Thoughtful Money with Adam Taggart

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Stephanie Pomboy: Economy Is A 'Slow-Motion Train Wreck' In Process Jul 09, 2025

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Analyst Stephanie Pomboy returns for her bi-weekly macro & market update.We discuss the ongoing slowdown in consumer spending, the repercussions of stubbornly high bond yields, the impact of the latest tariff developments and the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill, as well as where she thinks the economy is ultimately headed.

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#recession #bondyields #tariffs _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Sputnik Moment? China Absolutely Dominates US In Electricity Production | Doomberg Jul 08, 2025

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WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.comIn today's discussion we look at the all-important energy market. Remember, without energy, there is no economy.As we look to the future, where are global energy trends headed?How are the policies of the new Trump administration likely to impact these trends?And where are the best opportunities for investors likely to lie?Below are the Doomberg posts mentioned in this discussion:The Fix Is In:https://newsletter.doomberg.com/p/da6e6e36-e1db-4d53-b100-c82317ca3327Alberta Clipper:https://newsletter.doomberg.com/p/26dd5c88-314e-415e-93d7-95616fd73eeaChina Through the Lens of Energy:https://newsletter.doomberg.com/p/52366083-26e1-4289-899a-9352fb196a53#energy #china #naturalgas 0:00 - Significant Energy Trends of 20254:32 - Oil Price Equilibrium and Risk Premium9:48 - Natural Gas as an Oil Substitute15:02 - Natural Gas and AI Energy Demands20:37 - Nuclear vs. Natural Gas Solutions25:07 - China’s Energy Advantage and U.S. Response29:30 - China’s Energy Supply Chain37:36 - Impact of Trump’s Energy Policies41:24 - Trump’s Policies and National Prosperity47:58 - Rebuilding the U.S. Energy Grid49:48 - Investment Opportunities in Energy54:10 - Arbitrage Opportunities Over Time55:19 - Canada’s Energy Reforms Post-Election1:04:02 - Data Centers in Cold Regions1:10:13 - Closing and Resources:_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Precursor To Mayhem? All-Important Passive Capital Flows Are Faltering | Mike Green Jul 06, 2025

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When you're uncertain, they say to seek the counsel of those smarter than you.Well, amongst the many experts I interview on this channel, Michael Green is definitely in the top cohort intellectual horsepower-wise.Mike is portfolio manager & chief strategist at Simplify Asset Management. And today, we'll tap his latest thinking on the stock market, the credit markets, the economy, and where the new Administration's policies are taking us.Mike is one of the top experts on how passive capital flows (aka the "giant mindless robot") have been propelling stocks to record levels of (over?)valuation.Well, for the first time in a long time, we're starting to see those passive inflows falter.

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#passivecapitalflows #giantmindlessrobot #unemployment _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

The Economy Is Weakening & Stocks Will Have To Fall To Reflect That | Michael Lebowitz Jul 05, 2025

Show notes

The economy is showing increasing signs of weakening, and eventually stock prices are going to have to reflect that predicts portfolio manager Michael Lebowitz -- who guest stars in this week's Market Recap while Lance Roberts is traveling in the UK.Earnings estimates for the rest of this year and next are very optimistic, perhaps unrealistically so.Should the economy continue to weaken, the chances of attaining those earnings results will drop so low that Wall Street will have to start demanding that stocks trade at a discount to current prices.Michael and I discuss the logic why, as well dig into the newest -- and controversial -- non-farms payroll data, inflation expectations & bond yields, the investment potential of the artificial intelligence & energy sectors, and the future of Tesla.For everything that mattered to markets this week, watch this video.WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#recession #marketcorrection #tesla 0:00 - Welcome and Fourth of July Greetings2:20 - Market Technicals and Potential Melt-Up7:21 - Seasonal Trends and Upcoming Catalysts11:46 - Wall of Worry and Market Resilience16:17 - Drivers of the Market Breakout21:14 - Technical Indicators and Consolidation Needs22:56 - June Non-Farm Payrolls Report Analysis27:22 - Discrepancies in BLS and ADP Data32:26 - Economic Slowdown Signals36:42 - AI and Economic Growth Potential44:29 - Energy and AI Investment Opportunities56:00 - Upcoming AI and Energy Investing Event59:40 - Tesla and AI’s Physical Applications1:18:24 - Rant: Societal Risks of AI and UBI1:29:32 - Preparing for AI’s Impact1:34:16 - Closing and Financial Advice_____________________________________________Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Jan van Eck: Q3 Macro & Market Outlook Jul 04, 2025

Show notes

As he now does at the start of each quarter, Jan van Eck returned for a livestream this monring to share with us his macro & market outlook for Q3 2025.Deficits, tariffs, interest rates, bond yields, artificial intelligence, international equities, gold, Bitcoin....what lies in store ahead?Jan is CEO of VanEck, a highly-respected investment company with $116.3 billion in assets under management that offers a range of vehicles including exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, institutional funds, separately managed accounts, model delivery SMAs/model portfolios, and UCITS funds and ETFs.#stocks #goldprice #bitcoinprice __________________________________________________Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce & distribute educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

We've Destroyed Millennials' & GenZ's Trust In The System | Kyla Scanlon Jul 01, 2025

Show notes

I spend a lot of time on this channel talking with seasoned investors with decades of experience, the vast majority of whom are older than I -- oftentimes by several decades.But I'm no spring chicken.And I find myself more and more wondering how younger generations look at the world of finance and the economy -- especially with the daunting challenges they face: inflation & the high cost of living, extreme wealth inequality, record high housing unaffordability, AI's threat of mass jobs destruction, $37 trillion in national debt and growing...How are they feeling about stepping into the financial world they're inheriting? Is our education system teaching them financial literacy any better than the total failure it did with us?Where are they getting their financial information from?To find out, we have the pleasure of speaking with author, economic commentator, and educator Kyla Scanlon, one of the top Zillennial financial influencers. She is widely followed across TikTok, Instagram, YouTube, X and Substack.Follow Kyla on Substack at http://kyla.substack.com/Buy her book at https://www.amazon.com/This-Economy-Money-Markets-Really/dp/0593727878And follow her on TikTok, Instagram, YouTube and X at @kylascanWORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#millennials #genz #investing 0:00 - Younger adults’ financial concerns6:05 - Barbell approach to financial strategies10:00 - Decline in college ROI and trade school rise15:31 - AI-driven job displacement concerns19:39 - Trump’s job creation promises22:00 - New York’s socialist election outcome26:05 - Attention economy’s influence29:34 - Generational shift in media consumption34:26 - Key takeaways from Scanlon’s book39:30 - Engaging younger generations on finance43:45 - Strategies for short-form content46:04 - Encouraging financial literacy in youth49:50 - Current economic and market outlook54:42 - Advice for older generations57:59 - Following Scanlon’s work1:01:05 - Closing and actionable financial advice_____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Get Ready For A Downturn Unlike Any We've Seen Before | Michael Oliver Jun 29, 2025

Show notes

After the tariff tizzy that sent stocks falling earlier this year, the markets are back at all time highs and seemingly nothing -- not US involvement in a Middle East war, nor growing pushback to Trump's Big Beautiful Bill, nor a weakening consumer -- can cool Wall Street's red-hot optimism right now.Is this bull rally justified?Have we put the uncertainty and volatility that defined the first half of the year safely behind us now?Or are investors too confident now?For a market veteran's perspective, we're fortunate to be joined by technical analyst and author Michael Oliver, founder of market research firm Momentum Structural Analysis.Michael predicts an economic downturn unlike anyone living has seen before is headed our way. It will weigh on the markets, though he expects the price of gold and silver to skyrocket. Bitcoin, not so much...

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#goldprice #bearmarket #bitcoinprice _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Markets Are Back At An All-Time High & Speculation Is Out of Control | Lance Roberts Jun 28, 2025

Show notes

Portfolio manager Lance Roberts warns that speculation is running rampant among retail investors now. Yes, the market is now at an all-time high and the bulls are in charge.But as stocks are back to being overbought in the short term and earnings forecasts are likely going to have to be ratcheted down sometime soon, the risk of a blow-off top followed by a reversal is not low.We discuss the odds of that, plus potential market black swans and white swans, the growing student loan default crisis, weakening housing, cooling jobs markets, as well as Lance's firm's recent trades in this week's Market Recap.

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#speculation #bullmarket #marketcorrection _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

It's A Dangerous, Dangerous Market | New Harbor Jun 26, 2025

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The team of financial advisors are New Harbor Financial explain why this market could quickly race to new highs....but then experience another painful correction like we had in April...or possibly worse.

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKET? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#goldprice #iranisraelwar #federalreserve _____________________________________________ Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

Stephanie Pomboy: Bombs, Bullion & Big Trouble With Student Loans Jun 25, 2025

Show notes

In our latest bi-weekly livestream with Stephanie Pomboy this morning, we had a lot of ground to cover.We tackled the unexpected market reaction (stocks up/oil down) to this weekend’s bombing of Iran’s nuclear facilities by the US, whether the Fed is earning its “too late & often wrong” criticism, fast-growing delinquencies among student loans, the dwindling inflationary odds, and the brightening outlook for gold.

WORRIED ABOUT THE MARKETS? SCHEDULE YOUR FREE PORTFOLIO REVIEW with Thoughtful Money's endorsed financial advisors at https://www.thoughtfulmoney.com#studentloans #goldprice #inflationhedge __________________________________________________Thoughtful Money LLC is a Registered Investment Advisor Promoter.We produce & distribute educational content geared for the individual investor. It’s important to note that this content is NOT investment advice, individual or otherwise, nor should be construed as such.We recommend that most investors, especially if inexperienced, should consider benefiting from the direction and guidance of a qualified financial advisor registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) or state securities regulators who can develop & implement a personalized financial plan based on a customer’s unique goals, needs & risk tolerance.IMPORTANT NOTE: There are risks associated with investing in securities.Investing in stocks, bonds, exchange traded funds, mutual funds, money market funds, and other types of securities involve risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including a greater volatility and political, economic and currency risks and differences in accounting methods.A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.Thoughtful Money and the Thoughtful Money logo are trademarks of Thoughtful Money LLC.Copyright © 2025 Thoughtful Money LLC. All rights reserved.

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