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The Bettor’s Box MLB Betting Podcast April 6, 2020 Apr 06, 2020

Show notes

On the Monday April 6 edition of BangTheBook Radio, host Adam Burke answered a listener question about WAR, the calculation of the statistic, and how it accounts for different positions. If you ever wanted to know how WAR works, this was a great introduction into one of the most encompassing statistics in the world of baseball today.
Adam then followed up on Thursday’s discussion regarding Cluster Luck to bring it down to an individual level and highlight some pitchers that either got lucky or unlucky with runners in scoring position relative to the league averages or their own numbers. We’re building comprehensive statistical profiles of a lot of pitchers so that we’ll be ready to go when the games get back underway.

The Bettor’s Box MLB Betting Podcast April 2, 2020 Apr 02, 2020

Show notes

On the Thursday April 2 edition of BangTheBook Radio, host Adam Burke talked about the concept of Cluster Luck. Performance with the bases empty and performance with runners in scoring position can really make or break a season and Adam wanted to use that concept to seek out some positive and negative regression candidates coming into the 2020 season, whenever that may be.
Adam had several compelling teams to discuss on today’s segment, including the New York Yankees, Texas Rangers, Philadelphia Phillies, Milwaukee Brewers, Tampa Bay Rays, and Cincinnati Reds because of their outcomes and why he is looking to buy or sell those teams.

Betting the Board with Brian Blessing - Horse Racing Betting Tips March 31, 2020 Mar 31, 2020

Show notes

Horse racing has become the flavor of the month with all other sports down for the count, but Brian Blessing has been betting horses every day for a very long time and we’re lucky to have his expertise on BangTheBook Radio. Host Adam Burke had Brian on the show to help with some more horse tips, including some tips on how to read the form.
The guys focused in on Race 8 at Tampa Bay Downs for Wednesday April 1, which you can follow along with at this link. Adam and Brian talked about some different elements of the race, going from dirt to turf, and what to look for in terms of the class and strength of past race fields.

The Bettor's Box MLB Betting Podcast March 30, 2020 Mar 30, 2020

Show notes

On the Monday March 30 edition of The Bettor’s Box, host Adam Burke tried to keep his regular show format as if we had games to discuss. He started with a look Beyond the Box Score to talk about first inning scoring and how to handle bullpens, including the thought process that goes into making a 1st 5 bet or a full-game wager.
He also talked about what to look for with regards to odds movement during the Down the Lines segment, with an interesting discussion on why the lines move the way that they do sometimes, especially with buyback in the other direction. The MLB betting market is a living thing for the most part and it shows through the line movement.

The Bettor’s Box MLB Betting Podcast March 26, 2020 Mar 26, 2020

Show notes

Is it selfish to be sad that today is not Opening Day? According to host Adam Burke, not at all. It’s just one part of the greater sadness that we are experiencing around the world. Adam had no script and no notes for today’s show, but he had some thoughts and just talked on today’s program. Baseball has given a lot to those of us that follow it in a variety of different ways and that was a key theme on today’s segment.
A normal segment will be back on Monday with more stats and sabermetrics and breakdowns, but it just didn’t seem right today.

Betting the Board with Brian Blessing - NFL Futures & Horse Racing March 24, 2020 Mar 24, 2020

Show notes

Host Adam Burke was joined by Brian Blessing, the host of Sportsbook Radio and Vegas Hockey Hotline, for this week’s Tuesday edition of BangTheBook Radio. Adam and Brian took a look at what’s been happening out in the NFL futures market with regards to free agency and trades, as we’ve seen a ton of player movement to this point.
Most of the show was dedicated to horse racing. As one of the only games in town during the coronavirus outbreak, Adam and Brian took a deep dive into horse racing, as they talked about how to read the program and past performances. They talked about what is important to look at with the program and how to tell if a horse looks to be on the rise or the decline.

The Bettor's Box MLB Betting Podcast March 23, 2020 Mar 23, 2020

Show notes

On today’s edition of The Bettor’s Box, host Adam Burke continued painting a comprehensive picture of how he breaks down starting pitchers, including a focus on some of the ones that we have already talked about. Today’s topic of discussion was about contact quality against. There are some important metrics, like exit velocity, Hard Hit%, and Barrel rates that are a big part of Adam’s handicapping and he explained the reasons why on this podcast.
Adam looked at extremes on the exit velocity sides both ways, talked about what constitutes a barreled ball and what makes them so bad, and mentioned additional names of pitchers that are on his “bet on” and “fade” lists for the upcoming 2020 baseball season.

The Bettor’s Box MLB Betting Podcast March 19, 2020 Mar 19, 2020

Show notes

After taking a look at ERA, FIP, and xFIP regression candidates on Monday, host Adam Burke peeled back another layer of the proverbial onion on Thursday to talk about LOB% and the positive and negative regression candidates with that stat. All of this works together to form the picture of a pitcher to buy or sell for the upcoming season.
Adam looked at the top 15 in LOB%, the bottom 15 in LOB%, and then talked about whether or not their numbers are sustainable or if those numbers are likely to move one way or another. Adam highlighted six negative regression guys and six positive regression guys during this segment.

NFL Free Agency & Futures Odds - Betting the Board with Brian Blessing March 17, 2020 Mar 17, 2020

Show notes

Brian Blessing was gracious enough to join host Adam Burke for a Tuesday edition of BangTheBook Radio. The guys spent the majority of their time looking at the NFL, with the free agent frenzy, the trades, the adjustments to the season win total market, and the interesting division races that have emerged through all the transactions. They discussed Tom Brady and Philip Rivers and the Stefon Diggs and DeAndre Hopkins trades and so much more.
They also took a few minutes to talk about some horse racing, with the Kentucky Derby pushed back to September 5 and how that could impact the Road to the Kentucky Derby and why the Travers Stakes could hold some serious importance this summer.

The Bettor’s Box MLB Betting Podcast March 16, 2020 Mar 16, 2020

Show notes

On the Monday March 16 edition of BangTheBook Radio, host Adam Burke recorded a new segment of The Bettor’s Box, our MLB betting podcast, to discuss pitchers to have on your radar as either positive or negative regression candidates going into the season, whenever that may be.
Adam looked through a list of pitchers that could have better fortunes and better seasons and those that could see some drop-offs from last year’s numbers. He also told listeners which types of pitchers to be looking for on the positive side to help with your betting preparations or your upcoming fantasy drafts.

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