Bloomberg Surveillance - Bloomberg

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Latest Episodes:

Surveillance: Economic Recovery With Lavorgna May 19, 2021

Show notes

Joe Lavorgna, Natixis CIB Chief Economist of the Americas, says the economy may slow more than expected next year, but we are years away from a recession. Stephanie Wissink, Jefferies Equity Analyst, says the back-to-school retail season will be next signal of confidence that we are back into a cycle of normalcy. Michael Shaoul, Marketfield Asset Management CEO, says the global economy post pandemic is radically different to the global economy pre-pandemic, largely due to the changes in fiscal and monetary policy. David Rubenstein, Peer to Peer Host & Carlyle Group Co-Founder, discusses his conversation with Senator Tammy Duckworth, Democrat from Illinois.

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Surveillance: Consumer Strength With Sheets May 18, 2021

Show notes

Andrew Sheets, Morgan Stanley Chief Cross Asset Strategist, says pricing power matters more in the U.S. than elsewhere in the world. Mark McCormick, TD Securities Head of FX, says says fiscal spending could be more positive for Europe than for the U.S. Michael Nathanson & Craig Moffett, MoffettNathanson Founding Partners & Senior Research Analysts, say streaming may cause media companies to have a worse return on capital going forward. Eric Adams, New York City Mayoral Candidate, says tackling crime in New York City is a matter of prevention and intervention. Dr. Amesh Adalja, Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security Senior Scholar, says we should stop testing people who are fully vaccinated unless they show symptoms of Covid-19.

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Surveillance: AT&T & Discovery with MoffettNathanson May 17, 2021

Show notes

Craig Moffett & Michael Nathanson, MoffettNathanson Founders and Senior Research Analysts, discuss AT&T's plan to merge its media assets with Discovery to create a new entertainment company. Heather Boushey, Council of Economic Advisors Member, says the plan for families to get a monthly child tax credit will help the U.S. make progress on child poverty. Vince Reinhart, Mellon Chief Economist & Macro Strategist, says child poverty has only gotten worse since the start of the pandemic. Chetan Ahya, Morgan Stanley Chief Global Economist, expects a big pickup in the capex cycle.

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Surveillance: Fed’s Mester Says Policy in Good May 14, 2021

Show notes

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Loretta Mester says policy is in a good place right now.. Claudia Sahm, Jain Family Institute Senior Fellow & Former Federal Reserve Economist, says people will tolerate inflation at a moderate level as long as wages are rising. Michael Nathanson and Craig Moffett, MoffettNathanson Founding Partners & Senior Research Analysts, discuss the streaming wars as Disney reports a miss in streaming user growth. Dr. Gigi Gronvall, Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security Senior Scholar, discusses the CDC lifting mask guidance for vaccinated individuals.

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Surveillance: Structural Change With El-Erian May 13, 2021

Show notes

Mohamed El-Erian, Cambridge University Queens' College President and Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, says that it becomes very difficult for economists to forecast with any degree of accuracy when structural change is going on in an economy. Dennis Gartman, Retired Editor of The Gartman Letter & Chairman of the University of Akron Endowment Fund, explains why he has been very bearish on equities. James Sweeney, Credit Suisse Chief Economist, says higher inflation is not the end of the world. Julie Norman, University College London Professor in the Department of Political Science, details the complexity of the conflict between Israel and Hamas.

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Surveillance: U.S. CPI With Furman May 12, 2021

Show notes

Jason Furman, Harvard University Aetna Professor of Economic Policy, says some states should start rethinking unemployment insurance. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Chief Investment Strategist, says a little bit of inflation is positive for Main Steet. Thierry Wizman, Macquarie Capital Director of Global Currencies & Interest Rate Strategist, is not positive on iron. Steve Ricchiuto, Mizuho Securities Chief U.S. Economist, says the stimulus checks will help U.S. consumers get beyond inflation problems.

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Surveillance: Rate Expectations With Dudley May 11, 2021

Show notes

William Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist & Former New York Federal Reserve President, says rates will climb much higher than expected once the Fed does begin to hike. Jared Bernstein, Council of Economic Advisers Member, says having childcare in the infrastructure package is a high priority. Francisco Blanch, BofA Securities Head of Global Commodities & Derivatives Research, says copper could go as high 20K per ton if the supply of scarp doesn't make it into the market. Arvind Krishna, IBM Chairman & CEO, says AI will be infused into every enterprise and every process this century. Sarah Hunt, Alpine Woods Capital Investors Portfolio Manager, says tech still has a lot of pricing power.

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Surveillance: Pipeline Hack With Amrita Sen May 10, 2021

Show notes

Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Director of Research & Founder, says the warfare surrounding cyber attacks on companies has completely changed. Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group President, says the gap between rich and poor countries is being felt very differently since the pandemic hit. Jared Woodard, BofA Securities Head of Research Investment Committee, says 6-9 months from now things will probably be a lot more normal than we expect. Steve Sadove, Mastercard Senior Adviser & Former Saks CEO, says the consumer is coming back with a vengeance.

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Surveillance: Jobs Day Miss With Kashkari May 07, 2021

Show notes

Neel Kashkari, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis President, says Friday's jobs number miss validates the Fed's outcome-based policy approach. Marty Walsh, U.S. Labor Secretary, says the U.S. economy still has a steep hill to climb. Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Portfolio Manager of the Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund, says the longer-run trajectory for the U.S. economy is still in place despite the jobs number miss. Jerome Schneider, PIMCO Head of Short-Term Portfolio Management, short-term benchmark rates will likely remain low well into 2023.

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Surveillance: Pandemic Recovery With Stiglitz May 06, 2021

Show notes

Joseph Stiglitz, Nobel Prize Winning Economist & Columbia University Professor, says pandemic has exposed economic inequality in the U.S. David Blanchflower, Dartmouth Professor & Former Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee Member, says there is plenty of labor out there. Ash Alankar Janus Global Head of Asset Allocation & Risk Management details his proprietary research into a barbell approach to investing and, over the past 30 years, whether bonds actually have been a reliable hedge against stocks. Charles Kantor, Neuberger Berman Long Short Fund Senior Portfolio Manager, says the bond market will move well before the Fed does. Dr. Jennifer Nuzzo, Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security Senior Scholar, says there is an urgent need for vaccines globally.

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