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    Business

    Eye On The Market

    Join Michael Cembalest as he explores a wide variety of investment topics, including the economy, policy and markets.

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    Copyright: © Copyright J.P. Morgan Asset Management 2023

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    Latest Episodes:
    Holiday Eye on the Market: The Winter of Our Discontent Dec 14, 2020
    Show notes

    The belief in election illegitimacy is spreading faster than COVID. With field reporting from Alexander Fleming, Rutherford B Hayes, Richard III, Bob Newhart and the Attorney General of Ohio.

    The Armageddonists, Revisited Nov 18, 2020
    Show notes

    The Armageddonists were not rescued from underperformance purgatory by COVID, and markets are at all-time highs again with prospects for further gains in 2021. However, I can think of something that could rescue them, at least temporarily: the risk of electoral illegitimacy and Constitutional mayhem on January 6th.

    Quiet Flows the Don Nov 09, 2020
    Show notes

    For the first time in 100 years, a challenger unseated an incumbent President at a time of strong economic and market tailwinds. However, the election delivered a clearer referendum on the President himself than on policy issues dividing Democrats and Republicans; it looks like divided government may remain. So, in this week’s Eye on the Market, a (possibly) divided government investor playbook. To conclude, comments on this morning’s Pfizer vaccine news and the road to herd immunity (approval, distribution and acceptance).

    Buckle Up Oct 13, 2020
    Show notes

    The problem with states that do not allow pre-election processing of absentee ballots; a COVID Rorschach test; Trump and Biden deficit explosions, equity market impacts and trends that are being priced in as Democratic Sweep odds rise; Vaccine timing & virus-sensitive businesses.

    Election 2020 - Praying for Time Sep 30, 2020
    Show notes

    The election as referendum on America: how well does the “system” work, and for whom?

    The Needle and the Damage Done Sep 04, 2020
    Show notes

    The cost of engineering a US recovery as the world waits for a vaccine; Biden agenda on taxes/spending; Tech stocks (2020 vs 1999); COVID and The Fountainhead; US election rules, dates and process in light of derogatory comments on mail-in voting by the President and Attorney General.

    COVID Research: Charts of the Week (August 17) Aug 17, 2020
    Show notes

    US virus decline plateaus; UK is a long way from herd immunity; A post-COVID US housing shift to less dense locations with cheaper land; Lost in Translation: T-cell knowns and unknowns, and financial industry co-conspirators in the war on science.

    COVID Research: Charts of the Week Jul 29, 2020
    Show notes

    US infection plateau; Liz Cheney; Hong Kong’s reaction to a mini second wave; Phase I Oxford vaccine antibody response; US spending and hospitalization trends; an update on infections in US hotspots and Latin America; Government march-in rights and herd immunity.

    Blinded by Science: the US recovery, virus surge and scientific trust gap Jul 07, 2020
    Show notes

    US recovery marches on; why deaths are diverging from sharply rising infections; the American scientific trust gap vs the rest of the world; energy paper client Q&A.

    Stargazing: Tenth Annual Eye on the Market Energy Paper Jun 28, 2020
    Show notes

    While COVID temporarily reduced global CO2 emissions to 2006 levels, a faster and broader renewable energy transition will be needed to result in more permanent reductions. This year’s topics include decarbonization of steel; the amount of energy storage, reforestation and carbon sequestration required to make an impact; and the financial, political and environmental risks to US energy independence.

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