Macro Horizons

Latest Episodes:

The Elephant in the Market - High Quality Credit Spreads Jun 17, 2020

Show notes

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton answer the most frequently asked questions surrounding the Fed’s announcement to begin buying individual corporate bonds, including a discussion on what issues stand to benefit from how purchases were structured. They also discuss their view on the path of credit spreads in the near/medium term.

Slipping Into Summer - The Week Ahead Jun 12, 2020

Show notes

Ian Lyngen, Ben Jeffery, and Jon Hill bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of June 15th, 2020, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Reflections from the Fed - High Quality Credit Spreads Jun 10, 2020

Show notes

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton discuss Wednesday’s FOMC statement and press conference including the seemingly pessimistic tone from Chair Powell, forward guidance via the SEPs, and the lack of discussion around the seemingly overdue Primary Market Corporate Credit Facilities. Other topics include the near- and longer-term view for spread markets.

What Recession? - The Week Ahead Jun 05, 2020

Show notes

Ian Lyngen, Ben Jeffery, and Jon Hill bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of June 8th, 2020, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Trillions is the New Billions - Monthly Roundtable Jun 02, 2020

Show notes

Margaret Kerins along with Ian Lyngen, Greg Anderson, Stephen Gallo, Dan Krieter, Ben Reitzes, Dan Belton, Jon Hill, and Ben Jeffery from our FICC Macro Strategy team bring you their top line thoughts on the Treasury yield curve, Treasury’s $800 bn question, the Fed’s $1.5 trillion in Tsy coupon purchases, BoC intervention potential, and the massive retracement in credit and FX that shapes our outlook for these markets in coming months.

Math in This Job? - The Week Ahead May 29, 2020

Show notes

Ian Lyngen, Ben Jeffery, and Jon Hill bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of June 1st, 2020, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

The Recovery Tripod - High Quality Spreads May 27, 2020

Show notes

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton discuss the rally in risk assets over the past two weeks including the three main drivers of the recovery: economic re-opening, positive news around a vaccine, and stimulus, as well as how spreads would respond to a negative turn in any of these factors. Other topics include US/China tensions and potential for long-term spread market impacts of the pandemic.

Early Close from Home - The Week Ahead May 22, 2020

Show notes

Ian Lyngen, Ben Jeffery, and Jon Hill bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of May 26th, 2020, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Mnuchin: The Rapsical - The Week Ahead May 15, 2020

Show notes

Ian Lyngen and Ben Jeffery bring you their thoughts on the U.S. Rates market for the upcoming week of May 18th, 2020, and respond to questions submitted by listeners and clients.

Much Ado About Nothing - High Quality Spreads May 13, 2020

Show notes

Dan Krieter and Dan Belton share their thoughts on credit spreads and the push-pull dynamic between headlines around increasing infection rates in recently reopened jurisdictions and Fed QE continuing to fuel a risk-on bid. Other topics include the impact of heavy supply on spreads, the potential for pent-up demand, and the various channels through which QE feeds through to asset prices.

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