UBS On-Air: Market Moves

Latest Episodes:

Top of the Morning: Fixed Income Strategist - Q2 outlook Apr 23, 2024

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Our conversation outlines performance expectations for fixed income over the next few months, along with CIO’s current thinking on Fed rate cuts in 2024. We also review allocation fixed income allocation preferences. Featured is Leslie Falconio, Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Shiavon Chatman

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Is sentiment saying anything' Apr 23, 2024

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Another blast of business sentiment opinion polls will be trying to get attention today. European business sentiment has tended to underreport economic reality. The gut instincts of respondents do not necessarily match an objective assessment of the facts. The challenge is that any gains in sentiment might reflect improving reality, but might also reflect sentiment catching up with reality without the real world outlook shifting.

Top of the Morning: CIO Strategy Snapshot - The 6% economy Apr 22, 2024

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The markets have been faced in recent weeks with notable economic data releases, updated views on the Fed’s course for monetary policy, rising geopolitical concerns, and Q1 corporate reporting. Jason Draho addresses all of these factors and how they’re impacting markets, and shares guidance when it comes to positioning your portfolio. Plus, Jason weighs in as to whether the US economy has already “landed”. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Details, details' Apr 22, 2024

Show notes

Structural change is a challenge. Data becomes less reliable, and traditional economic relationships break. Last week, the UK reported London house prices underperformed the rest of the country, reflecting shifts triggered in part by flexible working. That trend changes real estate demand, consumption patterns, travel patterns, productivity, and leisure time—and tends to mean that economic activity is under-reported. This is why details in data are increasingly important.

Middle East Escalation: Outlook and implications Apr 20, 2024

Show notes

Tensions in the Middle East continue to rise following Iran’s attack on Israel. To discuss the latest developments and what could happen next, Solita Marcelli, CIO Americas, UBS Global Wealth Management, is joined by Admiral James Stavridis, Vice Chair of Global Affairs at The Carlyle Group, Paul Donovan, Chief Economist, UBS Global Wealth Management, and Jay Dobson, CIO Energy and Utilities Sector Strategist, UBS Global Wealth Management.

Washington Weekly Podcast: Geopolitics roundup, Congressional aid packages Apr 19, 2024

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In the wake of recent direct conflict between Israel and Iran, Shane recaps where the conflict stands and what the response has consisted of. We also preview a key weekend up on Capitol Hill where the House is slated to vote on legislation aimed at delivering several aid packages, with House Speaker Johnson’s future in question. Featured is Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Advisors, Governmental Affairs US. Host: Daniel Cassidy

Top of the Morning: The week in review and preview Apr 19, 2024

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As we conclude another trading week, we reflect on the start of the Q1 corporate earnings season, and recent activity within US equity markets. We also cover an outlook for equity market performance, as well as positioning preferences. Plus, a preview of the week ahead. Featured is Matt Tormey, Equity Strategist Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Shaivon Chatman

Viewpoints with Burkhard Varnholt - A global markets podcast (Ep. 3) Apr 19, 2024

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On this week’s episode, Burkhard explains how a young statistician saved the lives of many Air Force pilots during WWII - while the famous anecdote dates back almost 80 years, it still has lessons for investors. We also cover what the recent annual IMF meeting suggests about the global economy, and in turn, the potential road ahead for Fed rate cuts.

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Safe havens sought—for now' Apr 19, 2024

Show notes

Financial markets are having to assess political risks—something markets are ill-equipped to do. US officials confirmed Israel had attacked Iran, with reports of an explosion in Isfahan. The market response was a classic (perhaps unthinking) safe-haven trade. Does Iran now respond? Iranian media is downplaying the attacks, and it might be difficult for Iran’s government to retaliate if the narrative in Isfahan is “nothing to see here”.

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'The destructive power of economic nationalism' Apr 18, 2024

Show notes

US President Biden called China “xenophobic” in comments highlighting China’s structural economic challenges. Biden also pledged higher taxes on US consumers of China’s steel and aluminum. US Congress lives in terror that China will learn the “Texas hold‘em” TikTok dance before Speaker Johnson has mastered the moves, and is proposing to tie a TikTok ban to aid measures for Ukraine and Israel.

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UBS On-Air: Market Moves

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