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    Technology

    “Upstream” with Erik Torenberg

    You’ll hear consequential ideas here first, and in the mainstream months later. Upstream is a curated nexus feed from the Turpentine podcast network, bringing you expert-level conversations hosted by some of the most compelling thinkers in the world including Noah Smith, Samo Burja, Byrne Hobart, Erik Torenberg, and Nathan Labenz.
    Guests include Marc Andreessen, Balaji Srinivasan, Dario Amodei, Brian Armstrong, David Sacks, Sam Harris, Katherine Boyle, Curtis Yarvin, and many more unmissable conversations.

    Advertise

    Copyright: © 399838

    • Apple Podcasts
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    Latest Episodes:
    E131: Abundance Agenda, The New Right, and 2008 Retrospective w/ Noah Smith Apr 03, 2025
    Show notes

    Today on Upstream, Erik Torenberg and Noah Smith discuss the Abundance Agenda by Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson, the impact of the 2008 recession, Obama's presidency, and shifts in political ideology, focusing on the 'New Right' and its cultural and economic implications, while also touching upon the economic recovery strategies post-2008.


    This episode originally aired on Econ102 (April 1, 2025)


    —


    📰Be notified early when Turpentine's drops new publication: https://www.turpentine.co/exclusiveaccess


    🙏Help shape our show by taking our quick listener survey at https://bit.ly/TurpentinePulse

    —

    RECOMMENDED PODCASTS:

    🎙️Econ102 with Noah Smith

    Keeping econ entertaining - Noahpinion author Noah Smith and Erik Torenberg break down business news and politics every week.

    Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/podcast/id1696419056

    Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/6q7Gn5lP8TTtBPuV1NJSGs

    Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@ECON102Podcast


    —

    SPONSORS:

    ☁️ Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) is a single platform for your infrastructure, database, application development, and AI needs. OCI has four to eight times the bandwidth of other clouds and offers one consistent price. Oracle is offering to cut your cloud bill in half. See if your company qualifies at https://oracle.com/turpentine


    🎯Say goodbye to the headaches of out-of-home advertising. AdQuick combines technology, OOH expertise, and data to enable efficient, seamless ad buying across the globe. Visit https://adquick.com/ to start reaching your customers in the real world.


    🕵️‍♂️Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code UPSTREAM at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/upstream


    💥 Head to Squad to access global engineering without the headache and at a fraction of the cost: head to https://choosesquad.com/ and mention “Turpentine” to skip the waitlist.


    —

    LINKS:

    Noahpinion: https://www.noahpinion.blog/

    Abundance (by Ezra Klein and Derek Thompson): https://www.amazon.com/Abundance-Progress-Takes-Ezra-Klein/dp/1668023482

    The Clash of Civilizations (by Samuel Huntington): https://www.amazon.com/Clash-Civilizations-Remaking-World-Order/dp/1451628978

    Revolt of the Public (by Martin Gurri): https://www.amazon.com/Revolt-Public-Crisis-Authority-Millennium/dp/1732265143

    Understanding America's New Right: https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/understanding-americas-new-right

    American Factory: https://www.netflix.com/title/81090071


    —

    X / TWITTER:

    @Noahpinion

    @eriktorenberg

    @turpentinemedia


    —

    HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE EPISODE:

    • The "abundance agenda" is gaining unexpected traction among Democrats who see it as a unifying message rather than class warfare.
    • Noah views the abundance agenda as appealing because it promises prosperity for all Americans regardless of political beliefs.
    • Noah considers Obama underrated, highlighting his stimulus package, Dodd-Frank regulations, Iraq War withdrawal, and Obamacare.
    • Obama's immigration policy focused on deporting criminal elements, reducing the illegal immigrant population by about a million.
    • The 2008 financial crisis was a "liquidity preference shock" where fear caused everyone to hold cash rather than spend.
    • During demand-side crises, the government acts as "spender of last resort" to jumpstart economic activity.
    • Infrastructure spending during the Obama era wasn't efficient, creating problems for future building initiatives.
    • Post-2008 policies increased US debt from 60% to 100% of GDP during Obama's administration.
    • Higher inflation under Biden has actually decreased the debt-to-GDP ratio despite increased spending.
    • The "new right" ideology focuses on "Western civilization" - not racial nationalism but reverence for traditional European/Christian heritage.
    • New right politicians like JD Vance care more about "meme wars" and online status than practical policy solutions.
    • Social media has empowered a small percentage of politically active "shouting class" with outsized influence.

    Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.


    E130: Elon Musk’s Network Effects and Checking in on Chinese AI w/ Byrne Hobart Mar 29, 2025
    Show notes

    This week on Upstream, we're releasing an episode of The Riff (originally aired on March 25, 2025) where Erik Torenberg and Byrne Hobart discuss Don Jr.'s leveraging of the Trump brand, Dustin Moskovitz's departure to address AI risks, economic impacts of various policies, and geopolitical considerations with a focus on AI and China's tech ambitions.


    —


    📰 Be notified early when Turpentine's drops new publication: https://www.turpentine.co/exclusiveaccess


    🙏 Help shape our show by taking our quick listener survey at https://bit.ly/TurpentinePulse

    —

    RECOMMENDED PODCASTS:

    🎙️ Investor and writer of the popular newsletter The Diff, Byrne Hobart, and co-host Erik Torenberg discuss today’s major inflection points in technology, business, and markets – and help listeners build a diversified portfolio of trends and ideas for the future.

    Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-riff-with-byrne-hobart-and-erik-torenberg/id1716646486

    Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/6rANlV54GCARLgMOtpkzKt

    YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRiffPodcast


    —

    SPONSORS:

    ☁️ Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) is a single platform for your infrastructure, database, application development, and AI needs. OCI has four to eight times the bandwidth of other clouds and offers one consistent price. Oracle is offering to cut your cloud bill in half. See if your company qualifies at https://oracle.com/turpentine


    🎯 Say goodbye to the headaches of out-of-home advertising. AdQuick combines technology, OOH expertise, and data to enable efficient, seamless ad buying across the globe. Visit https://adquick.com/ to start reaching your customers in the real world.


    🕵️‍♂️ Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code UPSTREAM at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/upstream


    💥 Head to Squad to access global engineering without the headache and at a fraction of the cost: head to https://choosesquad.com/ and mention “Turpentine” to skip the waitlist.


    —

    LINKS:

    Byrne’s writing: https://thediff.co


    —

    X / TWITTER:

    @byrnehobart

    @eriktorenberg

    @turpentinemedia


    —

    HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE EPISODE:

    • Political Brand Leveraging & Business: Byrne discussed how Donald Trump Jr. is leveraging the Trump brand, noting this follows a pattern where relatives of politicians often engage in business dealings that trade on political connections.
    • High-Stakes Career Choices: They analyzed Dustin Moskovitz's departure from Asana, suggesting it may be motivated by existential AI concerns.
    • Existential Risk Perspectives: Byrne distinguished between "hot apocalypse" scenarios (like nuclear war) and "cold apocalypse" scenarios where societal function gradually deteriorates.
    • Twitter/X and Elon Musk: They discussed how Musk has managed to technically restore Twitter's valuation through financial engineering and leveraging connections between his companies.
    • Economic Policy and Tariffs: Extensive discussion of Trump's tariff strategy as a negotiation tactic rather than a permanent policy.
    • Recession Concerns: Byrne explained how markets anticipate economic changes before they appear in employment data, creating apparent disconnects between Wall Street and Main Street indicators.

    Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.


    E129: Dark Triad, Romantic Partner Selection, and Dating Advice w/ Rob Henderson Mar 27, 2025
    Show notes

    Today on Upstream, Erik Torenberg interviews author Rob Henderson about modern romance, discussing evolutionary psychology, the attraction to dark triad men, dating apps, and practical advice for men seeking romantic partners.


    —


    📰 Be notified early when Turpentine's drops new publication: https://www.turpentine.co/exclusiveaccess


    🙏 Help shape our show by taking our quick listener survey at https://bit.ly/TurpentinePulse


    —

    SPONSORS:

    ☁️Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) is a single platform for your infrastructure, database, application development, and AI needs. OCI has four to eight times the bandwidth of other clouds and offers one consistent price. Oracle is offering to cut your cloud bill in half. See if your company qualifies at https://oracle.com/turpentine


    🎯 Say goodbye to the headaches of out-of-home advertising. AdQuick combines technology, OOH expertise, and data to enable efficient, seamless ad buying across the globe. Visit https://adquick.com/ to start reaching your customers in the real world.


    🕵️‍♂️ Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code UPSTREAM at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/upstream


    💥 Head to Squad to access global engineering without the headache and at a fraction of the cost: head to https://choosesquad.com/ and mention “Turpentine” to skip the waitlist.


    —

    LINKS:

    Why (Some) Women are Attracted to Violent Men: https://www.robkhenderson.com/p/why-some-women-are-attracted-to-violent

     How to Choose a Romantic Partner: https://www.robkhenderson.com/p/how-to-choose-a-romantic-partner

    Richard Wrangham’s The Goodness Paradox: https://www.amazon.com/Goodness-Paradox-Relationship-Violence-Evolution/dp/1101870907

    Frans de Waal’s writings: https://www.goodreads.com/author/list/112082.Frans_de_Waal

    David Gilmore’s Manhood in the Making: https://www.amazon.com/Manhood-Making-Cultural-Concepts-Masculinity/dp/0300050763

    Neil Strauss’ The Game (Pickup Artists): https://www.amazon.com/Game-Penetrating-Secret-Society-Artists/dp/0060554738

    The Social Dimension of Sex: https://www.amazon.com/Social-Dimension-Sex-Roy-Baumeister/dp/0205324428


    —

    X / TWITTER:

    @robkhenderson

    @eriktorenberg

    @turpentinemedia


    —

    HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE EPISODE:

    • Evolutionary theory suggests some women may be drawn to men with dark triad personality traits (narcissism, psychopathy, Machiavellianism) as a protective mechanism.
    • Men who achieve high status among other men tend to also attract women.
    • Pickup artist culture evolved from self-improvement advice to more pessimistic "black pill" incel communities.
    • Basic improvements for men seeking relationships include grooming, fitness, career advancement, and creating a comfortable living space.
    • Research shows the strongest correlations between couples are in education, intelligence, political beliefs, and religion.
    • The effectiveness of showing vulnerability depends on how you're already perceived socially.
    • There's a significant lack of relationship guidance for young people compared to abundant career advice.
    • Dating preferences show more variety than expected, suggesting more opportunities than pessimistic views indicate.

    Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.


    E128: US-Europe Relations, How Japan Can Strengthen The Yen, and Predicting AI’s Growth Effects w/ Noah Smith Mar 23, 2025
    Show notes

    Today on Upstream, Erik Torenberg and Noah Smith analyze America's European withdrawal, China's selective globalization strategy, and tempers expectations about AI's economic impact while considering GDP measurement challenges.


    —


    📰Be notified early when Turpentine's drops new publication: https://www.turpentine.co/exclusiveaccess


    🙏Help shape our show by taking our quick listener survey at https://bit.ly/TurpentinePulse

    —


    RECOMMENDED PODCASTS:

    🎙️Moment of Zen

    Every week, Erik Torenbergand frequent special guests discuss what's happening in technology, business, politics, and beyond.

    Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/15KYOzvDzAQvqX0z0SpHEJ

    Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/moment-of-zen/id1661672738


    —


    SPONSORS:

    ☁️Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) is a single platform for your infrastructure, database, application development, and AI needs. OCI has four to eight times the bandwidth of other clouds and offers one consistent price. Oracle is offering to cut your cloud bill in half. See if your company qualifies at https://oracle.com/turpentine


    🎯Say goodbye to the headaches of out-of-home advertising. AdQuick combines technology, OOH expertise, and data to enable efficient, seamless ad buying across the globe. Visit https://adquick.com/ to start reaching your customers in the real world.


    🕵️‍♂️Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code UPSTREAM at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/upstream


    💥 Head to Squad to access global engineering without the headache and at a fraction of the cost: head to https://choosesquad.com/ and mention “Turpentine” to skip the waitlist.


    —


    RECOMMENDED IN THIS EPISODE:

    Weeb Economy: https://bookplus.nikkei.com/atcl/catalog/25/03/02/01880/

    I have written a book!: https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/i-have-written-a-book

    Noahpinion: https://www.noahpinion.blog/


    —


    X / TWITTER:


    @noahpinion

    @eriktorenberg

    @turpentinemedia


    —


    HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE EPISODE:

    • U.S.-Europe Relations & Geopolitical Shifts: Examines the U.S. shift away from supporting Europe, debating whether it was exploited or harming its own interests, with Trump’s strength-focused foreign policy potentially pivoting toward Russia, risking economic and intelligence ties with Europe.
    • China's Economic Strategy & Globalization: The Belt and Road Initiative has largely failed, with poorly executed projects and unsustainable debt burdens for recipient countries.
    • India's Industrialization & Economic Future: India needs a major shift in labor dynamics, particularly increasing women's participation in factory work.
    • AI, Economic Growth & the O-Ring Theory: AI’s impact on economic growth is debated—some expect 10% growth, while Noah sees 5% as more realistic.
    • Japan’s Economy & Currency Strength: Japan should push for a new Plaza Accord with the U.S. to strengthen the yen.
    • AI’s Impact on Jobs & Productivity: AI is unlikely to eliminate all jobs but will require major adjustments in industries and legal structures.




    Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.


    E127: The Tech Right and How The Left Can Fix Itself w/ Jon Askonas Mar 20, 2025
    Show notes

    Today on Upstream, we’re airing Erik Torenberg’s conversation with Jon Askonas. They explore the emerging coalition between MAGA supporters and Silicon Valley tech leaders, examines the underlying political realignment, the tensions and fault lines within this coalition, and the potential future conflicts surrounding issues like immigration and transhumanism.


    This episode originally aired on Moment Zen (February 22, 2025)


    —


    📰Be notified early when Turpentine's drops new publication: https://www.turpentine.co/exclusiveaccess


    🙏Help shape our show by taking our quick listener survey at https://bit.ly/TurpentinePulse

    —

    RECOMMENDED PODCASTS:

    🎙️Moment of Zen

    Every week, Erik Torenbergand frequent special guests discuss what's happening in technology, business, politics, and beyond.

    Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/15KYOzvDzAQvqX0z0SpHEJ

    Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/moment-of-zen/id1661672738


    —

    SPONSORS:

    ☁️Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) is a single platform for your infrastructure, database, application development, and AI needs. OCI has four to eight times the bandwidth of other clouds and offers one consistent price. Oracle is offering to cut your cloud bill in half. See if your company qualifies at https://oracle.com/turpentine


    🎯Say goodbye to the headaches of out-of-home advertising. AdQuick combines technology, OOH expertise, and data to enable efficient, seamless ad buying across the globe. Visit https://adquick.com/ to start reaching your customers in the real world.


    🕵️‍♂️Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code UPSTREAM at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/upstream


    💥 Head to Squad to access global engineering without the headache and at a fraction of the cost: head to https://choosesquad.com/ and mention “Turpentine” to skip the waitlist.


    —

    LINKS:

    Ezra Klein on Supply-side Progressivism, Polarization, and What Silicon Valley Misses About Politics: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l1vBO8SYvto

    The Future of Crypto with Brian Armstrong, CEO of Coinbase: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CQdaQr3EW8g

    Tech for Trump: https://www.city-journal.org/article/tech-for-trump

    The New Control Society: https://www.thenewatlantis.com/publications/the-new-control-society


    —

    X / TWITTER:


    @JonAskonas

    @eriktorenberg

    @turpentinemedia


    —

    HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE EPISODE:

    • Silicon Valley has experienced a significant shift away from Democrats, visually demonstrated by tech CEOs like Nadella, Pichai, Bezos, and Zuckerberg attending Trump's inauguration.
    • The tech elite was historically one of the most entrenched parts of the Democratic coalition from the Clinton era through the Obama administration.
    • COVID enabled tech to be publicly anti-left due to perceived governance incompetence, with figures like Mike Solana leading criticism of San Francisco's policies.
    • Brian Armstrong's "no politics at Coinbase" stance marked a controversial turning point, though it wasn't explicitly right-wing.
    • The new right coalition consists of three pillars: the Tech Right (elite talent and donors), MAGA (America First policies), and MAHA (Make America Healthy Again).
    • What unites this coalition is an "existential fight with the Cathedral" - targeting establishment institutions rather than protecting existing systems.
    • Immigration represents a major fault line, with tech generally being pro-immigration while the MAGA base is restrictionist.
    • Transhumanism and biotechnology create tension between tech enthusiasm for innovation versus MAGA/MAHA skepticism about "messing with natural biology."
    • Democrats are struggling with post-election analysis, focusing on messaging rather than substance.
    • Trump's approach differs from previous Republicans by focusing on destroying rather than reforming institutions.
    • Many of Trump's most controversial positions were actually Democratic positions in the 1990s.

    Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.


    E126: Data Center Economics and AI Energy Requirements w/ Patrick McKenzie and Azeem Azhar Mar 15, 2025
    Show notes

    Today on Upstream, we’re releasing Patrick MacKenzie's interview with Azeem Azhar which originally aired in February 2025 on Complex Systems. They discuss the economics and infrastructure of data centers, comparing historical infrastructure rollouts to modern AI-driven data center needs, and explore the implications of exponential power demands, including innovations like small modular nuclear reactors and geothermal energy.


    —


    📰Be notified early when Turpentine's drops new publication: https://www.turpentine.co/exclusiveaccess


    🙏Help shape our show by taking our quick listener survey at https://bit.ly/TurpentinePulse

    —

    RECOMMENDED PODCASTS:

    🎙️Complex Systems with Patrick McKenzie

    Patrick McKenzie (@patio11) talks to experts who understand the complicated but not unknowable systems we rely on. You might be surprised at how quickly Patrick and his guests can put you in the top 1% of understanding for stock trading, tech hiring, and more.

    Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/3Mos4VE3figVXleHDqfXOH

    Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/complex-systems-with-patrick-mckenzie-patio11/id1753399812


    —

    SPONSORS:

    ☁️ Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) is a single platform for your infrastructure, database, application development, and AI needs. OCI has four to eight times the bandwidth of other clouds and offers one consistent price. Oracle is offering to cut your cloud bill in half. See if your company qualifies at oracle.com/turpentine


    🎯 Say goodbye to the headaches of out-of-home advertising. AdQuick combines technology, OOH expertise, and data to enable efficient, seamless ad buying across the globe. Visit adquick.com to start reaching your customers in the real world.


    🕵️‍♂️ Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code UPSTREAM at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/upstream


    💥 Head to Squad to access global engineering without the headache and at a fraction of the cost: head to https://choosesquad.com/ and mention “Turpentine” to skip the waitlist.


    —

    LINKS:

    Exponential View: https://www.exponentialview.co/

    OpenAI Hails $500 Billion Stargate Plan: 'More Compute Leads to Better Models': https://www.wsj.com/livecoverage/stock-market-today-dow-sp500-nasdaq-live-01-22-2025/card/openai-to-release-new-gpt-model-ai-agents-soon-MrUYupSuChEdJh07oIWp

    Byrne Hobart’s ‘Boom: Bubbles and the End of Stagnatiom’: https://www.amazon.com/Boom-Bubbles-Stagnation-Byrne-Hobart/dp/1953953476

    Inside the World's Largest AI Supercluster xAI Colossus: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jf8EPSBZU7Y&t=142s

    Leopold Aschenbrenner’s SITUATIONAL AWARENESS: The Decade Ahead: https://situational-awareness.ai/

    Dave Kasten’s The Essay Meta: https://davekasten.substack.com/p/welcome-to-the-essay-meta

    Travis Dauwalter’s Complex Systems episode: https://www.complexsystemspodcast.com/episodes/electricity-grids-travis-dauwalter/

    Austin Vernon (Fracking) Complex Systems: https://www.complexsystemspodcast.com/episodes/fracking-austin-vernon/

    Project InnerSpace Resources: https://projectinnerspace.org/resources/

    Bloom Filters Explained: https://systemdesign.one/bloom-filters-explained/


    —

    X / TWITTER:

    @azeem

    @patio11

    @eriktorenberg

    @turpentinemedia


    Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.


    E125: Palantir’s Politics, Elon’s Approach to DOGE, and AI’s Effects on Writing w/ Byrne Hobart Mar 13, 2025
    Show notes

    Today on Upstream, Byrne Hobart and Erik Torenberg dive into the wide-ranging effects of technological change on media and society. They cover the AI debate, blogging's social impact, AI's influence on search and data, the changing news industry, foreign aid cuts, and the rise of new tech elites.


    This episode originally aired on The Riff (March 11, 2025).


    —

    📰 Be notified early when Turpentine's drops new publication: https://www.turpentine.co/exclusiveaccess


    🙏 Help shape our show by taking our quick listener survey at https://bit.ly/TurpentinePulse

    —

    RECOMMENDED PODCASTS:

    🎙️Investor and writer of the popular newsletter The Diff, Byrne Hobart, and co-host Erik Torenberg discuss today’s major inflection points in technology, business, and markets – and help listeners build a diversified portfolio of trends and ideas for the future.

    Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-riff-with-byrne-hobart-and-erik-torenberg/id1716646486

    Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/6rANlV54GCARLgMOtpkzKt

    YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@TheRiffPodcast


    —

    SPONSORS:

    ☁️Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) is a single platform for your infrastructure, database, application development, and AI needs. OCI has four to eight times the bandwidth of other clouds and offers one consistent price. Oracle is offering to cut your cloud bill in half. See if your company qualifies at oracle.com/turpentine


    🎯Say goodbye to the headaches of out-of-home advertising. AdQuick combines technology, OOH expertise, and data to enable efficient, seamless ad buying across the globe. Visit adquick.com to start reaching your customers in the real world.


    🕵️‍♂️Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code UPSTREAM at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/upstream


    💥 Head to Squad to access global engineering without the headache and at a fraction of the cost: head to https://choosesquad.com/ and mention “Turpentine” to skip the waitlist.


    —

    LINKS:

    Byrne’s writing: https://thediff.co


    —

    X / TWITTER:

    @byrnehobart

    @eriktorenberg

    @turpentinemedia


    —

    HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE EPISODE:

    • AI's impact on written content is overstated despite its technical achievements.
    • The social adjustment to blogging was more disruptive than our current adjustment to AI-generated content.
    • Traditional media eventually incorporated blogging and adapted to different publishing cadences.
    • "Real news" remains the least lucrative part of the news business.
    • Media outlets drive partisan narratives through topic selection, not just content framing.
    • Readers generally don't want nuanced views that might challenge their existing beliefs.
    • Bezos positioned the Washington Post to serve growth-oriented progressives and non-Trumpist conservatives.
    • Elon Musk's "Doge" review of USAID may use a strategy of cutting drastically then restoring essential services.
    • Programs like PEPFAR (AIDS relief) have extremely high returns on investment that shouldn't be overlooked.
    • US military spending could be viewed as a form of foreign aid by preventing global conflicts.
    • Karp critiques tech for excelling at "delivering delightful trivialities" but neglecting serious national challenges.
    • Silicon Valley has shifted from "atheist libertarianism" to more nationalist viewpoints.
    • Companies like Palantir represent a public-private synthesis of government capability.
    • Tech companies had anti-establishment cultures when small but now are the establishment themselves.
    • Education polarization has strongly influenced political alignments in the tech industry.
    • When outsiders become insiders, they need to adopt more pragmatic governance approaches.

    Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.


    E124: How to Have A Philosophical Marriage w/ Agnes Callard and Arnold Brooks Mar 09, 2025
    Show notes

    Today on Upstream, we’re releasing an episode from Modern Relationships which originally aired on February 28, 2025 where Erik Torenberg interviews philosophy professors Agnes Callard and Arnold Brooks about their unconventional marriage, the role of philosophy in their relationship, the impact of their public profile, and how they balance personal and philosophical life together.


    —


    📰 Be notified early when Turpentine's drops new publication: https://www.turpentine.co/exclusiveaccess


    🙏 Help shape our show by taking our quick listener survey at https://bit.ly/TurpentinePulse

    —

    RECOMMENDED PODCASTS:

    🎙️Check out Modern Relationships, where Erik Torenberg interviews tech power couples and leading thinkers to explore how ambitious people actually make partnerships work. This season's guests include: Delian Asparouhov & Nadia Asparouhova, Kristen Berman & Phil Levin, Rob Henderson, and Liv Boeree & Igor Kurganov.

    Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/id1786227593

    Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5hJzs0gDg6lRT6r10mdpVg

    YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@ModernRelationshipsPod


    —

    SPONSORS:

    ☁️ Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) is a single platform for your infrastructure, database, application development, and AI needs. OCI has four to eight times the bandwidth of other clouds and offers one consistent price. Oracle is offering to cut your cloud bill in half. See if your company qualifies at oracle.com/turpentine


    🎯 Say goodbye to the headaches of out-of-home advertising. AdQuick combines technology, OOH expertise, and data to enable efficient, seamless ad buying across the globe. Visit adquick.com to start reaching your customers in the real world.


    🕵️‍♂️ Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code UPSTREAM at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/upstream


    💥 Head to Squad to access global engineering without the headache and at a fraction of the cost: head to https://choosesquad.com/ and mention “Turpentine” to skip the waitlist.


    —

    LINKS:

    New Yorker article on Agnes and Arnold, by Rachel Aviv: https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2023/03/13/agnes-callard-profile-marriage-philosophy

    Agnes Callard: https://philosophy.uchicago.edu/faculty/a-callard

    Arnold Brooks: https://philosophy.uchicago.edu/arnold-brooks

    Pre-order Agnes Callard's new book Open Socrates: https://wwnorton.com/books/open-socrates

    Agnes Callard on Upstream: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8JotaCsaG3Y


    —

    X / TWITTER:

    @AgnesCallard

    @eriktorenberg

    @turpentinemedia


    —

    HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE EPISODE:

    • Agnes Callard and Arnold Brooks are philosophy professors at University of Chicago who met when she was his teacher, leading to her divorce from Ben and marriage to Arnold.
    • Agnes was initially attracted to Arnold's remarkable ability to interpret Aristotle, which she considered more impressive than conventional attractive qualities.
    • Arnold was drawn to Agnes as a "fellow philosopher" in a specific way he hadn't experienced with anyone else before.
    • Their philosophical disagreement centers on whether marriage is something achievable to build upon (Arnold's view) or an indefinite pursuit toward an ideal that may be beyond reach (Agnes's view).
    • Agnes provocatively stated "marriage is a preparation for divorce" - not meaning marriages should end, but that relationships require navigating difficult circumstances.
    • They maintain an unusual living arrangement where Agnes, Arnold, and her ex-husband Ben all live together and co-parent.
    • Arnold says his primary attraction is simply witnessing Agnes's way of living, which doesn't require reciprocation.
    • They caution against basing relationships solely on reciprocal goods (I support you, you support me).
    • Their approach to raising "interesting" children involves asking them abstract questions rather than concrete ones.
    • Their New Yorker profile brought public attention that Agnes believes says more about readers' fascination than about their actual relationship.

    Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.


    E123: Trump & The Game of Populism w/ Samo Burja Mar 06, 2025
    Show notes

    Erik Torenberg and Samo Burja discuss the limitations of populist politics, the difficulty populists face in effecting change despite electoral wins, and the influence of digital democracy on modern governance.


    —


    📰 Be notified early when Turpentine's drops new publication: https://www.turpentine.co/exclusiveaccess


    🙏 Help shape our show by taking our quick listener survey at https://bit.ly/TurpentinePulse

    —

    RECOMMENDED PODCASTS:

    🎙️Live Players

    Samo Burja and Erik Torenberg provide analysis of the news and case studies of Live Players, as well as key institutions and technologies that make up the global power landscape.

    Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/live-players-with-samo-burja-and-erik-torenberg/id1718925188

    Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5fbMTkHBnom1JIBWYNVBK1?si=01ed191c74264f55

    Youtube: https://www.youtube.com/@LivePlayerswithSamoBurja


    —

    SPONSORS:

    ☁️ Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) is a single platform for your infrastructure, database, application development, and AI needs. OCI has four to eight times the bandwidth of other clouds and offers one consistent price. Oracle is offering to cut your cloud bill in half. See if your company qualifies at https://oracle.com/turpentine


    🎯 Say goodbye to the headaches of out-of-home advertising. AdQuick combines technology, OOH expertise, and data to enable efficient, seamless ad buying across the globe. Visit https://adquick.com/ to start reaching your customers in the real world.


    🕵️‍♂️ Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code UPSTREAM at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/upstream


    💥 Head to Squad to access global engineering without the headache and at a fraction of the cost: head to https://choosesquad.com/ and mention “Turpentine” to skip the waitlist.


    —

    LINKS:

    Bismark Analysis: https://brief.bismarckanalysis.com/


    —

    X / TWITTER:

    @samoburja

    @eriktorenberg

    @turpentinemedia


    —

    HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE EPISODE:

    • Populists win elections but struggle to govern effectively against entrenched bureaucracies.
    • Modern populism confronts administrative states, unlike historical populism that opposed monarchies.
    • The administrative state was ironically strengthened by early 20th century populist movements.
    • Case studies (Hungary, Brexit) show winning elections doesn't guarantee successful implementation.
    • Trump faces resistance from within the Republican Party, limiting his appointment power.
    • Elon Musk and X.com provide Trump stronger tools than he had in 2016.
    • Left populism offers direct benefits while right populism promises protection from threats.
    • Samo suggests tech elites could pool money to counter traditional Republican donors' influence.
    • Future Democratic success may come from candidates combining progressive policies with family-oriented messaging.
    • Populism emerged through internet's bypass of traditional media gatekeepers.
    • Western democracies need a new balance between populist movements and administrative institutions.

    Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.


    E122: Victor Davis Hanson on What Trump Thinks of Zelensky and Predicting Geopolitics Mar 01, 2025
    Show notes

    In this Upstream episode, Erik Torenberg sits down with military historian Victor Davis Hanson. They discuss the future of Ukraine, Israel, and Taiwan, the evolution of the American left, and Donald Trump's potential future legacy.


    —


    📰 Be notified early when Turpentine's drops new publication: https://www.turpentine.co/exclusiveaccess


    🙏 Help shape our show by taking our quick listener survey at https://bit.ly/TurpentinePulse


    —

    SPONSORS:

    ☁️Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) is a single platform for your infrastructure, database, application development, and AI needs. OCI has four to eight times the bandwidth of other clouds and offers one consistent price. Oracle is offering to cut your cloud bill in half. See if your company qualifies at oracle.com/turpentine


    🎯 Say goodbye to the headaches of out-of-home advertising. AdQuick combines technology, OOH expertise, and data to enable efficient, seamless ad buying across the globe. Visit adquick.com to start reaching your customers in the real world.


    🕵️‍♂️ Take your personal data back with Incogni! Use code UPSTREAM at the link below and get 60% off an annual plan: https://incogni.com/upstream


    💥 Head to Squad to access global engineering without the headache and at a fraction of the cost: head to https://choosesquad.com/ and mention “Turpentine” to skip the waitlist.


    —

    LINKS:

    Official site: https://victorhanson.com/

    The Victor Davis Hanson podcast: https://victorhanson.com/podcasts/

    Hoover Institution - featured publications and videos: https://www.hoover.org/profiles/victor-davis-hanson

    Erik's substack: https://eriktorenberg.substack.com/


    —

    X / TWITTER:

    @VDHanson

    @eriktorenberg

    @turpentinemedia


    —

    HIGHLIGHTS FROM THE EPISODE:

    • Trump's second term will likely be less chaotic due to appointees who align with his agenda.
    • The Republican party is now more unified without "Never Trumpers."
    • Trump expanded his coalition by winning significant portions of Hispanic and Black male votes.
    • JD Vance is positioned as a strong 2028 candidate due to his background and communication skills.
    • Europe will likely move politically rightward due to economic and defense inadequacies.
    • Germany maintains trade surpluses while not meeting NATO defense spending requirements.
    • The US-European relationship has become unbalanced with Europeans criticizing while depending on American defense.
    • The Ukraine-Russia conflict will likely end with a DMZ rather than Ukraine reclaiming all territory.
    • Putin invaded Ukraine because he perceived weakness in US leadership.
    • Western interference in Ukrainian politics contributed to tensions.
    • Trump's peace plan includes strategic investment in Ukrainian minerals near the DMZ.
    • There's inconsistency in how the US approaches Ukraine versus Israel regarding civilian casualties.
    • China is less likely to invade Taiwan compared to Russia's invasion of Ukraine.
    • Pacific allies are actively rearming against Chinese threats.
    • New warfare technologies like drones may prove more effective for Taiwan's defense than traditional carriers.
    • Israel struggles to convert tactical victories into strategic resolution.
    • "Abraham Accords" allies have complex motivations including concerns about Iran.
    • Western democracies struggle with asymmetric warfare and maintaining resolve for definitive victory.
    • Democrats should return to Clinton-era policies on borders, crime, and budgets.
    • Democrats are controlled by a hard left with positions only 20% of Americans support.
    • Trump is transforming American politics from race-based to class-based coalition building.
    • Republicans are becoming "the party of the middle class" while Democrats represent coastal elites and the subsidized poor.

    Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.


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