Bloomberg Surveillance - Bloomberg

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Surveillance: Stocks Are A Little Overdone, Mann Says Aug 30, 2018

Show notes

Catherine Mann, Citi Global Chief Economist, says stocks are a little overdone. Stan Collender, Georgetown University Adjunct Professor of Public Policy & The Budget Guy Blog Founder, thinks a government shutdown in October is 60% likely. Andy Hunt, Wells Fargo AM Co-Head of Global Fixed Income & Head of LDI and Global Credit, shares his thoughts on the fixed income space. Austan Goolsbee, University of Chicago Booth School of Business Robert P. Gwinn Professor of Economics, says any day that we don't have a trade war is a good day for the economy.

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Tariffs Creating 'Fortress America', Lovely Says Aug 28, 2018

Show notes

Lara Rhame, FS Investments Chief U.S. Economist, says the new U.S.-Mexico trade agreement is a re-branding of NAFTA. Mary Lovely, Peterson Institute for International Economics Senior Fellow, says the current administration is creating 'Fortress America' with tariffs. David Herro, Harris Associates CIO of International Equities, says underlying business conditions have been more than acceptable. And Greg Giroux, Bloomberg Government Elections Reporter, previews the midterm election primaries in Arizona, Florida, and Oklahoma today.

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Surveillance: McCain Was A Life-Long Learner, Stavridis Says Aug 27, 2018

Show notes

Admiral James Stavridis, Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander, says Senator John McCain was an intuitive, life-long learner. Jonathan Golub, Credit Suisse Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says the S&P 500 is carrying less volatile asset classes thanks to tech companies. Fred Lane, Lane Generational of Raymond James Managing Partner, says there is an increasingly good return on investment in college education. Erin Browne, UBS Managing Director & Head of Asset Allocation, says we are back to a negative bond-stock correlation. Grant Woods, McCain's Former Chief of Staff, says the Senator stood for basic human rights.

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Surveillance Special: Fed Speak in Jackson Hole Aug 24, 2018

Show notes

We bring you a Bloomberg Surveillance Special from the Grand Tetons in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Michael McKee, Bloomberg News International Economics & Policy Correspondent, interviews three Fed Presidents at the annual Economic Symposium. James Bullard, St. Louis Fed President, says the Fed is very close to neutral rates. On the contrary, Loretta Mester, Cleveland Fed President, says gradual interest-rate increases should continue. Robert Kaplan, Dallas Fed President, agrees with Mester, he encourages the Fed 'to keep moving.' And we include final perspective from Frederic Mishkin, a former member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

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Surveillance: Fed's George Favors Two More Rate Hikes in 2018 Aug 23, 2018

Show notes

Michael McKee and Kathleen Hays, Bloomberg News Correspondents, are in Jackson Hole for the 2018 Economic Symposium. Hays speaks with Kansas City Fed President Esther George and McKee previews his upcoming interviews. Amo Mbatha, Bloomberg News Reporter, discusses South Africa's reaction to President Trump's tweet. Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Global Co-Head of FX Strategy, says the modern economy tends to downgrade the importance of land in income distribution. Francisco Blanch, Bank of America Merrill Lynch Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, thinks gold never responds well in environments of rising rates and a strong dollar. Nina Schick, Rasmussen Global Director of Data and Polling Company, and Richard Turnill, BlackRock Investment Institute Global Chief Investment Strategist, discuss U.S.-Russia relations.

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Surveillance: Earnings Move Stocks, Not Washington, Doll Says Aug 23, 2018

Show notes

Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg News Chief Washington Correspondent, and Kim Wallace, Eurasia Group Managing Director of the United States, join us to recap headlines from Paul Manafort and Michael Cohen's cases. Robert Ray, Former Whitewater Independent Counsel known for his work on the Monica Lewinsky Case, offers perspective on the path forward for Mr. Manafort and Mr. Cohen. Robert Doll, Nuveen Asset Management Portfolio Manager, has his eye on earnings. Diane Swonk, Grant Thornton Chief Economist, says U.S. housing numbers have been a disappointment. And David Rubenstein, Carlyle Group Co-Founder & Co-Chairman, says we're not yet seeing Washington noise in the stock market.

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Surveillance: Powell Is A Consensus Builder, Ryding Says Aug 21, 2018

Show notes

John Ryding, RDQ Economics Chief Economist & Founding Partner, says Jerome Powell is a consensus builder. John Coffee Jr., Columbia Law School Adolf A. Berle Professor of Law & Director of the Center on Corporate Governance, says a tweet cannot explain the complexities of Tesla's decisions. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor & Peter G. Peterson Chair, discusses the latest issue. And Amanda Sloat, Brookings Institution Robert Bosch Senior Fellow, says it would be disastrous if Turkey left NATO, however, she hasn't seen any indication that they'll do so.

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Surveillance: Dollar Is Overvalued About 10%, Vamvakidis Says Aug 20, 2018

Show notes

Thanos Vamvakidis, Bank of America Merrill Lynch International Head of G10 FX Strategy, thinks the dollar is overvalued by about 10%. Tim Quinlan, Wells Fargo Securities Senior Economist, says conversations at Jackson Hole may be more about the balance sheet than the Fed funds rate. Ken Simonson, NABE Survey Analyst & Associated General Contractors Chief Economist, reviews the NABE survey and notes that 91% of the respondents said tariffs are harmful to the economy. And Meenal Patel, JPMorgan Private Bank EMEA Head of FX, Commodities, and Rates, foresees a continuation of global growth.

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Still Vigor in the Global Economy, Crescenzi Says Aug 17, 2018

Show notes

Tony Crescenzi, PIMCO Market Strategist, says the U.S. economy is late cycle. Romaine Bostick, Bloomberg News Editor, discusses scaling back the frequency of quarterly reporting per President Trump's tweet. Jay Bryson, Wells Fargo Global Economist, thinks Turkey's crisis is more idiosyncratic than systemic. Ed Yardeni, Yardeni Research President, says earnings are coming in stronger than he expected. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Group Chief Research Officer, says JC Penney's search for a CEO is essential to the company's future.

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The U.S. Is Immune To EM To A Point, Konstam Says Aug 16, 2018

Show notes

Dominic Konstam, DB Securities Managing Director & Global Head of Rates Research, says the U.S. is immune to emerging markets to a point. Greg Parsons, Semper Capital Chief Executive Officer, says Special Counsel Robert Mueller is focused on getting to the truth. Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity Investments Director of Global Macro, says we're approaching late cycle but we're not there. And Elsa Lignos, RBC Capital Markets Global Head of FX Strategy, says Euro-Sterling looks fairly interesting. ------

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