Money Life with Chuck Jaffe

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Neal Dwane: Interest rates can't be raised much from current levels without causing crisis Mar 01, 2019

Show notes

Neal Dwane, global strategist at Allianze Global Investments, said he believes current market optimism over trade issues with China may be misplaced, noting that the excessive optimism could bring an end to recent relief rallies, and he noted that the bigger potential for trouble lies in a potential global debt crisis where central banks have taken on so much debt that they can't buy more, making it hard for the Federal Reserve to raise rates without tanking the market and the economy. Also on the show, tax litigator Dan Pilla discusses why IRS refunds are down so far this year and if that's a bad sign, we rebroadcast a recent chat with Adam Grimes of Talon Advisors, and Eric Ervin of Blockforce Capital talks dividend stocks in the Market Call.

Oakmark's Nygren: A miserable time for stocks was good for businesses Feb 28, 2019

Show notes

Bill Nygren, legendary manager of the Oakmark Fund, discussed how the disappointment of the market late in 2018 actually was a great time for investors like him who want to buy businesses with solid long-term prospects at reasonable prices. With prices falling but earnings staying high, Nygren said investors could take advantage of the market becoming disconnected from its fundamentals. Currently, he likes financial stocks, consumer durables like automotive and industrial companies, and he's sour on supposedly safer investments like utilities, which he says are fully valued. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com had volatility on his mind with the ETF of the Week Economy, and David Brown of Sabrient Systems talked about his firm's latest Baker's Dozen of stocks in the Market Call

WisdomTree's Weniger: Get yourself ahead of the next investment story Feb 28, 2019

Show notes

Jeff Weniger, director of asset allocation at WisdomTree Asset Management, said that investors should be looking beyond trade wars and Brexit to what's really going to move markets, and noted that he expects emerging markets to outperform and Europe to underperform once the headlines get past current concerns. Also on the show, Michael Sheldon and Peter Lang of HighTower Advisors discuss -- and disagree on -- the parts of the market they like and worry about now. Ted Rossman of CreditCards.com looks at a survey which shows more debt problems for average Americans, and Mark Salzinger of The No-Load Fund Investor talks mutual funds and ETFs in the Market Call.

AAM's Colyer: We're fully invested for as long as there is positive earnings momentum Feb 26, 2019

Show notes

Scott Colyer, chief investment officer at Advisors Asset Management, has long advocated that investors avoid fighting the Fed, but right now he suggested that they continue riding earnings trends higher, even as they become wary of a building recession. Colyer noted that investors should be looking to miss a recession, which he sees coming but potentially not for a year or more. Also on the show, aauthor Bart McDonough discusses cyber security and how consumers can better protect themselves, and Martin Leclerc of Barrack Yard Advisors talks stocks in the Market Call.

Fleming: The housing market is more sensitive to mortgage rates than we've seen in the past Feb 25, 2019

Show notes

Mark Fleming, chief economist at First American Financial, said the housing market is under-built and the lack of inventory has made the market overly sensitive to changes in mortgage rates, a trend he expects to continue at least through the end of the current rate-hike cycle. Also on the show, Matt Schultz discusses the latest survey from CompareCards.com, David Trainer puts two big-name stocks in the Danger Zone, and Noland Langford of Left Brain Capital Management has the Market Call.

Fiduciary Trust International's Sanchez: We rode through a crisis in confidence Feb 22, 2019

Show notes

Ron Sanchez of Fiduciary Trust Co. International said that investors have gotten past the confidence-shaking drop of December, but they should be cautious now because stories about global growth, interest rates and international trade events will go a long way to determining whether the market can continue climbing this year. Also on the show, Michael Gayed of Pension Partners said that the market's technicals also should put investors into wait-and-see mode, as they suggest that stocks are overbought and awaiting a catalyst before a downturn. Thomas Winmill of the Midas Fund talked about gold and precious metals investing -- also fitting into the theme of uncertain times -- and Greg McBride of Bankrate.com discussed a recent survey which showed that 74 million Americans have more in credit-card debt than in emergency savings.

William Blair's Singer: With market troubles ahead, get back to basics and fundamentals Feb 21, 2019

Show notes

Brian Singer, head of the dynamic allocation strategies team at William Blair Co., said that fundamentals are going to re-assert themselves on asset prices, noting that when central banks around the world are tightening, value tends to be in favor. Singer also said that emerging markets are perhaps the best value and have the most potential return right now, and urged investors to consider emerging-markets equity. That was directly on point with the ETF of the Week, where Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com picked a specialized emerging-markets fund -- the XSOE -- because it is trending now. Also on the show, Matt Hougan of Bitwise Investments discussed JP Morgan's plan to introduce its own cryptocurrency, and George Putnam III of The Turnaround Letter talked stocks in the Market Call.

David Goerz: China, emerging markets facing big headwinds Feb 20, 2019

Show notes

David Goerz, chief investment officer at Strategic Frontier Management, said he does not like the looks of China and emerging markets, prefers small-cap domestic stocks and cyclical sectors like industrials and financials as he sees a market with the potential to add a few more percentage points to the upside over the rest of the year. Unlike most recent Big Interview guests, Goerz still sees the Fed raising rates three times this year. Also on the show, Richard Lewis and Jeremiah Riethmiller of HighTower Advisors discuss connecting with clients through social media, Chuck talks about President Trump's contention that the market would have lost nearly half its value if the opposition had been elected in 2016, and Dan Brady of Trendrating.com talks stocks in the Market Call.

H.D. Vest's Hickey: 'The gains for 2019 were taken in the first month' Feb 19, 2019

Show notes

James Hickey, chief investment strategist at H.D. Vest Financial Services said that the strong gains realized by the market in January are likely to be what investors experience for the year. While anticipating a flat market for the rest of 2019, Hickey said he does expect some volatility to make things look better or worse throughout, and he ntoed that he is tilting his portfolios toward small-cap stocks, and avoiding Europe and cutting back on emerging markets investments. Also on the show, a rebroadcast of a recent interview with Brent Schutte from Northwestern Mutual, and the Market Call with Jim Lowell, editor of The Fidelity Investor and Fidelity Sector Investor newsletters.

Morgan Creek's Yusko: 'In the US, we are as overvalued as we have ever seen' Feb 18, 2019

Show notes

Mark Yusko, chief investment officer at Morgan Creek Asset Management, said in the Market Call that while he is nto expecting a bear market in short order, he does see trouble ahead for the domestic markets, noting that his metrics show large-cap stocks as being 84 percent overvalued. With that in mind, he expects 'bad things to happen' domestically, even as he finds some global valuations appealing. Also ont eh show, Jason Reposa of MyBankTracker.com discusses America's problem with car-loan delinquiencies, Trevor Neilson of i(x) Investments talks about a new type of social and impact investing, and David Trainer covers companies with misleading returns on invested capital in the Danger Zone.

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