Bloomberg Surveillance - Bloomberg

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Latest Episodes:

Surveillance: Watch China Loan Demand, Miller Says Jun 18, 2020

Show notes

Leland Miller, China Beige Book International CEO, says loan demand will be the absolute key thing to watch in China for the next three or four months. Kate Moore, BlackRock Head of Thematic Strategy for the Global Allocation Team, expects investors to ride the risk wave heading into the election cycle. Bob Crandall, Former American Airlines CEO, says it will be a long time before the airline industry sees as much business travel as they did pre-Covid-19.

Dr. Vivian Lee, Verily Life Sciences President of Health Platforms & Author of "The Long Fix: Solving America's Health Care Crisis with Strategies," says testing asymptomatic people will be a critical component in getting people back to work. Craig Gordon, Bloomberg Washington Bureau Chief, says the current national poll numbers between Joe Biden and President Trump will narrow towards the election.

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Surveillance: Fed's Virus Response With Warsh Jun 17, 2020

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Kevin Warsh, Former Federal Reserve Governor, says the Fed acted with overwhelming force to shelter the U.S. economy from Covid-19. Richard Haass, CFR President, says American alliances may not survive a two-term Trump presidency. Edward Morse, Citigroup Global Head of Commodity Research, says supply actions will continue to dominate the oil market. Julia Coronado, Macropolicy Perspectives Founder, says the Fed's forecast of 10% unemployment by year's end is not unreasonable. Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley Chief U.S. Equity Strategist, says the rate of change in equity markets will continue to be positive for the rest of the year. Barry Eichengreen, University of California Berkeley Professor, Barry Eichengreen, University of California Berkeley Professor, discuses “the political scar of epidemics."

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Surveillance: Jobs Recovery With Scalia Jun 16, 2020

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Eugene Scalia, U.S. Secretary of Labor, says we are making real headway on the employment picture. Mike Feroli, JPMorgan Chief U.S. Economist, says further stimulus would be insurance against a relapse into more economic weakness. Dr. Peter Hotez, Baylor College of Medicine Dean, says a widely distributed Covid-19 vaccine will not be ready by the end of this year. Kenneth Rogoff, Harvard University Public Policy and Economics Professor, says negative interest rates should absolutely still be on the table. Anne Richards, Fidelity International CEO, says dividend cuts by companies are not all permanent, but some will be.

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Surveillance: Retail In Reset Period, Sadove Says Jun 15, 2020

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+Steve Sadove, Former Saks CEO & Mastercard Senior Adviser, says retail is in a reset period and a lot of stores will go under. Alan Ruskin, Deutsche Bank Chief International Strategist, says the U.S. government has done a remarkable job in front-loading policy easing on both the fiscal and monetary sides. George Magnus, University of Oxford Research Associate, says the production side of China's economy is recovering well, but the demand side has not been. Stephen Gallo, BMO European Head of FX Strategy, says the medium-term growth outlook will be heavily shaped by the success or failure of government intervention.

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Surveillance: Recovery Bets With El-Erian Jun 12, 2020

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Mohamed El-Erian, Allianz Chief Economic Adviser & Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, sees a check mark-shaped recovery subject to a lot of volatility. Dean Curnutt, Macro Risk Advisors CEO, says a lower VIX index is part of the Fed's playbook. Jeremy Stein, Harvard Professor of Economics, says having a strong, capitalized banking sector will help economic recovery in the next year. Kathy Hochul, New York Lieutenant Governor, says New York's reopening has been going phenomenally well across the state.

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Surveillance: Virus Far From Over, Koh Says Jun 11, 2020

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Alessio De Longis, Invesco Investment Solutions Senior Portfolio Manager, says the surge in U.S. virus cases shows why reopening is such a delicate process. Howard Koh, Former Assistant HHS Secretary and Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health Professor, says Covid-19 is far from over and we need a unified approach to the pandemic going forward. George Bory, Wells Fargo Asset Management Head of Fixed Income Strategy, says we should expect a long, drawn out economic recovery with the potential of more shocks. Amy Liu, Brookings Institution Metropolitan Policy Program Vice President and Director, says the U.S. needs a stronger vision for world-class modern infrastructure.

Jameelah Robinson, M.S.

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Surveillance: Fed’s Response with Rajan (Podcast) Jun 10, 2020

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Raghuram Rajan, University of Chicago Booth School Professor & Former Reserve Bank of India Governor, says the Fed is doing a fantastic job cooperating with the government, but there has to be a reciprocal arrangement from the government side to respect the Fed's independence. Laurence Boone, OECD Chief Economist, says it will be very difficult to renew the type of economic growth that we had pre-pandemic without global cooperation. Priya Misra, TD Securities Head of Global Rates Strategy, says the market is trying to test the Fed to see how accommodating it will be. William Rudin, Rudin Management CEO, says New York City will be at the forefront of job creations and dealing with racial injustice issues.

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Surveillance: Bumpy Recovery For Europe (Podcast) Jun 09, 2020

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Robert Doll, Nuveen Asset Management Chief Equity Strategist, says it will take many quarters to find new economic ground. Olivier Blanchard, Peterson Institute for International Economics Senior Fellow, sees bumpy recovery ahead for Europe. Lakshman Achuthan, Economic Cycle Research Institute COO & Co-Founder, says even a partial recovery will lift the economy from its lows. Subadra Rajappa, Societe Generale Head of U.S. Rates Strategy, says the focus is on inflation and inflation expectations. Susan Lund, McKinsey Global Institute Partner, says the Covid-19 pandemic may worsen the wage gap in the United States.

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Surveillance: Mass Transit Recovery With MTA's Foye Jun 08, 2020

Show notes

Mike Swell, Goldman Sachs Asset Management Co-Head of Global Fixed Income Portfolio Management, the U.S. Economy needs to be repaired. Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Chief Oil Analyst, says supply is falling faster than demand in the oil sector. Daniel Morris, BNP Paribas Asset Management Senior Investment Strategist believes a second wave of Covid-19 is likely, with a lesser economic impact. Patrick Foye, MTA Chairman, says the MTA and every other transit agency will require federal aid to get through 2020.

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Surveillance: Shocking U.S. Jobs Report With Rosenberg Jun 05, 2020

Show notes

Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Portfolio Manager of the Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund, reacts to the unexpectedly positive jobs report. Tiffany Wilding, PIMCO U.S. Economist, says the labor department report does not really capture people who have been furloughed. Yelena Shulyatyeva, Bloomberg Senior U.S. Economist, says the May jobs data underestimate the wage gap. Dr. Andrew Pekosz, Johns Hopkins University Bloomberg School of Public Health Professor and Virologist, says multiple vaccine trials for Covid-19 are progressing to a second phase.

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