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**RBC’s Markets in Motion**

Our regular podcast from Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy, that brings a fresh perspective and nuanced, data driven view on the forces shaping U.S. equity markets.
Disclaimer: https://www.rbccm.com/en/policies-disclaimers.page

Latest Episodes:

What We're Watching & What's Working Nov 24, 2025

Show notes

The big things you need to know:

First, with the S&P 500 having finally entered what we consider to be tier 1 / garden-variety-pullback territory on Thursday, we review what we’re watching to help us gauge if / when the pullback has run its course.
Second, with old leadership within US equities under pressure, we review which trades are working best right now (or might be starting to work) among the data sets we track regularly (Small Caps – at least on Friday and Value, sectors with valuation appeal, and safer factors).
Third, we review what we learned from the consumer companies that reported over the past week (companies highlight a mixed macro backdrop, ongoing and intense consumer challenges, ample inventories, their ability to manage through tariffs, and more specific AI use case examples).

Thoughts on Earnings, Small Caps, and the Shutdown Nov 10, 2025

Show notes

The big things you need to know:

First, earnings sentiment staged a partial comeback last week as the rate of upward EPS estimate revisions for the S&P 500 moved up again slightly vs. the prior week but remained below its August high.
Second, we run through the latest big picture takeaways from S&P 500 earnings calls.
Third, other things on our mind include our work the valuation profile of high earnings quality stocks within Small Cap and how we’re thinking about the government shutdown.

Latest Earnings Color, More Tricks Than Treats Nov 03, 2025

Show notes

The big things you need to know:

First, the percent of S&P 500 companies beating consensus EPS forecasts remains well above 2Q25 levels despite slipping a little last week. Meanwhile, the rate of upward EPS estimate revisions improved slightly but remains well below the high of the last reporting season.
Second, macro commentary in last week’s S&P 500 earnings calls remained mixed and varied by sector, with the strongest tone coming out of Tech and Health Care and the weakest tone coming from Consumer.
Third, we noticed more tricks than treats as we ran through our latest updates over Halloween weekend, and run through some of the charts that are spooking us the most on the broader market right now.

Early Learnings From Earnings Oct 28, 2025

Show notes

The big things you need to know:

First, 3Q25 reporting season has gotten off to a strong start on beat rates for the major indices, but we are continuing to see deterioration in the rate of upward EPS estimate revisions for the S&P 500, the Russell 2000, the biggest market cap names in those indices, and the rest of both indices when their top weights are excluded – something we continue to see as a challenge for performance if it persists.
Second, we run through the main macro takeaways we found in our review of last week’s S&P 500 earnings calls. The tone on the overall macro, consumer and tariffs came across as mixed, with a number of companies expressing optimism about improvements / stabilization underway or potentially coming into view.
Third, other things that jump out in our updates this week include a new study we’ve published on the relationship between ROEs and P/Es in the major Small, Mid and Large Cap indices.

Thoughts On Week 1 of Reporting Season Oct 21, 2025

Show notes

The big things you need to know: First, solid commentary from the S&P 500 Financials that reported last week helped get 3Q25 reporting season off to a good start, though it was overshadowed by private credit concerns. Second, we reviewed stock market performance in early 2023 around the regional banking crisis as a starting point for thinking about risks to the broader US equity market. Third, other things that jump out include further deterioration in earnings revisions trends for the major indices and stalling sentiment.

The Hunt For Red October Oct 13, 2025

Show notes

The big things you need to know:

First, earnings sentiment has been fading for the broader US equity market and is at a critical juncture for the biggest market cap names and Tech sector within the S&P 500.
Second, macro signals were mixed from the S&P 500 companies that reported over the past few weeks.
Third, our thoughts on Friday’s weakness in the S&P 500.

3Q25 RBC Analyst Outlook Survey Results Oct 09, 2025

Show notes

The big things you need to know:

First, across all industries and regions, our analysts are constructive on performance over the next 6-12 months.
Second, at the global sector level our analysts have the most positive performance outlooks for REITs, Materials and Financials.
Third, our analysts were slightly less optimistic on forward performance for Europe/UK than other regions.
Fourth, our analysts generally had mixed views of the policy backdrop.
Fifth, when we look at some of our macro indicators, Canada has been the bright spot in terms of performance YTD and over the past month.

Conversations in the US Oct 06, 2025

Show notes

The big things you need to know:

First, many of the US equity investors we met with last week were frustrated and wary.
Second, other things that jump out in our work include a speech by the USTR to the financial community in NYC last week, the recent fade in the broadening trade and Small Cap leadership, the continued easing in earnings sentiment, and expectations around the shutdown’s duration in betting markets.

Conversations in London Sep 29, 2025

Show notes

The big things you need to know:

First, we review what clients were most interested in talking about on our trip to the UK last week, which included differences between US and UK investor sentiment, valuations, geographical funds flows, and sectors.
Second, we recap the macro tidbits we picked up from last week’s S&P 500 earnings calls (where the auto-related names had a negative tone), our takeaways from the Duke CFO survey that came out last week (optimism about their own companies moved up slightly), and what we learned from our review of how stocks have traded around government shutdowns in the past.

Watching the Homebuilders, EPS Revisions, Investor Sentiment, Capex, and Flows Sep 23, 2025

Show notes

The big things you need to know:

• First, weakness in Homebuilders doesn’t bode well for the recent outperformance of Small Caps.

• Second, we’ve continued to see some slippage in earnings sentiment (the rate of upward EPS estimate revisions) for the S&P 500, which has been driven by companies outside of the biggest market cap names.

• Third, bulls picked up sharply in the AAII survey last week.

• Fourth, our work on US equity market performance in the 12-month period following non-recession-related Fed cuts and reset cuts highlights upside risk to our 2H26 S&P 500 target price of 7,100.

• Fifth, capex growth improved in 2Q25.

• Sixth, US equity funds flows bounced back last week, driven by US-domiciled funds.

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