Bloomberg Surveillance - Bloomberg

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Latest Episodes:

Surveillance: Growth Outlook with Dutta Jan 17, 2023

Show notes

Neil Dutta, Renaissance Macro Research Head of US Economic Research, says we could see US GDP at 2% in 2023. Chris Harvey, Wells Fargo Securities Head of Equity Strategy, says the S&P 500 can reach 4,200 this year. Elsa Lignos, RBC Global Head of FX Strategy, expects the dollar to end the year 'a little bit stronger." Mike Wirth, Chevron CEO, says China's re-opening could provide a boost to oil prices.

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Surveillance: Big Bank Earnings Kick Off Jan 13, 2023

Show notes

Ken Leon, CFRA Equity Research Director, discusses major US banks reporting earnings. Lindsay Rosner, PGIM Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, says we had a 'black swan' style year with two major geopolitical events. Jordan Rochester, Nomura G-10 FX Strategist, discusses USD-JPY and the impact of Japan potentially reversing YCC. Katrina Dudley, Franklin Mutual Series Portfolio Manager, says we're seeing all the signs of a very mild recession.

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Surveillance: US Inflation Cools Again Jan 12, 2023

Show notes

Vincent Reinhart, Dreyfus and Mellon Chief Economist, discusses the Fed's path following US inflation cooling. Leland Miller, China Beige Book CEO, says we could see extremely high GDP growth in China next year. Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Chief Economist & Managing Director, says the Fed will keep hiking rates even though we will see inflation metrics coming down this year. Dana Telsey, Telsey Advisory Group CEO & Chief Research Officer, talks retail in the wake of CPI.

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Surveillance: Bull Market with Yardeni Jan 11, 2023

Show notes

Ed Yardeni, Yardeni Research President, Chief Investment Strategist & Founder, says "stocks are back in a bull market." Saira Malik, Nuveen Chief Investment Officer, explains why she is worried about equity earnings. David Malpass, The World Bank President, explains the factors behind their 2023 forecast cut. Rep. French Hill (R) Arkansas, says Kevin McCarthy was the only choice for Speaker of the House. David Rubenstein, "Peer to Peer with David Rubenstein" Host & Carlyle Group Co-Chairman and Co-Founder, discusses his interview with Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong. Doug Kass, Seabreeze Partners President, talks challenges outlined in his latest, ‘Surprises for 2023’ note.

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Surveillance: China Growth with Emanuel Jan 10, 2023

Show notes

Julian Emanuel, Evercore ISI Chief Equity & Quantitative Strategist, says the team expects 6.2% GDP growth in China this year. Max Kettner, HSBC Chief Multi-Asset Strategist, says that the drop in recession calls for Europe could continue over the next couple weeks. Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, says the Fed will raise rates higher. Olivier Blanchard, Peterson Institute for International Economics Senior Fellow & Author, "Fiscal Policy Under Low Interest Rates", says inflation is too high and we need to slow down the economy a bit.

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Surveillance: Labor Market with Richardson Jan 09, 2023

Show notes

Nela Richardson, ADP Chief Economist, says the US still has a strong and robust labor market, but it is at risk of higher wage pressure.Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets Head of US Equity Strategy, explains why she favors small caps right now. Mike Schumacher, Wells Fargo Global Head of Macro Strategy, says it's not yet time to signal an "all clear" for bonds. Jane Foley, Rabobank Head of FX Strategy, says it's a new world for euro-dollar.

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Surveillance: US Hiring Tops Forecasts Jan 06, 2023

Show notes

Marty Walsh, US Labor Secretary, discusses the December jobs data. Randy Kroszner, Former Fed Governor & University of Chicago Booth School Economics Professor, says this is the immaculate disinflation report. Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Portfolio Manager of the Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund, says we still have a strong labor market. Dan Ives, Wedbush Senior Equity Analyst, discusses tech's downturn.

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Surveillance: Soft Landings with Carpenter Jan 05, 2023

Show notes

Seth Carpenter, Morgan Stanley Global Chief Economist, says he's looking for a soft-ish landing from the Fed. Russ Koesterich, BlackRock Global Allocation Fund Portfolio Manager, says big tech is ridiculously profitable despite headwinds. Tom Forte, DA Davidson Senior Research Analyst, discusses Amazon's plan to cut more than 18,000 jobs. Wendy Schiller, Brown University Taubman Center for American Politics Policy Director, says the GOP appears to be in disarray after 20 Republicans voted against Kevin McCarthy's bid for House speaker.

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Surveillance: Earnings Recession with Wilson Jan 04, 2023

Show notes

Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley Chief US Equity Strategist, says a "nasty earnings recession" could be coming. Jordan Rochester, Nomura G-10 FX Strategist, says the euro can stay supported through January. Amrita Sen, Energy Aspects Director of Research, says China will need all energy products when it reopens. Greg Valliere, AGF Investments Chief US Policy Strategist, discusses the House of Representatives failing to elect a speaker.

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Surveillance: Eurasia's Top 2023 Risks Jan 03, 2023

Show notes

Ian Bremmer, Eurasia Group Founder & President, outlines Eurasia Group's top risks for 2023. Bill Dudley, Former New York Fed President, says if we have a recession, it will be a Fed-induced recession. Kevin Rudd, Former Australia Prime Minister, says China's covid u-turn raises questions. Carl Bildt, Former Prime Minster of Sweden, says Vladimir Putin is increasingly alone. Marietje Schaake, Former European Parliament Member, says control over technology is a political choice.

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