UBS On-Air: Market Moves

Latest Episodes:

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Beige flags' Oct 16, 2025

Show notes

The Federal Reserve’s Beige Book of economic anecdotes was not affected by the absence of a functioning government. There was evidence of prices reacting to trade tariffs, and a sense of labor market fragility. However, it is possible that elements of political partisanship are being captured in some of the reported concerns.

Washington Weekly Podcast: Government shutdown update, US-China trade talks Oct 15, 2025

Show notes

Shane joins mid-week for an update on the US government shutdown, including a look at impacted services, and where negotiations stand to re-open the government. We also touch on recent developments surrounding US-China trade talks. Featured is Shane Lieberman, Senior Governmental Affairs Advisor, Governmental Affairs US. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Labor weakness still beats inflation increases' Oct 15, 2025

Show notes

Federal Reserve Chair Powell reiterated that labor market concerns dominate inflation concerns in current policy. The lack of a functioning US federal government means this economic analysis depends on dubious quality data—private sector polls and potentially distorted anecdotal evidence—but Powell has shown a willingness to depend on such data in making past policy decisions.

Industrial Real Estate: Outlook & opportunities with Dave Fazekas, Ares Management Oct 15, 2025

Show notes

Dave Fazekas is Partner & Head of North American Logistics with Ares Real Estate. Dave joins the podcast to discuss the current investment landscape for the Industrial Real Estate sector. We cover repricing and valuations, positioning considerations, and the impacts of factors such as macro uncertainty, US trade policy and tariffs, along with the rise of artificial intelligence. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Taking down the trade temperature' Oct 14, 2025

Show notes

Markets have detected some shifting around in the US approach to trade with China. US Treasury Secretary Bessent was vocal in asserting that US President Trump and China’s President Xi will meet. Markets have extrapolated from past meetings to conclude that this will reduce the temperature of the trade rhetoric.

Top of the Morning: CIO Strategy Snapshot - Navigating volatility Oct 13, 2025

Show notes

As investors begin a new week they are faced with the prospect of more trade uncertainty, the ongoing government shutdown, and the start of Q3 earnings season. Jason drops by to weigh in on these factors, along with Friday’s market sell-off, and CIO’s current positioning recommendations. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Shiavon Chatman

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Where to start?' Oct 13, 2025

Show notes

After US President Trump’s threat to impose additional significant tariffs on US buyers of goods from China, there has been a more conciliatory tone from both Trump and US Vice President Vance over the weekend. China’s September trade data showed stronger-than-expected exports (and imports). China’s data earlier this year was hinting at rerouting exports to help US importers avoid high tariffs.

Signal over Noise with Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi Oct 12, 2025

Show notes

Tune in at the start of the trading week ahead of the New York opening bell as Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, CIO Americas and Head of Global Equities for UBS Wealth Management, briefs you on what’s the signal, and what’s just noise in the markets. This week - in the absence of government macro data releases we see positive micro catalysts in US banks earnings. We expect US bank earnings to be strong based on increased trading activity, strong capital markets and stable net interest margins.

Talking Markets Podcast with Jan van Eck of VanEck Oct 10, 2025

Show notes

Jan van Eck is the Chief Executive Officer of VanEck. We cover a wide range of top of mind topics for investors, including a look at the US macroeconomic environment, the road ahead for monetary policy, the impacts of US trade policy and artificial intelligence to economic activity, asset allocation views, and more. Host: Daniel Cassidy

UBS On-Air: Paul Donovan Daily Audio 'Inflation (data) is coming' Oct 10, 2025

Show notes

The US government has announced that, regardless of the government shutdown, the September consumer price inflation data will be coming out (probably late). This is legally required, to enable the cost of living calculation that raises social security payments—huge swathes of US government spending are tied to inflation measures. The Federal Reserve should have this data when it meets.

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