitious target may pose a bigger spread to Amazon. Where TikTok is winning is on the fees they're imposing on verchips. They will be raising those fees to six percent in April eight percent in July, but those fees are still lower than Amazon seller fees. On TikTok, They're hoping that you're so engaged in trance and have an emotional connection to the people who are posting these videos that you trust them when they say they like a product, and that makes you want to buy it. And that's Bloomberg's Alex Spirenka. Now for a look at some of the other stories making news around the world, and for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Amy Morris. Samy. Good morning, Good morning, Karen. We're watching a winter storm that's expected to bring snow, rain, and wind to the East this weekend. Bloomberg meteorologist Rob Carolyn has details first significant storm of the season looks like it's headed towards the Northeast and mid Atlantic this weekend. Now, the major cities are probably going to be spared heavy snowfall due to the fact the ocean's still warm, and there'll probably be some mixing with rain and d C Baltimore, also in the New York and Boston area, but north and west of I ninety five, that's where heavier snowfall is likely and less mixing or no mixing at all, and that's going to result in probably a three to six inch snowfall, if not more, north and west of Boston, New York City, and d C and Baltimore. The cities, though d C, Baltimore, New York, and Boston should only end up with about one to three inches as it looks like right now. Now. If this does materialize, it would be the first measurable snow in two years for DC, Baltimore, Philadelphia, and New York. A bomb thread email to officials several states yesterday briefly disrupted government affairs and prompted some state capital evacuations, but the FBI quickly dismissed the threats as a hoax. Connecticut, Georgia, Hawaii, Kentucky, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, and Montana all the some of the states that evacuated state houses or buildings. Kay Kirkpatrick is a state senator in Georgia. I'm not even sure what would motivate somebody to do something like that that could potential result in loss of life. The FBI says it takes hoax threats very seriously and that investigation is ongoing. We told you how Donald Trump's legal team is appealing to ruling by the main Democratic secretary of State that he is ineligible to appear on the state's GOP primary ballot. Will Fellow GOP presidential candidates have called for that band to be reversed, including former South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley, who says taking Trump off the ballot will lead to more problems. Don't open a door you can't close, and this is a dangerous store to open, and we need the Supreme Court to s been quickly before we have too many states do this still. Haley says she's not surprised to see Trump in a new legal struggle. Scientists say they've developed a new kind of antibiotic to treat dangerous bacteria resistant to most current medicines. The researchers from Harvard University in Hoffman Laroach say the new antibiotic can effectively kill bacteria that cause serious long urinary tract and blood infections. Global news twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now. I'm Amy Morris, and this is Bloomberg Karen right, Amy, Thank you well. As Amy said, we do bring in the news throughout the day here on Bloomberg Radio. But now you can get the latest news on demand, and that means whenever you want it. Just subscribed to Bloomberg News Now. You can get the latest headlines at the click of a button. Get informed right on your schedule. You can listen and subscribe to Bloomberg News Now on the Bloomberg Business app, Bloomberg dot Com, plus apples, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Time now for the Bloomberg Sports Update. Here's John Stanshower. John Canon, the Lakers have hoisted a Championship enner this season. They won that NBA in season tournament, but overall they're under five hundred. Lost at home to Miami one ten to ninety six. Quiet night for Lebron James only twelve points. He shot six of eighteen. The Lakers have lost three in a row eight of their last ten. The Clippers, meanwhile, have won thirteen their last fifteen point thirty one one twenty two at Phoenix, Paul George scored thirty three points cow while Leonards scored thirty. Look at Gonson's went for forty one. Dallas blew out Portland by twenty nine. New Orleans won at Minnesota. That's the first two game losing streak of the season for the Timberwolves. Two top twenty five teams played. They both lost. Number twenty three Providence beaten by Seaton Hall, sixteenths Bank Clemson lost at Miami. It's week eighteen. A lot of the teams, already knowing that they're going to the playoffs, cannot move up in the seedings, so not surprisingly will not play their starting quarterback this weekend. No Lamar Jackson for the Ravens will be replaced by Tyler Hunley. Joe Flacco will sit out for the Browns. It will be Jeff Driscoll no Patrick Mahomes with a Chiefs Blaine Gabbertt replaces him. Carson Wentz fills in for Matthew Stafford on the Rams, and the forty nine Ers will go with Sam Darnold and sit out Rock part Perty who's going to the Pro Bowl. The forty nine Ers lead the way with nine Pro Bowl players, seven from the Cowboys and Ravens, six from the Dolphins and the Eagles. Trevor Lawrence will play for Jacksonville. The Jaguars, with a win will win the AFC South. He missed last week's game and Josh Allen's got the stinger, but he will play for the Bills in a big game at Miami. John Stashley that we're Bloomberg Sports from coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on Sirius Exam, the Bloomberg Business app in Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning, I'm Nathan Hager on a morning of busy news flow. Jeffrey Epstein's ties to politics and Wall Street are back in the spotlight with the release of dozens of formerly sealed documents. Donald Trump is taking his fight to stay eligible to run in twenty twenty four to the US Supreme Court, and border politics could run up against Congress's effort to keep the government from starting to shut down in a little more than two weeks. Lots to discuss this morning, and here to do that with us now is Bloomberg News correspondent Bruce Einhorn. Bruce, thanks for being with us. Let's start off with the revelations, if any, that we got from these documents that were in the Jeffrey Epstein case that had really been a year's long effort to get them out. Did they shed any new light on Jeffrey Epstein's crimes, Well, so far there aren't too many surprises. So these are the first of what are expected to be hundreds of documents identifying more than one hundred and fifty people. These are documents that had been filed and redacted as part of a twenty fifteen lawsuit against just Laying Ma Well. She, of course, was an associate of Jeffrey Epstein. She was convicted in twenty twenty one of participating in his crimes. He himself died in prison before he ever went to trial. So some of the names that were in the unsealed documents included former President Bill Clinton, Prince Andrew Written. These are names that had already been out there. Former President Trump not mentioned in these documents, but had been identified in testimony in this case, along with former President Clinton as some of the people who had flown on Jeffrey Epstein's plane. So there's maybe more news, more revelations as more of the documents are unsealed, but for now, no big surprises. Yeah, a lot of people have been following this case. Bruce had been expecting or speculating at least that there might be some kind of client list that's been under seal in New York Federal Court. Do we have any indication at this point that such a list exists and could be unveiled at some point. It's possible. At the moment, we don't know about a client list. No, Okay, let's turn to what might have been the other major story otherwise, former President Trump taking his fight to stay on the ballot at least in Colorado to the United States Supreme Court. This is a notable moment in the twenty twenty four rays yes, and the arguments that former President Trump makes are interesting. He has a couple of different arguments that he makes on why the Colorado Supreme Court aired. First of all, he said that one that it would move would unconstitutionally disenfranchised voters in Colorado and potentially disenfranchised voters elsewhere. He said that his lawyers say that in the filing that that insurrection UH was understood by the framers of the Fourteenth Amendment to mean something very specific. According to form President Trump s luers, it meant taking up arms and waging war against the United States, and that's the way that the fourteenth Amendment should be read now, and therefore it doesn't apply to him. This is his argument. He also argued that the fourteenth Amendment, which says very specifically that this…
Full show notes at the publisherOn today's podcast: 1) Claudine Gay is stepping down as president of Harvard University, ending a brief and tumultuous tenure marred by allegations of plagiarism and a campus controversy over antisemitism. 2) Donald Trump filed a lawsuit seeking to restore his name to Maine’s presidential primary ballot after the state disqualified him over his attempt to reverse the result of the 2020 election he lost to Joe Biden. 3) Traders hoping that a pan-markets year-end rally would pick up where it left off got the opposite on 2024’s first trading day, a session that featured one of the worst-ever concerted drops in stocks and bonds to start a year. Full transcript: Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. We begin with the leadership shakeup at the top of the IVY League. Claudine Gay is stepping down as president of Harvard University weeks after her highly criticized congressional testimony about the school's handling of campus anti semitism, alongside the presidents of MIT and the University of Pennsylvania. Bloomberg's David Weston begins our team coverage. It has been sort of a firestorm for these three presidents to deal with exactly how you control and influence discussion on the campus. There were also questions that developed over time about some of the work that President Gay had done for her dissertation for her PhD, and allegations that she had improperly used sources that she did not identify. Initially, the Corporation of Harvard, which is what they call the Board of Trustees of corporation, said there'd been an investigation and they had totally exonerated her. There was no problem. But now she said, she stepped down, and I take her to ward. At this point, and at some point, a leader becomes a distraction. Bloomberg's David Weston reports this is a dramatic about face for Harvard. Claudie Gay became the university's first black president just six months ago. Well Nathan, one of Gay's harshest critics, says her stepping down is long overdue, and Bloomberg's At Baxter has that part of the story. Congresswoman Elis Stefanik says Gay in the December hearing never condemned calls for genocide against Jews as a violation of university policy. This is part of what Gay said at that December hearing. We embrace a commitment to free expression, even of views that are objectionable, offensive, hateful. Stefanica is a Harvard alum who said Gay's statements were morally bankrupt. And Bill Ackman now who's also gone after Gay posted at two sally an apparent reference to the president of MIT at Baxter Bloomberg Radio, okay, and thanks. Sticking with politics, another legal battle is set in motion involving Donald Trump's ability to return to office. S Bloomberg's Amy Morris has the latest. Trump is not just appealing the decision in Maine to remove his name from the primary ballot. He's also suing the official mains Secretary of State, Senna Bellows, who made that decision. It's another legal argument that will likely be settled by the US Supreme Court, along with a case from Colorado where a group of voters is calling for the justices to quickly step in. They're asking for that case to be expedited. They'd like a ruling by February eleventh, and we could learn whether the Supreme Court will it Dervine in the Colorado case by this Friday. In Washington, Amy Morris, Bloomberg Radio. All right, Amy, thanks now to the latest developments in the Middle East. A senior Hamas leader has been killed by Israel on a explosion in Beirut. Hamas says Israel killed Sileai al Rory, deputy headed the group's polit bureau, who was known as the mastermind behind its armed wing in the West Bank. Began more from a Bloomberg Silary Liebert, it's sort of a no brainer that if they had a senior Hamas leader, they could find an attack who wasn't in some underground hiding place wherever he was, if they would go after him, and Bloomberg Larry Liebert. It says aler Rory would be the most senior Hamas leader killed during the war. Turning to markets now, Karen wall Street kicked off the new year with a thud. Both tech stocks and treasuries sold off. The Nasdaq one hundred index fell one point seven percent, at benchmark's biggest drop in two months. Rich Weiss is chief investment Officer of multi asset Strategies at American Century Investments. If you look from the start of twenty twenty two through the end of twenty twenty three, cash basically outperformed most equities, maybe not the Magnificent seven, but most equity portfolios. So cash has been king, likely to be king at least for the first half of this coming year, at least, we believe American Century Investments. Rich Weiss thinks it could be a tough earning season for corporate America well. One of the biggest losers in yesterday sell off, Nathan was Apple I lost more than one hundred seven billion dollars in value after Barclay's analysts downgraded the tech giant. Bloomberg's Mark German explains the bearish view of the iPhone maker four quarters plus in a row of holiday declines. The earnings report that's coming at the end of January early February will indicate that Q one was either in line, maybe a little bit more a little bit less than the prior quarter. You have these patent situations which are likely to crop up in higher frequency now given the success that Massimo has had over the past few months. And Bloomer's Mark German notes that Apple shares rose around fifty percent to a record last year. Well, on the flip side, shares of JP Morgan closed at a record to kick off the new year. The bank's rebound from its twenty twenty two low has now pushed its market capitalization to about five hundred billion dollars. The lender's been a top performer in the banking industry following record results last year. Well Nathan investors will turn their attention for more clues on the future of interest to rates. This afternoon, the Federal Reserve issues minutes of dece meeting, and Bloomberg's Vinidel Judai reports Bloomberg Economics as the minutes could signal interest rate cuts aren't imminent, they'll fetcher. Jerome pal did strike a dubvish tone last month's news conference that officials voted to hold the benchmark interest rate target steady for the third time at December's meeting after more than a year of tightening. Next session, January thirtieth and thirty first. Also on today's US economic agenda, job openings, as well as ISM factory data. If Anny Dale, Judeace, Bloomberg Radio, Sorry, and Ethan Thanks. It's time out for a look at some of the other stories making news around the world, and for now we're joined by Bloomberg's Amy Morris. Amy, good morning, Good morning, Karen. Migrants sent mostly from Texas, have been showing up at train stops outside New York City over the weekend, sidestepping a new order limiting how they arrive. Hundreds of migrants took a detour in New York and New Jersey to bypass the New York order limiting the seat the number of arrivals. New York City and Chicago recently began restricting migrant bus arrivals, and now the crackdown spreading to the suburbs. Woodstock Mayor Michael Turner spoke at a city council meeting, we do not have the staff the expertise for the money, and that may not be the ideal. We may all wish it was something different, but that's the reality for Chicago. Suburbs in Hinsdale, Woodstock, Buffalo Grove, and Juliette taking official action now passing ordinances to find bus companies dropping off migrants without notice. Meanwhile, four ports of entry at the southern border will be reopened tomorrow. Those ports were closed because of a record influx of migrants. Officials said closing the border crossings was just a last resort to stem the flow of people crossing the border. Hospitals across the country now initiating some new policies in response to a rise in respiratory illness cases, more emergency room visits because of flu, COVID and RSV, prompting some hospitals to require prior off authorization for visitors younger than twelve years old. Duke Health infectious disease specialist doctor Cameron Wolf says, for the most part, people understands it. Ever easy decisions like people want to be able to come and visit their love ones in a hospital, but I think in general people understand. The CDC says more than half the country is experiencing a rise in COVID flu and RSV cases. Hospitals in at least ten states and Washington, DC have now reinstated mask mandates. Israel is planning to withdraw several thousand troops from the Gaza Strip. The IDF announced the move, noting the nearly three month war has taken a growing toll on the Israeli economy. The United Nations says more than eighty five percent of Gaza's residents have been displaced from their homes and the fighting has left more than twenty thousand people dead. And a messy winter storm is headed for the East Coast this weekend. Forecasters are expecting measurable snow from Washington, DC to New York and rain showers down south. Global news twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with Bloomberg News Now. I'm Amy Morrison. This is Bloomberg Karen all right, Amy, thank you well. As Amy said you, we do bring you news throughout the day here on Bloomberg Radio. But now you can get the latest news on demand, and that means whenever you want it. You just subscribed to Bloomberg News. Now he can get the latest headlines right at the click of a button get informed on your schedule. You can listen and subscribe to Bloomberg News Now on the Bloomberg Business app, Bloomberg dot Com plus apples, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Time now for the Bloomberg Sports Update, here's John Stashaur John Karen. Just two years ago, the Oklahoma City Thunder lost fifty eight games. This year they might end up winning fifty eight. Fifth straight win for OKC now twenty three at nine on the season. They beat the league leading Celtics one twenty seven to one twenty three. Shay Gilgess Alexander's been on a scoring tear. He went for thirty six points. Christaph Porzingis had Boston with thirty four. Jayson Tatum scored thirty, but Jalen Brown shot only four of eighteen thirty six points for Steph Curry's Golden State Feed, Orlando won twenty one to one fifteen. Terry Rozier scored thirty four Charlotte with a win at Sacramento, John Moran twenty six points, ten assists Memphis Town San Antonio and Joe Lamby thirty one points at a triple double easy win for Philadelphia over Chicago. The Sixers were up by twenty five in the first quarter New Orleans out of twenty five point lead at halftime. Pelicans rolled to an easy win over the book for the Nets Perdue number one in college basketball and now thirteen and one boiler Makers with a big ten win at Maryland sixty seven to fifty three. Acced Duke rolled pass Syracuse eighty six to sixty six, Big East Yukon and easy win over De Paul eighty five to fifty six. College Football's National Championship game Monday in Houston, and Michigan is a four and a half point favorite to beat Washington. Both teams are undefeated, but Washington has only had one win by a ten or more points since September. They may not have running back Dylan Johnson. He got caught it off late in that semifinal win over Texas Johns Dan Shower. Bloomberg Sports from coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on Syrias Exam, the Bloomberg Business app, and Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Daybreak. Good morning. I'm Nathan Hager. Washington may have just flexed its muscles with the IVY leagues now that Claudine Gay is stepping down as president of Harvard University, comes weeks after widely criticized testimony about her handling anti Semitism on campus alongside the presidents of MIT and Penn, along with new questions specifically about Clining Gay's academic record some of her past dissertations. Meanwhile, with less than two weeks until voting begins in the Republican presidential race, former President Donald Trump is fighting to stay on a second state's primary ballot after Maine kicked him off over his actions on January sixth, twenty twenty one. Lots of political news to discuss this morning, and here to do that with us is Greg Valier, chief US policy strategist at AGF Investments. Greg, good morning. First, I want to get your reaction to the sudden departure of Claudine Gay as Harvard University. She just became Harvard's first black president in July. Now, apparently after this widely panned congressional testimony and the mounting political end donor pressure, she's out. I mean, what does that say about Washington's influence over higher education. Well, there is influence, Navan, good morning, But I think a bigger factor may have been the donor's donations were way down and applications were way down, and I think that may have had a bigger impact. Well, we did have the impact of a last Stephonica Harvard alum with that viral testimony, the questioning that she gave asking them pointedly whether calling for the genocide of Jews it violates school policy, and sort of wiggling on the answers. I mean this says something about a least stephonics clout as well, doesn't it. Yeah, two points. First of all, I think she is going to be a real player. She is already, but I think she's going to be a pit bull on these issues and she summoned to watch over the next few years. Secondly, I think that the university presidents, all three of them, were just extraordinarily tone deaf. You know, maybe what they said technically was correct, but it certainly did not soothe the issue. It just inflamed the issue. Not just that we know that the committee that brought those university presidents to Capitol Hill is expanding its investigation into some of these allegations of plagiarism against now former president Claudine Gay. Where do you see this investigation going into what's happening on these campuses. Well, I think that that is going to be fair game throughout the country, and I think it's not just these three presidents. I think it's probably a lot of other university officials that are now going to have to worry. I want to talk about the constitutional crisis potentially here with former President Donald Trump now suing to try to stay on Main's primary ballot after the Secretary of State made that move. Where do you see this going? Well, first of all, Nathan, I think it's probably ninety ninety five percent chance that the Supreme Court will take the issue. I think they have to beyond that. I think the odds would favor this court, which has three Trump appointees of six to three conservatives on the court. I suspect they would reject the argument that Trump has to be taken off the ballot. I think the Court could decide this within the next few weeks, before Super Tuesday on March five. I think that in the final analysis, Trump will be on the ballots. There is a difference between a secretary of state making a move like this and a Supreme Court like what happened in Colorado, Does that make any difference for the Supreme Court if it does come to that. It could, and there will be lots of issues debated, but I think the main one is can you quickly prove that Trump supported an insurrection? I mean that's a case that could take years, certainly many many months, and we don't have that kind of time with an election coming up. So barring any definitive ruling on the January sixth insurrection, I just don't see this going anywhere. Well, that being said, why do you think the Supreme Court would make a decision quickly if, as you say, it would take a substantial amount of time before the Supreme Court to determine whether former President Trum…
Full show notes at the publisherOn today's podcast: 1) Iran dispatched a warship to the Red Sea after the US Navy destroyed three Houthi boats, a move that risks ratcheting up tensions and complicates Washington’s goal of securing a waterway that’s vital to global trade. 2) If the consensus on Wall Street is often wrong — and evidence from 2023 does little to dispel that notion — then in the year ahead investors are facing either the mother of all rallies or a selloff for the ages. 3) ASML Holding canceled shipments of some of its machines to China at the request of US President Joe Biden’s administration, weeks before export bans on the high-end chipmaking equipment came into effect, people familiar with the matter said. Full Transcript: Good morning. I maybe Morris and I'm Karen Moscow. Here are the stories we're following today. We begin with oil rising to start the new year, Iran sending a warship to the Red Sea in an escalation of tensions in the region. The show of force comes after the US Navy destroyed three Hoothy boats which we're attempting to board a container on New Year's Day. Elizabeth Kendall is a Middle East specialist from Cambridge University and says the two are clearly interlinked. Aaron is puppeteering Hamas, the Hoothy's and other movements like Hezbollah in the Middle East, and the houthy slogan indeed includes the words death to Israel and a curse on the Jews, so it's very much aligned with Hamas's more militant and extreme war wing. Cambridge University's Elizabeth Kendall checking oil right now, Nie makes crude oil up more than two percent or a dollar forty nine now trading at seventy three dollars and thirteen cents a bit. Well, Amy, oil isn't the only thing on the move this morning. We're also seeing Bitcoin on the rise, following through on last year's massive rally, and we get more from Bloomberg Markets reporter Joe Easton. It is up another four percent at the moment, at the highest level since April sixth, above forty five thousand dollars for the first time in two years. This is due to the expectation of the direct investment from this ETF, so that is boosting sentiment and a lot of positivity. People looking for more technical levels for that one to keep going higher. And Bloomberg Joe Easton says Bitcoin has risen over twenty percent since has started December, as that January tenth deadline for the Securities and Exchange Commission to give its blessing for a spot bitcoin ETF dra us closer checking bitcoin right now, it's at forty five seven hundred dollars over in Europe's stocks are also higher to kick off the new trading year. Let's get the latest from Bloomberg Daybreak euro banker Stephen Carrol. Stephen, good morning, Amy and Karen. The tensions in the Red Sea are playing into the market narrative in Europe today. Shares and the shipping giant Marisk have risen after it stopped using that key trade route for forty eight hours following the weekend attack on one of its vessels. Higher oil prices are also helping to lift oil majors, making energy one of the best performing sectors on the Stock six hundred. More broadly, it's the Spanish and Italian markets which are out performing, boost it by a rise in bank shares. In London, Stephen Carrolt Bloomberg Radio, All right, Stephen, thank you all. Back here in the US, Wall Street returns to a holiday shortened week to kick off the new trading year, and we get a look ahead from Bloomberg Shirlie Pellett. The S and P five hundred index sits within striking distance of its first in two years. But a key challenge for markets is the outlook for the economy and corporate earnings. Michael Binger is the president of Gradient Investments. The economy I think is very resilient. Jobs are driving that, corporate profits are supposed to grow about ten eleven percent. And valuations, I mean they're not really cheap, but they're not super expensive either in the markets right now. Among this week's earnings reports, Constellation Brands and Walgreens Boots Alliance in New York Charlie Pellett Bloomberg Radio. Thank you, Charlie. In twenty twenty three, some of Wall Street's biggest names got it wrong with their predictions for how markets would perform, So will they fare better? In twenty twenty four, Bloomberg has compiled more than six hundred and fifty calls from strategists in Today's Big Take. Sam Potter is a senior markets editor for Bloomberg. Most strategists on Wall Street see the interest rate tykes of the past eighteen months to two years finally starting to bite economies generally around the world, stock slow, and that will kind of pre run a central bank pivot roundabout mid year. Bloomberg Senior Markets editor Sam Potter adds that strategists see the main risks to the markets inflation and the US election. Well. In corporate news, Amy Chinas BYD may have just overtaken Tesla as the world leader in EV sales. It's still more than five hundred twenty six in fully electric vehicles in the fourth quarter. Bloomberg's John Lewis more from Beijing when BYD Tesla, it'll do two things. I think that's going to put this company into the consciousness of people around the world in a way that that company has not had ever before. The number two thing it does is it really underscores how dominant a position China not only as a market, but as a country with lots of companies producing electric vehicles, how dominant a position China has in that industry now and Bloombergs John Lusa's Tesla is estimated to have delivered over four hundred and eighty three thousand in the fourth quarter alone. Speaking of China, President Xi Jinping has pledged to strengthen his country's economic recovery after a tough year. Bloomberg's Jenny Marsh has more from Hong Kong. This is Chi Jinping's new yas Eve's speech, and he normally uses it to so trumpet the achievements his nation's major in the year. And I think this speech really stood out for how candid he was being about these problems. It's the first time he's acknowledged that the struggle that twenty twenty three have brought. It also sort of underplayed in some ways the problems that are still lying ahead in twenty twenty four for the economy. And he didn't really have any sort of quick fixes for that. Bloomberg Jenny Mark says China is entering a pivotal period as policymakers try to boost growth, stabilize a crisis in the property market, and prevent deflation. Beijing is expected to target a growth goal of around five percent again in twenty twenty four. Meanwhile, Amy, the Biden administration has won another battle and its effort to try and slow Shina from building its own semiconductor industry. We get more with the Bloomberg's Ed Baxter, ASML Holding is canceled shipments of some of its machines to China at the Biden request. This week's before the export bands on the high end chip making came into effect, the Dutch manufacturer had licenses to ship three top of the line deep ultraviolet lithography machines, but before the deadline it decided to cancel the orders. The US and allies have been trying to block access to the technology. Ed Baxter, Bloomberg Radio, Thank you care in time now for a look at some of the other stories making news in New York and around the world. And for that we're joined by Bloomberg's Michael bar Good morning, Michael, Good morning, Amy The death toll has now climbed to forty eight. After a magnitude seven point six earthquake struck Japan. The quake hit off the Noto Peninsula on Japan's northwest coast. This man at Tokyo resident and US national, was visiting to Yama when the quake hit. First. The trim had just done it very slowly, and everybody kind of left it off, you know, they thought, oh, this is this is kind of humorous, you know, on New Year's Day, and then then it is just a violent shape. The tremor was followed by hundreds of aftershocks. A plane is on fire right now on the runway of Tokyo's Hanada Airport. Authorities say a large burst of fire erupted from the side of a Japan Airlines plane as a taxi on the runway. All of the three hundred and seventy nine passengers and crew were said to be safely evacuated. Israel Supreme Court struck down a key component of Prime Minister Benjamin Etnaho's contentious judicious overhaul before the October seventh to Maas attack into southern Israel. The planned overhaul sparked months of mass protests threatened to trigger a constitutional crisis between the judicial and legislative branches of government. The FBI's Joint Terrorism Task Force is assisting police in Rochester, New York, to investigate a car crash that killed two people and injured five others outside of Performing Arts theater in the early hours of New Year's Day. The crash happened in front of the Kodak Center. It became a large scene due to a fire which had erupted as a result of the crash, and police also say several gas cans were found in and around the striking vehicle. Rochester Mayor Malik Evans I want to offer my condolences to those families, those individuals that lost their lives, and I asked the community to pay pray not only for those that have lost their lives, but also those that are injured. Terrorism investigators are trying to determine if this was just a car accident or something far worse. New York City's effort to stop migrant buses has resulted in the buses arriving instead in neighboring New Jersey. Over the weekend, buses from Texas and Louisiana began dropping off asylum seekers at several New Jersey transit stations. From there, the asylum seekers are believed to have taken trains to New York City. Edison, New Jersey mayor Sam Joshi says the buses are a major risk to health and security. The solution for me, as the mayor of Edison, is not to pawt it off to another mayor. Global news twenty four hours a day and whenever you want it with the Bloomberg News Now. I'm Michael Barr, and this is Bloomberg Aamy all right, Thank you, Michael, And we do bring the news throughout the day here on Bloomberg Radio, and now you can get the news on demand whenever you want it. Subscribe to Bloomberg News Now to get the latest headlines at the click of a button. Get informed on your schedule. You can listen and subscribe to Bloomberg News Now on the Bloomberg Business app, Bloomberg dot Com plus Apple, Spotify, and anywhere else you get your podcasts. Time now for the Sports Report, brought to you by Tri State Audi. For that, we bring in John stash Hour. Thanks Amy Kevilo. Terrific gains of the college football playoff semifinals overtime at the Rose Ball after Michigan tie to Alabama. The lad touchdown in ot Wolverines had the ball first out of the shotgun. Paura McGain This tiny poussi he's got the first out of more porm inside the five porm space is way across the goal line. Touch down Michigan seven. Take your touchdown run ESPN the call Michigan and stop BAMACB Jalen Milroe on a fourth down and one twenty seven to twenty JJ McCarthy through three TD passes, and then came the Sugar Bowl where Washington never trailed that at thirteen point lead been WITHY through the fourth quarter. Texas rallied had four chances to take the lead the final fifteen seconds, but ended the game with three incompletions on the Husky survive thirty seven thirty one. Their QB Michael Pennix Junior threw for four hundred and thirty yards. Championship game next Monday in Houston, both Michigan and Washington will go in fourteen and oh I Fiesta Ball, all Oregon forty five to six over a limitary vote next to five TD passes Sitters pull in Orlando, All Tennessee thirty five nothing over Iowa. LSU won the RELYA Quest in Tampa thirty five to thirty one over Wisconsin. Nicks happy to start the new year at the Garden after an ohen three road trip, they beat Minnesota, won twelve one to OH six. Julius Randall Port in thirty nine points. O g Onnobi made his next debut. He played thirty five minutes before found out. He scored seventeen in Toronto. RJ. Barrett and Emmanuel quickly debuted for their new team. Scored nineteen and fourteen points in a Raptors win over Cleveland. Outdoor Hockey in Seattle, crowd of forty seven thousand to see the Kraken shoutout Vegas three to nothing. John Stashwin Bricksport from coast to coast, from New York to San Francisco, Boston to Washington, DC, nationwide on Syrias Exam the Bloomberg Business app in Bloomberg dot Com. This is Bloomberg Day Break. Good morning. I'm Amy Morris, and we are entering the first week of trading for twenty twenty four. As we do most investment outlooks from major banks and advisors are predicting the same middle of the road scenario for the coming year, an economic slow down, a central bank pivot, and a late year rebound. We're joined by Dennis Gartman, University of Akron and Dowment chairman and former publisher of the Gartman Letter to sort of set us straight on what we can expect for the coming year. Now, Dennis, the dollar closed out its worst year since twenty twenty, the S and P five hundred rose nine straight weeks. Are these trends bound to continue? I have my doubts to the latter trend will continue. I think stocks are extremely overbought. The market has risen on an anticipation of three, four, five six cuts in the overnight Fed Funds rate by the Federal Reserve Bank. I have my doubts as to whether that will occur. I think that the Fed is done raising the overnight Fed funds rate. Of that, there's no doubt. But whether they're going to cut five or six times, I think is very doubtful. I think we have to anticipate the fact that the Federal will delay any change in the overnight Fed funds rate lower to later this year. There's too much anticipation that the FEDERALI begin cutting the overnight funds rate by March. I think it'll be late in the summer, maybe early into the autumn before it happens, But we shall see. Time shall tell. I think stocks, however, are aggressively overbought, have been for some while, and it seems to me this looks very similar to what happened in twenty twenty one twenty twenty two, when we reach the higher the market on the opening day of twenty twenty one and then ended up having a rather substantive decline in prices. So time shall tell. We'll see. But too much anticipation of too much easier possible abilities on the part of the Fed that I don't think are going to happen. Now, we have a job's report coming out on Friday. What are you watching for in that and how that might impact it? Long ago I quit anticipating the over the employment rates because of the fact that we tend to see such huge numbers of revisions from one month to the next. But right now the market is anticipating an increase of about one hundred and seventy five to one hundred and eighty five thousand new jobs. We shall see if that if that occurs, but it's one of the most radically revised reports of the year. Every month the revisions are forty to fifty thousand plus or minus. So right now the market is anticipating one hundred and seventy five to one hundred eighty five thousand times. Shall tell Barkley is predicting a softest landing. Vanguard JP Morgan expecting a mild recession. But you know that's what everybody predicted for twenty twenty three as well. What's the difference now. I was one of the people that expected to see a recession in twenty twenty three, and clearly we have not had that. The market is now anticipating the softest, the best of all kind of soft landings imaginable. I have my doubts as to whether that will occur, but that's what the market anticipates, that's what the stock prices have anticipated, and that's what the world generally anticipates. Whether whether it happens or not is up for debate. I have my doubts. Seriously, though we are over extended to the upside. We were long over…
Full show notes at the publisherBloomberg's Nathan Hager spends the hour covering the biggest tech stories from 2023 and what we can expect for the year ahead. He speaks with Gene Munster of Deepwater Asset Management and Dan Ives from Wedbush.
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