Bloomberg Surveillance - Bloomberg

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Trump 'Wounds' Are Self-Inflicted, Valliere Says Jul 10, 2017

Show notes

Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments' chief global strategist, says Trump's "wounds" are self-inflicted by his sensitivity to criticism and inability to let the Russia story go. Prior to that, Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics' chief economist, says Europe inflation is under target. Jim Barry, BlackRock's head of real assets, says the U.S. has underinvested in infrastructure for 30 to 40 years. Finally, Robert Hormats, vice chairman of Kissinger Associates, says a well-functioning global economy would make America great again.

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We're Not In a Bond Rout Yet, Gross Says Jul 07, 2017

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Bill Gross, a fund manager at Janus Henderson, says the bond market isn't in a rout yet and to expect one more Fed rate increase this year, likely in December. Prior to that, Alan Krueger, a professor at Princeton University, says the U.S. is heading toward a labor shortage economy. James Glassman, a senior economist at JPMorgan, says the jobs data for June show people are recognizing the economy's in a better position today. Finally, Max Baucus, the former U.S. ambassador to China, says foreign leaders don't know what to expect from President Trump's inconsistency.

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Russians Are Interfering in Western European Politics, Hormats Says Jul 06, 2017

Show notes

Robert Hormats, Kissinger Associates' vice chairman, says Russia is clearly trying to undermine stability among European countries within the NATO alliance. Barry Eichengreen, a professor at the University of California at Berkley, says the U.S. will learn how hard it is to go alone in the world. Roberto Azevedo, the director general at the World Trade Organization, says the Trump administration is still trying to figure out its trade plans. Michael Feroli, JPMorgan's chief U.S. economist, says the Fed's still following the Phillips curve tradition. Gene Munster, co-founder of Loup Ventures, says Tesla's Model 3 is a paradigm shift in e-vehicles and autonomy.

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The Great Posen/Ryding Debate Jul 05, 2017

Show notes

Adam Posen, the president of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, and John Ryding, RDQ Economics' chief economist, agree to disagree on the past, present and future for Fed Chair Yellen and other bankers. Prior to that, David Folkerts-Landau, Deutsche Bank's chief economist, says the Fed will lead the way against market dangers through gradual rate increases and careful communication. Megan Greene, Manulife Asset Management's chief economist, says the Fed's painted into a corner in terms of shrinking its balance sheet. Finally, Louise Yamada, a market analyst at Louise Yamada Techresearch, says a near-term correction isn't in the horizon.

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Abe Has a Chance to Get His Party Back on Track, Feldman Says Jul 03, 2017

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Robert Feldman, a senior advisor at Morgan Stanley MUFG, says Shinzo Abe has an opportunity to get his party back on track and Japan wants to play a more active role against North Korea. Prior to that, Berenberg Capital Markets' Mickey Levy says global central banks are conducting policies that are inconsistent with market fundamentals. Finally, Don Katz, founder and CEO of Audible, discusses the evolution of the audio book, podcasts and Audible's relationship with Amazon.

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Three Percent Unemployment: The Optimism of Unicredit Jun 30, 2017

Show notes

Harm Bandholz, Unicredit's chief U.S. economist, talks about his optimistic view of the unemployment rate and says it would be positive for the U.S. if the Eurozone strengthens. Robert Profusek, a partner at Jones Day, says the pace of deal-making isn't slowing but it's taking longer to close. Finally, Dennis Gartman, editor and publisher of the Gartman Letter, says the recent gold drop may have been caused by Venezuela selling.

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Banks Are Facing a 'Toxic Cocktail,' Kass Says Jun 29, 2017

Show notes

Doug Kass, president of Seabreeze Partners, says headwinds in the banking industry could be a "toxic cocktail." Prior to that, Peter Hooper, Deutsche Bank's chief economist, says the ECB will be tapering further by the end of the year. Charles Peabody, an analyst at Compass Point Research, says Jamie Dimon's tech investments have put JPMorgan at an advantage. Dan Yergin, IHS' vice chairman, says big oil will go through soul-searching. Finally, Texas Representative Kevin Brady says the Senate will resolve their differences and pass health care.

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McConnell Will Get His Health Care Votes, Former HHS Secretary Says Jun 28, 2017

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Former Secretary of Health and Human Services Michael Leavitt says Mitch McConnell will ultimately get his 50 votes for health care but will need heavy negotiations. Prior to that, Stan Collender, Qorvis MSLGROUP's executive vice president says the CBO is stronger today than it was two months ago. Komal Sri-Kumar, founder and president of Sri-Kumar Global Strategies, says Christine Lagarde's too optimistic about the U.S. Then, Diane Swonk, CEO of Diane Swonk & Associates, says U.S. GDP is stuck at 2 percent. Finally, Brian Wieser, a senior research analyst at Pivotal Research Group, says Facebook's user growth isn't particularly meaningful.

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Google Denied Europeans the Benefits of Competition, Vestager Says Jun 27, 2017

Show notes

Margrethe Vestager, the European commissioner for competition, says Google demoted rivals in favor of Google Shopping. Prior to that, Neal Soss, Credit Suisse's vice chairman of global fixed income, says infrastructure is the way to get GDP higher than 2 percent. David Herro, CIO of international equity at Harris Associates, says Google is a strong, virtuous business but there's concern about privacy. Finally, David Kotok, CEO of Cumberland Advisors, says Amazon's Whole Foods purchase made sense and that more "unusual" consolidations are on the way.

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Trump Needs to Be President and Stop Tweeting, Mayor Walsh Says Jun 26, 2017

Show notes

Boston Mayor Martin Walsh says Trump needs to stop tweeting and focus on issues like infrastructure and the opioid epidemic. Prior to that, William Lee, Milken Institute's chief economist, says raising rates may cause consumers to start spending. Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets' managing director of equity research, says the real value is in the largest banks. Finally, Robert Sinche, a global strategist at Amherst Pierpont, says it's unhealthy for the Fed to own too much government debt.

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