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On today's podcast:
1) President Trump says he's open to tariff cuts in return for phenomenal offers. President Trump indicated that more tariffs are on the way, specifically mentioning pharmaceuticals, and reiterated his willingness to offer tariff relief for China if Beijing approves the sale of TikTok's US operations.
2) Investors await a jobs report and a speech on the economy by Fed Chair Jay Powell. US hiring likely remained healthy last month with the unemployment rate holding steady at a historically low level of 4.1%.
3) Republicans consider a higher rate for millionaires in their sweeping tax cut bill. Senate Republicans unveiled a budget blueprint that would fast-track a renewal of President Donald Trump's tax cuts and an increase to the nation's borrowing limit.
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The “America First” trade is unraveling in the sweeping turmoil in global markets, with stocks acutely exposed to the US economy sinking alongside the dollar. As Wall Street’s rebellion against Donald Trump’s tariff war intensifies, traders are rushing into fixed-income havens.
About $2 trillion was erased from the S&P 500, with the gauge down about 5%. The Russell 2000 of smaller firms extended its plunge from a 2021 all-time high to 20% on speculation the president’s trade offensive will stunt the American economy. The greenback slid 1.5%, reigniting the debate about its haven reputation during challenging times as the euro, yen and Swiss franc surged. Oil joined a selloff in commodities.
All in, the much-vaunted America-first trade — buying up assets that win when the US outperforms the rest of the world — is reversing on concern that the steepest increase in American tariffs in a century will hammer economic growth.
That’s driving a fierce rally in global bonds, sending the yield on benchmark Treasuries briefly below the closely-watched 4% level. Most other yields also tumbled as money markets priced in a 50% chance of the Federal Reserve delivering four quarter-point rate reductions this year.
Trump has embraced tariffs as a tool to assert US power, revive manufacturing at home and extract geopolitical concessions. Economists say the near-term result of his measures will likely be higher US prices and slower growth, or perhaps even a recession.
Listen for comprehensive coverage of the U.S. market close on Bloomberg Television, Bloomberg Radio, and YouTube with Romaine Bostick, Alix Steel, Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec.
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On today's podcast:
1) President Donald Trump imposed the steepest American tariffs in a century as he steps up his campaign to reshape the global economy, sparking threats of retaliation and a selloff in markets around the world.
2) Donald Trump’s shake-up of the global trading system is hurting US assets more than those in many of the big economies he has just slapped with additional tariffs.
3) Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent urged US trading partners against taking retaliatory steps against President Donald Trump’s new set of retaliatory tariffs.
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On today's podcast:
1) Voters in Wisconsin push back on Elon Musk and Republicans in Florida fend off Democrats. Elon Musk-backed candidate, Brad Schimel, lost a Wisconsin judicial race despite Musk pouring millions into the campaign, with Susan Crawford winning 55% to 45%. Republicans held onto two House seats in Florida, winning about 57% of the vote in both districts, but with smaller margins than in the November general election.
2) The world waits as President Trump's tariff announcement comes down to the wire. President Trump's team is finalizing plans for reciprocal tariffs to be unveiled on Wednesday, with multiple proposals under consideration, including a tiered tariff system and a customized reciprocal plan. The tariffs are expected to take immediate effect, with countries able to negotiate to bring rates down, and could apply widely, even to countries with which the US doesn't have a trade imbalance.
3) The SALT tax deduction could get a boost in Republicans' massive tax bill. Republicans are drafting a tax bill that includes increasing the state and local tax deduction to up to $25,000 for an individual, a major victory for swing-district House Republicans.
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On today's podcast:
1) President Donald Trump will announce his reciprocal tariff push on Wednesday during an event in the White House Rose Garden, his top spokeswoman said.
2) President Donald Trump initially criticized Russian President Vladimir Putin, but then shifted his criticism to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy, accusing Ukraine of trying to renegotiate an economic deal with the US.
3) In a quarter marred by tariff uncertainty, US government spending cuts and the threat of recession, it is fears about a bubble brewing in artificial intelligence that have dealt the latest blow to the Nasdaq 100.
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On today's podcast:
1) President Trump says he plans to start his reciprocal tariff push with all countries. Trump's tariffs are set to be unveiled on April 2 and will aim to rebalance global trade and boost US manufacturing. The Trump administration has not yet outlined what tariffs are coming, how they'll be calculated, or what countries will need to do to secure exemptions.
2) The president threatens Russian oil penalties if Vladimir Putin refuses a ceasefire with Ukraine. Trump said he was "very angry" at Vladimir Putin and threatened "secondary tariffs" on buyers of Russian oil if Putin refuses a ceasefire with Ukraine. Trump also threatened to punish Tehran with unspecified "secondary tariffs" and raised the threat of bombing Iran until it signs a deal that renounces nuclear weapons.
3) Elon Musk says his role at DOGE is costing him a lot in terms of his job as CEO of Tesla. Musk's political activities have led to a 45% drop in Tesla shares since their peak last year, causing his personal wealth to decline by over $100 billion this year.
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Bloomberg Daybreak Weekend with Tom Busby takes a look at some of the stories we'll be tracking in the coming week.
• In the US – a preview of US March jobs and a look at the potential impact of auto tariffs.
• In the UK – an assessment of NATO's position amid growing global tensions.
• In Asia – a preview of the Reserve Bank of Australia's next rate decision.
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On today's podcast:
1) The US looks to control nearly all investment in Ukraine as President Trump pushes for ceasefire with Russia. the US is pushing for a deal that would give it control over major future infrastructure and mineral investments in Ukraine, potentially gaining a veto over any role for Kyiv's other allies.
2) Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth faces Signal questions on his first trip to Asia. President Donald Trump dismissed the disclosure of Houthi attack plans in a Signal chat as a “glitch” with no impact on national security. However, intelligence experts argue that the disclosure gave foreign adversaries priceless insight into US spycraft.
3) Elon Musk says he can slash a trillion dollars from the Federal budget before this summer. Musk believes his Department of Government Efficiency can find that level of cost savings within 130 days from the start of Trump's term.
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On today's podcast:
1) President Donald Trump signed a proclamation to implement a 25% tariff on auto imports and floated further duties on the EU and Canada, expanding a trade war and triggering threats of retaliation.
2) Donald Trump’s planned tariffs on auto imports will hurt carmakers around the world and push up prices for US consumers. Among the many losers, one winner stands out: Elon Musk’s Tesla Inc.
3) President Donald Trump and top allies struggled to fend off criticism over the inadvertent inclusion of a journalist in a Signal chat discussing military attacks in Yemen, after newly disclosed texts showed how Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth revealed specific operational details.
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