The Pain Trade Podcast

Latest Episodes:

Decoding the Resilience of the Housing Market Amidst the Pandemic with Lance Lambert Aug 08, 2023

Show notes

Are you prepared to navigate the turbulent waters of the current housing market? We think you might not be, but don't fret! Join us in this riveting discussion with Lance Lambert, Real Estate Editor at Fortune Magazine, who dissects the unexpected resilience of the housing market amidst the pandemic and high unemployment.
With his keen insight, Lance helps us unpack some critical trends, from the shocking deterioration of housing affordability equivalent to the 2006 peak, to the strategies and adaptability of home builders like DR Horton amidst material cost increases. We also delve into the precarious situation that some renters find themselves in, stretching beyond their financial limits in the face of the current affordability crisis. Lance also shares views from renowned economists like Robert Shiller, who raise an eyebrow at market exuberance and predict a sideways market in the coming months.
But that's just the tip of the iceberg. We also take a hard look at the reluctance of institutional buyers to invest in homes due to unfavorable math and cap rates, and evaluate the potential impact of changing state tax policies. Join us as we traverse through the complexities of the current market by comparing it with past trends, and explore the intricate links between consumer sentiment, the stock market, and home values. Tune in and equip yourself with knowledge about the risks of fiscal measures and the vital role of income growth and rate reductions in restoring market affordability, all encapsulated in this thought-provoking episode.
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Support the show

Strategic Trading Insights and Predictions with Market Sniper Francis Hunt Aug 08, 2023

Show notes

We're excited to have Francis Hunt, the Market Sniper, on our podcast. He's got an intriguing and unique take on trading, likening it to the strategic selectivity and patience of a sniper. Francis opens up about his military background and how it shaped his efficient approach to the market - making fewer, but more successful trades. He's also a stickler for the Hunt Volatility Funnel principles, a trading system he developed that's all about waiting for the perfect set of circumstances before pulling the trigger.
The conversation gets even more interesting when Francis starts to unpack his views on the current market conditions and what he sees as an impending economic collapse. He discusses his outlook on demand destroying events and the end of the Goldilocks economy. His perspective on the manipulative practices of the Federal Reserve over the last four decades and the potential fallout for the American people is alarming and thought-provoking.
As if that's not compelling enough, Francis also shares his analysis on gold, silver, bonds, and the dollar. He explains the role of debt markets in keeping governments afloat and makes a bold prediction about the future of the bond market. We wrap up with a discussion about his premium membership group, the Market Sniper, and his strategies for building wealth during abnormal market conditions. This is an episode packed with insights, predictions, and thoughtful strategies you won't want to miss.
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Support the show

Cracking the Trading Code: An Engineering Perspective with Tom Viktor Aug 07, 2023

Show notes

Have you ever wondered how an engineer’s mind can crack the code of stock markets? Join us as we engage in a riveting conversation with Tom Viktor, a stellar trader with an engineering background. Through his eyes, we navigate his journey into the volatile world of trading, beginning with simple concepts of support and resistance, and progressing into the profound Elliot Wave theory. From managing a full-time job in the energy sector to making sense of market sentiment, Tom offers valuable insight into the art of balancing professional life and portfolio management.
Shifting from personal experiences to market strategies, Tom unveils his unique approach to handling euphoric market sentiment. Rather than placing a directional bet, Tom prefers to stay in cash, providing an enlightening perspective on why being bearish doesn't always mean going short. You'll also get a sneak peek into the conditions that would lure Tom to invest his cash into the market. So, want to decode the tactics of trading in a euphoric market? Tom’s got you covered.
Our conversation with Tom does not stop at market sentiments; we also delve into the ever-changing dynamics of the market. Reflecting on how market movements have sped up since his debut in the post-2008 era, Tom shares his insights on the potential impact of this rapid pace on traders. From leveraging Twitter as a financial news source to deciphering market sentiment via financial media, Tom's expert insights serve as a guide to navigating the trading world. We even touch upon the peculiarities of the real estate market and the importance of diversifying one's trading strategies. Tune in, and indulge in a conversation that promises to redefine your understanding of trading, market analysis, and portfolio management.
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Support the show

Understanding the Intricacies of Options Trading with Ophir Gottlieb: A Conversation on Market Dynamics, Trading Strategies and Implications of AI Aug 07, 2023

Show notes

Dive headfirst into the world of options trading with our esteemed guest Ophir Gottlieb, a veteran in this intricate field of finance. Get ready to understand the guts of options trading, from the basic mathematics to the crucial role of central bank intervention on market volatility. We'll walk you through the major changes in the options market, such as the access to data and the shift in number of strikes and expirations.
Ever thought about how current market dynamics, like concentrated mega cap momentum, impact volatility and risk? Ponder on this with us as we unravel the effects of such forces on the trading floor, especially with individual names superseding index type trades. Ghalib will share his insights on how these shifts have reshaped his trading strategies, with a nod towards the significant influences of monetary policy and mega cap momentum.
Finally, let's delve into the fascinating realm of artificial intelligence and its impact on market dynamics, with a specific focus on Open AI GPT-4. As you join us in contemplating the potential butterfly effect if a titan like Nvidia were to break, we'll also explore the concept of getting long equities in a high volatility environment. Tune in for a riveting discussion packed with valuable insights for traders of all levels, as we dissect these complex topics and more.
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Support the show

Navigating Whipsaw Markets: Mastering Systematic Trading and Investment Strategies with Michael Nauss Aug 06, 2023

Show notes

Are you prepared to conquer whipsaw markets like a master? Join us as we demystify the challenges of systematic trading and arm you with effective strategies for weathering the storm. We'll reveal the secret to thriving in both bull and bear markets through trend following. Along the journey, we'll unlock the significance of backtesting, recording statistics, and steadfast adherence to your chosen system, even when the market throws curveballs.
Then, we're sailing into the vast sea of market trends and investment strategy, where big players reign supreme. We'll guide you on how to maneuver for outperformance in the face of such dominance. Discover the art of beating the S&P, the importance of relative strength and the necessity of diversification, even when investing in large caps. As we traverse the perilous terrain of shorting and mania in markets, we'll equip you with the knowledge to navigate wisely. Finally, we offer a refreshing detour with an exploration of impromptu live video conversations. Uncover the value of connecting with global minds, following leaders you admire, and the excitement of unscheduled roundtable discussions that could just be the catalyst you need for your next breakthrough. Pack your curiosity and brace yourself for an exhilarating ride through trading terrains and investment landscapes!
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Support the show

Understanding Tactical Asset Allocation and Trading Volatility Products with Jim Carroll Aug 06, 2023

Show notes

Uncover the elusive world of tactical asset allocation and the mechanics of trading volatility products with my special guest, Jim Carroll. Wondering how to make your portfolio more resilient in the face of market fluctuations? Our conversation will guide you through the importance of rules-based investing and strategy diversification, helping you develop a robust approach to your investments.
Step into the engaging world of tactical trading, dissecting the dynamics of shorting volatility and understanding the potential pitfalls of systematic models. Want to make your tactical trading more tax efficient? Carroll provides valuable insights into the pros and cons of decision timing and the essential role of frequency versus magnitude in tactical trading. We ground our discussion in real market conditions, analyzing the risk of surprise events and pondering their implications for tactical asset allocation.
Finally, we demystify the process of trading VIX futures or options, debunking common myths and providing practical strategies. Picture this – what if waiting for the VIX to spike to short vol isn't the best approach? Join us as we offer a fresh perspective on volatility exchange trader products. In a lighter vein, Jim shares his favorite drink, a smooth Cabernet Sauvignon, adding a personal touch to our enlightening conversation. Tune in for a richly informative episode filled with actionable tips and valuable insights.
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Support the show

Unlocking Systems-Based Investing: Radiology, Recessionary Markets, and the Role of Central Banks with Jeff Ross Aug 05, 2023

Show notes

Get ready to unlock the secrets of a systems-based approach to investing, as we sit down with Jeff Ross, a seasoned investor with a diverse background in radiology. We delve into the intriguing intersection of radiology and finance, discovering how a systems-focused perspective can be applied to asset pricing in the context of macro top-down analysis. From dissecting the effects of inflation and economic growth to understanding liquidity, this conversation is packed with insights for every investor.
When it comes to navigating market uncertainties, there's no better guide than Jeff. We'll explore how to seize potential opportunities that surface during a recessionary bear market, including the role of timing for bonds and gold, and strategic allocations to cash, inverse funds, and Bitcoin ETFs. It's not all doom and gloom though. We also touch on the evolving landscape of investing over the last decade, the advent of stagflation, and the influence of the 'Fear Of Missing Out' on market dynamics.
Wrapping up, we plunge into the fascinating world of central banks, their immense power, and the rippling effects on asset valuation, market structure, and liquidity. Questioning the relevance of traditional free market economics, we consider Bitcoin as a reflection of a free market. Expect to leave this episode with a more nuanced understanding of the economic signals of a potential downturn, the consequences of hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve, and the controversial role of quantitative easing in propping up risk assets. Get ready for an enlightening discussion with Jeff Ross and amplify your investing acumen!
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Support the show

Mastering Short-Term Trading Strategies with Andrew Moss Jul 31, 2023

Show notes

Ever wondered what goes into managing portfolios at institutions like Morgan Stanley? Tune in as we pick the brain of Andrew Moss, an official trader with T3 Trading Group, and explore the ins and outs of trading. Andrew's journey into the trading world began with his father's influence, and he brings a wealth of experience and insights into the business side of investing and how to evolve from a decent trader to an exceptional one.
Venture with us into the realm of short-term trading strategies, where time frames shape our plans and headlines, active positions, and price action guide our decisions. Experience the pulse of the market as we dissect volatility and trading strategies, looking at where a trade could go and how to form a comprehensive plan. Learn about the significance of momentum and identifying potential market shocks, and understand why being prepared for volatility is crucial, even when the VIX is less than 20.
Finally, we navigate the broader financial landscape, examining the impact of the dollar's move and the treasury market in a tightening environment. Grasp the connection between the dollar and treasury markets, and consider the potential of a credit event. Get insights into market trends and risk management, and learn how to plan for possible changes, including pre-election trends and seasonality. To round off this informative episode, we uncover common mistakes in short-term trading strategies and provide tips to avoid them. Join us to enhance your trading acumen and navigate the financial markets like a pro!
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Support the show

Exploring the World of Farmland Investment with Carter Malloy Jul 30, 2023

Show notes

Ever wondered why one of the world's wealthiest men, Bill Gates, is the largest individual farmland owner in the U.S? Get set for a captivating journey as we venture into the perhaps unexpected but intriguing world of farmland investment with Carter Mallow, founder of Acretrader. This episode, filled with data-driven insights, underscores the consistent performance of farmland as an investment and its minimal correlation with the S&P 500, revealing its steady compounding quality and relative lack of volatility.
Unravel the world of farmland investment as we spotlight how Acretrader is harnessing data, technology, and expertise to demystify this fragmented asset class. We take a deep look at the role of the platform and the tools used in providing data aggregation and much-needed transparency to the U.S farming community. The discussion takes an interesting turn as we ponder on what could have possibly prompted Bill Gates's significant investment in farmland.
As we continue on this exciting journey, we delve into the heart of farmland investment - the macro and micro trends shaping the space. We touch upon the critical role of food security in the light of increasing global population, and the potential shift towards domestic food production. We also give you a taste of what farming efficiency, technology, and geographic considerations mean for the discerning farmland investor. Wrapping up the episode, we tackle the topic of liquidity in farmland investment, the implications of investors needing to access their funds earlier, and how farmland performed during economic contractions and recessions. This episode is an absolute must-listen for anyone keen on understanding the potential of this unique asset class!
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Support the show

Mastering the Art of Investing: A Conversation with Willie Delwiche Jul 29, 2023

Show notes

Are you ready to transform your mindset and master the art of investing? Join me as I engage in a captivating dialogue with Willie Delwiche, a seasoned investment strategist. We journey through Willie's experiences navigating an often turbulent market, dabbling between buy-and-hold and active trading strategies. We also shed light on the distinction between the Chartered Market Technician (CMT) and Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designations, and discuss the recent sentiment on social media towards fledgling traders.
The investment terrain can, at times, resemble a labyrinth. Willie and I aim to guide you through this maze, dissecting the current investment landscape and the conundrum of identifying a "fat pitch" in the existing market. We emphasize the significance of simplicity and focus in an arena brimming with information, while tackling the ongoing duel between tactical tailwinds and secular headwinds. Further, we offer insights on discerning signals for entry and exit points in the market, providing you the tools and knowledge to navigate this venture like a pro.
Risk and opportunity dance hand in hand in the realm of investments. We delve into the pros and cons of shorting in the contemporary investment environment and explore the merits of patiently holding cash and awaiting favorable opportunities. We also touch upon sector rotation as a risk mitigation strategy while emphasizing the paramount importance of timing when hedging against declining markets. Join us as we unwrap these subjects and more, equipping you with invaluable insights and perspectives, whether you're a novice investor or a seasoned pro.
ANTICIPATE STOCK MARKET CRASHES, CORRECTIONS, AND BEAR MARKETS WITH AWARD WINNING RESEARCH. Sign up for The Lead-Lag Report at www.leadlagreport.com and use promo code PODCAST30 for 2 weeks free and 30% off.
Nothing on this channel should be considered as personalized financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
The content in this program is for informational purposes only. You should not construe any information or other material as investment, financial, tax, or other advice. The views expressed by the participants are solely their own. A participant may have taken or recommended any investment position discussed, but may close such position or alter its recommendation at any time without notice. Nothing contained in this program constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in any jurisdiction. Please consult your own investment or financial advisor for advice related to all investment decisions.

Sign up to The Lead-Lag Report on Substack and get 30% off the annual subscription today by visiting http://theleadlag.report/leadlaglive.

Support the show

Our TOPPODCAST Picks

Follow Us

Stay Connected

Related Podcasts

Links

Stay Connected