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    Technology

    Astral Codex Ten Podcast

    The official audio version of Astral Codex Ten, with an archive of posts from Slate Star Codex. It’s just me reading Scott Alexander’s blog posts.

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    Latest Episodes:
    Contra The Social Model Of Disability Jul 17, 2023
    Show notes

    What is the Social Model Of Disability? I'll let its proponents describe it in their own words (emphases and line breaks mine)

    The Social Model Of Disability Explained (top Google result for the term):

    Individual limitations are not the cause of disability. Rather, it is society's failure to provide appropriate services and adequately ensure that the needs of disabled people are taken into account in societal organization.

    Disability rights group Scope:

    The model says that people are disabled by barriers in society, not by their impairment or difference.

    The American Psychological Association:

    It is [the] environment that creates the handicaps and barriers, not the disability.

    From this perspective, the way to address disability is to change the environment and society, rather than people with disabilities.

    Foundation For People With Learning Disabilities:

    The social model of disability proposes that what makes someone disabled is not their medical condition, but the attitudes and structures of society.

    University of California, San Francisco:

    Disabilities are restrictions imposed by society. Impairments are the effects of any given condition. The solution, according to this model, lies not in fixing the person, but in changing our society.

    Medical care, for example, should not focus on cures or treatments in order to rid our bodies of functional impairments. Instead, this care should focus on enhancing our daily function in society.

    The Social Model's main competitor is the Interactionist Model Of Disability, which says that disability is caused by an interaction of disease and society, and that it can be addressed by either treating the underlying condition or by adding social accommodations.

    In contrast to the Interactionist Model, the Social Model insists that disability is only due to society and not disease, and that it may only be addressed through social changes and not medical treatments.

    . . . this isn't how the Social Model gets taught in real classrooms. Instead, it's contrasted with "the Medical Model", a sort of Washington Generals of disability models which nobody will admit to believing. The Medical Model is "disability is only caused by disease , society never contributes in any way, and nobody should ever accommodate it at all . . . " Then the people describing it add ". . . and also, it says disabled people should be stigmatized, and not treated as real humans, and denied basic rights". Why does the first part imply the second? It doesn't matter, because "the Medical Model" was invented as a bogeyman to force people to run screaming into the outstretched arms of the Social Model.

    https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/contra-the-social-model-of-disability


    Why Match School And Student Rank? Jul 14, 2023
    Show notes

    Matt Yglesias' five-year old son asks: why do we send the top students to the best colleges? Why not send the weakest students to the best colleges, since they need the most help? This is one of those questions that's so naive it loops back and becomes interesting again.

    https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/why-match-school-and-student-rank


    Your Book Review: Secret Government Jul 13, 2023
    Show notes

    Finalist #8 in the Book Review Contest

    [This is one of the finalists in the 2023 book review contest, written by an ACX reader who will remain anonymous until after voting is done. I'll be posting about one of these a week for several months. When you've read them all, I'll ask you to vote for a favorite, so remember which ones you liked]

    There is widespread agreement among philosophers, political commentators, and the general public that transparency in government is an unalloyed good. Louis Brandeis famously articulates the common wisdom: "Publicity is justly commended as a remedy for social and industrial diseases. Sunlight is said to be the best of disinfectants; electric light the most efficient policeman" (page 1).

    Support for transparency is bipartisan. On his first day in office, Barack Obama said "My administration is committed to creating an unprecedented level of openness in Government." (page 1). On the Republican National Committee's website, one reads "Republicans believe that transparency is essential for good governance. Elected officials should be held accountable for their actions in Washington, D.C." (page 2)

    And so it is. Legislators' votes are published and stored in public online databases, their deliberations are televised, and their every action is extensively documented.

    https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-secret-government


    Links For July 2023 Jul 13, 2023
    Show notes

    [Remember, I haven't independently verified each link. On average, commenters will end up spotting evidence that around two or three of the links in each links post are wrong or misleading. I correct these as I see them, and will highlight important corrections later, but I can't guarantee I will have caught them all by the time you read this.]

    https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/links-for-july-2023


    Tales Of Takeover In CCF-World Jul 13, 2023
    Show notes

    Machine Alignment Monday, 7/3/2023

    Tom Davidson's Compute-Centric Framework report forecasts a continuous but fast AI takeoff, where people hand control of big parts of the economy to millions of near-human-level AI assistants .

    I mentioned earlier that the CCF report comes out of Open Philanthropy's school of futurism, which differs from the Yudkowsky school where a superintelligent AI quickly takes over. Open Philanthropy is less explicitly apocalyptic than Yudkowsky, but they have concerns of their own about the future of humanity.

    I talked some people involved with the CCF report about possible scenarios. Thanks especially to Daniel Kokotajlo of OpenAI for his contributions.

    https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/tales-of-takeover-in-ccf-world


    Your Book Review: Safe Enough? Jul 06, 2023
    Show notes

    [This is one of the finalists in the 2023 book review contest, written by an ACX reader who will remain anonymous until after voting is done. I'll be posting about one of these a week for several months. When you've read them all, I'll ask you to vote for a favorite, so remember which ones you liked]

    The date is June 9, 1985. The place is the Davis-Besse nuclear plant near Toledo, Ohio. It is just after 1:35 am, and the plant has a small malfunction: "As the assistant supervisor entered the control room, he saw that one of the main feedwater pumps had tripped offline." But instead of stabilizing, one safety system after another failed to engage.

    https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/your-book-review-safe-enough


    Is There An Illusion Of Moral Decline? Jul 06, 2023
    Show notes

    [Epistemic status: very uncertain about Part II; more convinced about Part III]

    I.

    This is the big question in the paper du jour, The Illusion Of Moral Decline, by Mastroianni and Gilbert (from here on: MG).

    It goes like this: people say that morality is declining. We know this because one million polls have asked people "do you think morality is declining?" and people always answer yes. MG go over these one million polls, do statistics to them, and find that people definitely think that morality is declining. People have thought this since at least 1949, when the first good polls were run - but realistically much longer.

    This could be (they say) either because morality is actually declining, or because of a bias. They argue that morality is not actually declining. In support, they marshal many polls asking questions like "Do you think most people are honest?" or "Do you think people treat you with respect?" and find that the answers mostly stay the same. Might this be because of definition creep - eg might people define "honest" relative to expectations, and expectations lower as morality declines? In order to rule this out, MG look at various objective questions that they think bear on morality, like "have you been mugged/assaulted recently?" or "have you donated blood in the past year?" They find that all of these have also stayed the same. Therefore, both people's subjective impressions of morality, and more objective proxies for social morality, have stayed the same. Therefore, morality is not actually declining. Therefore there must be a bias.

    https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/is-there-an-illusion-of-moral-decline


    Sure, Whatever, Let's Try Another Contra Caplan On Mental Illness Jul 02, 2023
    Show notes

    I.

    Bryan Caplan thinks he's debating me about mental illness. He's not. Sometimes he posts some thoughts he has been having about mental illness, with or without a sentence saying "this is part of my debate with Scott". Then I write a very long essay explaining why he is wrong. Then he ignores it, and has more thoughts, and again writes them up with "this is part of my debate with Scott". I would not describe this as debating. Call it unibating, or monobating, or another word ending in -bating which is less polite but as far as I can tell equally appropriate.

    Although he doesn't answer my rebuttals, he does diligently respond to various unrelated posts of mine, explaining why they must mean I am secretly admitting he was right all along. When I wrote about the scourge of witches stealing people's penises, Caplan spun it as me secretly admitting he was right all along about mental illness. Sometimes I feel like this has gone a bit too far - when I announced I had gotten married, Caplan spun it as me secretly admitting he was right all along about mental illness.

    Let it be known to all that I am never secretly admitting Bryan Caplan is right about mental illness. There is no further need to speculate that I am doing this. If you want to know my position vis-a-vis Bryan Caplan and mental illness, you are welcome to read my four thousand word essay on the subject, Contra Contra Contra Caplan On Psych. You will notice that the title clearly telegraphs that it is about Bryan Caplan and mental illness, and that (if you count up the contras) I am against him. If that ever changes, rest assured I will telegraph it in something titled equally clearly.

    https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/sure-whatever-lets-try-another-contra


    Every Flashing Element On Your Site Alienates And Enrages Users Jul 01, 2023
    Show notes

    Warning: This post might give vulnerable people new sensory sensitivities

    Everyone hates flashing banner ads, but maybe they're a necessary evil. Creators want money, advertisers demand a certain level of visibility for their ad buys, maybe sites are willing to eat the cost in user goodwill. Fine. But what's everyone else's excuse?

    https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/every-flashing-element-on-your-site


    "Through A Glass Darkly" In Asterisk Magazine Jul 01, 2023
    Show notes

    (Includes full article narration.)

    I have an article summarizing attempts to forecast AI progress, including a five year check-in on the predictions in Grace et al (2017). It's not here, it's at asteriskmag.com, a rationalist / effective altruist magazine: Through A Glass Darkly. This is their AI issue (it's not always so AI focused). https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/through-a-glass-darkly-in-asterisk


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