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    Business

    More or Less

    Tim Harford explains – and sometimes debunks – the numbers and statistics used in political debate, the news and everyday life.

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    Copyright: © (C) BBC 2026

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    Latest Episodes:
    Are there more possible games of chess than atoms in the universe? Jan 20, 2024
    Show notes

    We investigate how the vast possibilities in a game of chess compare to the vastness of the observable universe.

    Dr James Grime helps us understand the Shannon number – a famous figure on the chess side of the equation - and astronomer Professor Catherine Heymans takes on the entire observable universe.

    Presenter: Tim Harford Producers: Debbie Richford and Nathan Gower Production Co-ordinator: Brenda Brown Series Producer: Tom Colls Sound Mix: Andy Fell Editor: Richard Vadon


    Life expectancy, inheritance tax and the NHS vs winter Jan 17, 2024
    Show notes

    We report on the state of the NHS as it struggles through a double wave of Covid and flu infections.

    Do only 4% of people pay inheritance tax? Paul Lewis sets out the figures.

    And what do the latest life expectancy figures tell us about how long we’re going to live?

    Presenter: Tim Harford Reporter: Kate Lamble Producers: Nathan Gower and Debbie Richford Series producer: Tom Colls Production co-ordinator: Brenda Brown Sound mix: Graham Puddifoot Editor: Richard Vadon


    Do we see 10,000 adverts per day? Jan 13, 2024
    Show notes

    How many adverts does the average person see in a day? If you search for this question online, the surprising answer is that we might see thousands – up to 10,000.

    However, the idea that we see thousands of adverts is a strange and confusing one, without any good research behind it. We investigate the long history of these odd numbers, with the help of Sam Anderson from The Drum and J Walker Smith from Kantar.

    Presenter: Tim Harford Series producer: Tom Colls Production co-ordinator: Brenda Brown Sound Mix: James Beard Editor: Richard Vadon


    Deaths, taxes and missing cats Jan 10, 2024
    Show notes

    Did London see a 2500% increase in gun crime? Are taxes in the UK the highest since the 1950s? Did the UK have high excess deaths from Covid, compared to the rest of Europe? Do three cats go missing every second in the UK?

    Tim and the team investigate a few of the numbers in the news.

    Presenter: Tim Harford Producer: Nathan Gower Series Producer: Tom Colls Production co-ordinator: Maria Ogundele Sound mix: Neil Churchill Editor: Richard Vadon


    How much money do the ‘Ndrangheta mafia make? Jan 06, 2024
    Show notes

    The ‘Ndrangheta are one of Italy’s biggest and most dangerous criminal gangs. One piece of research suggested they have an annual turnover of €53bn - more than McDonalds and Deutsche Bank combined.

    But is that number realistic? Professor Anna Sergi and Professor Francesco Calderoni help us figure out what kind of number makes sense.

    Reporter: Perisha Kudhail Series producer: Tom Colls Sound mix: Neil Churchill Editor: Richard Vadon

    (Picture: Human hands with strings controlling diagram. Credit: Boris Zhitkov/Getty Images)


    Numbers of the year 2023 Dec 30, 2023
    Show notes

    Each year we ask some of our favourite statistically-minded people for their numbers of the year. Here they are - from the population of India to the results of a first division football match.

    Contributors: Hannah Ritchie, Our World in Data Professor Sir David Spiegelhalter, Cambridge University Timandra Harkness, writer and comedian Rob Eastaway, maths author

    Presenter: Charlotte McDonald Series Producer: Tom Colls Sound Engineer: Neil Churchill Editor: Richard Vadon

    (Picture: Colourful numbers on blue background Credit: Tanja Ivanova / Getty Images)


    Can chocolate be better than salad? Dec 23, 2023
    Show notes

    We investigate a nutritional conundrum –can chocolate ever be better for you than salad? Today we dive in to one of our listener’s family debates and try to find an answer, with the help of nutrition experts Dr David Katz and Professor Bernadette Moore.

    Reporter: Paul Connolly Researcher: Perisha Kudhail Series Producer: Tom Colls Sound Engineer: James Beard Editor: Richard Vadon

    (Picture: A pyramid made of chocolate and salad Credit: Gandee Vasan / Getty Images)


    China’s missing numbers Dec 16, 2023
    Show notes

    How many young people are unemployed? How much debt does the government owe? How many people have died from Covid? These are questions that many governments will keep regularly updated. But in China they have disappeared. We investigate the reasons behind China’s missing numbers.

    Reporter: Celia Hatton Series Producer: Tom Colls Sound Engineer: Graham Puddifoot Editor: Richard Vadon

    (Picture: Chinese flag behind a graph with statistics Credit: Igor Kutyaev/iStock/Getty Images Plus)


    Does endurance sport harm your heart? Dec 09, 2023
    Show notes

    Exercise is good for you in all kinds of ways, there is no medicine like it to prevent a whole range of illnesses. But for some endurance athletes, exercise also comes with increased risk of a heart condition called atrial fibrillation.

    We look for the right way to think about the risks around exercise.

    Reporter: Paul Connolly Series Producer: Tom Colls Sound Engineer: Graham Puddifoot Editor: Richard Vadon

    (Picture: A cyclist training in the mountains Credit: anton5146/Getty Creative)


    Will there be a billion climate refugees? Dec 02, 2023
    Show notes

    Former Vice President Al Gore has said that climate change is predicted to lead to a billion climate refugees. But where do these predictions come from and are they realistic? We investigate the idea that floods, droughts, storms and sea level rise will cause a mass migration of people across borders.

    Reporter and Producer: Tom Colls Sound Mix: James Beard Editor: Richard Vadon

    (Photo: Floods in central Somalia Credit: Said Yusuf - WARSAME/EPA-EFE/REX/Shutterstock)


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