Bloomberg Surveillance - Bloomberg

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Latest Episodes:

Surveillance: EM Story Isn't Overplayed, Santos Says Feb 15, 2019

Show notes

Gabriela Santos, JPM Asset Management Global Market Strategist, doesn't think the EM story is overplayed. Bipan Rai, CIBC Head of North American Foreign-Exchange Strategy, thinks the dollar is overvalued 12% to 15%. Isaac Boltansky, Compass Point Director of Policy Research, highlights that both China and the U.S. are incentivized to continue negotiations. Amaka Anku, Eurasia Group Practice Head of Africa, says no candidate in the Nigerian elections is tackling the problem of revenue generation.

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Surveillance Special: David Herro On Patience & Investment Feb 14, 2019

Show notes

David Herro, Harris Associates CIO of International Equities, highlights the importance of patience in investing, especially in periods like last year when certain sectors got highly devalued. He also discusses the merger of Deutsche Bank and Commerzbank and how he expects this to help European banks from a price perspective.

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Surveillance: Quite Muted Growth In 2019, Marangi Says Feb 14, 2019

Show notes

Chris Marangi, Gabelli Funds Co-Chief Investment Officer, says growth will be quite muted in 2019. Carolynn Look, Bloomberg Economy & ECB Reporter, says fundamentals are still strong in Europe. Matt Freund, Calamos Advisors Head of Fixed Income Strategies & Co-CIO, says it is not just one bond market but a market of bonds. Mona Mahajan, Allianz U.S. Investment Strategist, says the December pullback had to do with U.S. recession fears.

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Surveillance: U.S.-China, A New Cold War, Buiter Says Feb 13, 2019

Show notes

Willem Buiter, Citi Special Economic Adviser, says the trade relationship between the U.S. and China is part of a wider new Cold War. George Goncalves, Nomura Securities Managing Director & Head of Americas Fixed Income Strategy, thinks the bond market is nervous about a downturn. Laura Davison, Bloomberg Tax Reporter, says only Democrats in the North East are addressing the new limit on federal deductions for state and local tax payments. Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab Chief Investment Strategist, sees a greater risk of an earnings recession than an economic recession.

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Surveillance: Risks of Silly Leftism & Silly Rightism With Rose Feb 12, 2019

Show notes

Marilyn Watson, BlackRock Head of Global Fundamental Fixed Income Strategy, and Edmund Shing, BNP Paribas Global Head of Equity & Derivatives Strategy, discuss dollar strength. Bill Lee, Milken Institute Chief Economist, says economic dynamism lessens social problems. Gideon Rose, Foreign Affairs Magazine Editor, says social democracy is the price of avoiding socialism. Austan Goolsbee, University of Chicago's Booth School of Business Robert P. Gwinn Professor of Economics, reflects on U.S.-China relations.

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Surveillance: The U.S. Cannot Escape Global Slowdown, Mann Says Feb 11, 2019

Show notes

Angel Gurria, OECD Secretary General, says he is not predicting a recession. Catherine Mann, Citi Research Global Chief Economist, says even the U.S. cannot escape the global slowdown. Gary Shilling, A. Gary Shilling President, says strong economic growth brings income polarization. Miranda Carr, Haitong International China Macro Strategist, says nobody is expecting a final deal between the U.S. and China by March 1.

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Surveillance: Bond Guys Tend To Have It Right, Bailin Says Feb 08, 2019

Show notes

David Bailin, Citi Private Bank Global Head of Investments, says bond guys tend to have it right. Greg Valliere, Horizon Investments Chief Global Strategist, thinks the Republicans are less divided than the Democrats. David Stubbs, JPMorgan Global Market Strategist, says the U.S. economy will slow significantly in 2020. Margaret Brennan, Face the Nation Host, says President Trump remains very confident on his convictions despite being embattled.

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Surveillance: Nominee Malpass's Vision For The World Bank Feb 07, 2019

Show notes

Adam Posen, Peterson Institute for International Economics President, says the BOE's Monetary Policy Committee members have much more independence than the members of the FOMC. Danny Blanchflower, Dartmouth College Professor of Economics, says it is tough days to be a forecaster at the BOE's MPC. David Malpass, World Bank President Nominee, is optimistic that more progress can be made on extreme poverty. Gina Martin Adams, Bloomberg Intelligence Chief Equity Strategist, says fair value for the S&P is still a big higher than current levels.

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Surveillance Special: State Of The Union Address Feb 06, 2019

Show notes

Kevin Cirilli, Bloomberg News Chief Washington TV & Radio Correspondent, shares his takeaways from Pres. Trump's second State of the Union address. Rep. Chuck Fleischmann (R-Tennessee), says Trump is exceedingly popular in his district. James Stavridis, Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander & Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, discusses U.S. foreign policy under the current administration. Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives President & Founder, brings us an update on U.S. markets and the Fed. Cheryl Bolen, Bloomberg Government White House Reporter, says Stacey Abrams discussed many of the same themes as the SOTU in her Democratic response.

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Surveillance: Trump Has Remade The Republican Party, Haass Says Feb 05, 2019

Show notes

Gene Frieda, PIMCO Global Strategist, and Therese Raphael, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, discuss why markets don't price in the scenario of a no-Brexit. Richard Haass, Council on Foreign Relations President, says Trump has remade the Republican party. Brian Jacobsen, Wells Capital Management Chief Portfolio Strategist, says one of the cardinal rules of successful investment is diversification and patience. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, expects the spend line of Disney to ramp up, causing the share price to stumble.

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