The Pollsters

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#136: Traditional Values, Trump, Weinstein & Free Speech (10/12/17) Oct 12, 2017

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There's a lot to get upset about this week. Good thing we still have free speech! Tweet us @margieomero @ksoltisanderson @thepollsters. Columbus Day Rasmussen http://bit.ly/2ybNkPF Knights of Columbus/Marist http://bit.ly/2yGTxDQ Trump’s base play Morning Consult shows drop in every state http://bit.ly/2fZxzRm Rural voter support dropping http://reut.rs/2xtCtw7 Sexual Harassment/Discrimination Pew http://pewrsr.ch/2g8E0VK AELevy http://bit.ly/2wQZA4s CBS http://cbsn.ws/2wRD0IR Remember this ad? http://bit.ly/2gyqg3G Compromise vs. Polarization Gallup http://bit.ly/2hDfWat Pew http://pewrsr.ch/2z0qBnt Free Speech http://bit.ly/2i7WvdE http://theatln.tc/2z3khea http://brook.gs/2kJhQLo Guns Morning Consult/Politico http://politi.co/2guDZbE Traditional Values http://bit.ly/2hEOKb0 GIF Pics Gfycat https://gfycat.com/

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#135: Guns, PR, Taxes & Margie In Yolo Mode (10/5/17) Oct 05, 2017

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This is the first time since August we've been in the same room together. Woah. Don't forget to tweet us @margieomero @ksoltisanderson @thepollsters. Poll of the week - Russia The Chicago Council https://www.thechicagocouncil.org/sites/default/files/ccgasurvey2017_what_americans_think_about_america_first.pdf The Daily Trump Job Approval tracking http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/trump-job-approval Puerto Rico http://www.apnorc.org/PDFs/AP-NORC%20September%202017/AP%20Custom%20Poll%20Topline%20SEPTEMBER_Disaster_relief.pdf Tax Plan http://www.politico.com/story/2017/10/04/trump-tax-proposal-polling-243426 Guns Margie’s tough talk http://thehill.com/opinion/criminal-justice/353908-politicization-of-tragedy-is-the-last-thing-we-need-from-our-leaders Harry Enten on Pew’s tracking https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-u-s-has-never-been-so-polarized-on-guns/ Pew on guns www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2017/06/22/key-takeaways-on-americans-views-of-guns-and-gun-ownership/ More from Pew http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2017/07/05/among-gun-owners-nra-members-have-a-unique-set-of-views-and-experiences/ Margie’s recent poll: https://gunsdownamerica.org/new-poll-safety-over-gun-rights/ NYT on gun policies https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2017/01/10/upshot/How-to-Prevent-Gun-Deaths-The-Views-of-Experts-and-the-Public.html What Happened Stan Greenberg on “How She Lost” http://prospect.org/article/how-she-lost?utm_content=buffer15ea9&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer Steve Shepard’s follow-up http://www.politico.com/story/2017/09/29/hillary-clinton-campaign-2016-stop-polling-243202?utam_content=buffer3d23d&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer Does any of it matter? http://www.scholarsstrategynetwork.org/brief/what-election-campaigns-need-learn-persuade-voters-about-candidates-and-ballot-measures https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2017/09/26/the-end-of-political-campaigns-as-we-know-them-a-new-study-suggests-were-doing-it-all-wrong/?utm_term=.5072cf2b3cf2 The DMV VA Gov https://www.washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2017/10/05/National-Politics/Polling/release_495.xml?uuid=2I9j8qmBEeeamAcUDS7tAg MD Gov https://img1.wsimg.com/blobby/go/c605399a-45e7-4419-a45b-796c7289ab0c/downloads/1brjlvpme_166802.pdf National Boyfriend Day https://nationaltoday.com/us/national-boyfriend-day/

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#134: Kristen Is Back! Polls From Germany, China & Alabama (9/28/17) Sep 28, 2017

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Kristen is back! Which is great, because we only have about one zillion polls to discuss. Find us @ksoltisanderson @margieomero @thepollsters. Big news coming soon. Promise! Polls of the week: Alabama https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/will-alabama-republicans-defy-trump/ Virginia https://buff.ly/2wX4e50 Trumpsanity Huffington Post average http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/trump-job-approval Washington Post/ABC https://buff.ly/2xHy8ch Oprah/Luntz Focus Group https://buff.ly/2wY3fwc Tax reform Washington Post/ABC https://buff.ly/2xGLipB CNN http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2017/images/09/27/cnnssrspoll.pdf NFL/Race Cato’s NFL poll https://buff.ly/2fSzRlC Reuters/IPSOS on NFL: https://buff.ly/2xzjjJn Perry Undem survey among Blacks https://view.publitas.com/perryundem-research-communication/black-american-survey-report_final/page/1 Historical data from Gallup: https://buff.ly/2xynrJA Germany https://buff.ly/2fSJL6K Pre-Election Polling Average. http://pollytix.eu/pollytix-german-election-trend/ Pew on China http://assets.pewresearch.org/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2016/10/Pew-Research-Center-China-Report-FINAL-October-5-2016.pdf CSI The Pollsters Pew on role of TV http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2017/09/25/shows-and-films-about-crime-medicine-help-foster-a-positive-view-of-scientists-say-many-americans/ Chinese dating app http://m.scmp.com/lifestyle/article/2112408/chinese-online-dating-giant-zhenaicom-shows-money-still-driver-politically?amp=1

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#133: Margie & NBC's Mark Murray: Polling In 2016's Final Days (9/20/17) Sep 20, 2017

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Margie & Mark Murray talk about Texas Football, 2016 polling, & where media coverage of polling may go next. Be sure to read his piece on 2016's final stretch: "12 days that stunned a nation." http://nbcnews.to/2w2TDlc Find Mark on Twitter: @mmurraypolitics & as always we're @margieomero @ksoltisanderson @thepollsters.

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#132: Margie Talks To Cornell Belcher (9/14/17) Sep 14, 2017

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With Kristen away Margie is super-psyched to interview Cornell Belcher, Democratic pollster to Obama, the DNC, the DSCC and more. We get Cornell's take on the current climate around race, where the Democratic Party should go next, his mentors along the way, and of course fax machines. Find his book here: http://a.co/8a9rwLk Or find him online @cornellbelcher.

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#131: Racism, Harvey, & The Burning Man Census (9/6/17) Sep 07, 2017

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Welcome back! For people not ready to give up on summer just yet, we have a few segments just for you. For people who want to send us tweets, check out @ksoltisanderson @margieomero @thepollsters. How do you Labor Day? Gallup on labor unions http://www.gallup.com/poll/217331/labor-union-approval-best-2003.aspx?g_source=Workplace&g_medium=newsfeed&g_campaign=tiles Wallethub on labor day shopping https://wallethub.com/credit-cards/#labor-day-spending Hurricane Harvey Politico/Morning Consult http://www.politico.com/story/2017/09/06/trump-hurricane-harvey-relief-242348 The Week In Trump Pew on views toward Trump http://www.people-press.org/2017/08/29/republicans-divided-in-views-of-trumps-conduct-democrats-are-broadly-critical/ KSA talks to Ron Brownstein https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/08/a-republican-pollster-is-losing-faith-in-her-party/538497/ Fox news poll: with numbers like these... http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2017/08/31/fox-news-poll-august-31-2017.html Immigration/DACA Morning Consult/Politico http://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000015e-5366-df04-a5df-d76730df0002 Pew/worries about racism http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2017/08/29/views-of-racism-as-a-major-problem-increase-sharply-especially-among-democrats/ PRRI & religion https://www.prri.org/research/american-religious-landscape-christian-religiously-unaffiliated/ Sanders & Trump voters John Sides & the Monkey Cage https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2017/08/24/did-enough-bernie-sanders-supporters-vote-for-trump-to-cost-clinton-the-election/?utm_term=.07653a3b36c1 Burning Man Census & Coconuts Burning Man Census https://drive.google.com/file/d/0BxJfvV_7__jqRTlpVHRWbGZIMkE/view

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#130: The Polls That Might Drive You To Drink (8/24/17) Aug 24, 2017

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It's almost National Red Wine Day. It can't come soon enough. Tweet us @margieomero @ksoltisanderson @thepollsters. Poll of The Week: Not Here To Make Friends McConnell’s Kentucky numbers http://ourlivesontheline.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/KentuckyResults.pdf Cuomo’s NY numbers: https://poll.qu.edu/new-york-state/release-detail?ReleaseID=2472 Trump-mania HP aggregator: http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/trump-job-approval Charlottesville WP/ABC poll: https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/poll-shows-strong-disapproval-of-how-trump-responded-to-charlottesville-violence/2017/08/21/4e5c585c-868b-11e7-a94f-3139abce39f5_story.html?utm_term=.69c84e8189ea http://apps.washingtonpost.com/g/page/politics/washington-post-abc-news-poll-aug-16-20-2017/2235/ Reuters on monuments: http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-protests-poll-idUSKCN1B12EG MassINC poll in Virginia: https://massincpolling.com/2017/08/22/virginia-voters-divided-on-blame-for-charlottesville-violence/ Morning consult/Politico http://www.politico.com/story/2017/08/23/trump-charlottesville-polls-241917?lo=ap_a1 GW/Battleground poll https://mediarelations.gwu.edu/battleground-poll Troll poll alert http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2017/08/trump-holds-steady-after-charlottesville-supporters-think-whites-christians-face-discrimination.html “Level-headed” polling from Quinnipiac: https://poll.qu.edu/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2482 All about that base from Fabrizio https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2017/08/22/trumps-own-pollster-just-confirmed-his-base-is-weakening/ A Harry Enten Investigation https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/fake-polls-are-a-real-problem/ Back to school Safe spaces on campus http://www.gallup.com/poll/216278/why-republicans-down-higher.aspx?g_source=Education&g_medium=newsfeed&g_campaign=tiles Is back to school shopping stressful? https://morningconsult.com/2017/08/14/poll-walmart-fan-favorite-among-parents-back-school-shopping/ National Red Wine Day comes earlier every year https://nationaltoday.com/us/national-red-wine-day/

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#129: We're Going To Need Something Stronger Than Coffee (8/17/17) Aug 17, 2017

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Somebody please come to the rescue. We’ll try anything at this point. In the meantime, tweet us @ksoltisanderson @margieomero @thepollsters. Poll of the week: Alabama pollsters take a bow: Polling average comes pretty close: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-to-watch-for-in-tonights-alabama-senate-primaries/ Trump-losion Status unchanged. That doesn’t mean it’s good: http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/trump-job-approval HuffPo on Charlottesville http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/americans-trump-white-nationalism-poll_us_59941e9ee4b04b193361c305 http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/tabsHPCharlottesville20170814.pdf CBS has a poll on Charlottesville https://www.cbsnews.com/news/americans-divided-over-trumps-response-to-charlottesville-cbs-news-poll/ NPR/Newshour/Marist also has a poll: http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/misc/usapolls/us170814_PBS/NPR_PBS%20NewsHour_Marist%20Poll_National%20Nature%20of%20the%20Sample%20and%20Tables_August%2017,%202017.pdf#page=3 Kristen wrote a thing on Trump’s hardcore base. http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/data-show-that-trumps-real-base-is-24-percent-of-the-electorate/article/2631618 Margie wrote a thing on racism in focus groups. http://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/national-party-news/346653-a-view-from-a-pollster-on-trump-and-race-animus Rasmussen has asked about confederate monuments, http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/general_politics/may_2017/voters_oppose_removing_confederate_monuments LSU asked it too http://pprllsu.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/Louisiana-Survey-2016-Report-Seven-FINALv2.pdf Everything is fine, says Gallup (not really) http://www.gallup.com/poll/216260/trump-scores-highest-strong-leader-less.aspx?g_source=Politics&g_medium=newsfeed&g_campaign=tiles You’re Mitching the point Not here to make friends: http://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000015d-e70e-d965-a55d-efeee5330001 http://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000015d-e70d-d36c-a17f-e7ddb75c0000 http://www.politico.com/story/2017/08/16/trump-mcconnell-republicans-241670 Gallup gets in on the act http://www.gallup.com/poll/215885/mitch-mcconnell-favorables-down-among-republicans.aspx?g_source=Politics&g_medium=newsfeed&g_campaign=tiles The Mav is back http://www.gallup.com/poll/215897/mccain-favorability-healthcare-vote.aspx?g_source=Politics&g_medium=newsfeed&g_campaign=tiles 2020 can’t come soon enough… Gallup on Elizabeth Warren http://www.gallup.com/poll/216158/warren-image-remains-split-she-becomes-better-known.aspx?g_source=Politics&g_medium=newsfeed&g_campaign=tiles Coffee: we’re going to need it. https://www.forbes.com/sites/niallmccarthy/2017/08/11/the-countries-that-love-grabbing-coffee-to-go-infographic/#5397b4d32674

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#128: Life (Or At Least The Show) Must Go On (8/10/17) Aug 10, 2017

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Is it the end of the world as we know it? Well we're going to record literally from a bubble no matter what! Tweet us @ksoltisanderson @margieomero @thepollsters with your audio tips, prepping tips, and polling tips. Poll of the Week Gallup: Parents choose to intervene when a child is bored http://bit.ly/2vOYdFM This Week in Trump HuffPost: Trump Approval Ratings http://bit.ly/2jBmTwz SSRS/CNN: Low approval ratings at Trump’s 200 days mark http://cnn.it/2vJgg0I Pew Research: Both parties believe the future will be worse for their children http://pewrsr.ch/2vwAUAg Kasichmania? ARG: In theoretical GOP primary, likely NH voters would choose Kasich over Trump https://usat.ly/2hGlQKX Nuclear North Korea SSRS/CBS News: Americans feel uneasy about future US/North Korean Relations http://cbsn.ws/2vJhYy6 Women in the Tech World Science: Girls begin believing boys are smarter at young age http://for.tn/2kbLION Harris Poll/Kapor Center: Women site unfairness as a top reason for leaving tech industry http://bit.ly/2pub3SX ISACA: Women in tech industry cite a lack of mentors and gender bias http://bit.ly/2hLugkz The Bieber Belt http://nyti.ms/2vOTx2j NYT: Maps show concentration of music artist fans across the US http://nyti.ms/2ftM9DK Reddit/Wide Open Country: Map of best selling music artists, by state http://bit.ly/2vkhq1g

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#127: Take Time To Stop And Smell The Polls Jul 26, 2017

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If the news is getting you down, take a moment to stop & smell the flowers. & then tweet us @ksoltisanderson, @margieomero or @thepollsters. Poll of the Week Delphi Analytica: Kid Rock wins in hypothetical Stabenow/Kid Rock Senate race http://bit.ly/2eLUWAd Virginia Governor Change Research: While Perriello has a clear lead in the VA Democratic Primary, Gillespie’s lead banks on Republicans turning up to vote. http://bit.ly/2tJQuIU Monmouth University: Voters are split on electing Gillespie and Northam for VA Governor http://wapo.st/2uREk05 This Week in Trump HuffPost: Trump Approval Ratings http://bit.ly/2jBmTwz Politico: Tool estimates how voter groups impact Trump’s approval rating http://politi.co/2eMkQUw USA Today/iMediaEthics: Voters split on if Trump should be removed from office https://usat.ly/2tT9NLn Politico: National Tracking Poll July 20-24, 2017 http://politi.co/2vXcsoH Partisanship Pew Research: Women see increased involvement in politics after the 2016 election http://pewrsr.ch/2vFUve9 Healthcare Politico/Morning Consult: Majority favor necessary changes to the ACA to prevent failure, and oppose a straight repeal http://politi.co/2tXgEn4 News Quiz Pew: Quiz tests your “News IQ” http://pewrsr.ch/1fCQXti Pew: “News IQ” Quiz Results Breakdown http://pewrsr.ch/2uVZfiA Wine vs. Beer Gallup: Beer remains the prefered alcoholic drink of the United States http://bit.ly/2tXtBx3 Gallup: The number of Americans who say they have tried pot is at a record high http://bit.ly/2tJvWAp

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