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    Business

    Michael Covel’s Trend Following

    Bestselling author Michael Covel is the host of Trend Following Radio with 15+ million listens. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trading — all passionately explored and debated. Guests include Nobel Prize winners: Robert Aumann, Angus Deaton, Daniel Kahneman, Oliver Hart, Harry Markowitz & Vernon Smith. More guests: Jack Canfield, Howard Marks, James Altucher, Dan Ariely, Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, Kathleen Eisenhardt, Marc Faber, Tim Ferriss, Jason Fried, Gerd Gigerenzer, Larry Hite, Sally Hogshead, Ryan Holiday, Jack Horner, Ewan Kirk, Steven Kotler, Michael Mauboussin, Tucker Max, Barry Ritholtz, Jim Rogers, Jack Schwager, Ed Seykota, Philip Tetlock & Walter Williams. 1200+ episodes.

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    Latest Episodes:
    Ep. 320: Mike Shell Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Feb 20, 2015
    Show notes

    Please enjoy Mike Shell Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio.

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 319: Salem Abraham Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Feb 16, 2015
    Show notes

    My guest today is Salem Abraham, the President of Abraham Trading Company with a 27-year track record. Salem graduated cum laude from the University of Notre Dame in December 1987 with a bachelor's degree in finance. He began his investing career as a futures trader while still in college, using quantitative models to trade global futures markets beginning in 1987.

    The topic is Trend Following.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • Living in Asia and Asian economics
    • A market lesson Abraham first learned in 1987
    • The recent action of the Swiss Franc
    • Artificially priced markets and the analogy of a dam
    • Crude Oil as a trend
    • Speculation at the core of Abraham's business and its effect on markets generally
    • The effect of Abraham's grandfather on his work
    • The influences on Abraham's thinking and business decisions
    • Location independence
    • The importance of a link to the outside world
    • Avoiding disaster
    • Being agnostic to the market

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 318: Christopher Chabris Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Feb 13, 2015
    Show notes

    My guest today is Christopher Chabris, an American research psychologist, currently Associate Professor of Psychology and co-director of the Neuroscience Program at Union College in Schenectady, New York, Adjunct Assistant Professor of Neurology at Albany Medical College and a Research Affiliate at the MIT Center for Collective Intelligence.

    The topic is his book The Invisible Gorilla: How Our Intuitions Deceive Us.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • Witnesses, memory, and the legal system
    • Expert witness testimony
    • "The play that changed poker"
    • Mastery in any field
    • The connection between chess and memory
    • Chabris' interaction with Neil deGrasse Tyson, and how memory affects our outlook
    • The stock market, prediction, and forecasting
    • The importance of confidence with regard to predictions
    • Simple rules vs. complex rules
    • Oprah Winfrey, Malcolm Gladwell, and intuition
    • Memory and the influx of information coming at us

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 317: Michael Covel Monologue and Peter Shankman Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Feb 09, 2015
    Show notes

    Please enjoy my monologue Michael Covel Monologue and Peter Shankman Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio. This episode may also include great outside guests from my archive.

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 316: Gary Antonacci Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Feb 06, 2015
    Show notes

    My guest today is Gary Antonacci. Antonacci focuses on two issues in the quant world: relative strength price momentum with trend following absolute momentum. He's developed a strategy where he believes it's best to combine both.

    The topic is his book Dual Momentum Investing: An Innovative Strategy for Higher Returns with Lower Risk.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • Momentum vs. trend
    • Relative strength momentum, cross sectional momentum, absolute momentum, and time series momentum
    • Trend following vs. managed futures as terms
    • Antonacci's early history and how he found his way into the career he has today
    • Three legendary traders that crossed paths with Antonacci early on
    • The efficient market hypothesis as a less-than-solid foundation
    • Buying higher highs
    • Ray Dalio and risk parity strategies
    • Academic perspectives on momentum
    • The interaction and correlation between the two momentum strategies (relative and absolute)

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 315: Michael Mauboussin Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Feb 02, 2015
    Show notes

    My guest today is Michael Mauboussin, an investment strategist in the financial services industry, professor at the Columbia Graduate School of Business, and serves on the board of trustees at the Sante Fe Institute (an independent, nonprofit theoretical research institute). He is managing director and head of Global Financial Strategies at Credit Suisse, where he advises clients on valuation and portfolio positioning, capital markets theory, competitive strategy analysis, and decision making.

    The topics are his books More Than You Know and Think Twice: Harnessing the Power of Counterintuition.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • Multi-disciplinary thinking and its influence on Covel
    • Looking at larger reference classes
    • The Swiss Franc
    • Mauboussin's personal take on the recent oil move
    • Fundamentals and expectation
    • Luck or skill when it comes to trading profits
    • The paradox of skill, absolute, and relative skill
    • Whether scientific principles of luck exist
    • Defining luck
    • Outcome bias
    • The general public perception of behavioral economics

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 314: Peter Larson Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Jan 30, 2015
    Show notes

    My guest today is Peter Larson, an American paleontologist, fossil collector, and president of the Black Hills Institute of Geological Research, a company that excavates, prepares, and sells fossils. He led the team that excavated "Sue", the largest and most complete specimen of Tyrannosaurus rex found to date, and has published numerous scientific and popular works on dinosaur paleontology.

    The topic is paleontology.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • Luck's role in finding dinosaurs
    • Larson's personal anecdotes about finding "Sue"
    • Whether Larson knew at the time that he was finding a piece of "land" in a legal sense
    • The scientific data that Larson was able to glean before the government took the bones
    • Telling a male dinosaur from a female dinosaur
    • What makes Larson a T-Rex entrepreneur
    • T-Rex as a predator or scavenger
    • The legal case surrounding "Sue"

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 313: Jean-Philippe Bouchaud Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Jan 26, 2015
    Show notes

    My guest today is Jean-Philippe Bouchaud, a French physicist. He is co-founder and Chairman of Capital Fund Management, adjunct professor at École Normale Supérieure and co-director of the CFM-Imperial Institute of Quantitative Finance at Imperial College London.

    The topic is Trend Following.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • His firm's performance for 2014
    • Whether trend following actually "died" prior to it's "reappearance" in 2014
    • What trend following manages to exploit
    • Exploiting vs. exploring
    • Looking at volatility as a precursor to profit
    • Volatility as a measure of risk
    • Trend following as a genuine market anomaly
    • The behavioral biases in play as oil has fallen fifty percent plus
    • The feedback Bouchaud has received from peers on his newest paper
    • Whether other strategies exploit a genuine market anomaly
    • Bouchaud's philosophy on transparency and "secrets" in his work
    • Why Bouchaud's work culture is not a culture of MBA's

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 312: Dan Hill Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Jan 23, 2015
    Show notes

    My guest today is Dan Hill, a recognized authority on the role of emotions in consumer and employee behavior. He runs Sensory Logic, a scientific insights firm that analyzes consumers' facial expressions to help companies better navigate consumers' emotional decision-making processes.

    The topic is consumer and employee behavior.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • What a face coding expert is
    • The evolutionary aspect to face coding and the 43 muscles present in the face; emotional decision-making
    • How Hill found his way personally into this field
    • Why we feel before we think
    • Being hired by the Milwaukee Bucks
    • The importance of a smile in the heart of a champion
    • The difference between technical skill and the factors that Hill is looking for
    • The importance of having the right amount of happiness
    • Some of the limitations of facial coding
    • How technology is intertwined with facial coding
    • Why a personality like Richard Nixon may never be President again
    • The say/feel gap
    • Whether we can learn how to avoid negative facial expressions and emotions
    • A trading system based on the movement of human faces
    • Where we might see facial coding moving to in the future

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

    Ep. 311: Mebane Faber Interview with Michael Covel on Trend Following Radio Jan 19, 2015
    Show notes

    My guest today is Mebane Faber, a noted author (The Ivy Portfolio), blogger, and portfolio manager with Cambria Investment Management. Faber is involved in many different areas of the market, extremely practical and pragmatic.

    The topic is Trend Following.

    In this episode of Trend Following Radio we discuss:

    • The podcast medium
    • Trend following, buy & hold, and emotions
    • Anti-fragility
    • Ray Dalio, risk parity, and his strategies All Weather and Pure Alpha
    • Asset allocation as a buy and hold investor
    • Faber's five ETF's, and his factors for starting one
    • Deflation, inflation, Japan, why traders run out of the store when things are on sale
    • Value investing
    • What if governments didn't meddle with markets

    Jump in!

    ---

    I'm MICHAEL COVEL, the host of TREND FOLLOWING RADIO, and I'm proud to have delivered 10+ million podcast listens since 2012. Investments, economics, psychology, politics, decision-making, human behavior, entrepreneurship and trend following are all passionately explored and debated on my show.

    To start? I'd like to give you a great piece of advice you can use in your life and trading journey… cut your losses! You will find much more about that philosophy here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/trend/

    You can watch a free video here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/video/

    Can't get enough of this episode? You can choose from my thousand plus episodes here: https://www.trendfollowing.com/podcast

    My social media platforms: Twitter: @covel Facebook: @trendfollowing LinkedIn: @covel Instagram: @mikecovel

    Hope you enjoy my never-ending podcast conversation!

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