Bloomberg Surveillance - Bloomberg

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China is Changing Its Economy, Roach Says Mar 15, 2018

Show notes

Stephen Roach, Yale University Professor, says the U.S. and China need to restart their economic dialogue. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, thinks Larry Kudlow's new role as National Economic Council Director will be marketing the administration's policies. Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Equity Strategist, says investors are looking at the trade tariffs with a big question mark. Stephanie Wissink, Jefferies Research Analyst & Managing Director, says a number of toy vendors will feel the loss of Toys R Us; the winners will be Amazon and WalMart.

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U.S. Should Align with the U.K., Stavridis Says Mar 14, 2018

Show notes

Enda Curran, Bloomberg's Chief Asia Economics Correspondent, and Ron Temple, Lazard Asset Management Co-Head & Head of U.S. Equity, discuss China and Trump's tariffs. Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg Chief Washington Correspondent, joins us from Canonsbury, PA to report on the special election. Bob Sinche, Amherst Pierpont Global Strategist, says this month's retail sales were a bit of a 'clunker.' Admiral James Stavridis, Tufts University Fletcher School Dean & Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander, says the U.S. ought to be combine soft power with hard power to succeed at smart power.

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A More Hawkish Foreign Policy Ahead, Bremmer Says Mar 13, 2018

Show notes

Nick Wadhams, Bloomberg State Department & Foreign Policy Reporter, and Marty Schenker, Bloomberg Chief Content Officer, examine Trump's firing of Rex Tillerson. Nick was aboard the former Secretary of State's plane 4 hours prior to this news breaking. Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group President, expects Mike Pompeo, the newly appointed Secretary of State, to double down on Trump's hard line message. George Friedman, Geopolitical Futures Chairman & Founder, says there has always been tension between the Defense Department, State Department, and CIA. Michael McKee, Bloomberg International Economics & Politics Correspondent, and Vinny Del Guidice, Bloomberg News Data Editor, break down the CPI data.

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Steady as She [the Fed] Goes, Peters Says Mar 12, 2018

Show notes

Jens Nordvig, Exante Data Founder & CEO, thinks the housing sector will be resilient to Fed rate hikes. Greg Peters, PGIM Managing Director & Senior Investment Officer, says to look at the broader set of data and trends in the jobs numbers. Chad Bown, Peterson Institute for International Economics Senior Fellow, says we're all waiting to see how the steel and aluminum tariffs will play out. Dakin Campbell, Bloomberg Finance Americas Reporter, reviews Goldman Sachs's decision to appoint David Solomon as sole president.

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Jobs Number is an Excellent Number, Goolsbee Says Mar 12, 2018

Show notes

Robin Niblett, Chatham House Director, is concerned that President Trump is stepping forward to meet with Kim Jong-un too early. Michelle Meyer, Bank of America Merill Lynch Head of U.S. Economics, indicates the housing recovery is ongoing. Randall Kroszner, University of Chicago Booth School Professor & former member of the U.S. Federal Reserve Board of Governors, says it's rare to have this kind of synchronized global growth. Bill Gross, Janus Henderson Investors Fund Manager, says trade tariffs are a potential negative and drag on the economy. Austan Goolsbee, University of Chicago Booth School Professor & former Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers, says 90% of what happens in the economy has nothing to do with Washington.

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Intl. Women's Day with Abby Joseph Cohen Mar 08, 2018

Show notes

Abby Joseph Cohen, Goldman Sachs Advisory Director & Senior Investment Strategist, is our featured guest on this International Women's Day. She discusses her outlook for GDP growth, central banks, equities, bonds, the dollar, and of course, the zeitgeist: trade.

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Tariffs May Crowd Out Investment, Coronado Says Mar 08, 2018

Show notes

Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives President & Founder, does not think we can sustain 3% GDP growth. Peter Chatwell, Mizuho International Head of European Rates Strategy and Geoffrey Yu, UBS Private Banking Head of the U.K. Investment Office, review the European Central Bank forward guidance out today. Isaac Boltansky, Compass Point Research Director of Policy Research, says Republicans want to run on the economic benefits of the tax cut but the tariffs could eat into these benefits. Cynthia Koons, Bloomberg Healthcare Reporter, reports on the Cigna and Express Scripts merger.

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Mnuchin a Moderating Force But Lacks Cohn's Gravitas, says Valliere Mar 07, 2018

Show notes

Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments Chief Global Strategist, believes that Secretary Mnuchin will now act as a moderating force in the Trump Administration, though he lacks the gravitas of Cohn. Steve Englander Rafiki Capital Management Head Of Research And Strategy, highlights the difference between a tariff and a quota, and argues that President Trump will soon want the latter. Scott Mushkin, Wolfe Research Managing Director & Senior Research Analyst, predicts that Amazon will have 20% of the share of the consumables market, sucking a lot of share from traditional supermarkets. Michael O'Hanlon, Brookings Senior Fellow: Foreign Policy, believes the Department of Defense could save 5-10% of their budget.

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The Headlines Matter on the Margin, Kantor Says Mar 06, 2018

Show notes

Peter Pae, Bloomberg's Seoul Bureau Chief, recaps the headlines that North Korea is open to denuclearize. Charles Kantor, Neuberger Berman Group Managing Director & Senior Portfolio Manager, says the bond market suggests there will be more real growth. Kim Wallace, Eurasia Managing Director of United States, notes to say that the process now in Washington is unique, is an understatement. Stephen Schork, Schork Report Editor, says the demand structure for natural gas has totally changed. Brian Kelly, The Points Guy CEO & Founder, offers his wisdom on how to get inexpensive flights using airline miles.

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We Are in a Reactive Phase, Alden Says Mar 05, 2018

Show notes

Luigi Zingales, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Professor, says the results of the Italian election indicates a heavy anti-Europe sentiment. Deborah Lehr, Paulson Institute Senior Fellow, says the World Trade Organization has failed at keeping up with the modern world of trade. Shahab Jalinoos, Credit Suisse Global Head of FX Strategy, says the biggest risk to the U.S. dollar would be a sudden loss of confidence from overseas investors.Ted Alden, Council on Foreign Relations Senior Fellow, says we live in a very different world than 1961, the world Trump has nostalgia for.

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