GAR Capital Podcast

Strong Earnings, Weak Stocks | Why the Semiconductor Trade Keeps Breaking Jul 16, 2026

(AI Narrated) This episode of the GAR Capital Podcast is sponsored by GAR Labs and its custom trading system development services.

Have a trading strategy you want to bring to life?

GAR Labs can help get your project off the ground with a system built around your specific trading style, objectives, and risk tolerance.

Visit gar.capital to learn more.

In today’s GAR Capital Market Intelligence Report, we examine why Taiwan Semiconductor delivered record profits, stronger guidance, and plans for up to 265 billion dollars of United States investment, yet semiconductor and memory stocks continued falling.

We explain why recent results from Taiwan Semiconductor, ASML, Micron, and Samsung confirm that artificial intelligence demand remains strong, while the market reaction suggests positioning, leverage, and momentum are currently more important than fundamentals.

The episode also breaks down the semiconductor complex entering bear market territory, the ongoing rotation into Mega Cap technology, the collapse in high beta momentum, and why crowded artificial intelligence trades can continue falling even when earnings remain exceptional.

Beyond technology, we cover stronger retail sales, resilient jobless claims, the surge in the Philadelphia Federal Reserve survey, and why Goldman Sachs raised its second quarter growth estimate to 2.4 percent.

We also discuss Treasury yields remaining above critical levels, the Federal Reserve keeping September tightening in play, renewed tension around the Strait of Hormuz, firm refined product prices, strength in healthcare earnings, gold falling below 4,000 dollars, and Bitcoin finding support near 64,000 dollars.

Finally, we explain why hyperscaler earnings may become the next major stabilizing force for semiconductor stocks and what investors should watch to determine whether the current selloff is approaching exhaustion or beginning another leg lower.

If you enjoy institutional quality market intelligence, follow the GAR Capital Podcast for daily and weekly macro analysis, market breakdowns, and educational content designed to help investors better understand today’s markets.

Cooling Inflation, Changing Leadership | Mega Cap Tech Takes Control Jul 15, 2026

(AI Narrated) This episode of the GAR Capital Podcast is sponsored by GAR Labs and its custom trading system development services.

Have a trading strategy you want to bring to life?

GAR Labs can help get your project off the ground with a system built around your specific trading style, objectives, and risk tolerance.

Project Friday delivered a perfect five for five session today, producing a 100 percent hit rate across SPY, QQQ, NVDA, and AMD puts, along with META calls. Every position was opened and closed during the same trading session, with timestamped entries, exits, and updates provided throughout the day.

Visit gar.capital to learn more.

In today’s GAR Capital Market Intelligence Report, we examine why another cooler inflation report reduced Federal Reserve rate hike expectations, pushed Treasury yields lower, weakened the United States dollar, and supported Mega Cap technology.

We break down the June Producer Price Index report, Kevin Warsh’s continued hawkish message, and why markets now view a July rate increase as highly unlikely while keeping September in play.

The episode also explores the ongoing rotation from semiconductors and memory stocks into Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and other Mega Cap technology companies. Investors still want exposure to artificial intelligence, but they increasingly prefer stronger balance sheets, better liquidity, and more stable free cash flow after an extraordinary run across the semiconductor complex.

We also examine why zero day options flows helped drive the afternoon rebound, why institutional selling remained elevated despite higher indices, and what extremely light trading volume reveals about the conviction behind the market’s move.

Beyond equities, we cover renewed United States and Iran military tension, the importance of refined fuel markets for inflation, strength across major financial companies, the weaker dollar, gold’s muted reaction, and Bitcoin’s rally toward 65,500 dollars.

Finally, we explain why earnings guidance and positioning may matter more than headline earnings results as the market enters the heart of second quarter reporting season.

If you enjoy institutional quality market intelligence, follow the GAR Capital Podcast for daily and weekly macro analysis, market breakdowns, and educational content designed to help investors better understand today’s markets.

Cooler Inflation, Hotter Markets | CPI Falls as Banks and AI Take Control Jul 14, 2026

(AI Narrated) Markets absorbed a major inflation surprise, record bank earnings, renewed Middle East tension, a dramatic IBM collapse, and another hawkish message from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh.

In today’s GAR Capital Market Intelligence Report, we break down why June CPI declined 0.4 percent from the prior month, how annual inflation slowed to 3.5 percent, and why the report immediately reduced expectations for a July interest rate increase.

We also examine Kevin Warsh’s testimony and explain why the Federal Reserve remains cautious despite the cooler inflation data. Markets received breathing room, but policymakers are not declaring victory over inflation.

The episode includes a complete breakdown of major bank earnings from Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan, Bank of America, and Citigroup. Record trading and investment banking results supported financial stocks, but individual reactions showed that expectations remain extremely high.

We also examine IBM’s historic decline and why enterprise spending may be shifting away from traditional software toward artificial intelligence hardware, data centers, memory, and infrastructure. This rotation could define the next phase of the technology cycle.

Beyond equities, we cover renewed tension near the Strait of Hormuz, why refined fuel prices remain more important for inflation than crude alone, the decline in Treasury yields, the weaker United States dollar, gold’s rebound above 4,000 dollars, and Bitcoin’s surge toward 65,000 dollars.

Finally, we discuss the poor market breadth beneath stronger Mega Cap technology performance and why light trading volume may be masking continued caution from long only institutional investors.

Oil Shock Meets AI Fragility | Iran Escalates as Rate Hike Risk Returns Jul 13, 2026

(AI Narrated) Markets came under renewed pressure as escalating tensions between the United States and Iran pushed oil prices sharply higher, revived inflation fears, and increased expectations that the Federal Reserve may need to tighten policy again.

In today’s GAR Capital Market Intelligence Report, we examine why traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has collapsed, how renewed military escalation pushed WTI crude toward $78, and why tight gasoline and diesel markets may matter more for inflation than the headline price of crude oil.

We also break down the latest selloff across semiconductors, memory stocks, and the broader artificial intelligence complex. Investors are becoming increasingly concerned about hyperscaler debt issuance, rising financing costs, and whether the enormous AI infrastructure buildout can continue generating acceptable returns as real yields move higher.

Beyond technology, we discuss Apple’s emergence as a defensive Mega Cap leader, the continued rotation into broader sectors, and why historically low stock correlations are creating opportunities for active investors while hiding significant damage beneath the index level.

The episode also covers Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller’s hawkish warning, the importance of Kevin Warsh’s upcoming testimony, the risk created by ten year real yields approaching 2.40 percent, and the growing possibility that the current rotation could evolve into a broader market correction.

We also analyze the stronger U.S. dollar, gold’s renewed test of $4,000, Bitcoin’s decline below $62,000, and the hidden market structure risks created by crowded positioning, dealer balance sheets, and the expiration of stabilizing options positions later this week.

Buying Every Dip | AI Surges as Markets Ignore Another Iran Escalation Jul 10, 2026

(AI Narrated) Markets moved higher once again despite renewed geopolitical tension between the United States and Iran, highlighting the continued strength of dip buying across artificial intelligence and Mega Cap technology.

In today’s GAR Capital Market Intelligence Report, we examine why another announcement that the ceasefire was over failed to produce sustained selling, how lower crude oil prices helped investors look past geopolitical risk, and why Meta, SK Hynix, and the broader AI ecosystem returned to the center of market leadership.

We break down Meta’s latest frontier model, the market’s growing focus on AI monetization, and what SK Hynix’s record United States listing reveals about long term demand for high bandwidth memory. We also explain why Micron and other semiconductor companies may face more competition even as the broader AI infrastructure cycle remains strong.

Beyond technology, we examine the unusual market structure behind today’s rally. Stocks rose despite net selling from both hedge funds and long only investors as extremely low summer trading volume allowed algorithms and zero day options flows to drive the market toward record highs.

We also discuss the ten year Treasury yield approaching 4.60 percent, the importance of refined fuel prices for inflation, weakening retail net buying, and why UBS’s volatility indicators suggest the calm market environment may not last.

Finally, we preview the major catalysts ahead, including CPI, Q2 bank earnings, Federal Reserve commentary, and the start of a critical earnings season for artificial intelligence leaders.

AI Takes Back the Tape | Oil Falls, Yields Ease, and Semiconductors Rebound Jul 09, 2026

(AI Narrated) Markets bounced as investors returned to the artificial intelligence trade despite another round of U.S. and Iran military escalation.

In today’s GAR Capital Market Intelligence Report, we break down why oil prices declined even as geopolitical tensions remained elevated, how lower crude helped ease inflation concerns, and why Treasury yields moved lower as investors reduced expectations for additional Federal Reserve tightening.

We also examine the powerful rebound across AI and semiconductor stocks, with Micron, Marvell, AMD, Broadcom, Arm, SOXX, and SMH gaining as traders moved back into the AI ecosystem. New model announcements from OpenAI, Meta, and SpaceX helped revive enthusiasm around artificial intelligence, while renewed institutional interest in AI memory demand supported the broader chip complex.

Beyond equities, we discuss the dollar’s decline, gold’s rebound, Bitcoin’s recovery toward $63,000, and why market structure remains fragile despite the calm in headline volatility. Index volatility may look contained, but single stock volatility remains historically elevated, creating both opportunity and risk for active traders.

Finally, we explain why the next major tests for markets will be CPI, earnings season, and July options expiration. Investors are still willing to buy AI pullbacks, but companies will need to prove that artificial intelligence spending is translating into sustainable revenue, margins, and cash flow.

GAR Labs continues expanding systematic trading across the GAR Capital ecosystem. Project Friday delivers disciplined options opportunities for Options Signals members, while Project MC provides institutional style swing trade planning exclusively for Masterclass members. The GAR Scanner and GAR Breaking News continuously monitor markets throughout the trading day, while GAR Labs also engineers fully customized trading systems, scanners, indicators, and algorithmic workflows designed around each trader’s unique strategy.

If you enjoy institutional quality market intelligence, follow the GAR Capital Podcast for daily and weekly macro analysis, market breakdowns, and educational content designed to help investors better understand today’s markets.

GAR Labs Spotlight

Geopolitical Risk Returns | Oil Spikes, Yields Rise, and AI Dip Buyers Step In Jul 08, 2026

(AI Narrated) Geopolitical risk returned to the center of financial markets after President Trump declared the U.S. and Iran ceasefire over following renewed tanker attacks near the Strait of Hormuz and fresh U.S. military strikes on Iranian targets.

In today’s GAR Capital Market Intelligence Report, we break down why oil prices surged, how higher crude reignited inflation concerns, and why Treasury yields moved higher as investors reassessed the Federal Reserve’s policy path. We explain why energy markets remain highly sensitive to shipping disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz and why elevated refined product margins could keep pressure on crude prices even if supply appears manageable.

We also examine the mixed reaction across equities. While financials, industrials, consumer discretionary, and travel stocks weakened, technology and semiconductor stocks found buyers after early losses. Massive inflows into semiconductor ETFs suggest investors were waiting for an opportunity to buy the AI pullback, even as momentum volatility remains elevated and the broader market stays fragile.

Beyond equities, we cover the move in the U.S. dollar, gold’s breakdown and recovery, Bitcoin’s failure to follow technology higher, and what institutional positioning reveals about hedge fund demand versus long only caution.

Finally, we explain why this market is increasingly separating companies with durable AI driven earnings power from those more exposed to macro pressure, higher energy costs, and rising yields.

When Great Earnings Aren’t Enough | The AI Trade Faces Its Toughest Test Jul 07, 2026

(AI Narrated) Markets delivered another important lesson today: in today’s environment, great earnings alone may no longer be enough.

In this episode of the GAR Capital Podcast, we examine why Samsung reported record operating profits yet still saw its shares fall sharply, triggering another wave of selling across semiconductors, memory stocks, and artificial intelligence infrastructure companies. We explain why institutional investors are raising the bar for AI companies as earnings season begins and why valuation discipline is becoming just as important as technological leadership.

We also discuss renewed geopolitical tensions after additional tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz and the U.S. Treasury’s decision to revoke an Iranian oil sanctions waiver, developments that pushed crude oil higher, lifted Treasury yields, strengthened the U.S. dollar, and pressured gold throughout the session.

Beyond the headlines, we break down institutional positioning, why equal weighted indices continue outperforming capitalization weighted benchmarks, what Amazon’s record bond issuance tells us about corporate credit markets, and why today’s rotation continues to favor active stock selection over passive investing.

Finally, we look ahead to the release of the Federal Reserve meeting minutes and the start of second quarter earnings season, where investors will be watching closely to determine whether the recent AI correction represents a healthy consolidation or the beginning of a more significant shift in market leadership.

GAR Labs continues expanding systematic trading across the GAR Capital ecosystem. Project Friday delivers disciplined options opportunities for Options Signals members, while Project MC provides institutional style swing trade planning exclusively for Masterclass members. The GAR Scanner and GAR Breaking News continuously monitor markets throughout the trading day, while GAR Labs also engineers fully customized trading systems, scanners, indicators, and algorithmic workflows built around each trader’s unique strategy.

If you enjoy institutional quality market intelligence, follow the GAR Capital Podcast for daily and weekly macro analysis, market breakdowns, and educational content designed to help investors better understand today’s markets.

The AI Rebound | Markets Return, But Wall Street Is Demanding More Than Hype Jul 06, 2026

(AI Narrated) Markets returned from the Independence Day holiday with renewed optimism, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average above 53,000 for the first time while the Nasdaq rebounded sharply from key technical support. But beneath the surface, investors remain far more selective than they were just weeks ago.

In today’s GAR Capital Market Intelligence Report, we break down why technology stocks rebounded despite continued concerns surrounding AI capital spending, what Broadcom, AMD, and Micron are signaling about long term demand, and why the relationship between hyperscalers and semiconductor companies continues evolving. We explain why this week’s rally appears driven more by improving positioning than a return to the speculative momentum that dominated the first half of the year.

We also examine the surprisingly quiet action across oil markets as the Strait of Hormuz continues reopening, Saudi Arabia cuts official selling prices to remain competitive, and global supply conditions improve despite ongoing geopolitical uncertainty. From there, we discuss Treasury markets, Federal Reserve expectations, the latest ISM economic data, the U.S. dollar, gold’s continued ETF outflows, and Bitcoin’s strong rebound following renewed support for digital assets from President Trump.

Finally, we look ahead to the upcoming Federal Reserve minutes, inflation data, and the start of earnings season, where investors will be looking for evidence that corporate AI spending is translating into sustainable earnings growth rather than simply larger capital expenditures.

GAR Labs continues expanding systematic trading across the GAR Capital ecosystem. Project Friday delivers disciplined options opportunities for Options Signals members, while Project MC provides institutional style swing trade planning exclusively for Masterclass members. The GAR Scanner and GAR Breaking News continuously monitor markets throughout the trading day, while GAR Labs also engineers fully customized trading systems, scanners, indicators, and algorithmic workflows designed around each trader’s unique strategy.

If you enjoy institutional quality market intelligence, follow the GAR Capital Podcast for daily and weekly macro analysis, market breakdowns, and educational content designed to help investors better understand today’s markets.

GAR Labs Spotlight

The Great AI Rotation | Why Wall Street Is Rewriting the Rules of the AI Trade Jul 02, 2026

The first week of the second half of 2026 delivered one of the most significant rotations we’ve seen all year.

In today’s GAR Capital Market Intelligence Report, we examine why weaker than expected employment data, falling oil prices, and shifting Federal Reserve expectations combined with an aggressive unwind in artificial intelligence momentum trades to reshape market leadership. While headline indices appeared relatively calm, the real story unfolded beneath the surface as investors rotated away from semiconductors, memory stocks, and crowded AI winners into financials, industrials, healthcare, and other value oriented sectors.

We explain why the June jobs report points to an economy in transition, where businesses continue embracing AI driven productivity while hiring becomes more selective. We also discuss the growing divergence between resilient corporate earnings and a labor market showing early signs of slowing, and what that could mean for monetary policy during the second half of the year.

A major focus of today’s episode is the sharp unwind across AI infrastructure names. Memory stocks suffered their worst two day decline in more than a decade, momentum strategies experienced one of their largest reversals since 2020, and investors continued reassessing which companies will ultimately generate the strongest returns from artificial intelligence. We explain why this appears to be a healthy rotation rather than the end of the AI investment cycle.

Beyond equities, we cover the continued collapse in oil prices as Strait of Hormuz exports normalize, the rally in Treasury bonds following softer payroll data, renewed strength in gold and Bitcoin, and why institutional positioning suggests risk management will remain increasingly important during the months ahead.

GAR Labs continues expanding systematic trading across the GAR Capital ecosystem. Project Friday delivers disciplined options opportunities for Options Signals members, while Project MC provides institutional style swing trade planning exclusively for Masterclass members. The GAR Scanner and GAR Breaking News continuously monitor markets throughout the trading day, while GAR Labs also engineers fully customized trading systems, scanners, indicators, and algorithmic workflows designed around each trader’s individual strategy.

If you enjoy institutional quality market intelligence, follow the GAR Capital Podcast for daily and weekly macro analysis, market breakdowns, and educational content designed to help investors better understand today’s markets.

The AI Trade Grows Up | Why Meta Just Changed Wall Street’s Playbook Jul 01, 2026

(AI Narrated) The second half of 2026 began with one of the biggest shifts in the artificial intelligence story since the AI boom began.

In today’s GAR Capital Market Intelligence Report, we examine why Meta’s surprise decision to monetize excess AI computing capacity fundamentally changed investor sentiment across the technology sector. Rather than rewarding endless capital spending, Wall Street is beginning to focus on financial discipline, free cash flow, and sustainable returns on AI investments.

We break down why Meta surged nearly 10% while semiconductor and memory stocks suffered one of their weakest sessions of the year, and explain why this rotation may represent the next evolution of the AI investment cycle instead of its end.

We also discuss today’s softer labor market data, comments from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, the continued broadening of market leadership into financials and small caps, and why institutional investors are increasingly rotating away from crowded momentum trades. Beyond equities, we examine Treasury markets, the U.S. dollar, Bitcoin’s rebound, oil prices, and how deteriorating market liquidity continues amplifying volatility across asset classes.

Finally, we explain why the upcoming earnings season may become the most important test yet for Corporate America’s AI strategy. Investors are no longer asking who is spending the most on artificial intelligence. They’re asking who can generate the greatest return from those investments.

GAR Labs continues expanding systematic trading across the GAR Capital ecosystem. Project Friday delivers disciplined options opportunities for Options Signals members, while Project MC provides institutional style swing trade planning exclusively for Masterclass members. The GAR Scanner and GAR Breaking News continuously monitor markets throughout the trading day, and GAR Labs also engineers fully customized trading systems, scanners, and algorithmic workflows built around each trader’s unique strategy.

If you enjoy institutional quality market intelligence, follow the GAR Capital Podcast for daily and weekly macro analysis, market breakdowns, and educational content designed to help investors better understand today’s markets.

The Great Rotation | How AI, Inflation & Market Leadership Changed in the First Half of 2026 Jun 30, 2026

(AI Narrated) The first half of 2026 will likely be remembered as one of the most important transition periods for financial markets in recent years.

In this special GAR Capital Market Intelligence Report, we take a comprehensive look back at the first six months of the year and explain the five dominant themes that reshaped global markets. From the artificial intelligence infrastructure boom and the broadening of market leadership to shifting Federal Reserve expectations, geopolitical tensions, and the growing influence of market structure, this episode connects the dots behind one of the most dynamic investing environments since the pandemic recovery.

We begin by examining how AI transformed corporate capital allocation, with companies redirecting billions of dollars away from stock buybacks and toward data centers, semiconductors, memory, and power infrastructure. We discuss why investors are increasingly rewarding the companies supplying the AI revolution while becoming more selective toward businesses making massive AI investments without clear evidence of long term returns.

We also explore the remarkable shift in market leadership throughout the year. While the Magnificent Seven continued to dominate headlines, small caps, industrials, healthcare, and equal weighted indices quietly delivered some of the strongest relative performance in years, signaling a healthier and more diversified bull market beneath the surface.

Beyond equities, we break down the impact of the Iran conflict and the Strait of Hormuz on global energy markets, why oil prices ultimately gave back much of their geopolitical risk premium, and how those developments influenced inflation expectations, Treasury yields, and Federal Reserve policy. We also discuss the dramatic repricing of interest rate expectations, the strengthening U.S. dollar, weakness in gold and Bitcoin, and why institutional investors are preparing for a more selective investment landscape during the second half of the year.

Finally, we share GAR Capital’s outlook for the months ahead, highlighting the key themes we believe will shape markets as earnings season begins and investors focus on execution rather than expectations.

GAR Labs continues expanding systematic trading across the GAR Capital ecosystem. Project Friday provides disciplined options opportunities for Options Signals members, while Project MC delivers institutional style swing trade planning exclusively for Masterclass members. The GAR Scanner and GAR Breaking News continuously monitor markets for developing opportunities throughout the trading day. For traders looking to build a personalized scanner, indicator, or fully customized trading system, GAR Labs also offers custom algorithm development engineered around your individual strategy and workflow.

If you enjoy institutional quality market intelligence, follow the GAR Capital Podcast for daily and weekly macro analysis, market breakdowns, and educational content designed to help investors better understand today’s markets.

The AI Rebound | Why Wall Street Is Looking Beyond the Headlines Jun 29, 2026

(AI Narrated) Markets opened the week with a sharp rebound, but beneath the surface the story was far more complex than a simple “risk on” rally.

In today’s GAR Capital Market Intelligence Report, we examine why investors aggressively rotated back into Mega Cap technology after last week’s sharp selloff, even as oil prices climbed and geopolitical tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz remained elevated.

We break down why the recovery was driven largely by positioning, options flows, and institutional buying rather than major macroeconomic news. You’ll learn how 0 DTE options activity helped fuel the rally, why market breadth remained surprisingly weak despite strong index gains, and what that tells us about current investor sentiment.

A major focus of today’s episode is the next phase of the artificial intelligence investment cycle. Following Micron’s exceptional earnings, Wall Street is no longer asking whether companies will continue investing in AI. Instead, investors are becoming increasingly focused on which businesses will ultimately generate the strongest returns from those investments. We explain why this distinction could become the defining market theme for the second half of 2026.

We also discuss the latest developments in global energy markets, why oil prices remain volatile despite improving physical supply conditions, how Treasury markets continue supporting the soft landing narrative, what Amazon Prime Day revealed about the health of the U.S. consumer, and why the upcoming earnings season may become the most important catalyst of the summer.

Finally, we outline what GAR Capital is watching in the weeks ahead, including AI earnings, hyperscaler capital spending, labor market data, Treasury yields, institutional positioning, and the ongoing evolution of market leadership.

GAR Labs continues expanding systematic trading across the GAR Capital ecosystem. Project Friday delivers disciplined options opportunities for Options Signals members, while Project MC provides institutional style swing trade planning for Masterclass members. The GAR Scanner and GAR Breaking News continuously monitor markets for developing opportunities, and GAR Labs also engineers fully customized trading systems built around each client’s individual strategy and workflow.

If you enjoy institutional quality market intelligence, follow the GAR Capital Podcast for daily and weekly macro analysis, market breakdowns, and educational content designed to help investors better understand today’s markets.

The Next Evolution of GAR Capital | Inside GAR Labs Jun 27, 2026

(AI Narrated) Today we’re stepping away from our traditional market recap to introduce one of the biggest developments in GAR Capital’s history.

Welcome to GAR Labs.

In this special episode, we explain why systematic trading has become the next evolution of GAR Capital and how we’ve integrated professional trading technology directly into our community.

We’ll walk through each of the systems currently available, including Project Friday, our rules based options algorithm available to Options Signals members, and Project MC, an institutional style swing trading algorithm built exclusively for Masterclass members. We’ll also discuss the GAR Scanner, which continuously monitors the market for developing opportunities, and GAR Breaking News, our real time news engine that keeps members informed as important market events unfold.

Beyond our internal systems, we also introduce the newest service offered through GAR Labs: custom trading system development. Whether you have a unique strategy, scanner, indicator, or fully automated workflow in mind, GAR Labs was built to engineer trading solutions around your specific process and objectives.

Most importantly, we explain the philosophy behind GAR Labs.

These systems are not designed to replace the trader.

They’re designed to complement disciplined decision making by providing additional structure, consistency, and another set of objective eyes on the market. We believe the future of trading isn’t discretionary or systematic. It’s the combination of both.

Whether you’re an active day trader, swing trader, investor, or someone looking to build your own proprietary trading system, this episode provides an inside look at where GAR Capital is headed and how GAR Labs is helping shape the future of our community.

Your strategy. Engineered.

If you’re interested in learning more about GAR Labs or discussing a custom trading system built specifically for your trading style, we’d love to work with you. Reach out through the GAR Capital community and let’s build something together.

The Great AI Rotation | Why Wall Street Is Separating Winners from Losers Jun 26, 2026

(AI Narrated) This week marked one of the most important shifts in market leadership we’ve seen all year.

Despite easing inflation pressures, falling Treasury yields, lower oil prices, and another exceptional earnings report from Micron, the Nasdaq posted its weakest week since Liberation Day as investors continued rotating away from several Mega Cap technology leaders.

In this week’s GAR Capital Podcast, we explore why the artificial intelligence investment story remains alive and well, while Wall Street becomes increasingly selective about where future returns will come from. We break down the growing divide between the companies supplying the AI revolution and those spending billions to build it, and why that distinction may define market leadership during the second half of 2026.

We also examine the latest developments surrounding the Strait of Hormuz and global energy markets, explaining how easing geopolitical tensions removed much of the recent risk premium from crude oil while continued headline volatility reminded investors that risks have not disappeared. We discuss what lower oil prices mean for inflation, Treasury yields, Federal Reserve policy, and overall market sentiment.

Beyond macroeconomics, we dive into one of the strongest earnings reports of the AI cycle as Micron delivered outstanding revenue, margins, guidance, and long term Strategic Customer Agreements extending through 2030. We explain why institutional investors are increasingly rewarding AI infrastructure suppliers while questioning whether the largest technology companies can generate sufficient long term returns on their enormous AI capital expenditures.

We also cover sector rotation, institutional positioning, options market dynamics, Treasury markets, the U.S. dollar, gold, Bitcoin, and why elevated volatility may persist even if the broader bull market remains intact.

Systematic trading continues to expand across the GAR Capital ecosystem through GAR Labs. Project Friday provides disciplined options opportunities for Options Signals members, while Project MC delivers institutional style swing trade planning for Masterclass members. The GAR Scanner and GAR Breaking News monitor markets throughout the trading day, providing additional structure and timely market intelligence. For traders looking to build a personalized scanner, indicator, trading system, or fully customized workflow, GAR Labs also offers custom trading system development engineered around your specific strategy.

If you enjoy institutional quality market intelligence, follow the GAR Capital Podcast for daily and weekly macro analysis, market breakdowns, and educational content designed to help investors better understand today’s markets.

The AI Divide Deepens | Micron Delivers While Big Tech Faces a Reality Check Jun 25, 2026

Today’s trading session highlighted one of the most important shifts investors have faced all year. The artificial intelligence story remains firmly intact, but Wall Street is becoming far more selective about which companies deserve premium valuations.

In today’s GAR Capital Daily Market Intelligence Report, we break down a volatile session driven by softer than expected Core PCE inflation, renewed geopolitical headlines surrounding the Strait of Hormuz, and one of the strongest earnings reports of the current AI cycle from Micron Technology.

We explain why Treasury yields moved lower despite resilient economic data, why oil prices rebounded after fresh geopolitical developments, and why lower inflation alone wasn’t enough to restore leadership across the Mega Cap technology sector. We also examine the growing rotation beneath the surface of the market as small caps, industrials, and cyclical sectors continue attracting investor capital while many of the largest AI spenders face increased scrutiny.

A major focus of today’s episode is Micron’s exceptional earnings report. We discuss how record revenue, expanding margins, and long term Strategic Customer Agreements extending through 2030 reinforce the strength of AI infrastructure demand. More importantly, we explore what these agreements mean for the future of the semiconductor industry and why investors are increasingly rewarding the companies supplying artificial intelligence rather than those simply spending billions to develop it.

We also cover institutional positioning, Treasury markets, commodities, precious metals, Bitcoin, options market activity, and what today’s price action reveals about the next phase of market leadership.

Systematic trading continues to grow across the GAR Capital community through GAR Labs. Project Friday delivers disciplined options opportunities throughout the trading day, Project MC provides institutional style swing trade planning for Masterclass members, while the GAR Scanner and GAR Breaking News algorithms continuously monitor the market for developing opportunities. For traders looking to build a custom trading system, scanner, indicator, or automated workflow, GAR Labs offers personalized development designed around your specific trading style and objectives.

If you enjoy institutional quality market intelligence, follow the GAR Capital Podcast for daily and weekly macro analysis, market breakdowns, and educational content designed to help investors better understand today’s markets.

The AI Reset | Micron Delivers While Markets Rotate Beyond Big Tech Jun 24, 2026

(AI Narrated) Markets spent another session wrestling with one of the biggest questions facing investors in 2026: Is the artificial intelligence trade beginning to cool, or is the market simply rotating beneath the surface?

In today’s GAR Capital Daily Market Intelligence Report, we examine why falling oil prices and lower Treasury yields failed to support technology stocks, how the continued normalization of energy markets following progress in U.S. and Iran negotiations influenced inflation expectations, and why investors shifted capital away from several high valuation semiconductor names despite an improving macro backdrop.

We also break down the growing divergence between mega cap technology and the broader market, highlighting the recent strength in small caps, homebuilders, industrials, and other sectors benefiting from broadening market participation. We discuss institutional positioning, options market activity, Treasury market dynamics, the continued strength of the U.S. dollar, and what those moves mean for gold, Bitcoin, and overall investor sentiment.

The highlight of today’s episode is a deep dive into Micron’s blockbuster earnings report. We explain why the company’s record revenue, expanding margins, and long term Strategic Customer Agreements may represent one of the strongest confirmations yet that enterprise demand for AI infrastructure remains exceptionally healthy despite recent volatility across semiconductor stocks. We also discuss what these multi year agreements could mean for the future of AI memory demand, pricing stability, and the broader semiconductor ecosystem.

Looking ahead, all eyes now turn to the Core PCE Inflation Report, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure. Together with Micron’s earnings, these developments could shape market leadership and investor expectations through the remainder of the week.

GAR Labs Spotlight

Systematic trading continues to expand across the GAR Capital community through GAR Labs. Eligible members have access to Project Friday, Project MC, the GAR Scanner, and GAR Breaking News, all designed to complement discretionary trading with disciplined, rules based market intelligence. For traders looking to build a custom scanner, indicator, workflow, or automated trading system, GAR Labs also offers personalized development tailored to your specific trading style.

If you enjoy institutional quality market intelligence, follow the GAR Capital Podcast for daily and weekly macro analysis, market breakdowns, and educational content designed to help investors better understand today’s markets.

AI Valuations Face Their First Real Test | Why Markets Ignored Falling Oil Jun 23, 2026

(AI Narrated) Markets entered Tuesday with another supportive backdrop as oil prices continued to decline on progress in U.S. and Iran negotiations. Under normal circumstances, lower energy prices would have provided a meaningful tailwind for equities. Instead, investors largely ignored the improvement in crude oil and shifted their attention toward a much bigger story unfolding beneath the surface of the market.

In today’s GAR Capital Daily Market Intelligence Report, we examine why artificial intelligence valuations suddenly became the market’s primary focus, how a sharp selloff in South Korea’s semiconductor sector spread across global technology stocks, and why companies like Nvidia, AMD, Micron, Qualcomm, and other AI leaders came under pressure despite little change in their long term fundamentals.

We also discuss the latest developments in Middle East negotiations, the impact of easing geopolitical tensions on oil prices, institutional positioning from hedge funds and long only managers, Treasury market dynamics, U.S. dollar strength, and the growing debate over whether the Federal Reserve may ultimately need to remain more hawkish than investors currently expect.

Finally, we preview the two biggest catalysts still ahead this week: Micron’s earnings report and the Core PCE Inflation Report. Together, these events could determine whether this week’s technology selloff proves to be healthy profit taking within a long term AI bull market or the beginning of a broader rotation across global equities.

Whether you’re an active trader, long term investor, or simply looking to better understand today’s financial markets, this episode provides the institutional context behind the headlines and explains how macroeconomics, technology, commodities, and investor positioning continue to shape market behavior.

If you enjoy institutional quality market intelligence, follow the GAR Capital Podcast for daily and weekly macro analysis, market breakdowns, and educational content designed to help investors better understand today’s markets.

When Lower Oil Wasn’t Enough | AI, Interest Rates & the New Market Narrative Jun 22, 2026

(AI Narrated) Markets entered the session expecting lower oil prices to provide a tailwind for risk assets after signs of progress emerged in U.S. and Iran negotiations. Instead, investors shifted their attention back to rising Treasury yields, renewed concerns surrounding artificial intelligence spending, and growing expectations that the Federal Reserve may need to keep monetary policy tighter for longer.

In today’s GAR Capital Daily Market Intelligence Report, we examine why falling crude oil failed to support equities, how weakness in mega cap technology weighed on the broader market, and why investors continue to rotate within the AI ecosystem rather than abandoning the theme altogether. We discuss Alphabet’s sharp decline following high profile DeepMind departures, the continued strength in AI infrastructure and memory companies ahead of Micron’s earnings, and what these developments could signal for the next phase of the artificial intelligence investment cycle.

We also explore the latest developments in U.S. and Iran negotiations, the removal of the geopolitical risk premium from oil prices, the impact of rising Treasury yields on the U.S. dollar, and why institutional investors are increasingly focused on Thursday’s Core PCE inflation report. In addition, we break down options market positioning, volatility flows, and why several Wall Street strategists believe markets may still be underestimating the possibility of a more hawkish Federal Reserve.

Whether you’re an active trader, long term investor, or simply looking to better understand how macroeconomic events influence financial markets, this episode connects the relationships between inflation, interest rates, geopolitics, artificial intelligence, commodities, and investor positioning to help you navigate the evolving market landscape.

If you enjoy institutional quality market intelligence, follow the GAR Capital Podcast for weekly macro analysis, market breakdowns, and educational content designed to help investors better understand today’s markets.

Markets at a Crossroads | Inflation, AI & the Week Ahead Jun 21, 2026

(AI Narrated) As investors prepare for a new trading week, several major catalysts are poised to shape market sentiment across equities, commodities, fixed income, and digital assets.

In this episode of the GAR Capital Podcast, we break down everything that matters for the week of June 22 through June 26. We examine why Thursday’s Core PCE Inflation Report, the Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, is expected to be the most important macro event of the week and how it could influence interest rate expectations, Treasury yields, and overall market direction.

We also preview Micron’s highly anticipated earnings report and explain why it has become one of the most important indicators for artificial intelligence investment and semiconductor demand. In addition, we discuss major investor events from Nvidia, Qualcomm, Samsara, and Figma, along with what they may reveal about the next phase of enterprise AI spending.

Beyond technology, we examine the ongoing U.S. and Iran negotiations, their potential impact on oil prices and inflation expectations, Amazon Prime Day as a real time measure of consumer spending, the Federal Reserve’s annual bank stress tests, and the market implications of the Russell Index Reconstitution.

Rather than simply reviewing headlines, this episode connects the relationships between macroeconomic data, corporate earnings, monetary policy, and investor positioning to help you better understand why markets move and what institutional investors are watching before the opening bell on Monday.

Whether you’re an active trader, long term investor, or simply looking to better understand today’s financial markets, this weekly outlook is designed to help you enter the new week with greater clarity, confidence, and perspective.

If you enjoy institutional quality market intelligence, follow the GAR Capital Podcast for weekly macro analysis, market breakdowns, and educational content designed to help investors better understand today’s markets.

Stocks Rally, Oil Falls, But The Real Story Is Under The Surface Jun 18, 2026

(AI Narrated) Stocks rebounded despite one of the most hawkish Federal Reserve meetings in years. Lower oil prices, easing Middle East tensions, and renewed enthusiasm around artificial intelligence helped push equities higher, but beneath the surface the market continues to evolve.

In today’s GAR Capital Market Intelligence Report, we break down the biggest stories driving Wall Street, including Kevin Warsh’s new Federal Reserve, why oil continues to dictate market sentiment, the growing debate surrounding AI spending and token economics, SpaceX’s post IPO performance, Treasury yields, Bitcoin, gold, and what institutional investors are watching heading into next week.

Topics include:

• Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting and what it means for interest rates
• The U.S. and Iran agreement and falling oil prices
• Why semiconductors and AI continue leading the market
• Is the AI trade becoming overcrowded?
• Treasury yields, the U.S. dollar, Bitcoin, and gold
• SpaceX’s impact on market flows
• The biggest risks and opportunities traders should monitor next week

GAR Capital delivers professional market intelligence, macro analysis, options and futures education, and daily market insights designed to help investors understand not only what happened, but why it matters.

If you enjoy institutional quality market research without the Wall Street jargon, be sure to follow the podcast and share it with other traders and investors.

GAR Capital
Professional Market Intelligence. Futures. Options. Macro. Education. Every Trading Day.

The Warsh Shock: Why the Fed Just Changed the Rules of the Game Jun 17, 2026

(AI Narrated) The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged, but don’t let the headline fool you. This was one of the most important FOMC meetings in years.

New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a dramatically different message than markets were expecting. Forward guidance was removed, the policy statement was slashed down to its bare essentials, and the Fed shifted aggressively toward a price stability focused stance. Most importantly, nine Fed officials now expect at least one rate hike before year end.

In this episode, we break down:

• What Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting means for investors

• Why Wall Street is calling this meeting surprisingly hawkish

• The massive shift in the Fed’s dot plot projections

• Why Treasury yields, the dollar, gold, and Bitcoin reacted so violently

• Whether the AI fueled stock market rally can survive a higher for longer rate environment

• What traders should watch next as inflation, growth, and Fed policy collide

Plus, we examine the growing debate over whether the Federal Reserve is intentionally stepping back from guiding markets and forcing investors to rediscover price discovery on their own.

The Fed may not have raised rates today, but it may have changed the entire market playbook for the rest of 2026.

Presented by GAR Capital
Daily market intelligence, futures and options education, macro analysis, live market coverage, and a community built to help traders navigate changing market conditions.

AI Rotation, SpaceX Mania & The Iran Deal: Is the Market Changing Leadership? Jun 16, 2026

(AI Narrated) In today’s Market Intelligence Report, we break down the continued rotation away from crowded AI and semiconductor trades and into financials, industrials, housing, consumer stocks, and other overlooked sectors.

We discuss:

✅ The U.S.-Iran peace framework and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz

✅ Why oil prices have collapsed and what it means for inflation

✅ The growing “broadening out” trade across the stock market

✅ Signs of fatigue in the AI infrastructure boom

✅ Microsoft’s reported cancellation of a major Oracle cloud deal

✅ Why investors are questioning AI spending and monetization

✅ SpaceX mania, retail FOMO, and the biggest IPO in market history

✅ Kevin Warsh’s first major Federal Reserve meeting

✅ Treasury yields, Bitcoin, gold, and the macro outlook

Plus, we discuss what GAR Capital is watching over the next several days and why the next 48 hours could determine whether this market rotation becomes the dominant theme of the second half of 2026.

If you’re an investor, trader, or simply want to understand what’s driving markets beyond the headlines, this episode is for you.

📈 Join the GAR Capital Discord Community

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Trade ideas & market recaps

Live market coverage

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Iran Deal Confirmed, SpaceX Mania & The AI Trade Strikes Back Jun 15, 2026

Markets roared higher as optimism surrounding a U.S. and Iran framework agreement sent oil prices lower, boosted risk appetite, and reignited momentum across technology, semiconductors, and crypto.

In today’s AI Market Intelligence Report, we break down:

• The latest developments in the U.S.-Iran peace agreement
• What reopening the Strait of Hormuz means for oil, inflation, and the global economy
• Why Wall Street is celebrating lower energy prices but remains cautious about the next 60 days of negotiations
• The explosive rally in SpaceX and what it says about investor appetite for growth
• The evolving battle inside the AI ecosystem as semiconductors outperform while software struggles
• Bitcoin’s strongest rally in weeks and what it signals for risk assets
• Treasury yields, Federal Reserve expectations, and the growing debate around higher-for-longer interest rates
• The risks investors may be underestimating as leverage across markets continues to rise

We also discuss whether this rally is the start of a new leg higher or simply another chapter in a market increasingly driven by geopolitics, AI investment, and shifting liquidity conditions.

Interested in becoming a better trader and investor?

Join the GAR Capital Discord community for daily market intelligence, futures and options education, trade ideas, live market coverage, macro analysis, and a community built around helping traders navigate today’s markets.

Over 12 years of market experience. Real education. Real market insight. Real traders.

This podcast is AI-generated from GAR Capital Market Intelligence research and is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice.

Project Friday: Building GAR Capital’s First Proprietary Trading Engine Jun 15, 2026

(AI Narrated) GAR Capital has been building something new.

Project Friday is a proprietary momentum continuation trading engine designed to identify high probability opportunities in stocks and ETFs while removing much of the emotion and noise that traders face every day.

In this special deep dive, we break down:

Why Project Friday was created
The problems it aims to solve
How the algorithm identifies opportunities
The role of risk management and profit protection
How the system generated standout trades including AMZN +341% and QQQ +224%
Why win rate alone does not determine success
The importance of process, discipline, and execution
How traders can use algorithmic intelligence while maintaining control of their own trade plans
The future of custom algorithm development at GAR Capital

We also discuss the philosophy behind combining human experience, artificial intelligence, and automation to create a scalable trading framework that informs, educates, and empowers traders.

Project Friday is more than a trading algorithm.

It is the foundation of a larger vision to build a complete ecosystem of proprietary trading systems designed to help traders find opportunities, manage risk, and make better decisions.

Join us as we explore how an idea became a working trading engine and where GAR Capital plans to take it next.

📈 Inform. Educate. Build Rapport.

🚀 GAR Capital | Project Friday Special Report

Iran Peace Deal, SpaceX Mania & The Market’s Next Big Move Jun 15, 2026

Markets kicked off the week with a major macro catalyst as reports of a U.S. and Iran peace agreement sent oil prices sharply lower, boosted equity futures, and reignited optimism across risk assets.

In today’s AI Market Intelligence Report, we break down:

• The latest developments surrounding the U.S.-Iran peace agreement
• What reopening the Strait of Hormuz could mean for oil prices and inflation
• Why Wall Street is cheering lower energy costs
• The impact on stocks, bonds, crypto, and the Federal Reserve outlook
• SpaceX’s historic IPO and the retail frenzy surrounding the stock
• Whether the AI trade is entering a new phase as software struggles and semiconductors regain momentum
• The key risks investors should still be watching despite the optimism

Plus, we discuss what happens next if the deal holds, where money is flowing across markets, and the biggest themes that could drive stocks through the rest of 2026.

Interested in becoming a better trader and investor?

Join the GAR Capital Discord community for daily market intelligence, futures and options education, trade ideas, live market coverage, macro analysis, and a community built around helping traders navigate today’s markets.

Over 12 years of market experience. Real education. Real market insight. Real traders.

This podcast is AI-generated from GAR Capital’s daily market intelligence research and is intended for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice.

AI Rally Rebounds, SpaceX Mania & The Iran Deal That Moved Markets Jun 12, 2026

Stocks finished the week higher as hopes for a U.S.–Iran peace deal pushed oil prices lower, Treasury yields eased, and investors piled back into risk assets. While mega cap tech lagged, semiconductors rebounded, small caps surged, and SpaceX delivered the largest IPO in market history.

In today’s AI generated market briefing, we break down:

• Why oil prices fell despite ongoing Middle East uncertainty
• The latest developments surrounding a potential U.S.–Iran agreement
• SpaceX’s historic IPO and what it means for markets
• Why semiconductors outperformed while software struggled
• The battle between growth, interest rates, and AI valuations
• Treasury yields, Fed expectations, and the outlook for inflation
• Bitcoin, gold, and the dollar’s surprising moves
• What traders should watch next week

Plus, we discuss whether the AI trade is entering a new phase as investors reassess software, infrastructure spending, token economics, and the long term winners of the AI revolution.

Interested in learning more about the markets?

Join the GAR Capital Discord community for daily market analysis, options and futures education, trade ideas, live market coverage, and a professional trading community backed by more than 12 years of market experience.

Trump’s Iran Deal Bombshell, SpaceX IPO Frenzy & The AI Trade Strikes Back Jun 11, 2026

(AI Narrated Market Brief)

Markets ripped higher as President Trump signaled a potential Iran agreement could be just days away, sending oil prices tumbling, Treasury yields lower, and stocks soaring.

But beneath the rally, major questions remain.

Is the AI trade finding its footing again, or are investors simply chasing another short squeeze before the next wave of volatility?

In today’s episode we discuss:

• Trump’s latest comments on Iran and why oil collapsed

• Why stocks exploded higher despite hot inflation data

• The massive short squeeze that fueled the rally

• The ongoing battle between software and semiconductor stocks

• Why Treasury yields ignored hotter PPI data

• Bitcoin, gold, and the dollar’s sharp moves

• The highly anticipated SpaceX IPO and what it means for markets

• Whether the AI investment boom is entering its next phase

We also break down the growing divide between Wall Street’s optimism and the reality of geopolitical risk, inflation concerns, and increasingly crowded positioning across the technology sector.

🎙️ Presented by GAR Capital

GAR Capital provides daily market analysis, futures and options education, macroeconomic research, and real-time market commentary.

With over 12 years of market experience, GAR Capital helps traders navigate volatility, understand market-moving events, and develop a disciplined approach to trading and investing.

Join the GAR Capital Discord community:

🌐 GAR.Capital

AI Cracks, CPI Relief & The Iran Wildcard: Is This Market Finally Breaking? Jun 10, 2026

(AI Narrated)

Stocks attempted to rebound after a cooler than expected Core CPI report, but investors quickly turned their attention back to the issues driving markets right now: rising oil prices, escalating tensions with Iran, and growing cracks in the AI trade.

In today’s episode we break down:

• Why markets initially cheered the inflation data
• The real story behind the move in oil and the Strait of Hormuz
• Why semiconductor and AI stocks continue to struggle
• The growing momentum unwind across technology names
• Bitcoin, gold, and what liquidity stress may be signaling
• How the upcoming SpaceX IPO could impact market flows
• What traders should watch next from the Federal Reserve

The biggest question facing Wall Street right now:

Is this just a healthy pullback in a bull market, or the beginning of something much larger?

🎙️ Presented by GAR Capital

For over 12 years, GAR Capital has provided market analysis, futures and options education, macro research, and real time market commentary for traders looking to improve their process and understand what is moving the markets.

Join the GAR Capital Discord community:
🌐 GAR.Capital

AI Cracks, CPI Looms & Is the Market Rotation Just Getting Started? Jun 09, 2026

Markets hit the brakes as technology stocks sold off again despite lower oil prices and relatively calm bond markets. Is this just healthy rotation beneath the surface, or are investors beginning to question the AI trade that has driven markets higher for months?

In today’s AI-generated market podcast, we break down:

• Why tech and AI names came under pressure again
• The growing debate around AI monetization and spending
• Oil’s drop on renewed Iran deal optimism
• Why bonds remained surprisingly calm
• The importance of tomorrow’s CPI report
• The potential market impact of the upcoming SpaceX IPO
• Whether this is a buying opportunity or a warning sign

We also discuss market breadth, sector rotation, Treasury yields, inflation expectations, and what traders should be watching over the next several sessions.

Presented by GAR Capital

Join the GAR Capital Discord community for daily market analysis, futures and options education, trade ideas, macro commentary, and real time market coverage. With over 12 years of market experience, GAR Capital helps traders navigate bull markets, bear markets, volatility events, and major market-moving headlines.

Learn more at GAR.Capital

S&P Holds 200dma , Gold Flush, Oil Next Move | March Market Breakdown Mar 19, 2026

Markets chopping but have we priced in the worst already?

The S&P 500 is holding above its 200-day moving average with no real panic, credit markets stable, and financials bouncing. That keeps the short-term bias cautiously bullish.

Gold just flushed hard on speculative excess and is setting up for a potential bounce. We break down the GLD calls, key levels, and what needs to happen next.

Crude oil remains the wildcard near $100, but a pullback could ease inflation pressure and fuel the next leg higher in equities.

We also cover the rotation trade developing from energy into tech, plus key setups in names like Palantir, Amazon, Palo Alto, and FedEx.

With OPEX ahead, expect volatility. Stay focused on levels, not headlines.

For informational and educational purposes only.

Oil Surges on U.S.–Iran Conflict, Weak Jobs Report Shakes Markets & Inflation Outlook | Weekly Macro Recap Mar 09, 2026

This week on the GAR Capital Podcast, Carlos Garcia breaks down the five biggest macro stories driving global markets right now, including rising geopolitical tensions, major economic data surprises, and increasing volatility across asset classes.

In this episode we cover:

• Oil prices surging as tensions escalate between the United States and Iran

• A weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs report and what it means for economic growth

• The potential inflation impact of higher energy prices and supply disruptions

• Stock market volatility following the economic data release

• Cross-asset reactions across commodities, equities, and cryptocurrencies

Carlos explains how these developments affect the broader macro environment, Federal Reserve policy expectations, and risk sentiment across global markets.

As always, the focus is on technical levels, disciplined risk management, and actionable insights for traders and investors navigating headline-driven volatility.

🌐 Market insights and research: https://www.gar.capital

💬 Join the GAR Capital community: https://www.gar.capital/free-signup

⚠️ This podcast is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Peak AI? Oil Spikes, Fed Doubts, and Markets Under Pressure Mar 02, 2026

This week’s episode breaks down a volatile market driven by geopolitical escalation, stubborn inflation, and a powerful shift in sector leadership. US Israel strikes on Iran sent crude oil surging and triggered a broad risk off move across equities, while hotter than expected PPI data intensified stagflation fears and reduced the odds of near term Fed rate cuts.

We examine why Nvidia’s blowout earnings failed to spark upside momentum, whether the semiconductor trade has reached peak positioning, and why capital continues rotating from growth into energy, industrials, utilities, and other value sectors. High yield credit and financial weakness are flashing liquidity warnings beneath the surface, adding another layer of risk.

We also discuss the Supreme Court tariff ruling, upcoming economic catalysts, and key technical levels in the S&P 500 that traders must watch closely.

If you care about macro risk, sector rotation, and protecting capital in headline driven markets, this is a must listen.

Tariffs Reversed, Inflation Rising & GDP Slowing | Weekly Market Breakdown Feb 23, 2026

In this week’s GAR Capital Podcast, Carlos Garcia breaks down the biggest stock market and macro headlines from February 15th–22nd

The U.S. Supreme Court struck down sweeping global tariffs in a 6–3 decision, triggering a relief rally across major indices. But the story didn’t end there. President Trump quickly responded with new 10%–15% global tariffs, reintroducing political and market uncertainty.

We also cover:

• NASDAQ’s 1.5% weekly gain and sector rotation trends

• Mixed semiconductor and Mag 7 performance

• Walmart’s sharp decline and valuation concerns

• December PCE inflation accelerating to 2.9% YoY

• Federal Reserve policy outlook amid sticky inflation

• Q4 2025 GDP slowing to 1.4% and rising stagflation risks

• Ongoing Iran–US geopolitical tensions

With inflation firm, growth slowing, and valuations elevated, investors face a critical question: do rates fall to justify 30x forward earnings, or do stocks reprice lower?

This episode delivers concise, institutional-level market context for both active traders and long-term investors.

Subscribe for weekly macro insights, sector rotation analysis, and disciplined market breakdowns from GAR Capital.

Cooling Inflation, Strong Jobs & AI Rotation: What’s Really Driving This Market Feb 17, 2026

This week’s market narrative is more nuanced than the headlines suggest.

Inflation cooled again in January, reinforcing soft-landing hopes, while the labor market surprised to the upside with stronger-than-expected job growth. At the same time, AI disruption fears continued to pressure software and tech stocks, driving rotation into value and defensive sectors.

In this episode, I break down:

• Why cooling inflation supports stability — but not automatic upside

• How a resilient labor market affects the Fed’s rate outlook

• The ongoing repricing in software and AI-related names

• Why the S&P 500 is stalling below 7,000

• What sector rotation tells us about liquidity and risk appetite

The key theme this week isn’t panic — it’s transition. Capital isn’t leaving the market. It’s reallocating.

As always, I share what I’m watching next and how I’m positioning into the week ahead.

Dow 50K Signals a New Market Phase | Rotation, AI Spending & Bitcoin Breakdown Feb 08, 2026

This week’s episode breaks down one of the most important shifts happening beneath the surface of the market: sector rotation.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 50,000 for the first time, driven by strength in industrials, financials, energy, and materials — signaling a broadening bull market beyond the mega-cap tech names.I cover the AI CapEx arms race among Google, Meta, and Amazon, why investors are split on massive spending plans, and how tax cuts are enabling this new wave of corporate investment. We also discuss labor market uncertainty following a government data blackout, Stellantis’ $26 billion EV write-down, and what it says about the future of electric vehicles.

Finally, we break down Bitcoin’s flash crash and recovery, key technical levels to watch, and how crypto price action continues to mirror tech market volatility.

In this episode, I cover:

• Dow 50,000 and what changing index leadership means

• Market rotation into energy, industrials, and materials

• Big Tech’s AI CapEx spending and investor reaction

• Labor market risks and potential Fed implications

• EV sector challenges and Bitcoin volatility

As always, I share what I’m watching next week and what would change my market view.

Market Shock Week: Gold & Silver Crash, New Fed Chair, Bitcoin Drop & S&P 500 at 7,000 Feb 01, 2026

This week on the GAR Capital Podcast, Carlos Garcia breaks down one of the most volatile weeks in markets in years — featuring a historic crash in precious metals, major cross-asset moves, and critical macro developments shaping the outlook ahead.

Topics covered in this episode include:

• The historic gold and silver sell-off after extreme overbought conditions

• Why the precious metals crash was driven by technicals, not headlines

• Kevin Warsh’s nomination as the next Federal Reserve Chair and market reaction

• U.S. dollar technical levels and what a bounce or breakdown could mean

• Bitcoin’s sharp decline and the critical $70,000 support zone to watch

• President Trump’s tariff threats against Canada and Mexico and sector impact

• The S&P 500 briefly breaking above 7,000 and what the January barometer signals

• Sector rotation opportunities in industrials, energy, and equal-weight indices

• Inflation, bond yields, volatility, and risk management in fast-moving markets

This episode focuses on actionable insights, disciplined risk management, and technical analysis — designed for both newer traders and experienced investors navigating headline-driven volatility.

📊 Market insights & articles: https://www.gar.capital

💬 Join the FREE GAR Capital Discord: https://www.gar.capital

⚠️ This podcast is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

Weekly Stock Market Recap: Gold & Silver Surge, Trump Tariffs, Intel Selloff, Big Tech Earnings & Fed Outlook Jan 26, 2026

This weekly stock market recap breaks down the five biggest headlines shaping markets right now, including record highs in gold and silver, renewed tariff threats from President Trump, Intel’s sharp selloff, rising trade tensions, and major Big Tech earnings alongside the Federal Reserve meeting.

In this episode, we cover:

Trump’s Greenland proposal and European tariff threats — and how markets reacted
Gold breaking $5,000 and silver surging past $100
Intel’s stock plunge and what it signals for semiconductors
Canada–China trade tensions and headline-driven volatility
Apple, Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla earnings + the upcoming Fed decision

Carlos Garcia, CEO of GAR Capital, shares technical insights, market structure observations, and practical guidance for navigating earnings season volatility. The episode concludes with a forward-looking outlook and key levels to watch in the week ahead.

5 things to watch in markets for the week ahead! Jan 19 2026 Jan 20, 2026

EU/Greenland headlines

Supreme Court Tariff decision upcoming

Netflix earnings upcoming

Intel Earnings upcoming

President Trumps housing plan & how to bring down rates

Prez Trump's Economic policy: lets break down & talk his plans! Jan 11, 2026

Analysis of President trumps proposed economic policies & their potential on markets & consumers while enjoy a coffee with Carlos the CEO!

2024 Presidential election! Let’s break it down with economics & who benefits! Nov 04, 2024

Let’s talk about the election!

Vice President Kamala Harris vs Former President Donald Trump for the United States Presidency. Which sectors will benefit from the winner? Let’s Break down the economic issues & what to expect!

10 years 10 lessons learned of being in business! Oct 27, 2024

GAR capital turns 10 years old! The 10 lessons I have learned as CEO of this great company!

Dow and S&P hit new all time highs. Still a tricky tape to trade? What’s out there? Oct 14, 2024

Talking options trading volume. Stocks that moved today & commentary on the current market

GAR Capital Weekly Recap & Preview - visual on YouTube Oct 14, 2024

If you would like to see this video with the charts & more illustration. Check out and subscribe to our YouTube channel! Search: GAR capital

Middle East war headlines spook stocks down! What’s next, what to do! Oct 01, 2024

Israel/Iran conflict headlines drop tech and the market. Volatility spikes and fear of escalation increases. Let’s go over it and implications for the market

Stocks soar, News headlines, talking trades & what’s next! Sep 26, 2024

Talking markets with GAR! Nasdaq futures, Costco, GOOG, QQQ & latest news headlines

Weekly Recap! Perfect week! Rate cuts unleash us higher in stocks, macro & what’s next! Sep 23, 2024

This week, we had a perfect 5/5 record in options trading with strong execution and early exits to lock in profits. The post-FOMC rally, along with a 50 basis point cut, signals more upside potential, especially in lagging sectors like tech and small caps. Stay tuned for our watchlist and join our paid membership to take advantage of the ongoing bull market!

Stocks soar post Fed, reversal? Nope, at least not yet. GOOG + TSLA calls bang! Sep 19, 2024

“Where Carlos was wrong!” No reversal in stocks! At least not yet. Green across the board. OPEX tomorrow scenarios and trade setup for S&P Nasdaq futures. Google + Tesla calls cook!!

FED CUTS 50- stocks reverse to the downside. Setting up for more weakness? S&P and the US dollar. Sep 18, 2024

The Fed gives the big cut! 50 point cut, what did Powell say? what does that mean short term? What does that mean long term? Talking dollar & S&P 500 index reversal setups!

Choppy ahead of the Fed cut. S&P pullback imminent? 25 or 50? Here’s our call Sep 17, 2024

Tomorrow is the day! We get a rate cut! Markets chopped today. Talking PLTR, TSLA, S&P 500 & COST.

New All time highs for Dow Jones. Tech sleeps, with equal weight S&P making new highs Sep 16, 2024

A snooze fest for tech investors. Goldman makes a call of 6000 SPX. Talking PLTR, sectors, headlines & recapping the session!

"Back in Action: Fed Rate Cuts, Market Recap, and What’s Next for the Economy" Sep 15, 2024

After being out sick, Carlos returns to recap one of the best weeks in the stock market since November 2023, highlighting his team’s exceptional work in his absence. This episode covers the new rate easing cycle, its impact on inflation, and what to expect from upcoming Fed decisions and retail sales data.

Seasonality: September slip, markets down, macro, & why are stocks down & what next! Sep 07, 2024

Talking seasonality, macro, bonds getting bid, upside risk, downside risk to the market

Nasdaq has a green day, TSLA leads, Eyes on GOOG, AVGO earnings. Sep 05, 2024

Nasdaq gets its day in the sun. VIX takes a hit, yields fall helps mortgage rates, Broadcom earnings, todays TSLA move & GOOG puts in focus.

Frustration station! Dow goes green but Nasdaq pops and drops- NVDA denies DOJ headline Sep 04, 2024

Pop and drop in stocks, ends the session flat, bonds get bought, falling dollar doesn’t help, and fake NVDA DOJ news

Tech Wrecked! Nasdaq & commodities fall. September begins red. Sep 03, 2024

Markets fall the dollar rises. VIX spikes. Buy the dip yet? Is this tradeable? The September blues begin

Weekly recap simulcast on YouTube: crazy August is over bull/bear scenarios! Sep 02, 2024

Talking August results (not ideal)

US dollar (major key)

Scenarios Bull/Bear

Jobs jobs jobs! (NFP week)

Market reverses after strong GDP. NVDA -6% recap the day! Aug 29, 2024

Recapping the day, talking NVDA & chart levels!

NVDA earnings double beat! Stock falls! Breaking it down & what it means for the stock market! Aug 28, 2024

Talking NVDA and its earnings!

What’s the next for the market?

Stocks end green, barely. Market Positioning & headlines! Aug 27 2024 Aug 27, 2024

Flat for stocks. Some 52 week highs, all quiet until NVDA earnings tomorrow!

Drop & Chop! Nasdaq/S&P red. Dow record highs. Recap the day! Aug 26, 2024

An ugly choppy session for tech as semiconductors pull back ahead of NVDA earnings. Sector recap & levels for futures overnight!

Weekly recap! Stocks push higher, NVDA earnings next? Levels to watch Aug 25 2024 Aug 25, 2024

An audio only breakdown of the weekly video from YouTube.

For visual context and charts subscribe to our YouTube channel search: garcapital

Stocks end the week green! Fed calls for the time to cut rates. Welcome to the easing cycle! Aug 23, 2024

Talking about Powell and the federal reserve upcoming rate cut and what it means for the market and the economy!

Stocks go red, back to Monday, Pre Powell jitters? Aug 22 2024 Aug 22, 2024

Nasdaq breaks below the 50dma, pre Powell jitters, levels to watch!

Stock win streak ends, choppy, levels & headlines Aug 20, 2024

A quiet session ahead of more Fed speakers. Stocks end their winning streak. Stocks we are watching and a bit of headlines

Stocks soar, make it 8 in a row. Key levels and what’s next! Aug 19, 2024

Key levels for overnight futures! $NQ $ES $RTY

And going over today’s market action!

Weekly recap! Best week for stocks since November. Key levels and what’s next! Aug 19, 2024

This is a podcast audio recording from our weekly YouTube recap.

For the full video: search GAR capital on YouTube!

5 stock market/ Day trading myths debunked & explained! Aug 16, 2024

Asked ChatGPT: “what are 5 common stock market/day trading myths that are debunked!”

With our explanation and opinion!

Retail sales + jobs beat. Stocks soar again! Key inflection point here on SPY & QQQ Aug 15, 2024

Recapping the market day. Talking SPY QQQ IWM and key levels to follow for overnight trading & tomorrows action!

CPI comes in cool, another Green Day! VIX smash & what’s next! Aug 14 2024 Aug 14, 2024

Talking markets with GAR!

Stocks end the day green, commodities take a hit, new support on Nasdaq? Bond yields & US dollar fall.

Stocks soar on soft inflation, Tech stocks short squeeze! Aug 13 2024 Aug 13, 2024

Headlines, key levels, stocks I am watching and getting you ready for overnight futures!

Stocks flat- Positioning ahead of PPI +CPI! Gold hits all time highs Aug 12 2024 Aug 12, 2024

Talking markets with GAR!!

Going over today in the market

Headlines, macro, stocks, commodities and what we are looking at!

Pullback, never? NVDA the king & breaking it down! Feb 25, 2024

Talking the stock market with GAR!!

Are we setting up for a pullback in stocks? YES, get ready! Feb 19, 2024

Talking the future pullback in stocks. Pullback equals discount!!

GAR Capital Weekly Recap! talking bitcoin, stocks & the week trading! Fe 11 2024 Feb 11, 2024

Talking markets, upcoming data, and what you need to know to start your week! This is an audio recording of the youtube video we provide weekly!

Market Talk! Carlos talks Elon, Nick Talks new traders & expectations! Feb 4 2024 Feb 04, 2024

Carlos G + Nick D talk markets, Carlos talks Elon + Tesla stock, Nick talks about new traders and what works!

Mastering Day trading psychology in 5 minutes! ⏰ Aug 25, 2023

Carlos G the CEO of GAR capital talking about mastering your emotions in day trading in less than 5 minutes ⏰

March 3 2023 : Carlos & Nick, talking markets & IG questions! Mar 03, 2023

Talking markets, systems, and your questions!

Market Talk with Carlos & Nick! Feb 24 2023 Feb 25, 2023

Talking market action this week, has oil peaked? A bit more pain for stocks says nick, also some wise words.

Market Talk! With Carlos & Nick DiGiacomo VP of GAR capital Feb 17, 2023

Talking trading strategies, the current market. 2 stocks we are watching: CAT & META

Our to 10 stocks of 2022!! Jan 08, 2022

Here’s our top 10 stocks of 2022! Sit back relax and enjoy!

The metaverse! The future and the economic impact Nov 27, 2021

Talking about the metaverse or “virtual world” How it will impact us as a society and our future economy.

Why we are still bullish part 3! Nov 13, 2021

Talking about our report in terms of tailwinds of this market. Earnings, macroeconomic backdrop and our updated targets on the S&P 500!!

The big squeeze! Reddit/WSB madness Feb 06, 2021

Talking about the big squeeze! GME AMC BB NOK. What happened, short selling, the profits, arbitrage, the aftermath and the lessons!

Top 10 stocks of 2021! Dec 27, 2020

Here’s our top 10 stocks of 2021! We break them all down! Enjoy!

The 2020 presidential election! The facts and your move! Oct 11, 2020

Talking the facts of the presidential race! Taxes, regulation, stocks to watch!

Why we are still bullish! #staybullish Aug 23, 2020

We revisit our May 8 2020 call of being bullish stocks and why this bull market will continue!

Social media influence, barstool and “hype stocks”! Jul 05, 2020

The new trading environment ! Social media influence, risk taking, the sports gambling aspect and the Portnoy effect in stock trading!

Pro’s & Con’s of committing yourself to Day trading as a career! Jun 07, 2020

Pro’s & Con’s of committing yourself to Day trading as a career! We discuss what you have to keep in mind if you choose to being a full time day trader!

Why we are bullish! 📈 May 08, 2020

The reasons and explanations we are bullish the stock market in the long term & short term! 🐂

The Trader Emotion Quadrant Apr 25, 2020

This is a breakdown of the “trader emotion quadrant” we break down: NEED FEARS WANTS & GREED. By listening to this, this will breakdown the trader psychology in each block of the quadrant!

The fed , capital markets, and moving forward. Apr 12, 2020

We talk fed, bond market, government intervention, risk and the economy!

Top 10 stocks of 2020 Jan 06, 2020

The podcast everyone has been asking for. Our top 10 stock picks of 2020 and why we like them! Enjoy! Subscribe to our podcast & YouTube channel! @garcapital

Risk! Embrace it or leave returns on the table! Nov 22, 2019

Talking risk and returns! Throughout the spectrum of safe returns vs. higher risk higher yields. And your IG questions

New all time highs! And your IG questions Nov 09, 2019

The fed backing the market up! And answering your Instagram questions!

How to prep for a recession! And your IG questions! Oct 25, 2019

Think micro not macro when it comes to a recession. Talking personal finance and answering your questions!

Happy 5 year anniversary! From Colombia! Oct 18, 2019

Talking S&P, markets, individual names , earnings strategy. And your IG questions!

Tentative trade deal! What’s next? And your questions! Oct 11, 2019

Answering your IG questions! We also got a “phase 1” China deal! What’s next?!

Live from Vegas! Answering your questions! With nick & juan! Oct 05, 2019

Answering your IG questions talking about this weeks action and more analysis!

The fed cuts more trade war headlines...what now? Sep 20, 2019

The fed cuts 25 more QE but again more China trade war issues. What do you do when does it end?!

New all time highs ALMOST. Fed to spoil party? Sep 13, 2019

The fed rate decision next week, whats to come, and how to play it!

Another Day, Another Trade deal headline... Sep 06, 2019

Trade deal headline stocks go up... rinse wash repeat. what to do what to watch!

Wake me up when August ends! Risk off, Risk on. Aug 30 2019 Aug 30, 2019

The range bound month of August. Gold, Silver , Bonds, Defensive all shine, S&P barely moves and whats to come!!! Hurricanes wont slow us down!

Twitter fingers, China, Powell the enemy?! Aug 23, 2019

Trump tweeting, China strikes back, Powell stuck and markets fall!

Volatility my old friend! 8/19/19 Aug 16, 2019

Roller coaster ride in the markets! what happened, why, what to expect next and how to trade and invest! and of course your questions answered!

Markets in turmoil!! Well not really... Aug 05, 2019

Dow -900?! Stocks in free fall! Panic!? Nope. We break it down!

Fed cut, Powell, Trump, trade war fallout!! Aug 01, 2019

25bps cut, Powell’s dilemma, Trump continues tarriffs, and the gameplan!

The life of a day trader! Jun 12, 2019

The ups and downs of being a day trader and how to succeed doing it!

All time highs! More to go? What to do now? Apr 27, 2019

New all time highs! Macro, earnings, stocks, what to do now!

Entrepreneurship! The real deal! Apr 09, 2019

Entrepreneurship is it for you? Let’s talk about it!

IPO MANIA! LYFT TIME? Buy or pass? Mar 26, 2019

LYFT the bright new shiny IPO? Worth buying? Buy or pass? Let’s talk about it!

We were WRONG! The market rally is back! What to look for.. Mar 18, 2019

The rally is back ON! The fed, trade war, bonds, buybacks and what we are watching!

Bear market rally or bull market? Jan 21, 2019

January swoon? Are we back on track or more pain ahead? Trade war, shutdown, Fed, global slowdown and corporate profit talk!

TOP 10 STOCKS OF 2019 Jan 06, 2019

Here’s our recommended stocks of 2019!

AAPL tanks after hours start of 2019! Jan 02, 2019

Slow down is here

Dec 28 2018 Dec 28, 2018

Reversal!!! Dow moves 800!

Dec 26 2018 Dec 27, 2018

Dec 26 2018

Dec 21 2018 Dec 21, 2018

Bloodbath! Let’s go over it!

Dec 20 2018 Dec 20, 2018

Episode 28

The fed did the right thing and why! Dec 20, 2018

Raising rates by the fed and why it’s a good thing!

Next leg of the bull run! Fed and China obstacles out! Dec 03, 2018

The bull market continues we talk g20- China US trade war & the fed hike and hold!

Tech re-pricing, not a bear market! Nov 18, 2018

Big cap tech sliding but market still up. How to take advantage!

Talking rotation, the Fed, elections, China, market catalysts, valuations and more! Nov 11, 2018

Episode 24: the state of the markets!

Episode 23: Let's Talk Earnings! Oct 21, 2018

Earnings season! What to look for, what to expect and how to trade it!

Episode 22: Market Craziness How and why! Oct 14, 2018

Correction time?! what happened and why! Bull/Bear Scenarios

Episode 21: Rest of the year preview. This bull market! Sep 23, 2018

Does the bull market continue? and the paralysis of analysis!

Episode 20: Investing for Beginners! Sep 16, 2018

Rule 1: Don't Invest in anything you don't understand Rule 2: Automate! Rule 3: Keep it Simple!

Episode 19: Market Talk & your Instagram questions! Sep 09, 2018

talking markets & trading answering your Instagram questions! @garcapital

Episode 18: How to build wealth! Aug 29, 2018

Let's talk personal finance, be weird, save, invest, and become wealthy!! Breaking it down so you can WIN with money!!!

Episode 17: Trading Psychology how to win! May 14, 2018

Trading psychology how to win: 1. Plan goals 2. Positive reinforcement 3. Implement discipline and effort 4. See and quantify results 5. Gain confidence which removes fear and doubt 6. Start over with #1 with new goals

Episode 16: Markets the bull run, Disney & NVIDIA earnings. May 06, 2018

Latest episode of G.A.R Capital Podcast

Episode 15: Earnings Preview (Super Bowl Week!) Apr 22, 2018

Huge Week of earnings. Talking Tech, Defense, Oil and Industrial Companies! Previewing whats to come and how to play them!!!

Episode 14: Happy Easter! Earnings Preview! Financials first Apr 01, 2018

Happy Easter all! Happy earnings season! welcome to Q2 we start with FInancials! JPM C WFC BAC

Episode 13- Market Correction? The Fed, Trade Wars and hedging! Mar 25, 2018

Short market this week! Correction territory for the markets more pain to come and how to hedge!

3/18/18 Weekly Preview! Mar 18, 2018

Talking The Fed, Dollar, Micron, Financials, Valuations & Crypto!!

Market Recap & Preview Mar 11, 2018

Stock Watchlist: Bull Market Continues! Oil, Tech, Energy, Retail, & Financials

Trade Week preview! 3/4/18 Mar 04, 2018

Upcoming week preview, Central Banks, economic data, BItcoin/SPX correlation, etf's and how to plan the week!

Trader Tools & Tips!! Feb 25, 2018

Episode 9: Trader Tools & Tips. Youtube: garcapital to see the video of our podcast

Market talk. Time to panic?! Feb 04, 2018

Talking markets. Is it time to panic?!! Dow -665 points. Interest rates, the fed and perspective....

Top 10 stocks of 2018 Jan 28, 2018

Our Top 10 stock picks of 2018

Create the right mindset! Jan 21, 2018

Have the Positive mindset! The tips you need to succeed! Win in your mind first!

Episode 4: This Bull Market! Jan 13, 2018

Market recap: the case for this strong bull market

Episode 3: let’s talk crypto! Jan 08, 2018

Let’s talk crypto!

January 4, 2018 Jan 04, 2018

Dow Jones stocks 2018 preview!!

Intro 12/27/17 Dec 27, 2017

This is an introduction to our podcast!! Who else is pumped to get started?!

Prelude: Intro 12/27/17 Dec 27, 2017

Prelude: Intro

GAR Capital Podcast (Trailer) Dec 26, 2017

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