The Double Pivot: Soccer analysis, analytics, and commentary

Latest Episodes:

Biathlon Analytics with the Penalty Loop Podcast Feb 12, 2026

Show notes

That's right. For the Winter Olympics we have a whole podcast dedicated to biathlon, joined by Jordan and RJ of the Penalty Loop Podcast to teach us all about how to watch biathlon like an expert, understanding the different events as well as the kinds of data and analysis used in biathlon, the players and teams to watch at the Olympics, and we did not skimp on the biathlon drama either.

Check out the Penalty Loop Podcast: http://penaltyloop.com/penalty-loop-podcast/

And Biathlon Analytics: https://biathlonanalytics.com/

Support the show

Set Pieces, Transfers, Private Equity Feb 05, 2026

Show notes

The Double Pivot has introduced a term into the football vernacular and we talk through the set pieces story, Caley's study, and Jonathan Northcroft's column in the Times. And then we talk transfers including Marc Guehi, Antoine Semenyo and Ademola Lookman, which leads naturally into a discussion of private equity in football.

The Northcroft column: https://www.thetimes.com/sport/football/article/premier-league-goalkeepers-set-pieces-ft66m8hn5

Set pieces study: https://www.expectinggoals.com/p/the-set-piece-revolution

Support the show

The Set Piece Revolution (plus a few CL thoughts) Jan 29, 2026

Show notes

We had a goofy final day of the Champions League and a few thoughts on Benfica and Real Madrid and the joy of whiparound soccer.

And then we get into Caley's new study on The Set Piece Revolution and the evidence that the game-changing insights here are mostly just chucking it into the mixer and crowding the keeper. We disagree(!) about some likely responses and we discuss what is likely to come next as set piece thought continues to spread.

Read the full study: https://www.expectinggoals.com/p/the-set-piece-revolution

Support the show

Champions League Drama Incoming, Club Revenue Data In Jan 22, 2026

Show notes

With seven weeks of the Champions League League Phase complete, it is properly all to play for in the chase for qualification to the knockouts and especially in the chase for top eight and a bye into the round of 16. We go through the table and the impossibility of precisely gaming out all the scenarios.

Also! The Deloitte Money League data is out and it shows both the current financial dominance of the Premier League and the low rate of growth in inflation-adjusted football revenue since 2019.

Support the show

The Incredible Xabi Alonso Saga Concludes Jan 14, 2026

Show notes

The attempt to reform Real Madrid concludes, and it is reported that it probably was never really an attempt to reform Real Madrid in the first place. We discuss the distinct highs and lows of Xabi's tenure in Madrid, why we are (relatively!) down on the club from here, what we learned about Alonso as a manager, and what may be next for him.

Support the show

Amorin? Amorout! Jan 06, 2026

Show notes

Ruben Amorim actively got himself sacked by Manchester United. We talk about how we ended up here, why nothing about the process looks well-handled, what's next for United and why United's management structure makes it nearly impossible to predict what's next.

On Ratcliffe and Ineos with Ben Walsh: https://www.buzzsprout.com/819853/episodes/16787734-united-ratcliffe-ineos-and-cycling-with-ben-walsh

Support the show

Parity Has Come to the Premier League Dec 31, 2025

Show notes

The long midtable in the Premier League is exceptionally competitive and just plain good. We talk about the underlying economic and game-structural reasons this has happened, and then we get into (most of) the 6th to 14th place clubs—Manchester United, Spurs, Palace, Brighton, Brentford, Newcastle and more—and their chances at making a run for the Champions League.

Support the show

Holiday Grab Bag: Semenyo, Real Madrid, Man United Dec 23, 2025

Show notes

What's going on with Antoine Semenyo's transfer market and what sort of analytics are we using to evaluate him? Has Xabi Alonso saved his job at Real Madrid? And can the boys squeeze three topics into a single podcast? Listen to find out!

Support the show

Are Set Pieces Breaking the Premier League? Dec 17, 2025

Show notes

Set pieces are making up an unprecedently large percentage of Premier League goal-scoring. At the same time, open play goal scoring is down significantly. We work through the data on tactical changes in the Premier League and European football since 2010 and the shockingly quick shift in goal-scoring this season.

Is it something that the powers that be will have to intervene to fix in the rules of the game? As always, the Double Pivot answer is "maybe, but we would like a larger sample size."

Set piece goal scoring graph: https://bsky.app/profile/michaelcaley.bsky.social/post/3ma5anvdgr22e

Support the show

Salah Drama Dec 09, 2025

Show notes

Mohamed Salah decided to make some news this week. We walk through how and why his unload-the-clip statement on the club and the manager happened and what comes next for Liverpool, for the front office and for the manager and players, who still need to figure out a set of tactics that get the most out of their stars, with or without Salah.

Support the show

Our TOPPODCAST Picks

Follow Us

Stay Connected

The Double Pivot: Soccer analysis, analytics, and commentary

Related Podcasts

Links

Stay Connected