Unexpected Value - Poker · Daily Fantasy · Sports Betting

Latest Episodes:

#117: True Bum Hunting Oct 01, 2025

Show notes

Jordan Cooper welcomes on John Miceli to discuss the skill gap in various daily fantasy formats, the criteria that typically attracts whales, why low stakes cash games may be pointless for game selection, the benefit of betting futures on prediction markets, and the lack of traction for more simpler P2P formats like pick'em pools.

➔ Follow John on Twitter: https://x.com/funconomist

➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail jordan@theoryofdfs.com

#116: Professor Pete Sep 17, 2025

Show notes

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Peter Overzet to discuss edges in Underdog draft games, the perils of fantasy football content creation & his experience being on-air for an NFL national broadcast.

➔ Underdog DFS Masterclass (use promo code DFS for 10% off): https://underdogmasterclass.com

#115: Long Time, No Speak Aug 28, 2025

Show notes

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Neil Orfield to discuss how to exploit your opponent's mistakes in season-long fantasy football, optimal drafting strategies for unique scoring formats or payout structures, and players to target or fade in casual home leagues.

➔ Subscribe to Neil on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@flannelverse

➔ Follow Neil on Twitter: https://x.com/playerqDFS

➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail jordan@theoryofdfs.com

#114: It's All Storytelling Jul 18, 2025

Show notes

Jordan Cooper discusses all the shenanigans at this year's WSOP, how poker tournament series have killed cash games, gambling tax changes in the 'big beautiful bill', and the importance of framing things in a way that will garner the most support from laypeople.

➔ Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@JordanCooper

➔ Follow me on Twitter: https://x.com/blenderhd

➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail jordan@theoryofdfs.com

#113: The Most Boring Sh*t Ever May 16, 2025

Show notes

Jordan Cooper discusses his experience playing live poker tournaments for the first time in about 18 years, whether or not tools will ruin Best Ball contests, and why catering to recreational players (and the reasons why they play) is paramount in P2P games.

➔ Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@JordanCooper

➔ Follow me on Twitter: https://x.com/blenderhd

➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail jordan@theoryofdfs.com

#112: Double Penetration Mar 21, 2025

Show notes

Jordan Cooper rants about the importance of keeping games accessible for the health of the ecosystem (as well as your profit long-term), mistakes people often make in double board PLO bomb pots, and info on joining the new Discord server!

➔ Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@JordanCooper

➔ Follow me on Twitter: https://x.com/blenderhd

➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail jordan@theoryofdfs.com

#111: Shared Knowledge Mar 14, 2025

Show notes

Jordan Cooper rants about the YouTube algorithm, taking breaks when not at 100% mentally, the perils of teaching people who don't want to learn, and how the chess community seems to differ greatly from that of ones in poker, daily fantasy, or sports betting.

➔ Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@JordanCooper

➔ Follow me on Twitter: https://x.com/blenderhd

➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail jordan@theoryofdfs.com

#110: Roots Radicals Feb 05, 2025

Show notes

Jordan Cooper rants about how DFS may be "dead" for some people, the paradox of creating useful sports betting content, why exploitative strategies trump all in live poker, hacking cruise casino comps, and a lot more.

➔ Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@JordanCooper

➔ Follow me on Twitter: https://x.com/blenderhd

➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail jordan@theoryofdfs.com

#109: Secrets of Modern Sports Betting Oct 17, 2023

Show notes

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Ed Miller to discuss his new book, why sports betting is a game of information asymmetry & adverse selection, how the ecosystem is held together by duct tape, the difference between markets & models, why online sports betting is still a "people business", and how one can potentially take advantage of the huge menus offered at modern sports books.

Interception: The Secrets of Modern Sports Betting: https://www.amazon.com/Interception-Secrets-Modern-Sports-Betting-ebook/dp/B0CKS8GGX4

Ed Miller on Twitter: https://twitter.com/EdMillerPoker

➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced

➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

#108: Eat Your Own Tail Sep 25, 2023

Show notes

Jordan Cooper welcomes on Daniel Hutchings (nerdytenor) to discuss the effect of contest simulations on the DFS ecosystem, who they could benefit most, their usefulness in large-field GPPs versus small-field ones, backtesting lineups post-lock, duplication concerns, and the race to equilibrium.

Daniel Hutchings on Twitter: https://twitter.com/nerdytenor

➔ Theory of DFS For Advanced Players: https://www.theoryofdfs.com/advanced

➔ Questions or feedback, e-mail questions@theoryofdfs.com

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