Bloomberg Surveillance - Bloomberg

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Surveillance: CS CEO Koerner Urges Patience Mar 14, 2023

Show notes

Ulrich Koerner, Credit Suisse CEO, said the bank had seen client inflows on Monday amid the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. Magnus Billing, Alecta CEO, says its $2.1 billion bet on three niche US banks was “a big failure.” Ethan Harris, BofA Securities Head of Global Economic Research, says we are experiencing a "stress event" in an otherwise "strong" financial system. Rep. French Hill, (R) Arkansas, says the banking system is safe & sound. David George, Baird Senior Research Analyst, says SVB was "essentially a levered PE fund."

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Surveillance: SVB Fallout with Michaud Mar 13, 2023

Show notes

Tom Michaud, KBW CEO, says we need a government support mechanism to make things orderly following SVB's collapse.Subadra Rajappa, Societe Generale Head of US Rates Strategy, says she wouldn't be surprised if we see another leg higher in yields if we start to price in more hikes. Michael J. Wolf, Activate Founder & CEO, says it was a "dark weekend" for startups and venture capital firms. Mayra Rodriguez Valladares, MRV Associates Managing Principal, says as soon as there is a problem with one bank, "fear is real."

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Surveillance: US Payrolls Top Estimates Mar 10, 2023

Show notes

Marty Walsh, US Labor Secretary, discusses the US February payrolls report. Randy Kroszner, University of Chicago Booth School Professor of Economics & Former Fed Governor, says the US labor market is still pretty hot. Jeff Rosenberg, BlackRock Portfolio Manager of the Systematic Multi-Strategy Fund, says financial conditions aren't tightening enough. Mike Mayo, Wells Fargo Senior Equity Analyst, discusses US banks amid SVB turmoil. Gerard Cassidy, RBC Capital Markets Head of US Bank Equity Strategy, says "this is not an '08,'09 or even a 1990 moment."

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Surveillance: Tight Labor with Richardson Mar 09, 2023

Show notes

Nela Richardson, ADP Chief Economist, says the labor market is still very tight. Andrew Sheets, Morgan Stanley Chief Cross-Asset Strategist, says we still need to be positioned for decelerating growth and weaker than expected earnings. Christian Mueller-Glissmann, Goldman Sachs Managing Director for Portfolio Strategy, says the global economy is accelerating. Henrietta Treyz, Veda Partners Managing Partner & Director of Economic Research, discusses Biden's budget proposal. Bill Browder, Hermitage Capital Management CEO, Global Magnitsky Justice Campaign Head & Author of "Freezing Order," discusses the war in Ukraine.

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Surveillance: Fed Distractions with Donald Mar 08, 2023

Show notes

Frances Donald, Manulife Investment Management Global Chief Economist & Strategist, says the focus on the Fed month-to-month can be distracting. Kelsey Berro, JPMorgan Asset Management Fixed Income Portfolio Manager, says "the risk of a hard landing does go up" if the Fed considers re-accelerating to 50 basis points. Alicia Levine, BNY Mellon Wealth Management Head of Equities & Capital Markets Advisory, says Powell is sticking to the Volcker playbook. Diane Swonk, KPMG Chief Economist, says it's important that Powell laid out how data dependent the Fed is.

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Surveillance: Tech Downside with Wilson Mar 07, 2023

Show notes

Mike Wilson, Morgan Stanley Chief US Equity Strategist and CIO, sees as much as 20% downside for tech, meme stocks. Dana Peterson, The Conference Board Chief Economist, says the Fed does not want to cause alarm. Iain Stealey, JPMorgan Asset Management International CIO for Fixed Income, says the ECB still has an inflation problem. Lupin Rahman, PIMCO Head of EM Sovereign Credit & Portfolio Manager, says EM is extremely diversified right now.

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Surveillance: Formula One Growth with Horner Mar 06, 2023

Show notes

Christian Horner, Red Bull Racing F1 Team Principal, discusses Formula One's growth in the US and Red Bull's win at the opening race in Bahrain. Jim Bianco, Bianco Research President, says the China reopening trade may be "overdone." David Lebovitz, JPMorgan Asset Management Global Market Strategist, says any possible US downturn won't be as severe as the recession of 2008. Ellen Wald, Atlantic Council Senior Fellow and "Saudi Inc." Author, says we're headed towards a period of tightness in the oil market.

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Surveillance: Bonds are Back, says Schneider Mar 03, 2023

Show notes

Jerome Schneider, PIMCO Head of Short Term Portfolio Management, says cash is back, bonds are back. Lindsey Piegza, Stifel Chief Economist, says we could see a 6% Fed funds rate. Kathryn Kaminski, AlphaSimplex Chief Research Strategist, expects a steepening of the curve if the stock market "wins." Thierry Wizman, Macquarie Global Interest Rates and Currencies Strategist, says Europe's economy is stronger than the US.

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Surveillance: Smart Fed Policy with Garvey Mar 02, 2023

Show notes

Padhraic Garvey, ING Financial Head of Global Debt & Rates, says the way the Fed is pursuing policy here is smart. Carl Riccadonna, BNP Paribas Markets 360 Chief US Economist, sees persistent inflation everywhere. Priya Misra, TD Securities Head of Global Rates Strategy, says the Fed is committed to 2% inflation. Dan Ives, Wedbush Senior Equity Analyst, discusses Tesla following investor day.

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Surveillance: Rising Prices with Weinberg Mar 01, 2023

Show notes

Carl Weinberg, High Frequency Economics Chief Economist, says we still have more price increases to go, but this is not the spiraling inflation of the 70s. Mona Mahajan, Edward Jones Senior Investment Strategist, says the trade into more cyclical parts of the market "probably happened too fast, too soon" this year. Mike Schumacher, Wells Fargo Global Head of Macro Strategy, says it's tough to fade the ECB, euro right now. Devin Ryan, JMP Securities Senior Research Analyst, discusses Goldman Sachs following investor day.

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