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Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life.

Latest Episodes:

Have more famous people died this year? Dec 16, 2016

Show notes

Notable deaths, Rule Britannia and creating your own Christmas speech

WS More or Less: How risky is the contraceptive pill? Dec 12, 2016

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We look at the numbers behind the scary headlines about birth control.

How wrong were the Brexit forecasts? Dec 09, 2016

Show notes

The economic doom that never was; childhood cancer figures and Ed Balls

WS More or Less: How not to test public opinion Dec 02, 2016

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The survey by the Indian PM that broke all the polling rules and started a mass protest

Are you related to Edward III - and Danny Dyer? Dec 02, 2016

Show notes

What are the odds of being related to a medieval king? and how many cows for a fiver?

WS More or Less: Good news on renewables? Nov 28, 2016

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Renewable capacity has surpassed that of coal–is this good news? Plus an asteroid update.

Pensioners aren't poor anymore Nov 25, 2016

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High-rolling pensioners? predicting Norovirus, air pollution deaths and lost or found?

WS More or Less: Avoiding Asteroids Nov 21, 2016

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A new NASA warning system means we’re getting better at spotting Earth-bound space rocks. But how safe are we?

Is dementia the number one killer? Nov 18, 2016

Show notes

Is dementia on the rise? Plus immigration, incomplete contacts and chocolate muffins

WS More or Less: Liberia’s Rape Statistic Debunked Nov 14, 2016

Show notes

Sexual violence was widespread in Liberia’s brutal and bloody year civil war. But were three quarters of women in the country raped? We tell the story behind the number and reveal how well-meaning efforts to expose what happened have fuelled myths and miss-leading statistics that continue to be propagated to this day, including by the UN.

We speak to Amelia Hoover Green from Drexel University, Dara Cohen from the Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University, researcher Phyllis Kimba and Aisha Dukule from the think tank Center For Liberia's Future in Monrovia.

(Photo: Liberian women and children wait for rice rations in overcrowded Monrovia, June 2003. Credit: Georges Gobet/AFP/Getty Images)

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