Macro Hive Conversations With Bilal Hafeez

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Gene Ma on US-China Decoupling, China's Green Boom, and Growth Outlook May 05, 2023

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Gene Ma is the Head of China Research at the IIF. Prior to joining the IIF, Gene served as China Strategist at top macro hedge fund Tudor Investment. He has also held the positions of Managing Director at ISI Group, Chief Analyst at CEBM Group (now part of Caixin), Chief Macro Analyst at Citic Securities, and served at China's Ministry of Finance in Beijing. In this podcast we discuss the current state of China's economy, China's excess capacity build-up during COVID, the state of household balance sheets and post-lockdown behaviour, and much more.

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Zar Amrolia on Reinventing Trading Apr 28, 2023

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Zar Amrolia was recently the co-Chief of XTX Markets – one of the top algorithmic trading companies in the world. Before XTX, Zar was Co-Head of Fixed Income, Currencies and Commodities at Deutsche Bank and a Partner at Goldman Sachs. He started off as a quant at JPMorgan in 1988. He has PhD in Mathematics from Oxford University. In this podcast we discuss creating one-click trading, how computers impacted pricing derivatives, future of investment banks, and much more.

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Ken Tropin on How to Run a Successful Macro Hedge Fund Apr 21, 2023

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This episode is sponsored by Amber Group

Ken Tropin is a legend in the macro space. He is the Chairman and the founder of Graham Capital Management (GCM) - $18bn fund. Ken founded GCM in 1994 and over the last 28 years has grown the firm into an industry leading alternative investment manager focusing on global macro discretionary and quantitative hedge fund strategies. Prior to founding GCM, Ken had significant experience in the alternative investment industry, including five years (1989 to 1993) as President and Chief Executive Officer of John W. Henry & Company, Inc. and seven years (1982 to 1989) as Senior Vice President and Director of Managed Futures at Dean Witter Reynolds. In this podcast we discuss the early days of macro and CTA trading, influence of Paul Tudor Jones, the challenge of trading 2011-2021, and much more.

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Robert Koenigsberger on What Everyone Gets Wrong About Emerging Markets Apr 14, 2023

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Robert Koenigsberger is Founder, Chief Investment Officer and the Managing Partner of the $5bn EM fund, Gramercy. He founded Gramercy in 1998. Robert has 36 years of investment experience dedicated to emerging markets with a specialization in distressed opportunistic credit strategies. He is a member of Gramercy's Management Team and is Co-Chair of the Risk Management Committee. In this podcast we discuss common misconceptions about EM, illusion of liquidity, the politics of Latin America, and much more.

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Peter Spiller on Value Investing, Navigating Inflation and Delivering 15% Annual Returns Apr 07, 2023

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Peter Spiller is the one of the most respected value investors in markets. He is the Founder and CIO of boutique investment house CG Asset Management. Prior to founding CGAM in 2000, Peter was a partner and strategy director at Cazenove & Co Capital Management and a US equity investor at Capel Cure & Myers. Peter has managed Capital Gearing Trust plc since 1982, which has delivered annual returns of 15%. In this podcast we discuss how to measure fair value of equities, understanding impact of tech, why real rates will go negative, and much more.

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Geoff Rubin on 60:40 Portfolios, Endowment Model and Re-Thinking Risk Mar 31, 2023

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Geoff Rubin is Senior Managing Director and Chief Investment Strategist at CPP Investments. The Canadian Pension Plan is one of the world's leading pension managers with over $530bn in assets. Geoff is responsible for designing and implementing CPP Investments' long-term investment strategy. He joined CPP Investments in 2011, at the inception of the former Total Portfolio Management department. Previously, Geoff held finance roles with Fannie Mae and Capital One Financial where he managed the global balance sheet. In this podcast we discuss fixed income as diversifier, the right way to think about risk, how to insulate against inflation shocks, and much more.

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Jim Leitner on Creating a Macro Edge, Trading Options and Carry Trades Mar 24, 2023

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This episode is sponsored by Amber Group

Jim Leitner serves as President of Falcon Management Corporation and CIO of Falcon Family L.P., a family office. Previously, he worked as a foreign exchange trader at Morgan Guaranty, as Chief Dealer at Bank of America International, as Vice President for proprietary trading at Shearson Lehman and as Managing Director in the Global Trading Department at Bankers Trust. Jim was a member of the Yale Investment Committee from 2004 through to 2010. In this podcast we discuss why inflation could be more persistent, thoughts on bank crises, owning rather than using options, and much more.

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Lindsay Politi on the Silicon Valley Bank Fall-Out, Duration Bubbles and Inflation Mar 17, 2023

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Lindsay Politi is Head of Inflation Strategies at One River Asset Management. Lindsay began her career at Wellington Management in Boston where she was head of Global Inflation-linked Investments. In that role she was one of the top TIPS managers by assets, managing over $10 billion in dedicated assets, with a top quintile track record for excess in her peer group. She then joined Tudor Investment Corporation in Greenwich as a discretionary macro investor, translating her inflation strategy onto a macro hedge fund platform. She then joined One River Asset Management in 2018. In this podcast we discuss reframing the bank crisis as a duration bubble, how inflation distorts time, why shelter prices are not falling faster, and much more.

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Niall Ferguson on Cold War 2, Middle East Conflict and Woke Students Mar 10, 2023

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Niall Ferguson is the Milbank Family Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, Stanford University, and a senior faculty fellow of the Belfer Center at Harvard, where he served for twelve years as the Laurence A. Tisch Professor of History. He is the author of sixteen books. This includes the international bestseller, The Ascent of Money: A Financial History of the World. His most recent book is Doom: The Politics of Catastrophe. In addition to his academic work, he is the founder and managing director of Greenmantle LLC, an advisory firm. In this podcast we discuss the proper way to do historical analysis, the new conflict on AI and quantum, geological risks, and much more.

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Mustafa Chowdhury on Mortgage Risks, Fed Shocks and Derivatives Mar 03, 2023

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Mustafa is a rates guru and member of the research team at Macro Hive. Before this, Mustafa was the Head of Rates, FX, and Derivatives at Voya Investments, where he helped manage $40 billion of assets. Prior to that, he was a Managing Director and Head of US Rates and MBS Strategy at Deutsche Bank. And in the 1990s, he was Co-head of Asset-Liability Management at Freddie Mac, where he was responsible for managing one of the world's largest fixed income derivatives portfolios and trading desks. In this podcast we discuss how financial institutions manage mortgages on their books, what triggered sub-prime/global financial crisis, why households and mortgage markets are safer today than 2008, and much more.

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