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    Business

    Top Traders Unplugged

    Top Traders Unplugged is where the world’s best investors come to share how they think – not just what they trade.
    Hosted by Niels Kaastrup-Larsen, the show goes deep into systematic trend following, global macro, and the principles that drive long-term success.
    No forecasts. No fads. Just real conversations with hedge fund managers, economists, authors, and allocators – revealing the timeless ideas, mental models, and risk frameworks behind robust performance.
    If you’re building resilient portfolios, allocating capital, or simply looking to cut through the noise – this is your edge.
    Clear thinking. Deep insights. Real experience.
    🎧 New episodes weekly. Explore all episodes at toptradersunplugged.com https://toptradersunplugged.com

    Advertise

    Copyright: © Copyright 2024 CMC AG - This content does not constitute financial advice and is for educational purposes only. The content can not be used for commercial use without written permission from CMC AG.

    • Apple Podcasts
    • Google Play
    • Spotify

    Latest Episodes:
    SI425: Passive Investing Is About to Face a Real Test ft. Cem Karsan Nov 07, 2026
    Show notes

    What happens when the system holding global markets together begins to reach its breaking point? In the wake of the US midterm elections, Niels Kaastrup-Larsen is joined by Cem Karsan for a conversation about the powerful forces converging beneath the surface of the global economy. Mounting debt, rising populism, geopolitical confrontation and the battle for control of the US dollar are creating pressures that Cem believes cannot be contained indefinitely. He lays out a provocative scenario in which a financial crisis becomes the catalyst for a historic transformation of economic policy. As the old rules begin to unravel, the conversation turns to a question every investor must confront: how do you prepare for a world that may look radically different from the one we've known?

    -----

    JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!

    - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Cem on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Introduction and the limits of passive investing

    02:23 - Market developments and early-November CTA performance

    05:23 - Volatility strategies, dispersion and pressure on hedge funds

    08:45 - What the US midterm elections could mean for markets

    12:40 - The four structural pressures threatening the US economy

    19:44 - The US dollar, geopolitical power and the future of monetary policy

    26:19 - Print money, buy stocks and the case for aggressive intervention

    30:49 - Inflation, populism and the economic implications of AI

    37:22 - The generational pendulum driving political and economic change

    44:46 - Why Cem believes a crisis may be necessary for meaningful change

    50:18 - Building resilient portfolios beyond the traditional 60/40 approach

    59:59 - Cem's timeline for a potential financial crisis

    Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    OI25: What If Lower Volatility Is the Wrong Goal ft. Suhaimi Zainul-Abidin Nov 04, 2026
    Show notes

    Moritz Seibert is joined by QuantEdge CEO Suhaimi Zainul-Abidin to explore how one of Singapore’s most successful systematic firms approaches risk, diversification and long-term compounding. Suhaimi explains why QuantEdge deliberately runs at a much higher volatility than most institutional portfolios, how the firm combines hundreds of independent risk premia across equities, bonds, commodities and insurance-linked securities, and why diversification should create room to take more risk rather than simply reduce it. They also discuss capacity, investor lockups, portfolio rebalancing and the lessons QuantEdge learned from surviving both the Global Financial Crisis and the COVID market shock.

    -----

    JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!

    - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Moritz on Twitter.

    Follow Suhaimi on LinkedIn.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    03:07 - How QuantEdge grew from $3 million to nearly $8 billion

    07:29 - Why QuantEdge doesn’t fit neatly into the CTA bucket

    09:10 - How risk premia create returns across markets

    11:20 - Systematically investing in insurance-linked securities

    15:18 - Building a portfolio from hundreds of independent bets

    20:32 - Why QuantEdge targets around 25% volatility

    25:24 - Where the firm’s returns have actually come from

    27:06 - How the strategy evolved from 50 markets to nearly 300

    29:34 - How much capital can QuantEdge realistically manage?

    32:46 - Why the firm refuses to dilute its strategy for investors

    37:11 - Why long lockups can actually protect investors

    46:33 - The toughest periods in QuantEdge’s 20-year history

    Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    SI424: Can Your Portfolio Survive the AI Hangover? ft. Alan Dunne Oct 31, 2026
    Show notes

    How resilient is your portfolio if stocks and bonds fall together? Alan Dunne joins Niels Kaastrup-Larsen to examine what stock–bond correlations can conceal and why owning more assets may leave investors exposed to the same risks. They explore how an AI boom could unravel, what that might mean for debt and monetary policy, and how trend following can help portfolios adapt without forecasting the next crisis. The conversation also tackles the patience diversification demands when equities race ahead, and whether greater resilience can improve long-term compounding.

    -----

    JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!

    - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Alan on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Introduction and what’s on Alan’s radar

    15:17 - Trend following performance and manager dispersion

    20:27 - The Fed’s new approach and what it means for markets

    26:50 - What happens if the AI boom eventually unwinds?

    35:26 - Why stock-bond correlation is more complicated than it looks

    43:42 - Can trend following help diversify the bond side of 60/40?

    46:23 - The economic scenarios that could hurt stocks and bonds together

    49:57 - How to diversify without trying to predict the next regime

    54:27 - What does portfolio resilience actually mean?

    01:00:44 - Can a more resilient portfolio also deliver better returns?

    Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    GM109: Why Buffett Finally Went All In on Japan ft. Andrew McDermott Oct 28, 2026
    Show notes

    Alan Dunne is joined by Mission Value Partners founder Andrew McDermott to challenge some of the conventional thinking around Japan. Andrew argues that Japan’s supposed “lost decades” look very different when viewed beyond GDP and stock market performance, and that its emphasis on manufacturing, engineering and long-term resilience may now be becoming a major advantage. They discuss the consequences of financialization in the US and Europe, Japan’s role in semiconductors, robotics and AI, and why Warren Buffett’s move into Japanese equities matters. The conversation also explores public debt, domestic capital flows and why Japan could play a much larger role in the global economy ahead. For those who are quick, check out this event featuring Andrew McDermott as well as last weeks guest Jesper Koll: https://mvpnashjapan.up.railway.app/

    -----

    JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!

    - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Alan on LinkedIn.

    Follow Mission Value Partners on LinkedIn.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Introduction and Andrew’s path into Japan investing

    05:05 - Why Andrew thinks Japan’s capitalism works better

    11:32 - Manufacturing, industrial policy and the return of real investment

    15:10 - Why investors may have misunderstood Japan for decades

    19:56 - Is the era of financialization starting to reverse?

    24:52 - AI, machine learning and Japan’s hidden advantage

    31:11 - Japan versus China and two very different economic models

    35:55 - Has Japan really changed or were investors simply wrong?

    40:45 - What Warren Buffett saw in Japan

    45:19 - Is Japan’s government debt really as dangerous as it looks?

    52:40 - What happens if Japanese capital starts coming home?

    56:33 - What Japan could look like ten years from now

    Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    SI423: Why Trend Following Might Outlast the AI Arms Race ft. Mark Rzepczynski Oct 24, 2026
    Show notes

    Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and Mark Rzepczynski explore why the changing structure of global markets may be creating a very different environment for trend followers. They discuss why today’s bond selloff may represent a return to normal rather than an anomaly, how declining safe-haven benefits could reshape government debt, and why geopolitical fragmentation may increase divergence across markets. Mark also examines commodity shortages and the conditions that can produce explosive price moves. Finally, they turn to AI and machine learning, asking whether increasingly similar quantitative models are shortening the life of alpha and why trend following may prove unusually durable in an increasingly crowded investment landscape.

    -----

    JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!

    - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Mark on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Why trend following may be different in the age of machine learning

    02:09 - France, rising yields and changing perceptions of safe assets

    07:27 - Trend following performance and a changing bond market

    16:29 - Why the structure and participants of markets matter

    20:26 - Liquidity, capital flows and the plumbing behind financial crises

    27:58 - Globalization, capital flows and the role of the dollar

    35:33 - Crises, market upheavals and commodity supercycles

    37:32 - Why today’s higher bond yields may actually be normal

    45:31 - Are Treasuries losing some of their safe-haven advantage?

    52:26 - Geoeconomic fragmentation and what it means for trend following

    56:51 - Commodity shortages and why prices can suddenly go parabolic

    01:02:12 - AI, crowded models and the shrinking half-life of alpha

    Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    GM108: Maybe Japan Is Finally Changing for Real ft. Jesper Koll Oct 21, 2026
    Show notes

    Alan Dunne is joined by longtime Japan strategist Jesper Koll to explore why Japan may be entering one of its most important economic shifts in decades. Jesper explains why demographics and government debt are less threatening than many investors assume, and how labor scarcity, rising wages and corporate reform are reshaping the economy from within. They discuss the return of domestic capital, Bank of Japan normalization and the government’s push into semiconductors, defense and energy. Jesper also makes the case that Japan’s broad economic expansion, industrial strength and accelerating corporate consolidation could make it unusually resilient in a world increasingly dominated by the AI cycle.

    -----

    JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!

    - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Alan on LinkedIn.

    Follow Jesper on Substack.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Introduction and the optimistic case for Japan

    02:10 - How Jesper built a career around Japan

    04:12 - Why Japan’s underlying strengths are often overlooked

    07:12 - Demographics, labor scarcity and rising productivity

    11:04 - Why Jesper doesn’t see Japan’s debt as a crisis

    13:34 - Is Japanese capital finally coming back home?

    17:15 - Takaichi, industrial policy and the next phase after Abenomics

    22:17 - Why the Bank of Japan may start moving faster

    25:46 - The yen, carry trades and the risk of a stronger currency

    33:51 - Japan’s push into semiconductors, defense and industrial policy

    38:18 - Energy security and Japan’s next major investment challenge

    40:31 - Why Japan is taking a different approach to AI

    44:18 - Could Japan outperform if the US AI boom slows?

    47:16 - What the West can learn from Japan

    52:35 - Corporate reform, generational change and consolidation

    57:19 - Where Japanese rates could go next

    58:16 - The key signals investors should watch from here

    Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    SI422: Why Trend Following Rewards Patience ft. Katy Kaminski Oct 17, 2026
    Show notes

    Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and Katy Kaminski explore why geopolitical risk and structural inflation may be changing some of the assumptions behind traditional portfolios. Katy revisits her recent Copenhagen presentation on crisis alpha, explaining why bonds can lose their diversification benefits when inflation becomes the dominant risk and why rules-based strategies can adapt more easily. They discuss research on preparing for different inflation regimes, the trade-offs between commodities and trend following, and new work from Quantica on why investors not always get the full benefit of investing in trend following. The episode closes with an important lesson: a small number of months drive much of trend’s long-term return, making patience and portfolio design critical.

    -----

    JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!

    - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Katy on LinkedIn.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Introduction and what’s on Katy's radar

    06:16 - Why 2026 looks very different from 2022 for trend followers

    11:12 - Geopolitical risk, inflation and Katie’s Copenhagen presentation

    17:50 - Why today’s environment could challenge traditional portfolios

    21:55 - What happens when bonds start behaving badly

    28:46 - Why rules-based strategies can adapt when markets change

    31:46 - Rethinking crisis alpha for an inflationary world

    41:56 - Commodities versus trend following as inflation protection

    47:40 - Why a handful of months drive so much of trend’s return

    52:38 - How investors end up timing liquid alternatives badly

    58:12 - How institutions can make it easier to stay invested

    01:02:50 - Can packaging trend with other assets solve the problem?

    Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    UGO13: How Much Longer Can AI Carry the Market ft. Christian Mueller-Glissmann Oct 14, 2026
    Show notes

    Cem Karsan is joined by Goldman Sachs’ Christian Mueller-Glissmann to ask how much longer the AI boom can keep supporting markets as the bond market becomes increasingly difficult to ignore. They discuss whether today’s extraordinary earnings growth is sustainable, why Christian sees more evidence of an earnings bubble than a valuation bubble, and how higher yields are beginning to pressure parts of the equity market. The conversation also explores unusually high dispersion, cheap equity volatility and the growing challenge of portfolio diversification before turning to geopolitical risk, gold, FX volatility and how investors might prepare for a more inflationary and less predictable market regime.

    -----

    JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!

    - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Cem on Twitter.

    Follow Christian on LinkedIn.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Introduction and why the bond market matters again

    02:13 - How the AI boom changed the market regime

    06:41 - Are the earnings from AI actually sustainable?

    10:38 - An earnings bubble rather than a valuation bubble?

    17:18 - What happens if earnings start to mean revert

    22:15 - When the stock market starts driving the economy

    28:55 - Why bonds are becoming the speed limit for equities

    38:39 - Can the AI boom keep going if rates stay high?

    42:21 - Why equity volatility looks unusually cheap

    45:30 - What extreme dispersion is telling us about the market

    52:44 - How to prepare for a market you can’t time

    58:20 - Geopolitics, real assets and the changing role of bonds

    01:02:20 - Debasement and the risk investors may be underestimating

    01:05:54 - Why currency volatility could matter much more

    Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    SI421: Taking CTAs Mainstream ft. Andrew Beer Oct 10, 2026
    Show notes

    How reliable is 60/40 when stocks and bonds fall together? Andrew Beer joins Niels Kaastrup-Larsen to question the return forecasts and diversification assumptions behind traditional asset allocation. They explore how a systematic, non-emotional approach to tactical investing can help portfolios adapt as markets change. The conversation also sets out how to grow the CTA/managed futures pie by explaining the strategy’s value in language investors understand. They discuss why diversification across managers and realistic expectations for uneven returns matter for building investor confidence and encouraging lasting allocations.

    -----

    JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!

    - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Andrew on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Why portfolios may need a more tactical approach

    01:04 - AI, entrepreneurship and the changing world of work

    08:07 - Complex systems and why the future is so difficult to predict

    09:47 - Trend following performance and what is driving returns

    13:59 - Why the traditional 60/40 portfolio is being questioned

    16:20 - The problem with long-term asset allocation assumptions

    22:41 - Diversification, market timing and the historical advantage of bonds

    27:01 - What 27 years of managed futures data tells us

    31:51 - Crisis alpha across the dot-com crash, GFC and 2022

    36:08 - Correlation, alpha and the diversification case for CTAs

    38:12 - Drawdowns and why tactical strategies can preserve capital

    44:55 - Sharpe ratios and the problem of lumpy returns

    50:39 - Why choosing the right managed futures manager is so difficult

    54:57 - How managed futures can finally grow the pie

    01:05:04 - Why the industry needs to stop getting lost in the technical details

    01:08:14 - The danger of betting everything on one manager

    01:13:02 - Why timing managed futures can make a good strategy look bad

    Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

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    IL54: Why Smart Investors Keep Making Crazy Decisions ft. Alex Edmans Oct 07, 2026
    Show notes

    In today’s episode we talk with London Business School professor Alex Edmans. He has spoken at Davos, testified in the UK House of Commons and reached millions through his TED Talks. He joins the show to discuss his new book, THE MADNESS OF MARKETS, WHY SMART INVESTORS MAKE CRAZY DECISIONS AND HOW TO EXPLOIT THEM. Alex explains why “mood matters” for markets and the surprising relationship of football results and music playlists to market movements. We discuss why individual investors sometimes have an advantage over professionals in taking advantage of psychological biases and go through practical ways this can be implemented.

    -----

    JOIN THE TREND FOLLOWING MANIFESTO BOOK LAUNCH LIST TO GET SPECIAL LOW PRICE ON OUR UPCOMING BOOK DURING THE FIRST WEEK!

    - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTubeor via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Kevin on SubStack & read his Book.

    Follow Alex on LinkedIn and Read his Book.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:00 - Introduction and Alex Edmans’ new book The Madness of Markets

    02:46 - How football results can move stock markets

    07:16 - What Spotify playlists can tell us about investor sentiment

    11:28 - Why individual investors may have an advantage over professionals

    16:26 - Specialists, generalists and finding your investing edge

    21:59 - When benchmarks make active managers too conservative

    26:18 - Risk, alpha and the equity premium puzzle

    30:07 - Why momentum works and when it crashes

    35:35 - Where individual investors can exploit overlooked opportunities

    37:48 - How round numbers influence buying and selling decisions

    39:54 - The disposition effect and why investors hold onto losers

    44:12 - Three practical ways to make better investment decisions

    47:20 - Why writing down your investment thesis matters

    52:08 - Outsourcing the ugly decisions

    55:30 - AI, bubbles and the big market delusion

    58:00 - Closing thoughts and where to find the book

    Copyright © 2026 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3 decades I have worked in the Trend Following industry, which I hope you will find useful. Click Here

    2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score

    One of the things I’m really proud of, is the fact that I have managed to published the Trend Barometer and Market Score each day for more than a decade...as these tools are really good at describing the environment for trend following managers as well as giving insights into the general positioning of a trend following strategy! Click Here

    3. Other Resources that can help you

    And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here

    Privacy Policy

    Disclaimer


    1 2 3 99 Next

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