The DeFi Report

Latest Episodes:

Why is Bitcoin Underperforming Gold? Jan 28, 2026

Show notes

In this episode of The DeFi Report, Mike and Ryan break down why Bitcoin is underperforming gold, what the BTC/Gold ratio is signaling about the next bottom, and why this setup may be more bullish than it looks. They unpack China’s role in driving the gold trade, why Bitcoin still behaves like a risk-on asset, and how investor “envy” distorts cycle perception. Mike lays out realistic downside scenarios, key support levels to watch, and the onchain signals he needs to see before deploying capital.

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TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro

2:08 Bitcoin vs. Gold Ratio Analysis

8:19 Understanding Gold's Outperformance

13:12 China's Impact on Gold Demand

14:27 Bitcoin's Future as a Reserve Asset

16:27 Potential Bottom for Bitcoin Ratio

20:25 Market Sentiment & Investor Behavior

26:35 Onchain Metrics and Market Conditions

33:41 The Future of Real World Assets in Crypto

34:59 Closing & Disclaimers

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Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

Constructing a Portfolio Jan 21, 2026

Show notes

In this episode of The DeFi Report, Mike and Ryan lay out Mike’s full portfolio construction framework for a crypto bear market. We walk through how he sizes Bitcoin as the anchor, how core and high-beta assets fit into the cycle, and why price matters more than narratives right now. Mike also shares fair value targets across nearly 30 assets, explains why most investors rush entries too early, and what signals he’s waiting for before going risk-on again.

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TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro

1:50 Market Overview & Conditions

4:03 Constructing a Portfolio

7:00 Importance of Bitcoin

10:41 Core Assets Explained

13:26 Long-Term Holds Strategy

14:06 Risk-On Assets Discussion

17:36 Price Targets for Each Sleeve

20:54 Core Asset Candidates

29:13 Long-Term Holds & Watchlist

33:13 Meme Coins and Market Cycles

36:41 Analyzing the Watchlist

40:30 Closing & Disclaimers

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Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

Next Stop $100k? Jan 14, 2026

Show notes

Bitcoin is pushing toward $100K, but is the move real or just a positioning unwind? Mike and Ryan break down the CPI surprise, real rates and breakevens, why global liquidity still looks like it’s rolling over, and what the onchain data says about true demand, from ETF flows to long term holder selling, open interest, and funding. Mike explains what would convince him this rally can reclaim $100K as support, and why he’s still staying patient and largely in cash.

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TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro

0:14 Next Stop: $100K Bitcoin?

1:10 Positive Price Action

4:54 Powell's Prosecution & Market Impact

6:08 Bitcoin's Moment?

9:14 Understanding Real Rates & CPI

12:19 Global Liquidity & Bitcoin

17:57 Onchain Data Insights

21:47 Market Demand Signals

26:14 Anticipating Market Reactions

32:15 Upcoming Assets on the Watchlist

35:44 Closing

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Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

Our Outlook for 2026 Jan 07, 2026

Show notes

📣THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBE

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Today on The DeFi Report, we’re mapping the 2026 setup: shifting fiscal flows, tighter liquidity, and why rate cuts are not automatically bullish for crypto. Mike stays risk off (80 percent cash) while he watches for the signals that would force a pivot, falling real yields, a dovish Fed, and Bitcoin reclaiming key levels. We also break down where we are in the market cycle, why a counter rally could be a trap, and what Mike’s $65K fair value target implies for positioning this year.

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TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Intro

1:10 Setup for 2026

5:54 Macro & Liquidity Setup

8:46 2022 Comparison

11:40 U.S. Liquidity Cycle Insights

13:20 Bitcoin & Interest Rates

16:34 Labor Market Insights

18:49 Real Estate Trends

21:04 Midterm Year Implications

23:30 Asset Allocation Cycle

26:18 Crypto Cycle Analysis

29:38 Transition Phase in Crypto

34:23 Geopolitical X Factor

37:12 Closing & Disclaimers

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Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

Was the Fed Rate Cut a False Signal for Crypto? Dec 17, 2025

Show notes

The Fed cut rates and announced $40B/month in T bill purchases. Is that the signal to buy back into crypto? Mike says no. In this episode, we explain why “QE light” is not real easing, the key indicators Mike needs before flipping risk on, and what Bitcoin’s onchain market structure suggests about where this cycle could go next.

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TIMESTAMPS

0:00 Introduction to the DeFi Report

2:28 Current Market Positioning

9:25 Federal Reserve's Actions Explained

13:13 Economic Conditions & Predictions