Dirty Mo Dough with Steve Letarte

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Darlington: Chase Elliott To Win Is A Must Bet Aug 28, 2024

Show notes

Steve Letarte talks about what it was like in the booth with Jeff Burton as Harrison Burton punched his ticket to the NASCAR Playoffs. NASCAR is now headed to Darlington for the final race of the regular season.

In Tier 1 of the Professor's model is: Tyler Reddick, Denny Hamlin, William Byron, Kyle Larson, Ryan Blaney, and Chase Elliott. The surprise driver in this group is Chase Elliott. He sits in Tier 1 on the Professor's model, but in Vegas he sits 14th and is +2200 to win. After hearing this, Tampa Timms fired off the bet immediately.

The guys also chat about Denny Hamlin's penalty and what this means for him going forward. Martin Truex Jr. has yet to win in his final season and don't look for that to end this weekend. On top of having Elliott on his bet slip, Tampa Timms is also going to have Reddick. Joey Logano and William Byron are on his radar but he has yet to pull the trigger on those.

Average finishing position bets are back this week. The drivers you can bet on are:

Ty Gibbs O/U 12.5

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. O/U 20.5

Austin Cindric O/U 20.5

Corey LaJoie O/U 22.5

Michael McDowell O/U 20.5

Two other bets the guys love this week are numbers of laps led for Byron and Kyle Larson. Byron is at 9.5 laps and Larson is 29.5 laps.

Margin of victory is a bet that's offered this week and the guys breakdown how they would bet this.

As always, the Professor waits until 40 minutes into the podcast to give out great information and this week was no different. This week he details why Justin Haley for a top-10 is a good bet.

The guys found what they believe is a miss by Vegas in the race matchups. Plus, some college football talk.

For more Dirty Mo Dough content head over to our YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@DirtyMoDough

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Daytona: Betting Ford?... Think Again Aug 22, 2024

Show notes

NASCAR is headed back to Daytona this weekend for the second to last race in the regular season. Steve Letarte breaks down the strategy with team's fuel saving. With the Playoffs not far away, Tampa Timms thinks we could have a chaotic race.

We saw chaos at Michigan going airborne. Letarte talks about the changes NASCAR is making with the lift-off speed to try and prevent that from happening.

The Professor has a colorful model this week. At the top are: Ryan Blaney, Chase Elliott, Christopher Bell, Tyler Reddick, Chris Buescher, and William Byron.

There are some Ford drivers at the top of the predictor. But there are a couple that are missing. Joey Logano is the betting favorite. But, only two top-10s in the last 10 races have him in tier 2. Another big name the Professor isn’t big on is Brad Keselowski who has 11 DNFs in the last 15 races at Daytona.

Kyle Larson is 19-1 to win, but there is one problem. He’s never finished in the top-5 at Daytona.

If you’re looking for a long shot, Ricky Stenhouse Jr. and Todd Gilliland are two good options. Tampa Timms has one simple rule for betting top-10s this week. “It must be plus money."

For the first time all year, there are top-20 bets. The guys have a full breakdown of drivers worth betting on from William Byron to Cody Ware.

The guys also chat about drivers that you could see lead a lap.

Tampa Timms is normally not a fan of stacking bets, but Letarte has an idea for him betting top Toyota.

Plus, the guys quickly preview the Xfinity series and why this is the week Sheldon Creed will finally get his win.

For more Dirty Mo Dough content, head over to our YouTube page: https://www.youtube.com/@DirtyMoDough

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Michigan: Austin Dillon Punished, Value on Favorites & Average Finishing Position Aug 15, 2024

Show notes

Michigan: Austin Dillon Punished, Value on Favorites & Average Finishing Position

Steve Letarte and the guys discuss NASCAR's punishment of Austin Dillon and whether or not they got it right. The Cup Series is off to Michigan this weekend and Letarte talks about what it will take to win the race.

The drivers in tier 1 of the Professor's model are: Denny Hamlin, Kyle Larson, Tyler Reddick, and Ryan Blaney. Tampa Timms is ok with anyone betting on Hamlin, Larson and Blaney to win, but be careful betting Reddick.

The Toyotas continue to have engine problems and Letarte discusses how concerned they should be. Ty Gibbs is +2200 to win and Timms thinks this might be the weekend he gets his first Cup win.

Kyle Busch saw his teammate have a fast car last weekend while he lacked speed. The guys chat about if this makes him happy or more upset.

Bubba Wallace is three points above the cutline and at plus money for a top-10, so this has Timms' attention. The longshot top-10 that Timms likes is Carson Hocevar at +400.

Average finishing position continues to be a favorite bet for the guys. This week the drivers you can bet on are:

Daniel Suarez O/U 17.5

Bubba Wallace O/U 13.5

Erik Jones O/U 18.5

Ricky Stenhouse Jr O/U 23.5

Michael McDowell O/U 22.5

College football is around the corner and Fox Sports' Chris "The Bear" Fallica joins the guys. With the expansion of the CFP, Bear loves betting Penn State to make the CFP. He also has a longshot sleep to win the Doak Walker Award. Plus, what to expect from Miami, Ohio State, Colorado, and more.

For more Dirty Mo Dough content head to our YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@DirtyMoDough

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Richmond: Top-10’s for RFK, Hamlin to Win & NFL Season Win Totals Aug 08, 2024

Show notes

Steve Letarte and the boys are back after a couple of weeks off. The guys chat about how their Olympic betting has gone. Letarte also rants about his dislike for the new NFL kickoff rule.

NASCAR returns this weekend and they are heading to Richmond. For the first time in a points race, teams will have different tire options to choose from. Christopher Bell will also be without his crew chief, who got injured during the break. Letarte discusses the impact of a different crew chief.

At the top of the Professor’s model are: Bell, Denny Hamlin, Ryan Blaney, Chase Elliott, and Kyle Larson. Tampa Timms explains why Hamlin is someone you have to have on your bet slip. Another driver he has his eyes on is Joey Logano, who is in tier 2. Teams have 45 minutes to practice and the guys think this is something to pay attention to before placing too many bets.

Letarte’s favorite bet on the board is average finishing position.

Daniel Suarez O/U 22.5

Austin Cindric O/U 21.5

Tyler Reddick O/U 10.5

Brad Keselowski O.U 10.5

The Tampa Timms sweat bet this week is a teammate top-10 parlay with Chris Buescher and Brad Keselowski. Two other bets that could be ones you sweat until the very end are JGR vs HMS and Kyle Larson vs Denny Hamlin. Both HMS and Larson are plus money. But, buyer beware Richmond is a Toyota track.

Timms was thinking about Josh Berry for top Ford but second guessing it and information from the Professor has him avoiding it all together.

Plus, the guys chat a little about NFL season win totals.

For more Dirty Mo Dough content head to our YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@DirtyMoDough

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Brickyard: Penske Rockets & Byron Top Chevy Jul 18, 2024

Show notes

NASCAR is headed to Indianapolis Motor Speedway this weekend, but not for the road course as they return to the oval for the Brickyard. Steve Letarte explains what tracks are comparable to IMS.

In tier 1 of The Professor's Predictor is: Denny Hamlin, William Byron, Ryan Blaney, Tyler Reddick, Christopher Bell and Chase Elliott. For Reddick, this is his first time in tier 1 this season. The Professor explains why Kyle Larson is missing from the first tier. Denny Hamlin tested at IMS earlier this season, but Letarte explains why he won't have as big of an advantage as people think.

It's a home race for Penske drivers and Tampa Timms thinks they could be really fast.

One driver to keep an eye on outside of the first tier is Ross Chastain.

Timms isn't big on top-10 bets this week, but he likes William Byron, Bell, Blaney and Joey Logano as possible top-5 bets.

Timms and Letarte have a friendly drink bet on Reddick vs Elliott. Letarte explains why you should wait until after practice to make any bets on drivers to win.

Plus, hear Timms' bet of the week and some Xfinity Series bets.

For more Dirty Mo Content, check out our YouTube page: https://www.youtube.com/@DirtyMoDough

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Pocono: Denny Hamlin To Win…Ship It Jul 11, 2024

Show notes

Steve Letarte is happy after Alex Bowman’s victory in Chicago because now The Professor owes him dinner in Phoenix.

Steve explains how different strategies will come into play this weekend at Pocono. The Professor breaks down his predictor. At the top all alone in tier 1 is Denny Hamlin. In tier 2 is: Kyle Larson, Chase Elliott, William Byron, Brad Keselowski, and Martin Truex Jr. While Keselowski is in tier 2, Steve isn’t a big fan of him this weekend. One of the reasons is he doesn’t believe in the Fords.

While odds aren’t great for Hamlin since he is the favorite, Tampa Timms believes he has to be on your card. Steve thinks the play for Hamlin might be group bets.

If you’re looking for a bet that you’ll know if you won or lost real fast, Michael McDowell vs Austin Cindric in qualifying is your bet. And the guys believe the books have it wrong.

It might be tough for Alex Bowman to repeat, but a top 10 might be a smart play. One driver that needs to win that has Tampa Timms' attention is Bubba Wallace.

Can Erik Jones make it nine top 10s in 13 races at Pocono? The Professor and Tampa Timms think it’s possible.

The show has been fading RCR this year, which means they are taking Trackhouse vs RCR in a matchup bet.

The guys also chat about drivers finishing position and a quick preview of the Xfinity race.

For more Dirty Mo Dough content head over to our YouTube page: https://www.youtube.com/@DirtyMoDough

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Can SVG Repeat In Chicago? Jul 03, 2024

Show notes

NASCAR is returning to Chicago this weekend for street course racing and the defending champion is Shane Van Gisbergen. This time the books have him listed pre-practice as the favorite, unlike last year. But, can he repeat? One driver The Professor is higher on than the books is Chris Buescher. Tampa Timms agrees as a driver to win, but he also likes betting him for top-5.

Justin Haley and Rick Ware Racing have impressed everyone lately, and Tampa Timms thinks he could be a sleeper for a top-10 at +360. Kyle Busch hasn’t had the best season so far, but this race could be one that jumpstarts his season.

Carson Hocevar enters the weekend a little lighter as NASCAR fined him 50k for wrecking Harrison Burton last weekend and Steve Letarte reacts to the decision.

The top-10 parlays have caught Tampa Timms’ eye this weekend. The one he has circled is William Byron and Chris Buescher at +230.

SVG isn’t a full-time Cup driver and Steve thinks after last year the Cup guys are going to race him a little harder. While SVG is a fan favorite, Reddick vs SVG in qualifying is a bet Tampa Timms liked so much that he placed it mid-pod. Reddick is getting plus money so if you like that number act now. Another matchup they looked at was Ross Chastain vs. Ryan Blaney.

The guys once again are looking at average finishing position. Drivers you can bet on are Christopher Bell, Tyler Reddick, Brad Keselowski, Ty Gibbs & AJ Allmendinger.

The guys also take a look at the Xfinity before Steve gives the floor to producer Travis who has some Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest bets.

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Nashville: Longshot Top 10’s, RCR Struggles & HMS's Weekend Jun 27, 2024

Show notes

NASCAR is off to Nashville this weekend, and Steve Letarte discusses why tires might be more important than usual. Tampa Timms isn’t in love with the favorites this weekend, but he does have his eyes on Chase Elliott. Kyle Busch continues to struggle.

Corey Heim is racing for 23XI this weekend, but the books have bad numbers for him.

Erik Jones at +1100 and Ryan Preece at +2700 are two longshots top 10’s Travis and Timms are looking at. Can Ricky Stenhouse Jr. find himself in the top 10 for the second consecutive week?

The bets that have the guy's attention the most is average finishing position. Drivers that you can bet on this weekend are Corey LaJoie, Austin Dillon, Bubba Wallace, Ross Chastain & Harrison Burton.

Denny Hamlin is having one of the worst stretches of racing in a couple of years. But he’s won the last three races on concrete. Letarte thinks this is a rebound weekend and you better have Hamlin on your betting slip.

Xfinity has a stacked field this week with eight drivers racing in Xfinity and Cup. However, Letarte says bet Ty Gibbs or John Hunter Nemechek. Plus, Clint Bowyer makes his return this weekend racing in the Truck Series.

For more NASCAR betting content, head over to our YouTube channel: Nashville: Longshot Top 10’s, RCR Struggles & HMS's Weekend

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Loudon: Are The Books Sleeping on Chase Elliott? Jun 20, 2024

Show notes

Steve Letarte and the boys are back after a successful weekend betting on the U.S. Open thanks to the heater Tampa Timms was on. NASCAR is headed to New Hampshire this weekend, and Christopher Bell is the heavy favorite in the Xfinity race. But Tampa Timms has his eyes on someone else to cash him a winning bet.

Steve explains why track position is important for the Cup race on Sunday. Stewart-Haas Racing announced this is their final season and the guys discuss if it’s time to start fading them. Or is there still value in betting on them to finish in the top 10?

Steve and the Professor have a friendly wager on Alex Bowman winning one race this year. This weekend, he sits at 60-1 odds, and Tampa Timms has already fired off a bet for him to win. He has also been a top-10 machine, and Tampa Timms is hoping that continues. The Professor believes Bubba Wallace at 40-1 odds to win is a better bet.

Another driver the guys think could end up in victory lane is Brad Keselowski.

Are the sportsbooks sleeping on Chase Elliott?

It’s been three weeks since Toyota has won a race. Steve thinks this could be the weekend. One bet he loves is the number of Toyota's in the top 10.

The guys also chat about drivers winning a stage and the race, drivers to complete 150 laps and more.

For more NASCAR betting content, head over to our YouTube channel: https://www.youtube.com/@DirtyMoDough

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Focusing on the Favorites in Iowa, Betting on Tiger Woods, & Betting on NFL Team Win Totals Jun 12, 2024

Show notes

NASCAR returns to Iowa this weekend, and Steve Letarte and the boys handicap the field. Christopher Bell, Brad Keselowski, and Kyle Larson were the three drivers to test at Iowa, and for that reason, those three are big threats to win on Sunday.

The Professor breaks down his model and doesn’t see the race exactly how Las Vegas sees it. One driver the model loves is Bubba Wallace, but Tampa Timms can’t get behind that. Alex Bowman’s streak of top-10’s end but Steve could see it starting back up again this weekend.

Is Ryan Blaney too cold to bet on to win? And is Chase Elliott about to get hot?

If Keselowski is a favorite to win, Chris Buescher being his teammate also makes him a threat. One driver not expected to win but could be a longshot top-10 is Chase Briscoe.

For some reason, the books have Elliott as a massive underdog against Bell, and the guys don’t understand why.

The guys also take a look at team bets, top manufacturer driver, and average finishing position.

Plus, The U.S. Open begins Thursday morning, and the guys have lots of bets. Scottie Scheffler is the best golfer right now, and a first-round top-20 is one bet. Meanwhile, Tiger Woods returns, and Steve is expecting a solid first round. Tampa Timms has a massive parlay, and The Professor, who is new to gambling, reads off the grocery-size list of bets he has.

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