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    Business

    RenMac

    Stock market commentary from Wall St thought leaders in strategy, economics, technical analysis and policy. Disclaimer ……….

    This Podcast Audio Show has been prepared by Renaissance Macro Research, LLC (“RenMac”), an affiliate of Renaissance Macro Securities, LLC.

    This Podcast Audio Show is for distribution only as may be permitted by law. It is published solely for information purposes; it is not an advertisement nor is it a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any financial instruments or to participate in any particular trading strategy. No representation or warranty, either express or implied, is provided in relation to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained in this document. The information is not intended to be a complete statement or summary of the markets, economy or other developments referred to in the Podcast Audio Show. Any opinions expressed in this Podcast Audio Show may change without notice. Any statements contained in this Podcast Audio Show attributed to a third party represent RenMac’s interpretation of the data, information and/or opinions provided by that third party either publicly or through a subscription service, and such use and interpretation have not been reviewed by the third party.

    Nothing in this Podcast Audio Show constitutes a representation that any investment strategy or recommendation is suitable or appropriate to an investor’s individual circumstances or otherwise constitutes a personal recommendation. Investments involve risks, and investors should exercise prudence and their own judgment in making their investment decisions. The value of any investment may decline due to factors affecting the securities markets generally or particular industries. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither RenMac nor any of its directors, employees or agents accepts any liability for any loss (including investment loss) or damage arising out of the use of all or any of the information.

    Any information stated in this Podcast Audio Show is for information purposes only and does not represent valuations for individual securities or other financial instruments. Different assumptions by RenMac or any other source may yield substantially different results. The analysis contained in this document is based on numerous assumptions and are not all inclusive.

    Copyright © Renaissance Macro Research, LLC. 2019. All rights reserved. All material presented in this Podcast Audio Show, unless specifically indicated otherwise, is under copyright to Renaissance Macro Research, LLC. None of the material, nor its content, nor any copy of it, may be altered in any way, or transmitted to or distributed to any other party, without the prior express written permission of Renaissance Marco Research, LLC.

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    Copyright: © Copyright Jeff deGraaf

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    Latest Episodes:
    RenMac Off-Script: Breaking the Markets is Easier than the Economy Oct 28, 2022
    Show notes

    The RenMac team discusses the Republican resurgence in polls and betting markets, some concerns in the latest GDP report and how it might impact the Fed’s steps next year, why residential investment might not be as much of a drag moving forward, resetting the market to higher interest rates, the sentiment/seasonality mix, FANG pains, and the disconnect between what should be happening versus what is happening.


    RenMac Off-Script: This Time Is Different Oct 21, 2022
    Show notes

    The RenMac team discusses the political winds shifting in favor of Rs ahead of the midterms, how the sluggish economy is impacting the housing market, the Fed’s eventual offramp away from 75bps but maybe not 50bps, why industrials are looking good on a relative basis, and the seasonal upside opportunity vs. skeptical sentiment.


    RenMac Off-Script: Powell’s Pivot Pushed? Oct 14, 2022
    Show notes

    The RenMac team discusses the higher-than-expected inflation print, why the Fed will have to wait longer before pivoting, how betting markets are pricing in a higher chance of Rs winning the House and Senate, the greater odds of a GA Senate runoff, whether one day’s market reaction is the start of a broader trend, and how regional banks are looking more interesting.


    RenMac Off-Script: Payroll Print Won’t Prompt Powell Pivot Oct 07, 2022
    Show notes

    The RenMac team discusses why the payroll report will not change the Fed’s direction, why Powell believes higher unemployment is needed to lower inflation, taking the over on the Fed fund futures rate, October surprises impacting midterms with OPEC production cuts and Herschel Walker allegations, why seasonality is skewing towards equities, and why the decline in bond pricing may remain an issue in 2023.


    RenMac Off-Script: What’s the Bull Case Sep 30, 2022
    Show notes

    nMac talks about sentiment, it’s faults and features, what could go right, the valuation problem, why bonds are attractive, next week’s jobs number, and the latest on government spending bill.


    RenMac Off-Script: So Far, Not So Good Sep 23, 2022
    Show notes

    Renmac discusses the Fed’s neutral rate, persistent strength in employment, Neil’s personal microcosm of housing, the potential for a government shutdown, real rates and the implicit message behind Biden’s persistent gaffs.


    RenMac Off-Script: Claims vs Commodities Sep 16, 2022
    Show notes

    RenMac highlights Larry Sabato’s higher than consensus’ odds of R’s taking the Senate, the 100 vs 75bps debate, implications of $FDX news, relative performance of discretionary vs staples, importance of claims data, an historical indication of peaking 10yr yields and Pavlick’s travel suspiciously coinciding w/ PSU schedule.


    RenMac Off-Script: Offsides Overcompensation Sep 09, 2022
    Show notes

    The RenMac team discusses Queen Elizabeth’s legacy, why Biden is leaving Trump’s China tariffs in place, markets pricing in 150bps over the next three Fed meetings, labor market remaining hot, why the market cycle clock is tilting bullish, and how Rs are looking good to take the House but things are looking better for Ds to hold on to the Senate.


    RenMac Off-Script: Paying More For Less Sep 02, 2022
    Show notes

    The RenMac team discusses how the U.S. economy is not slowing down and what that means for the Fed moving forward, Biden’s political speech aimed at motivating the Democratic base ahead of the midterms, why the student loan aid announcement may not come to fruition, how companies may be overpaying for workers based on productivity levels, why the June low has a high probability of being the low for the cycle, and whether growing bearish sentiment is warranted.


    RenMac Off-Script: Jackson Hole or Black Hole Aug 26, 2022
    Show notes

    Neil and Jeff talk about the wages, housing, market momentum, trouble with forward guidance and the upcoming Fed meeting.


    Previous 1 20 21 22 23 24 32 Next

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