Real Vision: Finance & Investing

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Did Biden Get the Economy All Wrong? Nov 18, 2021

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DB-Nov 17,2021: After weeks of backlog in the L.A. ports, officials say they’ve finally made some progress and cleared about 29% of the cargo. Last month’s retail sales report resulted in a gleeful leap in stocks and the U.S. dollar. As inflation continues to rage through the economy with the highest CPI in 30 years, President Obama’s former economic adviser, Steven Rattner, blasted the Biden administration for getting it all wrong despite warnings. Bitcoin, which hit an all-time high earlier this month, continues to fall. Darius Dale of 42 Macro joins to give his insight on the resiliency of the U.S. dollar, inflation, and Bitcoin. Interviewed by Maggie Lake. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3kMfoAi

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'Tis the Season to Shop & Be Merry Despite Inflation Nov 17, 2021

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DB-Nov 16,2021: Tony Greer returns to the Daily Briefing to discuss a spike in retail sales in October, even in the face of rising inflation. Not only are sales up 1.7% from the previous month, but also up 16.3% year-over-year. This is as a result of the combination of U.S. households having extra cash from the stimulus money and a frenzy to get holiday shopping started early this year to avoid supply chain issues choking the availability of gifts as industrial production continues to be riddled with volatility. Germany suspended certifying the controversial Russian pipeline, causing natural gas prices to shoot up from concerns of low fuel this winter in Europe. In the crypto world, Bitcoin and Ethereum fell sharply retreating from near-record highs. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3kFYu6c

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Analyzing the U.S.-Canadian Dollar, European Lockdowns, Tesla's Stock, & Musk's Twitter Tantrum Nov 16, 2021

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DB-Nov 15,2021: Dave Floyd, founder of Aspen Trading, joins Maggie Lake to talk about the U.S. dollar against the Canadian dollar, Austria’s enforcement on a lockdown on the unvaccinated, and why Boris Johnson, who until now has been resistant to more lockdowns, warns that one may soon be possible given the struggling NHS. Floyd discusses the implications of these European lockdowns on supply chains and the market. Floyd also analyzes Tesla’s stock and why Musk got into a Twitter brawl with U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders over the weekend when Bernie tweeted about the rich paying their fair share of taxes. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3ouTmD5

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Consumer Sentiment Hits 10-Year Low While the Great Resignation Continues Nov 13, 2021

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DB-Nov 12,2021: The government has engaged in endless borrowing and endless wasting since World War II, and at some point, according to the latest issue of Macro Link, we’ll have to meet the consequences of that. Consumer spending is at the lowest level in a decade, according to The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, which dropped to 66.8% in November. Over 4.4 million workers have quit their jobs amid expectations of inflation to further skyrocket as a holiday season rife with supply chain issues approaches. Christian Alexander, the founder of Macro Link, joins Maggie Lake to give his forecast. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3kz4nlL

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Elon Musk Sells $5 Billion in Tesla Stock as Competitors Put on the Pressure Nov 12, 2021

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DB-Nov 11,2021: Elon Musk sells over 4.5 million Tesla shares this week after posting a poll on Twitter about whether he should unload a tenth of his stake in the company and spurring controversy about taxation of the ultra-wealthy. Meanwhile, Rivian’s IPO, one of the US’s largest since Facebook, lifts off with an almost $88 billion valuation at market close on Wednesday. The IPO’s positive reception by investors spilled over into other EV stocks such as Nio and Fisker. Autonomous vehicle startup Aurora also had made its trading debut last week, the first AV company to go public, after the closure of its merger with a SPAC. With Tesla’s rivals cranking up the heat, Tommy Thornton, founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, discusses his forward outlook for this burgeoning and increasingly competitive industry and for Tesla. Thornton also touches on gold, retail, and Chinese tech. Interviewed by Maggie Lake. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3C7kJb6

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Hottest CPI in 30 Years And Rivian Goes Public Nov 11, 2021

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DB-Nov 10,2021: There’s no question about it: inflation is not transitory. The latest Consumer Price Index revealed prices of everything except food and energy went up 4.6%, the quickest spike since August 1991. The CPI also showed a 6.2% surge from October last year. U.S. consumers are feeling the hike in energy prices—oil is at nearly $82 a barrel, and electricity bills are at the highest they’ve been since 2009. Meanwhile, more automobile companies are joining the race to give Elon Musk a run for his money. The latest to enter the fray of Tesla rivals is the electric-vehicle startup Rivian, which debuted in trading today with the highest Initial Price Offer since 2014, starting at $78. The company’s valuation has already beaten Ford and General Motors. Jared Dillian, the editor of The Daily Dirtnap, joins Ash Bennington to discuss all of this and more. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3n2nIxm

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The End of an Era: GE Splits into 3 Companies Nov 10, 2021

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DB-Nov09,2021:What’s going on with General Electric? After a decade of being only a shell of its former self, the manufacturing giant founded by Thomas Edison is splitting up into three separate companies, each focused on aviation, health care, and energy. Tony Greer discusses why U.S. stocks suspended the longest rally since 2017 amid surging treasuries and why the S&P 500 collapsed for the first time in nine sessions. In other news, Greer analyzes why oil hit $84 a barrel as Bitcoin and Ethereum reached all-time highs. Interviewed by Ash Bennington. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3BZQseq

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House Passes Infrastructure Bill and Twitter Votes for Musk to Sell Tesla Stock Nov 09, 2021

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DB-Nov 08,2021:The House passed a $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill on Friday to revamp the country’s transportation, utilities, and broadband structures. Meanwhile, despite Friday’s positive news of the October jobs report, U.S. treasury bonds still fell. This happened after the Fed’s announcement earlier last week to begin tapering bond purchases by $15 billion a month. On Twitter, Elon Musk shared a poll asking people to vote on whether he should sell 10% of his Tesla stock. Nearly 60% of those who participated in the poll voted yes, prompting Elon Musk to offload some stock to help pay his giant tax bill. Real Vision’s Petr Pinkhasov and Weston Nakamura host economist & trader Samuel Rines for a triple treat on today’s Daily Briefing to discuss the infrastructure bill, U.S. treasury bonds, and Tesla stock. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3oakS8T

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October Jobs Report Beats Expectations with Unemployment Dropping to New Pandemic Low Nov 06, 2021

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DB-Nov 05,2021: We’re ringing in the holiday season with some good news: U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 531,000 in October, beating the estimate of 450,000. Spreading more cheer, unemployment fell to 4.6%, a new pandemic low. As more people head back outside and hit the gym, a jewel of the pandemic, Peloton, suffers major blows to its stock today, falling nearly 35%. Jim Bianco, president of Bianco Research, joins to give his analysis of the Fed’s taper, the Bank Of England’s announcement to hold rates steady, the latest on inflation, the labor market, and today’s price action. Interviewed by Ash Bennington. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3BMVfj5

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Bank Of England Defies the Market and Leaves Heads Turning Nov 05, 2021

Show notes

DB-Nov 04,2021: The Fed announced their long-awaited taper to begin later this month with room for adjustment based on changes in the economic outlook. While the Fed focuses on keeping the inflation rate at 2%, the Bank of England’s market-defying announcement to hold rates steady at the 0.1% benchmark has investors scratching their heads over the Fed's position in this ultra-inflationary environment. Thomas Thornton, founder of Hedge Fund Telemetry, joins to discuss the implications of these policy decisions. Interviewed by Maggie Lake. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3EOlwQi

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