Bloomberg Surveillance - Bloomberg

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Latest Episodes:

Surveillance: Inflation with Sen. Rounds (Podcast) May 19, 2022

Show notes

Sen. Mike Rounds, (R) South Dakota, says we must lower energy costs in order to address inflation. Lori Heinel, State Street Global Advisors CIO, thinks the Fed could avoid a recession if they move in the summer and then pause. Patrick Palfrey, Credit Suisse Co-Head of Quantitative Research & Senior Equity Strategist, says everything on the fundamental front still seems intact. Robert Hormats, Tiedemann Advisors Managing Director, discusses the importance of President Biden's visit to Asia.

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Surveillance: Inflation with Fed's Evans (Podcast) May 18, 2022

Show notes

Chicago Fed President Charles Evans, says he is extremely confident the Fed can bring down inflation. Anna Han, Wells Fargo Securities Equity Strategist, says it will be difficult for the Fed to achieve a soft landing but recession chances are still low. Joseph Feldman, Telsey Advisory Group Senior Managing Director, says Target's profit cut is "transitory." Kit Juckes, Societe General Chief FX Strategist, doesn't see how Europe avoids a recession. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, explains why he’s currently increasing his net long exposure and also his view on the NY Yankees.

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Surveillance: US Growth with Hatzius (Podcast) May 17, 2022

Show notes

Jan Hatzius, Goldman Sachs Chief Economist, discusses why his firm cut their US growth forecast. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Group CEO and Chief Research Officer, says digital sales are moderating and consumers are shifting back to brick-and-mortar. Scott Clemons, Chief Investment Strategist, Brown Brothers Harriman, says the market is too pessimistic about the risk of inflation. Winnie Cisar, Creditsights Global Head of Credit Strategy, says we're moving into the credit risk phase of the selloff.

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Surveillance: Kuleba Rules Out Cease-Fire (Podcast) May 16, 2022

Show notes

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba rules out offering Putin options for a cease-fire. Mark Esper, Former US Secretary of Defense, says the US needs to be careful about how it deals with China. Amanda Lynam, Goldman Sachs Senior Credit Strategist, sees triple-B firms as the sweet spot. William Lee, Milken Institute Chief Economist, says this is the fist time in the history of the Fed that it may be able to escape crushing the economy to bring inflation down to its target level. Christian Nolting, Deutsche Bank Private Bank Global CIO, says it's time to go back to neural on stocks.

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Surveillance: Inflation Expectations with Rajan (Podcast) May 13, 2022

Show notes

Raghuram Rajan, University of Chicago Booth School Professor & Former Reserve Bank of India Governor, says the market believes the Fed is serious about inflation. Angela Stent, Brookings Nonresident Senior Fellow & “Putin’s World” author, says Putin's army is over-extended. Barton Crockett, Rosenblatt Securities Tech Analyst, doesn't see Elon Musk backing down from the Twitter deal. Megan Greene, Harvard Kennedy School Senior Fellow & Kroll Institute Global Chief Economist, says a soft landing will be tough for the Fed to achieve. Mike Schumacher, Wells Fargo Head of Rates and Macro, says the market has to price in a lot more Fed tightening.

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Surveillance: Valuation with Mueller-Glissmann (Podcast) May 12, 2022

Show notes

Christian Mueller-Glissmann, Goldman Sachs Head of Portfolio Strategy, says markets are going through a valuation reset. Gabriela Santos, JPMorgan Global Market Strategist, is investing based on a soft landing from the Fed. Steve Ricchiuto, Mizuho Americas Chief US Economist, says we are in the final stage of what is going to be a significant bear market. Rep. French Hill, (R) Arkansas, says Jay Powell deserves a second term as Fed chair.

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Surveillance: Inflation Persistence with Dudley (Podcast) May 11, 2022

Show notes

Bill Dudley, Bloomberg Opinion Columnist, Bloomberg Economics Senior Advisor & Former New York Fed President, says the Fed hasn't been forceful enough in stating and achieving goal. Michael Darda, MKM Partners Chief Economist & Macro Strategist, says it is clear the Fed missed the boat on tightening. Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Chief Economist & Managing Director, says the only tool monetary policy has to bring the rate of price increases down is to cause a recession. Michael Nathanson, MoffettNathanson Founding Partner & Senior Research Analyst, wonders whether Disney needs to reassess their streaming strategy.

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Surveillance: Inflation with Rouse (Podcast) May 10, 2022

Show notes

Cecilia Rouse, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, discusses how the Biden administration is addressing inflation concerns for Americans. Nathan Sheets, Citi Global Chief Economist, says the Fed is setting the tone for other central banks. Lisa Shalett, Morgan Stanley Wealth Management Chief Investment Officer, says growth may slow much faster than many people believe. Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab Chief Fixed Income Strategist, explains why she likes municipal bonds and not high yield.

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Surveillance: Rate Hikes with Fed's Bostic (Podcast) May 09, 2022

Show notes

Raphael Bostic, Atlanta Fed President, says there is no need for a hike greater than 50 basis point. Wally Adeyemo, U.S. Deputy Secretary of the Treasury, says Russia's actions are a key contributor to energy and food price increases. George Saravelos, Deutsche Bank Global FX Research Head, says the market is too pessimistic on the euro. Ian Shepherdson, Pantheon Macroeconomics Chief Economist, says markets have been too aggressive on the speed of Fed hikes in the short-term. Cynthia Hooper, College of the Holy Cross Director of Russian and Eastern European Studies, discusses Vladimir Putin's Victory Day speech.

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Surveillance: U.S. Jobs Report with Walsh (Podcast) May 06, 2022

Show notes

Marty Walsh, U.S. Secretary of Labor, says 95% of pre-pandemic jobs have recovered. Jeffrey Rosenberg, BlackRock Portfolio Manager of the Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund, says to watch the trend in wage inflation. Neil Dutta, Renaissance Macro Head of Economics, doesn't expect anyone to be talking about a 75 basis-point hike anymore after today's jobs report. Mark Kimmitt, Retired Brigadier General & Former Assistant Secretary of State for Political-Military Affairs, says he would be surprised if the U.S. hadn't been providing intelligence support to Ukraine.

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