Money Life with Chuck Jaffe

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Cresset's Ablin: Expect a lumpy recovery, mostly led by the U.S. Apr 06, 2021

Show notes

Jack Ablin, chief investment officer at Cresset Capital Management, says investors should expect big economic growth numbers in the second and third quarters -- fueled by the release of pent-up demand plus inflation pressures -- but notes that nominal GDP growth of roughly 10 percent in those quarters will be in the United States and not around the world, leading to what he called a 'lumpy recovery,' mostly driven by the domestic action. In the Market Call, Manny Weintraub of Spears Abacus talks about 'growth at a reasonable price,' or as he prefers to call it 'super great stocks that are not going to kill you.' And Chuck answers an audience question about the 60-40 portfolio and about changing asset allocations.

Ibbotson: Trim your long-term market expectations by 20 percent Apr 05, 2021

Show notes

Legendary stock market observer Roger Ibbotson -- whose landmark research is the basis for most people believing that large-cap stocks deliver 10 percent per year -- has said for years now that investors should not expect the future to stand up to the past. The chairman of Zebra Capital Management says in The Big Interview that low interest rates and other conditions will make it that the market is more likely to deliver about 8 percent on average over the next quarter century, still good but a significant drop off that must be planned for. Also on the show, Matt Schulz talks about a MagnifyMoney.com survey on how much Americans have been selling things out of their home -- and how much they have been making -- during the pandemic, David Trainer revisits GameStop -- which he liked prior to when it became a meme stock -- in the Danger Zone, and Mark Rank talks about his recent book, 'Poorly Understood: What America Gets Wrong About Poverty.'

BMO's Kimball: 'Risk hasn't gone away' from the bond markets Apr 02, 2021

Show notes

Scott Kimball, portfolio manager of the BMO TCH Core Plus Bond Fund, says that there are some warning signs that the fixed-income market could be headed for trouble, including negative repurchase agreement rates between banks, which if they last long enough turn into 'an anvil dangling over credit markets' heads' and could lead to severe consequences in a matter of months. Also on the show, Michael Naughton of Lord, Abbett discusses the benefits of taking liquidity risk as a means of increasing yield, and how interval funds can help in that effort, Charles Rotblut of the American Association of Individual Investors discusses the current wave of optimism among investors, showing up in both bullish sentiment and in the heavy percentage of their assets being put into stocks, and Bill Kornitzer of the Aperture International Equity Fund talks international stocks in the Market Call.

Natixis' Janasiewicz: Rolling corrections for tech/growth are actually a positive Apr 01, 2021

Show notes

Jack Janasiewicz, portfolio strategist for Natixis Investment Managers, says that over the last three months you have seen a rolling correction in technology and growth stocks, which has also expanded into energy, and most recently into small-caps. All have had draw-downs of more than 10 percent, but he says that other sectors have held up the market and are a good sign that the market can keep pushing forward strongly from here. Also on the show, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com goes all the way to Egypt and the Suez Canal to find inspiration for his ETF of the Week, David Botset discusses the way that investors view and use exchange-traded funds as measured by the 10th edition of Charles Schwab's ETF Investor Study, and Han Smith of The Haverford Trust Co. talks large-cap stocks in the Market Call.

Michael Falk gives his steps for building a lifetime portfolio Mar 31, 2021

Show notes

Michael Falk of Focus Consulting Group -- who joins Chuck every three months to discuss the market, investing and his personal battle with Lou Gehrig's Disease -- talks about how he would set up a portfolio that his family (and yours) could live with forever, discusses why the classic 60-40 portfolio will disappoint investors and much more in an extended Big Interview. Also on the show, Alan McKnight, chief investment officer at Regions Asset Management, gives his take on markets, interest rates, inflation and more and, in the Left Brain thinking segment, Freddy Garcia of Left Brain Wealth Management discusses how the firm's value statement is so essential to picking and managing portfolios of growth stocks.

ICON's Callahan says market is 5 percent undervalued Mar 30, 2021

Show notes

Craig Callahan, chief executive officer at ICON Advisers, says that the broad market is trading roughly five percent below its fair value, which is a good target for returns over the rest of the year. Callahan is excited by the earnings forecasts for 2021 and 2022, citing 'outrageous year-over-year growth rates' as a reason to believe there will be good value stocks to be had. Also on the show, David Keller, chief market strategist at StockCharts.com, says that 3700 is a 'line in the sand' for the Standard and Poor's 500 Index, noting that if the market can remain above that level it should be able to avoid a significant downturn during the current rotation from a technology and large-cap driven market to one led by small-caps and value stocks; Greg McBride of BankRate.com discusses the high percentage of investors who believe the stock market is rigged, and Mike Bailey of FBB Capital Partners talks stocks in the Market Call.

New Frontier's Michaud: The 60/40 portfolio still works, but differently Mar 29, 2021

Show notes

Robert Michaud, chief investment officer at New Frontier Advisors, says that reports on the death of the classic 60 percent stocks/40 percent bonds portfolio are greatly exaggerated, although he notes that the types of stocks and bonds that make up each part of the allocation are changing to keep pace with lower-for-longer interest rates and the changing stock market picture. Also on the show, David Trainer of NewConstructs.com takes on another company that has been getting a lot of pre-IPO buzz in the Danger Zone, Melanie Lieberman of ThePointsGuy.com discusses what many consumers want to see before they travel in a post-pandemic world, and Lamar Villere of the Villere Funds talks stocks in the Market Call.

New opportunities to like in sector rotation and economic expansion Mar 26, 2021

Show notes

Kevin Mahn, president and chief investment officer at Hennion and Walsh, says that valuations are stretched and growth could be hard to find, but a new period of economic expansion coupled with a shift in market leadership -- with small caps and more coming to the fore -- will create new investment leaders for investors to pursue. He sees the rebound from coronavirus leading into a multi-year economic expansion. continuing for several years. Also on the show, Adam Grimes of MarketLife Trading and Talon Advisors says that there are few troubling technical signals suggesting any reason to lose confidence in the current bull market, which he also expects to be a multi-year move. In The NAVigator segment, Craig Packer of Owl Rock Capital talks about business-development companies and how the BDC loan market has been impacted by the pandemic, and Ryan Jacob of the Jacob Funds talks technology stocks in the Market Call.

Bitcoin as 'digital gold,' and its role in an average portfolio Mar 25, 2021

Show notes

Two wide-ranging and very different Big Interviews both touch on bitcoin today with Giles Coghlan, chief currency analyst for HYCM, talking about how the skyrocketing price of bitcoin has impacted gold, how the cryptocurrency is increasingly viewed as a digital substitute for physical gold and the correlation between the two, especially with inflation on the horizon. Meanwhile, Scott Knapp, chief market strategist for CUNA Mutual Group, talks about how investors should be reacting to current market rotation, but also discusses where bitcoin can and should fit into the portfolio of working-class savers who are long-term investors rather than speculators. Also, Tom Lydon of ETFTrends.com heads to Japan for smaller companies and greater diversification with his 'ETF of the Week.'

'Value stocks are kind of like toilet paper... ' meaning, at times, really precious Mar 24, 2021

Show notes

Noted value manager Abhay Deshpande of Centerstone Investors actually compares value stocks to toilet paper, noting that you might not be thinking much about them when market growth is humming along, but at other times they become really precious. Right now, Deshpande says, there are plenty of good values to be found in the market, so long as you are mostly willing to avoid the technology stocks. Also on the show, Janice Quek of Left Brain Investment Research discusses Skillz Inc. as a high-growths tock that won't look quite right until it generates profits, Melissa Ridolfi of Fidelity Inc. talks about the firm's research on how retirement investors believe the pandemic has impacted their long-term savings, and Martin Leclerc of Barrack Yard Advisors talks stocks in the Market Call.

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