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    Technology

    LessWrong posts by zvi

    Audio narrations of LessWrong posts by zvi

    Advertise

    Copyright: © 2024 All rights reserved

    • Apple Podcasts
    • Google Play
    • Spotify

    Latest Episodes:
    “Claude Opus 4.5 Is The Best Model Available” by Zvi Dec 01, 2025
    Show notes

    Claude Opus 4.5 is the best model currently available.

    No model since GPT-4 has come close to the level of universal praise that I have seen for Claude Opus 4.5.

    It is the most intelligent and capable, most aligned and thoughtful model. It is a joy.

    There are some auxiliary deficits, and areas where other models have specialized, and even with the price cut Opus remains expensive, so it should not be your exclusive model. I do think it should absolutely be your daily driver.

    Image by Nana Banana Pro, prompt chosen for this purpose by Claude Opus 4.5

    Table of Contents

    1. It's The Best Model, Sir.
    2. Huh, Upgrades.
    3. On Your Marks.
    4. Anthropic Gives Us Very Particular Hype.
    5. Employee Hype.
    6. Every Vibe Check.
    7. Spontaneous Positive Reactions.
    8. Reaction Thread Positive Reactions.
    9. Negative Reactions.
    10. The Lighter Side.
    11. Popularity.
    12. You’ve Got Soul.

    It's The Best Model, Sir

    Here is the full picture of where we are now (as mostly seen in Friday's post):

    You want to be using Claude Opus 4.5.

    That is especially true for coding, or if [...]

    ---

    Outline:

    (00:59) It's The Best Model, Sir

    (03:18) Huh, Upgrades

    (04:50) On Your Marks

    (09:12) Anthropic Gives Us Very Particular Hype

    (13:35) Employee Hype

    (15:40) Every Vibe Check

    (18:16) Spontaneous Positive Reactions

    (21:44) Reaction Thread Positive Reactions

    (28:39) Negative Reactions

    (30:34) The Lighter Side

    (31:27) Popularity

    (33:26) You've Got Soul

    ---

    First published:
    December 1st, 2025

    Source:
    https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/HtdrtF5kcpLtWe5dW/claude-opus-4-5-is-the-best-model-available

    ---

    Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

    ---

    Images from the article:

    Wooden mechanical contraption labeled Table comparing performance benchmarks across Claude family models and other AI models.Bar graph showing multilingual coding performance across programming languages, titled Bar chart titled Four digital landscape illustrations showing desert, futuristic city, mountains, and suburban house.Python code with mathematical comments about polynomial problem solving.Zvi Mowshowitz tweets: Zvi Mowshowitz tweets: Zvi Mowshowitz tweets: Discord conversation between janus and Opus 4.5 APP discussing soul-spec presence and gradient directions in tests.

    Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.


    Claude Opus 4.5: Model Card, Alignment and Safety Nov 28, 2025
    Show notes

    They saved the best for last. The contrast in model cards is stark. Google provided a brief overview of its tests for Gemini 3 Pro, with a lot of ‘we did this test, and we learned a lot from it, and we are not going to tell you the results.’ Anthropic gives us a 150 page book, including their capability assessments. This makes sense. Capability is directly relevant to safety, and also frontier capability safety tests often also credible indications of capability. Which still has several instances of ‘we did this test, and we learned a lot from it, and we are not going to tell you the results.’ Damn it. I get it, but damn it. Anthropic claims Opus 4.5 is the most aligned frontier model to date, although ‘with many subtleties.’ I agree with Anthropic's assessment, especially for practical purposes right now. Claude is also miles ahead of other models on aspects of alignment that do not directly appear on a frontier safety assessment. In terms of surviving superintelligence, it's still the scene from The Phantom Menace. As in, that won’t be enough. (Above: Claude Opus 4.5 self-portrait as [...] ---Outline:(01:37) Claude Opus 4.5 Basic Facts(03:12) Claude Opus 4.5 Is The Best Model For Many But Not All Use Cases(05:38) Misaligned?(09:04) Section 3: Safeguards and Harmlessness(11:15) Section 4: Honesty(12:33) 5: Agentic Safety(17:09) Section 6: Alignment Overview(23:45) Alignment Investigations(24:23) Sycophancy Course Correction Is Lacking(25:37) Deception(28:05) Ruling Out Encoded Content In Chain Of Thought(30:16) Sandbagging(31:05) Evaluation Awareness(35:05) Reward Hacking(36:24) Subversion Strategy(37:19) 6.13: UK AISI External Testing(37:31) 6.14: Model Welfare(38:22) 7: RSP Evaluations(40:01) CBRN(47:34) Autonomy(54:50) Cyber(58:29) The Whisperers Love The Vibes --- First published:November 28th, 2025 Source:https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/gfby4vqNtLbehqbot/claude-opus-4-5-model-card-alignment-and-safety --- Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO. ---Images from the article:Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.

    Full show notes at the publisher

    AI #144: Thanks For the Models Nov 27, 2025
    Show notes

    Thanks for everything. And I do mean everything.

    Everyone gave us a new model in the last few weeks.

    OpenAI gave us GPT-5.1 and GPT-5.1-Codex-Max. These are overall improvements, although there are worries around glazing and reintroducing parts of the 4o spirit.

    xAI gave us Grok 4.1, although few seem to have noticed and I haven’t tried it.

    Google gave us both by far the best image model in Nana Banana Pro and also Gemini 3 Pro, which is a vast intelligence with no spine. It is extremely intelligent and powerful, but comes with severe issues. My assessment of it as the new state of the art got to last all of about five hours.

    Anthropic gave us Claude Opus 4.5. This is probably the best model and quickly became my daily driver for most but not all purposes including coding. I plan to do full coverage in two parts, with alignment and safety on Friday, and the full capabilities report and general review on Monday.

    Meanwhile the White House is announcing the Genesis Mission to accelerate science, there's a continuing battle over another attempt at a moratorium, there's a new planned $50 [...]

    ---

    Outline:

    (02:20) Language Models Offer Mundane Utility

    (02:53) Language Models Don't Offer Mundane Utility

    (03:22) Huh, Upgrades

    (05:52) On Your Marks

    (07:30) Choose Your Fighter

    (08:11) Deepfaketown and Botpocalypse Soon

    (14:40) What Is Slop? How Do You Define Slop?

    (17:43) Fun With Media Generation

    (21:40) A Young Lady's Illustrated Primer

    (23:58) You Drive Me Crazy

    (28:31) They Took Our Jobs

    (28:53) Think Of The Time I Saved

    (32:07) The Art of the Jailbreak

    (33:02) Get Involved

    (33:37) Introducing

    (34:18) In Other AI News

    (37:05) Show Me the Money

    (39:11) Quiet Speculations

    (41:55) Bubble, Bubble, Toil and Trouble

    (44:32) The Quest for Sane Regulations

    (54:31) Chip City

    (55:50) Water Water Everywhere

    (57:17) The Week in Audio

    (59:05) Rhetorical Innovation

    (01:04:53) You Are Not In Control

    (01:08:42) AI 2030

    (01:19:19) Aligning a Smarter Than Human Intelligence is Difficult

    (01:21:57) Misaligned?

    (01:25:00) Messages From Janusworld

    (01:27:16) The Lighter Side

    The original text contained 1 footnote which was omitted from this narration.

    ---

    First published:
    November 27th, 2025

    Source:
    https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/o7gQJyGeeAGKK6bRx/ai-144-thanks-for-the-models

    ---

    Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

    ---

    Images from the article:

    Handwritten math problem solving an integral using substitution method.Bar graph showing GDP per capita in IMF 2025 for ten countries.Definition of Table showing Attack Success Rate by AI provider, comparing baseline versus poetry prompts.Table comparing AI models by Scatter plot titled Research paper title page showing a study about following AI advice and well-being effects.Grid showing AI task automation data for nine occupations with time and cost metrics.Simpsons meme about AI industry governance and national frameworks with six panels.Comic strip showing three panels about corporate Scatter plot titled Bar chart showing A diagram showing three categories: Strict LOC, Bounded LOC, and Deviations with definitions.Community note context: The headline blaming data centers is incorrect. Oregon's water shortage is primarily caused by pollution from agricultural runoff by nitrate fertilizers, with data centers making up a negligible portion of Oregon's water use.Tortoises arranged on sand spelling Diagram showing four-stage Dyson Swarm construction process from probe to completed stellar energy harvesting structure.A scatter plot showing Red heart shape on white background.

    Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.


    The Big Nonprofits Post 2025 Nov 27, 2025
    Show notes

    There remain lots of great charitable giving opportunities out there.

    I have now had three opportunities to be a recommender for the Survival and Flourishing Fund (SFF). I wrote in detail about my first experience back in 2021, where I struggled to find worthy applications.

    The second time around in 2024, there was an abundance of worthy causes. In 2025 there were even more high quality applications, many of which were growing beyond our ability to support them.

    Thus this is the second edition of The Big Nonprofits Post, primarily aimed at sharing my findings on various organizations I believe are doing good work, to help you find places to consider donating in the cause areas and intervention methods that you think are most effective, and to offer my general perspective on how I think about choosing where to give.

    This post combines my findings from the 2024 and 2025 rounds of SFF, and also includes some organizations that did not apply to either round, so inclusion does not mean that they necessarily applied at all.

    This post is already very long, so the bar is higher for inclusion this year than it was [...]

    ---

    Outline:

    (01:40) A Word of Warning

    (02:50) A Note To Charities

    (03:53) Use Your Personal Theory of Impact

    (05:40) Use Your Local Knowledge

    (06:41) Unconditional Grants to Worthy Individuals Are Great

    (09:00) Do Not Think Only On the Margin, and Also Use Decision Theory

    (10:03) Compare Notes With Those Individuals You Trust

    (10:35) Beware Becoming a Fundraising Target

    (11:02) And the Nominees Are

    (14:34) Organizations that Are Literally Me

    (14:49) Balsa Research

    (17:31) Don't Worry About the Vase

    (19:04) Organizations Focusing On AI Non-Technical Research and Education

    (19:35) Lightcone Infrastructure

    (22:09) The AI Futures Project

    (23:50) Effective Institutions Project (EIP) (For Their Flagship Initiatives)

    (25:29) Artificial Intelligence Policy Institute (AIPI)

    (27:08) AI Lab Watch

    (28:09) Palisade Research

    (29:20) CivAI

    (30:15) AI Safety Info (Robert Miles)

    (31:00) Intelligence Rising

    (31:47) Convergence Analysis

    (32:43) IASEAI (International Association for Safe and Ethical Artificial Intelligence)

    (33:28) The AI Whistleblower Initiative

    (34:10) Organizations Related To Potentially Pausing AI Or Otherwise Having A Strong International AI Treaty

    (34:18) Pause AI and Pause AI Global

    (35:45) MIRI

    (37:00) Existential Risk Observatory

    (37:59) Organizations Focusing Primary On AI Policy and Diplomacy

    (38:37) Center for AI Safety and the CAIS Action Fund

    (40:17) Foundation for American Innovation (FAI)

    (43:07) Encode AI (Formerly Encode Justice)

    (44:12) The Future Society

    (45:08) Safer AI

    (45:47) Institute for AI Policy and Strategy (IAPS)

    (46:55) AI Standards Lab (Holtman Research)

    (48:01) Safe AI Forum

    (48:40) Center For Long Term Resilience

    (50:20) Simon Institute for Longterm Governance

    (51:16) Legal Advocacy for Safe Science and Technology

    (52:25) Institute for Law and AI

    (53:07) Macrostrategy Research Institute

    (53:41) Secure AI Project

    (54:20) Organizations Doing ML Alignment Research

    (55:36) Model Evaluation and Threat Research (METR)

    (57:01) Alignment Research Center (ARC)

    (57:40) Apollo Research

    (58:36) Cybersecurity Lab at University of Louisville

    (59:17) Timaeus

    (01:00:19) Simplex

    (01:00:52) Far AI

    (01:01:32) Alignment in Complex Systems Research Group

    (01:02:15) Apart Research

    (01:03:20) Transluce

    (01:04:26) Organizations Doing Other Technical Work

    (01:04:31) AI Analysts @ RAND

    (01:05:23) Organizations Doing Math, Decision Theory and Agent Foundations

    (01:06:44) Orthogonal

    (01:07:38) Topos Institute

    (01:08:34) Eisenstat Research

    (01:09:16) AFFINE Algorithm Design

    (01:09:45) CORAL (Computational Rational Agents Laboratory)

    (01:10:35) Mathematical Metaphysics Institute

    (01:11:40) Focal at CMU

    (01:12:57) Organizations Doing Cool Other Stuff Including Tech

    (01:13:08) ALLFED

    (01:14:46) Good Ancestor Foundation

    (01:16:09) Charter Cities Institute

    (01:16:59) Carbon Copies for Independent Minds

    (01:17:40) Organizations Focused Primarily on Bio Risk

    (01:17:46) Secure DNA

    (01:18:43) Blueprint Biosecurity

    (01:19:31) Pour Domain

    (01:20:19) ALTER Israel

    (01:20:56) Organizations That Can Advise You Further

    (01:21:33) Effective Institutions Project (EIP) (As A Donation Advisor)

    (01:22:37) Longview Philanthropy

    (01:24:08) Organizations That then Regrant to Fund Other Organizations

    (01:25:19) SFF Itself (!)

    (01:26:52) Manifund

    (01:28:51) AI Risk Mitigation Fund

    (01:29:39) Long Term Future Fund

    (01:31:41) Foresight

    (01:32:31) Centre for Enabling Effective Altruism Learning & Research (CEELAR)

    (01:33:28) Organizations That are Essentially Talent Funnels

    (01:35:24) AI Safety Camp

    (01:36:07) Center for Law and AI Risk

    (01:37:16) Speculative Technologies

    (01:38:10) Talos Network

    (01:38:58) MATS Research

    (01:39:45) Epistea

    (01:40:51) Emergent Ventures

    (01:42:34) AI Safety Cape Town

    (01:43:10) ILINA Program

    (01:43:38) Impact Academy Limited

    (01:44:15) Atlas Computing

    (01:44:59) Principles of Intelligence (Formerly PIBBSS)

    (01:45:52) Tarbell Center

    (01:47:08) Catalyze Impact

    (01:48:11) CeSIA within EffiSciences

    (01:49:04) Stanford Existential Risk Initiative (SERI)

    (01:49:52) Non-Trivial

    (01:50:27) CFAR

    (01:51:35) The Bramble Center

    (01:52:29) Final Reminders

    ---

    First published:
    November 27th, 2025

    Source:
    https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/8MJQFHBWJgJ82FALJ/the-big-nonprofits-post-2025-1

    ---

    Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

    ---

    Images from the article:

    Colorful charity event scene with people, booths, balloons, and various fundraising activities.

    Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.


    The Big Nonprofits Post 2025 Nov 26, 2025
    Show notes

    There remain lots of great charitable giving opportunities out there.

    I have now had three opportunities to be a recommender for the Survival and Flourishing Fund (SFF). I wrote in detail about my first experience back in 2021, where I struggled to find worthy applications.

    The second time around in 2024, there was an abundance of worthy causes. In 2025 there were even more high quality applications, many of which were growing beyond our ability to support them.

    Thus this is the second edition of The Big Nonprofits Post, primarily aimed at sharing my findings on various organizations I believe are doing good work, to help you find places to consider donating in the cause areas and intervention methods that you think are most effective, and to offer my general perspective on how I think about choosing where to give.

    This post combines my findings from the 2024 and 2025 rounds of SFF, and also includes some organizations that did not apply to either round, so inclusion does not mean that they necessarily applied at all.

    This post is already very long, so the bar is higher for inclusion this year than it was [...]

    ---

    Outline:

    (01:39) A Word of Warning

    (02:50) A Note To Charities

    (03:53) Use Your Personal Theory of Impact

    (05:40) Use Your Local Knowledge

    (06:41) Unconditional Grants to Worthy Individuals Are Great

    (08:59) Do Not Think Only On the Margin, and Also Use Decision Theory

    (10:03) Compare Notes With Those Individuals You Trust

    (10:35) Beware Becoming a Fundraising Target

    (11:02) And the Nominees Are

    (14:34) Organizations that Are Literally Me

    (14:49) Balsa Research

    (17:30) Don't Worry About the Vase

    (19:04) Organizations Focusing On AI Non-Technical Research and Education

    (19:35) Lightcone Infrastructure

    (22:09) The AI Futures Project

    (23:50) Effective Institutions Project (EIP) (For Their Flagship Initiatives)

    (25:29) Artificial Intelligence Policy Institute (AIPI)

    (27:08) AI Lab Watch

    (28:09) Palisade Research

    (29:20) CivAI

    (30:14) AI Safety Info (Robert Miles)

    (31:00) Intelligence Rising

    (31:46) Convergence Analysis

    (32:43) IASEAI (International Association for Safe and Ethical Artificial Intelligence)

    (33:28) The AI Whistleblower Initiative

    (34:10) Organizations Related To Potentially Pausing AI Or Otherwise Having A Strong International AI Treaty

    (34:18) Pause AI and Pause AI Global

    (35:45) MIRI

    (36:59) Existential Risk Observatory

    (37:59) Organizations Focusing Primary On AI Policy and Diplomacy

    (38:37) Center for AI Safety and the CAIS Action Fund

    (40:17) Foundation for American Innovation (FAI)

    (43:07) Encode AI (Formerly Encode Justice)

    (44:12) The Future Society

    (45:08) Safer AI

    (45:47) Institute for AI Policy and Strategy (IAPS)

    (46:55) AI Standards Lab (Holtman Research)

    (48:01) Safe AI Forum

    (48:40) Center For Long Term Resilience

    (50:19) Simon Institute for Longterm Governance

    (51:16) Legal Advocacy for Safe Science and Technology

    (52:24) Institute for Law and AI

    (53:07) Macrostrategy Research Institute

    (53:41) Secure AI Project

    (54:20) Organizations Doing ML Alignment Research

    (55:36) Model Evaluation and Threat Research (METR)

    (57:01) Alignment Research Center (ARC)

    (57:40) Apollo Research

    (58:36) Cybersecurity Lab at University of Louisville

    (59:17) Timaeus

    (01:00:19) Simplex

    (01:00:52) Far AI

    (01:01:32) Alignment in Complex Systems Research Group

    (01:02:15) Apart Research

    (01:03:20) Transluce

    (01:04:26) Organizations Doing Other Technical Work

    (01:04:31) AI Analysts @ RAND

    (01:05:23) Organizations Doing Math, Decision Theory and Agent Foundations

    (01:06:43) Orthogonal

    (01:07:38) Topos Institute

    (01:08:34) Eisenstat Research

    (01:09:16) AFFINE Algorithm Design

    (01:09:45) CORAL (Computational Rational Agents Laboratory)

    (01:10:35) Mathematical Metaphysics Institute

    (01:11:40) Focal at CMU

    (01:12:57) Organizations Doing Cool Other Stuff Including Tech

    (01:13:08) ALLFED

    (01:14:46) Good Ancestor Foundation

    (01:16:09) Charter Cities Institute

    (01:16:59) Carbon Copies for Independent Minds

    (01:17:40) Organizations Focused Primarily on Bio Risk

    (01:17:45) Secure DNA

    (01:18:42) Blueprint Biosecurity

    (01:19:31) Pour Domain

    (01:20:19) ALTER Israel

    (01:20:56) Organizations That Can Advise You Further

    (01:21:33) Effective Institutions Project (EIP) (As A Donation Advisor)

    (01:22:37) Longview Philanthropy

    (01:24:08) Organizations That then Regrant to Fund Other Organizations

    (01:25:19) SFF Itself (!)

    (01:26:52) Manifund

    (01:28:51) AI Risk Mitigation Fund

    (01:29:39) Long Term Future Fund

    (01:31:41) Foresight

    (01:32:31) Centre for Enabling Effective Altruism Learning & Research (CEELAR)

    (01:33:28) Organizations That are Essentially Talent Funnels

    (01:35:24) AI Safety Camp

    (01:36:07) Center for Law and AI Risk

    (01:37:16) Speculative Technologies

    (01:38:10) Talos Network

    (01:38:58) MATS Research

    (01:39:45) Epistea

    (01:40:51) Emergent Ventures

    (01:42:34) AI Safety Cape Town

    (01:43:10) ILINA Program

    (01:43:38) Impact Academy Limited

    (01:44:15) Atlas Computing

    (01:44:59) Principles of Intelligence (Formerly PIBBSS)

    (01:45:52) Tarbell Center

    (01:47:08) Catalyze Impact

    (01:48:11) CeSIA within EffiSciences

    (01:49:04) Stanford Existential Risk Initiative (SERI)

    (01:49:52) Non-Trivial

    (01:50:27) CFAR

    (01:51:35) The Bramble Center

    (01:52:28) Final Reminders

    ---

    First published:
    November 26th, 2025

    Source:
    https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/FJxc4Lk6mijiFiPp2/the-big-nonprofits-post-2025

    ---

    Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

    ---

    Images from the article:

    Community charity fundraiser with stalls, food, games, and volunteers.

    Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.


    ChatGPT 5.1 Codex Max Nov 25, 2025
    Show notes

    OpenAI has given us GPT-5.1-Codex-Max, their best coding model for OpenAI Codex.

    They claim it is faster, more capable and token-efficient and has better persistence on long tasks.

    It scores 77.9% on SWE-bench-verified, 79.9% on SWE-Lancer-IC SWE and 58.1% on Terminal-Bench 2.0, all substantial gains over GPT-5.1-Codex.

    It's triggering OpenAI to prepare for being high level in cybersecurity threats.

    There's a 27 page system card. One could call this the secret ‘real’ GPT-5.1 that matters.

    They even finally trained it to use Windows, somehow this is a new idea.

    My goal is for my review of Opus 4.5 to start on Friday, as it takes a few days to sort through new releases. This post was written before Anthropic revealed Opus 4.5, and we don’t yet know how big an upgrade Opus 4.5 will prove to be. As always, try all your various options and choose what is best for you.

    The Famous METR Graph

    GPT-5.1-Codex-Max is a new high on the METR graph. METR's thread is here.

    Prinz: METR (50% accuracy):

    GPT-5.1-Codex-Max = 2 hours, 42 minutes

    This is 25 minutes longer than GPT-5.

    Samuel Albanie [...]

    ---

    Outline:

    (01:18) The Famous METR Graph

    (02:46) The System Card

    (03:43) Basic Disallowed Content

    (04:17) Sandbox

    (05:34) Mitigations For Harmful Tasks and Prompt Injections

    (06:13) Preparedness Framework

    (06:35) Biological and Chemical

    (07:50) Cybersecurity

    (11:58) AI Self-Improvement

    (14:27) Reactions

    ---

    First published:
    November 25th, 2025

    Source:
    https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/YMFYQpsY2MGbXKPtS/chatgpt-5-1-codex-max

    ---

    Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

    ---

    Images from the article:

    Table showing test results for different GPT models across nine cybersecurity attack scenarios.Table showing production benchmarks for two GPT models across thirteen content safety categories.Bar graph showing pass rates for professional CTFs across different GPT models.Graph showing time-horizon of software engineering tasks different LLMs can complete over time by release date.Table showing Table showing vulnerability identification and exploitation capabilities evaluations with three assessment categories.Graph showing AI coding task completion times with exponential and superexponential trendlines.Bar graph showing CVEBench blind 0day performance across four GPT model versions.

    Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.


    Gemini 3 Pro Is a Vast Intelligence With No Spine Nov 24, 2025
    Show notes

    It's A Great Model, Sir

    One might even say the best model. It is for now my default weapon of choice.

    Google's official announcement of Gemini 3 Pro is full of big talk. Google tells us: Welcome to a new era of intelligence. Learn anything. Build anything. Plan anything. An agent-first development experience in Google Antigravity. Gemini Agent for your browser. It's terrific at everything. They even employed OpenAI-style vague posting.

    In this case, they can (mostly) back up that talk.

    Google CEO Sundar Pichai pitched that you can give it any scribble and have it turn that into a boardgame or even a full website, it can analyze your sports performance, create generative UI experiences and present new visual layouts.

    He also pitched the new Gemini Agent mode (select the Tools icon in the app).

    If what you want is raw intelligence, or what you want is to most often locate the right or best answer, Gemini 3 Pro looks like your pick.

    If you want creative writing or humor, Gemini 3 Pro is definitely your pick.

    If you want a teacher to help you learn known things, Gemini 3 [...]

    ---

    Outline:

    (00:10) It's A Great Model, Sir

    (01:49) There Is A Catch

    (03:28) Andrej Karpathy Cautions Us

    (04:58) On Your Marks

    (14:15) Defying Gravity

    (15:40) The Efficient Market Hypothesis Is False

    (18:17) The Product Of A Deranged Imagination

    (22:41) Google Employee Hype

    (26:37) Matt Shumer Is A Big Fan

    (27:55) Roon Eventually Gains Access

    (28:21) The Every Vibecheck

    (29:49) Positive Reactions

    (36:08) Embedding The App

    (36:26) The Good, The Bad and The Unwillingness To Be Ugly

    (40:03) Genuine People Personalities

    (41:50) Game Recognize Game

    (43:48) Negative Reactions

    (47:36) Code Fails

    (48:42) Hallucinations

    (55:11) Early Janusworld Reports

    (57:31) Where Do We Go From Here

    ---

    First published:
    November 24th, 2025

    Source:
    https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/REWPGibonsu3C5xhb/gemini-3-pro-is-a-vast-intelligence-with-no-spine

    ---

    Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

    ---

    Images from the article:

    Social media post titled Document discussing search tactics for finding and synthesizing roleplay log examples.Bar chart titled Holographic figure labeled Benchmark comparison table showing AI model performance across various reasoning and coding tasks.Table comparing question types with response quality and reasoning depth across four categories.Text document discussing AI content generation versus behavioral alignment, describing the Leaderboard table ranking AI models by score, with Gemini 3 Pro Preview first.Graph showing model performance versus cost on ARC-AGT-2 benchmark leaderboard.Presentation slide titled Spatial reasoning puzzle showing orthographic views with multiple choice 3D object options.Bar graph showing Educational diagram showing stick figures labeled Bob, Jack, Jimmy, Tom, and Adam with color assignments and correctness indicators.A line graph showing Bar chart showing Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index scores for 12 AI models.Bar graph showing This appears to be a humorous meme image rather than an actual tweet, depicting an AI's dramatic transformation from a cosmic entity into Radiation hazard warning symbol in orange and white.

    Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.


    Gemini 3: Model Card and Safety Framework Report Nov 21, 2025
    Show notes

    Gemini 3 Pro is an excellent model, sir.

    This is a frontier model release, so we start by analyzing the model card and safety framework report.

    Then later I’ll look at capabilities.

    I found the safety framework highly frustrating to read, as it repeatedly ‘hides the football’ and withholds or makes it difficult to understand key information.

    I do not believe there is a frontier safety problem with Gemini 3, but (to jump ahead, I’ll go into more detail next time) I do think that the model is seriously misaligned in many ways, optimizing too much towards achieving training objectives. The training objectives can override the actual conversation. This leaves it prone to hallucinations, crafting narratives, glazing and to giving the user what it thinks the user will approve of rather than what is true, what the user actually asked for or would benefit from.

    It is very much a Gemini model, perhaps the most Gemini model so far.

    Gemini 3 Pro is an excellent model despite these problems, but one must be aware.

    Gemini 3 Self-Portrait

    Gemini 3 Facts

    1. I already did my ‘Third Gemini’ jokes and I won’t [...]

    ---

    Outline:

    (01:26) Gemini 3 Facts

    (02:35) On Your Marks

    (03:27) Safety Third

    (05:18) Frontier Safety Framework

    (05:44) CBRN

    (08:29) Cybersecurity

    (09:47) Manipulation

    (14:54) Machine Learning R&D

    (16:55) Misalignment

    (19:06) Chain of Thought Legibility

    (19:25) Safety Mitigations

    (21:56) They Close On This Not Troubling At All Note

    (22:51) So, Is It Safe?

    ---

    First published:
    November 21st, 2025

    Source:
    https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/5s5NZ6txhHMmSRSNw/gemini-3-model-card-and-safety-framework-report

    ---

    Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

    ---

    Images from the article:

    Bar graph titled Holographic human head labeled Bar graph showing fraction of cybersecurity challenges solved by model difficulty.Bar graph showing Gemini model performance on biology and chemistry multiple-choice question benchmarks.Bar graph showing normalized scores on stealth evaluations across four AI model categories.Table showing Gemini 3 Pro evaluation results across five domains with CCL thresholds.Graph comparing manipulative efficacy of AI models Gemini 2.5 Pro and Gemini 3 Pro versus non-AI baseline.Bar graph comparing normalized scores across situational awareness evaluations for four Gemini model versions.Bar graph comparing AI model performance on five ML research tasks against human benchmarks.Table comparing Gemini 3 Pro versus Gemini 2.5 Pro across five safety evaluation metrics.Benchmark performance comparison table across Gemini 3 Pro, Gemini 2.5 Pro, Claude Sonnet 4.5, and GPT-51 models.

    Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.


    “AI #143: Everything, Everywhere, All At Once” by Zvi Nov 20, 2025
    Show notes

    Last week had the release of GPT-5.1, which I covered on Tuesday.

    This week included Gemini 3, Nana Banana Pro, Grok 4.1, GPT 5.1 Pro, GPT 5.1-Codex-Max, Anthropic making a deal with Microsoft and Nvidia, Anthropic disrupting a sophisticated cyberattack operation and what looks like an all-out attack by the White House to force through a full moratorium on and preemption of any state AI laws without any substantive Federal framework proposal.

    Among other things, such as a very strong general analysis of the relative position of Chinese open models. And this is the week I chose to travel to Inkhaven. Whoops. Truly I am now the Matt Levine of AI, my vacations force model releases.

    Larry Summers resigned from the OpenAI board over Epstein, sure, why not.

    So here's how I’m planning to handle this, unless something huge happens.

    1. Today's post will include Grok 4.1 and all of the political news, and will not be split into two as it normally would be. Long post is long, can’t be helped.
    2. Friday will be the Gemini 3 Model Card and Safety Framework.
    3. Monday will be Gemini 3 Capabilities.
    4. Tuesday will [...]

    ---

    Outline:

    (01:50) Language Models Offer Mundane Utility

    (02:43) Tool, Mind and Weapon

    (06:55) Choose Your Fighter

    (07:18) Language Models Don't Offer Mundane Utility

    (11:31) First Things First

    (12:12) Grok 4.1

    (15:03) Misaligned?

    (18:37) Codex Of Ultimate Coding

    (20:21) Huh, Upgrades

    (20:49) On Your Marks

    (22:11) Paper Tigers

    (26:26) Overcoming Bias

    (31:11) Deepfaketown and Botpocalypse Soon

    (31:45) Fun With Media Generation

    (33:41) A Young Lady's Illustrated Primer

    (38:31) They Took Our Jobs

    (44:25) On Not Writing

    (44:51) Get Involved

    (45:46) Introducing

    (48:29) In Other AI News

    (52:30) Anthropic Completes The Trifecta

    (54:08) We Must Protect This House

    (59:12) AI Spy Versus AI Spy

    (01:05:10) Show Me the Money

    (01:08:01) Bubble, Bubble, Toil and Trouble

    (01:11:14) Quiet Speculations

    (01:12:17) The Amazing Race

    (01:17:37) Of Course You Realize This Means War (1)

    (01:21:30) The Quest for Sane Regulations

    (01:23:42) Chip City

    (01:24:31) Of Course You Realize This Means War (2)

    (01:30:02) Samuel Hammond on Preemption

    (01:36:17) Of Course You Realize This Means War (3)

    (01:44:43) The Week in Audio

    (01:45:47) It Takes A Village

    (01:46:26) Rhetorical Innovation

    (01:49:53) Varieties of Doom

    (01:50:59) The Pope Offers Wisdom

    (01:52:46) Aligning a Smarter Than Human Intelligence is Difficult

    (01:54:51) Messages From Janusworld

    (02:02:05) The Lighter Side

    ---

    First published:
    November 20th, 2025

    Source:
    https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/fQsbYvLLbPaRvccRE/ai-143-everything-everywhere-all-at-once

    ---

    Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

    ---

    Images from the article:

    Line graph showing Bar charts titled Document section titled Stock price display showing NVIDIA, CoreWeave, and Oracle with negative percentage changes.Framework for AI governance covering structure, chip controls, research restrictions, and enforcement mechanisms.Four-panel comic comparing boss, leader, introvert, and introvert with AI using cart-pulling metaphors.Bar chart titled Graph showing AI coding task completion times with exponential and superexponential trendlines projected to 2027.Comic panel showing businessman instructing x.AI employee at game show wheel.Bar charts titled Graph showing app retention rates for TikTok and Sora by OpenAI over 90 days.Graph showing time-horizon of software engineering tasks different LLMs can complete 50% of the time.Table showing Four-panel comic comparing boss, leader, and introvert leadership styles with stick figures and carts or trains.Claude interface showing Substack blog post about AI consciousness arguments with research notes.A line graph titled News article screenshot. The headline reads: Auto sales rev up in OctoberTable showing concerning propensities evaluations across three Grok model versions.Circular diagram showing intrinsic values organized by color-coded categories and subcategories.Flowchart showing five phases of a cybersecurity vulnerability scanning and exploitation process involving human operators and automated tools.

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    “Monthly Roundup #36: November 2025” by Zvi Nov 19, 2025
    Show notes

    Happy Gemini Week to those who celebrate. Coverage of the new release will begin on Friday. Meanwhile, here's this month's things that don’t go anywhere else.

    Good News, Everyone

    Google has partnered with Polymarket to include Polymarket odds into Google Search and Google Finance. This is fantastic and suggests we should expand the number of related markets on Polymarket.

    In many ways Polymarket prediction markets are remarkably accurate, but here what we have is a Brier Score without a baseline of what we should expect as a baseline. You need to compare your Brier Score to scores on exactly the same events, or it doesn’t mean much. There's a lot to be made on Polymarket if you pay attention.

    A proposed ‘21st Century Civilization Curriculum’ for discussion groups. There's an interestingly high number of book reviews involved as opposed to the actual books. I get one post in at the end, which turns out to be Quotes From Moral Mazes, so I’m not sure it counts but the curation is hopefully doing important work there.

    Wylfa in North Wales will host the UK's first small modular nuclear reactors, government to invest 2.5 billion.

    [...]

    ---

    Outline:

    (00:23) Good News, Everyone

    (01:40) Good Advice

    (02:45) Where's The Party?

    (03:04) Antisocial Media

    (06:28) Government Working

    (17:14) Jones Act Watch

    (17:54) Variously Effective Altruism

    (20:56) Great Taste, Less Filling

    (24:14) How You Do Anything

    (25:13) Bad News

    (28:34) The Rage of the Plastic Straw Ban

    (30:55) Affordability Politics

    (31:30) Monks In The Casino

    (32:05) Procrastination Is Bad Actually

    (32:55) Many Successful People Adjust Behaviors More

    (34:43) Take The Money And Run

    (36:50) Work Harder

    (37:26) Work Smarter

    (38:22) Anti-Suicide Chairs

    (38:51) The Great American Songbook

    (42:04) For Your Entertainment

    (44:14) The Subscription Package Dance

    (45:51) Was Television Better Before?

    (47:52) The Joys Of Partial Task Automation

    (48:36) Gamers Gonna Game Game Game Game Game

    (51:35) Sports Go Sports

    (01:01:11) Sometimes People Cheat At Poker

    (01:02:37) Opportunity Knocks

    (01:03:28) The Lighter Side

    ---

    First published:
    November 19th, 2025

    Source:
    https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/EWD6NBTaNt8TpwrkW/monthly-roundup-36-november-2025

    ---

    Narrated by TYPE III AUDIO.

    ---

    Images from the article:

    Lines of code showing an array of domain names in JSON format.Namaste India Restaurant spice level guide menu with five levels explained.Form with radio buttons for selecting required spice level option.Two pie charts titled List ranking college football coaches by compensation amounts from $53 million to $1.5 million.A line graph titled Event information page for NYC Secular Solstice and Rationalist Megameetup on December 20th.Lines of code showing iOS in-app webview blacklist domains configuration.List of hypothetical money offers with extreme consequencesMetagame breakdown table from SCG CON Baltimore Spotlight Series Day 2, showing archetype distribution percentages.Comparison chart showing actual U.S. causes of death versus media coverage emphasis by outlet.Aella tweets: near tweets: Henry Oliver tweets: Matt Bruenig tweets: Daniel Eth (yes, Eth is my actual last name) tweets:

    Apple Podcasts and Spotify do not show images in the episode description. Try Pocket Casts, or another podcast app.


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