Eurodollar University

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BREAKING: Oil Rationing Have Started Mar 26, 2026

Show notes

The oil shock has moved way beyond merely being a price problem. The blockage at Hormuz has already created a very real physical shortage of fuel across much of Asia, and it’s now threatening to hit Europe according to the CEO of Shell Energy. It’s only been about four weeks but we’re seeing major disruptions already, from Australia to South Korea, India, Egypt. Among the hardest hit is the Philippines. There are reports today some airlines are being told to plan for rationing fuel in a few places.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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What if your gold could actually pay you every month… in MORE gold?
That’s exactly what Monetary Metals does. You still own your gold, fully insured in your name, but instead of sitting idle, it earns real yield paid in physical gold. No selling. No trading. Just more gold every month.

Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider

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Join us for our free webinar Thursday March 26, 2026 at 6pm ET. With credit market developments escalating even more, and major market moves accompanying them, we're going to go over where everything stands but also look forward at the potential scenarios coming out of what continues to look like a global bust.

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Australia Fuel Crunch Expands to Hundreds of Gas Stations
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-24/australia-fuel-shortages-expand-to-hundreds-of-service-stations

Securing Australia’s fuel supply
https://www.energy.gov.au/news/securing-australias-fuel-supply

Egypt mandates new closing time for malls and cafes to curb energy use
https://www.egyptindependent.com/egypt-mandates-new-closing-time-for-malls-and-cafes-to-curb-energy-use/

India Turns to Dirty Fuels to Fight Crippling Supply Squeeze
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-12/india-turns-to-dirty-fuels-to-fight-off-worst-supply-disruption-mmnfhzzs

Marcos promises 'flow of oil' as Philippines declares energy emergency
https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c3ex8ez3717o

Airline boss flags possible fuel rationing in Philippines as supplies dwindle
https://www.scmp.com/news/asia/southeast-asia/article/3347804/airline-boss-flags-possible-fuel-rationing-philippines-supplies-dwindle

Signs of Jet Fuel Hoarding Emerge in Asia on Iran Oil Shock
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-25/signs-of-jet-fuel-hoarding-emerge-in-asia-after-iran-oil-shock

Shell Boss Warns Europe Is Next After Asia Suffers Fuel Squeeze
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-24/shell-boss-warns-europe-is-next-after-asia-suffers-fuel-squeeze

Oil giants raise the alarm over energy shortages as Iran war drags on
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/25/iran-war-oil-shell-totalenergies-energy-strait-of-hormuz.html

S&P Global March 2026 US PMIs
https://www.pmi.spglobal.com/Public/Home/PressRelease/adc91b5cf42442cbb220d5b66b64ec7d

Indian police manage long lines as panic grows over fuel shortages
https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/3/25/indian-police-manage-long-lines-as-panic-grows-over-fuel-shortages

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

BREAKING: Moody's JUST Downgraded A MASSIVE Private Credit Fund! Mar 25, 2026

Show notes

Another major development in private credit crisis - yes, it is a crisis now. Moody's downgraded a $13 billion KKR co-managed private credit fund, citing "asset quality challenges." This is a huge escalation for three key reasons we'll go over here.

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Retail investors pull billions from private capital’s credit gold mine
https://www.ft.com/content/3103e960-5e54-4cff-a439-b61a77ab21bd?syn-25a6b1a6=1

Blackstone’s Gray: Market ‘noise’ fueled record redemptions from world’s largest private credit fund
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/03/blackstone-private-credit-fund.html

Moody's
https://ratings.moodys.com/ratings-news/461835

Holy Sh*t… Blackstone’s “Safe” Fund Just Lost Money Mar 24, 2026

Show notes

Blackstone’s $83 billion BCred fund just reported its first monthly loss due to actual credit problems. However, it’s never credit losses that kill you; it’s always the forced selling, the liquidations. Financial crises begin with small credit losses and then snowball into something far greater because the issues here aren’t numbers on a spreadsheet and seemingly reasonable expected loss calculations. This all comes down to trust and information.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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Jon Gray Blackstone President
https://x.com/blackstone/status/2035088934753935648?

Blackstone Private Credit Fund Has First Monthly Loss Since 2022
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-20/blackstone-private-credit-fund-has-first-monthly-loss-since-2022

Private Credit Firm Ares Holds Town Hall to Reassure Staff on Market Volatility
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-11/ares-holds-townhall-to-reassure-staff-on-market-uncertainties

Ares CEO Says UBS Call on 15% Private Debt Default ‘Absolutely Wrong’
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-03/arougheti-says-15-private-debt-default-call-absolutely-wrong

New York Fed Sells Remainder of Maiden Lane LLC Securities; Approximately $2.5 Billion Net Gain Generated for U.S. Public from the Portfolio
https://www.newyorkfed.org/newsevents/news/markets/2018/an180918

Maiden Lane Transactions
https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/maidenlane.html

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

WTF Is Happening to Global Markets Mar 23, 2026

Show notes

Global financial markets are all over the place. We’ve talked about commodities being crushed, getting liquidated due to serious and underappreciated funding stress. The other side of that, rising dollar and flight to safety. And on the flipside, growing risk aversion which has markets especially overseas rolling over. Meanwhile, bonds are struggling because central banks are beginning to really panic especially over in Europe.

Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre

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Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider

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https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Oil Shock → Dollar Shock → Deflation: The Chain Reaction Just Started Mar 22, 2026

Show notes

Liquidations, not mere selling. There's more going on behind the scenes than you think. Critical metals being liquidated means a growing worldwide dollar problem. Possibly a big one. While central bankers are running around talking about rate hikes because they wrongly believe oil prices are inflationary, where it actually matters we’re already seeing the total opposite only starting with gold’s worst week in forever.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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Global Risks Renew Dollar Demand in the Currency Swaps Market
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-03/global-risks-renew-dollar-demand-in-the-currency-swaps-market

The Dollar's Double Life: Not All Dollar Appreciations Are Born Equal for the Cross-Currency Basis
https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/fut.70081

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

Housing Just PLUNGED 17.6%!!! What You Must Know Mar 20, 2026

Show notes

Sales of newly built homes crashed by a massive 17.6% in January, with a 44% drop in the Northeast and 34% slide in the Midwest. Of course, everyone is trying to blame it on weather but sales were already weakening in December and those in the Western part of the country were down by a whopping 22%. It’s now like we’ve haven’t been following a macro bust in the property sector. Economists just don’t want to admit rate cuts didn’t produce the recovery they were expecting. And now homebuyers have to deal with volatility across interest rates because central bankers are doing exactly what we thought they would in response to the oil shock.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider

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https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

McDonald’s Just Slashed Prices…The Economy is DONE Mar 19, 2026

Show notes

McDonalds is doing it again as the economy is now in a race against time. The fast food giant is creating a $3 value deal after having brought back the $5 value menu in the middle of 2024. The timing wasn’t an accident back then. That previous time, it was confirmation the labor market had indeed shifted to flat Beveridge - even if it took almost those two years for the payroll data to finally and fully pick up on it. But in company after company, we’re seeing major changes, not just McDs. Pepsi. Dollar Tree.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider

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Diesel tops $5 a gallon for the first time since 2022. Here's what it means for the economy.
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/diesel-prices-5-dollars-gallon-economic-impact/

Dollar Tree Winning Wealthier Shoppers With Higher-Priced Items
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-16/dollar-tree-falls-after-annual-outlook-disappoints-investors

McDonald’s newest $3 value menu is sounding an alarm about America’s K-shaped economy
https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/companies/mcdonald-s-newest-3-value-menu-is-sounding-an-alarm-about-america-s-k-shaped-economy/ar-AA1YQVnZ

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

We’re Seeing the First Signs of a Dollar Panic Mar 18, 2026

Show notes

It was maybe inevitable that the oil shock would lead to a dollar shock especially around Asia. The sudden, sharp rise in oil prices is essentially a margin call in dollars which hits the biggest energy importers the hardest. Today, the biggest economy in Southeast Asia just tightened currency controls restricting dollar availability there, and confirming the monetary situation is in a precarious position already.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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Check it out here: https://monetary-metals.com/snider

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https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

The First Crack in the AI Bubble Just Appeared Mar 17, 2026

Show notes

Meta Platforms is reportedly considering laying off over 20% of its workforce. The company didn’t confirm anything, but it also didn’t deny the thrust of the rumor, either. The purpose of these theoretical job cuts does not appear to be replacing employees with AI bots, instead it sure looks like the company is trying desperately to conserve a lot cash which raises a bunch of questions about debt and debt markets.

Eurodollar University's Money & Macro Analysis

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Meta planning sweeping layoffs as AI costs mount: Reuters
https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/14/meta-planning-sweeping-layoffs-as-ai-costs-mount-reuters.html

BIS Financing the AI infrastructure boom: on- and off-balance sheet borrowing
https://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt2603u.htm

How AI Companies Are Keeping Debt Off Their Balance Sheets
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-10-31/meta-xai-starting-trend-for-billions-in-off-balance-sheet-debt

https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

BREAKING: Now It's Wells Fargo AND Deutsche Bank Mar 16, 2026

Show notes

Deutsche Bank. Wells Fargo. Both global systemically important banks are sitting here watching their stocks get pounded in the same way as BlackRock or Blackstone. Thankfully, not as bad as Blue Owl. Yet. And it is for the same reason. We know the private credit industry and shadow banks are in really bad shape. Markets are already looking outside of them to who might be next to have pay for really bad decisions.

Eurodollar University's conversation w/Steve Van Metre

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https://www.eurodollar.university
Twitter: https://twitter.com/JeffSnider_EDU

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