Show notes
Gold surged after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced plans to more than double buybacks of longer-dated U.S. government debt. Axel Merk of Merk Investments joins Trevor Hall to break down what the move really means for the Treasury market, interest rates, the U.S. dollar, and precious metals—and why the signaling from Washington may be more important than the actual size of the program.
Axel explains why long-term Treasury yields have climbed toward levels not seen in nearly two decades, how persistent U.S. deficits are affecting the cost of capital, and why Treasury's intervention addresses the symptoms rather than the underlying fiscal problem. The conversation also examines the important distinction between Bessent's actions and the Federal Reserve's post-financial-crisis Operation Twist, as well as what an activist Treasury could mean for Fed Chair Kevin Warsh and monetary policy.
The discussion then turns to gold and gold mining equities. Axel explains why gold responded so strongly to Treasury's announcement, how the metal's relationship with real rates and inflation expectations is evolving, and why generalist portfolio managers may be taking a more serious look at mining companies as sector profitability remains historically strong.
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