Show notes
Will Doctor gives you the sharpest card for the U.S. Open at Oakmont.
-Going over top 7 names on odds board
-1 matchup -2 top nationality tickets -3 futures outrights (+350, 14/1, 18/1)
-2 outrights added (100/1 & 150/1) -Sleeper, 2 lineups, scoring -Best bet
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In the "U.S. Open at Oakmont Picks and Predictions" podcast, Will Doctor provides a comprehensive betting preview of the upcoming U.S. Open at Oakmont. Beginning at 0:16, Doctor sets the tone with energetic anticipation, positioning Oakmont as a legendary course hosting the U.S. Open for a record tenth time. From 0:43, he sharply critiques the previous RBC Canadian Open, describing the Osprey Valley course as “a disgrace” and detailing a 5.8-unit loss that week, with Sam Burns’ top-20 finish as the lone success. Despite the setbacks, he praises Ryan Fox’s recent success, highlighting the Kiwi’s two playoff victories in four starts and his historic Canadian Open win, the first by a New Zealander since 1968.
Doctor then shifts focus to Oakmont’s rich history. He recounts notable U.S. Open wins, including Tommy Armour (1927), Sam Parks Jr. (1935), and Ben Hogan’s record-setting 1953 season. He emphasizes Jack Nicklaus’ 1962 victory over Arnold Palmer at age 22, which kickstarted Nicklaus' legendary career. Johnny Miller’s final-round 63 in 1973 is labeled the greatest round in U.S. Open history, despite not being the lowest score ever. Further champions like Larry Nelson (1983), Ernie Els (1994), Angel Cabrera (2007), and Dustin Johnson (2016) round out Oakmont’s storied hosting record.
At 12:00, Doctor begins his betting picks. He endorses Scottie Scheffler (+350) as outright number one, citing dominant recent wins and past experience at Oakmont, where he missed the cut by one in 2016. Bryson DeChambeau, with a futures ticket from December at 14-1, is lauded for his driving power and improved approach play, though his recent accuracy issues raise concern. DeChambeau claims Oakmont is “the toughest test in the world right now,” and Doctor remains confident in his form.
Rory McIlroy is passed over due to a poor performance at the Canadian Open, including erratic driving and uninspired play. Doctor quotes Rory discussing his struggle for motivation and interest in hobbies like tennis. John Rahm, however, is preferred in a head-to-head matchup (-133), praised for his polished game despite recent putting inconsistency. Doctor argues Rahm is better equipped than Rory to handle Oakmont’s demands.
Xander Schauffele and Collin Morikawa are also faded. Xander’s driving accuracy is flagged as a season-long weakness, and Morikawa is critiqued for losing strokes around the green in five of his last six starts, rendering him unfit for a major requiring elite scrambling. Ludwig Åberg is highlighted as a top Nordic pick at +180, benefiting from strong recent form and inconsistent competition, with Joachim Lagerlund identified as his main threat.
Doctor names Hideki Matsuyama as top Japanese player at even money, emphasizing his elite U.S. Open history and the weak form of his countrymen. Outright picks include Scheffler (+350), DeChambeau (14-1), Brooks Koepka (18-1, faded due to poor form), Keegan Bradley (100-1, riding strong recent finishes), and Cam Young (150-1), who’s gained strokes off the tee and on the greens recently. Young’s playoff qualification over top names and his form earn him sleeper status.
Two fantasy lineups are provided. A DraftKings build includes Rahm, Åberg, Spieth, Bradley, Young, and Leishman. The PGA Tour lineup features Scheffler (captain), Bradley, DeChambeau, and Young, with Åberg and Leishman on the bench. Doctor predicts a winning score of -3, depending on weekend rain, and offers Cam Young to finish top 28 at +320 as his best bet.
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