Arms Control Wonk

Latest Episodes:

A Pod of Dynamite Nov 15, 2025

Show notes

Jeffrey and Scott watched the new Kathryn Bigelow movie "House of Dynamite" and they both have opinions.

The crew talks through both the artistic choices as well as the wonky details. "House of Dynamite" is an interesting take on missile defense and decisionmaking that doesn't quite commit enough to any philosophical or strategic camp, but ultimately may be the lens through which a lot of non-wonks view or interact with missile defenses, conceptually, as we move towards a potential major expansion of US missile defenses.

We should do a watch party.

Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!

A Return to Nuclear Testing Nov 03, 2025

Show notes

Donald Trump directed "the Department of War to start testing our Nuclear Weapons on an equal basis" with other countries. The Department of War doesn't test nuclear weapons, the Department of Energy does all the time in lots of different ways. Some people worried this meant a return to explosive testing, others seemed to think it was about delivery systems. Subsequent statements by the Vice President and the Secretary of Defense didn't clarify things. Aaron and Jeffrey sit down to try to make some sense of it all.

Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!

Pentagon Blocks Ukraine Strikes Sep 03, 2025

Show notes

Alex Ward and others at the Wall Street Journal reported on the details of a Pentagon review process that has halted Ukraine's ability to conduct long-range strikes into Russia with ATACMs, Storm Shadow and other systems that need US targeting data. Jeffrey and Aaron talk about what we already knew, what we didn't, and what it all mean. Hint: Allies should stand up their own targeting capabilities.

Watch the video episode here!

Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!

Fly Burevestnik Fly! Aug 22, 2025

Show notes

The Slack channel noticed that Russia was gearing up to test the SSC-X-9 Skyfall nuclear-powered cruise missile (aka Burevestnik), which Jeffrey and co. confirmed with satellite images. Reuters picked it up, noting how awkward all this was coming, as it did, just as Putin flew to Alaska to meet with Donald Trump. Aaron and Jeffrey talk about the OSINT and the political implications.

Watch the video episode here!

Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!

Iran's Pathway to the Bomb Jul 13, 2025

Show notes

Aaron and Jeffrey finally deconflict their schedules to talk about the outcome of the Israeli-Iranian war, Iran's pathway back to the bomb, and why they're both irritated with the "fix it or nix it crowd."

Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!

Israel Strikes Iran Jun 13, 2025

Show notes

Aaron and Jeffrey sat down to discuss the latest new from Iran, where Israel has been launching strike on leadership, nuclear, and missile targets.

Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!

The Pahalgam Panic May 31, 2025

Show notes

In what seems like clockwork, India and Pakistan fought an "almost war" recently, prompting concerns about the risk of nuclear war. Aaron and Jeffrey sat down to talk about the crisis, the meaning of deterrence, and how it worked during this recent flare up.

Watch the video pod over on YouTube!

Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!

Don't Say JCPOA Apr 25, 2025

Show notes

The Trump administration appears to be willing to return to the JCPOA, so long as you do not call it the JCPOA. Aaron and Jeffrey sat down to discuss the latest back and forth with Iran and what's at stake with the return to nuclear negotiations.

Watch the video pod over on YouTube!

Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!

Brilliant Swarms Apr 12, 2025

Show notes

Aaron and Jeffrey sat down for their first video podcast to discuss the cost of Brilliant Swarm, the name du moment of Brilliant Pebbles, aka space based missile defense.

Watch the video pod over on YouTube!

Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!

Orbital Collisions Apr 06, 2025

Show notes

Aaron and Jeffrey sat down to discuss the latest news about anti-satellite warfare and why bumping and grinding in the cosmos is back en vogue.

Support us over at Patreon.com/acwpodcast!