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    Business

    Doug Casey’s Take

    Best-selling author, world-renowned speculator, and libertarian philosopher Doug Casey has garnered a well-earned reputation for his controversial insights into politics, economics, and investment markets.

    Doug literally wrote the book on profiting from periods of economic turmoil. *Crisis Investing* spent weeks as #1 on the New York Times bestseller list and became the best-selling financial book of 1980.

    He has been a featured guest on hundreds of radio and TV shows, including David Letterman, Merv Griffin, Charlie Rose, Phil Donahue, Regis Philbin, Maury Povich, NBC News, and CNN; has been the topic of numerous features in periodicals such as Time, Forbes, People, and the Washington Post; and is a regular keynote speaker.

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    Latest Episodes:
    The Collapse of Western Civilization Is Accelerating Oct 28, 2026
    Show notes

    Doug Casey joins Matt Smith from New Orleans to talk about the accelerating collapse of Western civilization. Doug says things have become so complex, top-heavy and corrupt that "there's a good chance we're actually gonna go over the precipice," and compares the moment to the collapse of the Bronze Age and the fall of Rome. They discuss the riots spreading across France and Europe, why inclusivity has replaced merit, and why Doug says we live in a fascist society, not a capitalist one. Doug walks through his list of what makes Western civilization unique, from free thought and free speech to property rights and the rule of law. Then the UK and Japan's 3-day emergency warnings, the leaked Pentagon plan for bases to run on their own for 90 days, how fragile the grid is, AI-found exploits, a possible Iran attack after the midterms, Brazil, and how to make your own household more resilient.

    Find us at https://crisisinvesting.com Ask Doug a question: https://crisisinvesting.com (click "Ask Doug") Doug is speaking at the New Orleans Investment Conference this week, Oct 28-31: https://neworleansconference.com/casey-2/

    00:00 Doug On The Road In New Orleans 03:10 Western Civilization Is Collapsing 07:05 Riots Across Europe 10:02 Guaranteed Annual Income 11:37 Two Prongs Of The French Riots 14:25 The '60s Protests Then And Now 16:43 We Live In A Fascist Society 17:59 Capitalism, Fascism, And Socialism 21:28 What Makes The West Unique 22:49 Western Civ Has Got To Go 24:14 Democrats Versus Republicans 29:46 Most People Want More Government 32:31 Nature Versus Nurture 35:17 You Will Own Nothing 36:09 Three-Day Warnings In The UK And Japan 36:54 The Pentagon's 90-Day Plan 37:50 Oil, Refineries, And The Grid 40:16 Will The Military Let You On Base? 42:25 AI And Grid Vulnerabilities 44:30 Soft Targets And People War 48:16 Is Brazil Next? 51:24 An Iran Attack After The Midterms 53:17 "What War?" 54:14 How To Prepare 56:21 Wrap Up


    Oil Is $136 on the Ground. Why Does Wall Street Say $95? Oct 16, 2026
    Show notes

    Doug Casey and Matt Smith on the gap between the flash and the bang. The war in the Middle East started February 28th, the Strait of Hormuz is choked, and Saudi Arabia and Yemen are now at war, yet most Americans still ask "What war?" Spot oil in the North Sea is $136 while the futures market says somewhere in the $90s. Why are markets disconnected from reality, and how long before the bang? Plus Saudi Arabia and MBS, Egypt, Israel fatigue, Indonesia's gas lines, AI and the new rust belt, the Fort Hood execution, and why Doug says "the shit will really have hit the fan" anytime between tomorrow and a couple of years from now.

    Find us at https://crisisinvesting.comAsk Doug a question: https://crisisinvesting.com (click "Ask Doug") See Doug at the New Orleans Investment Conference, Oct 28-31: https://neworleansconference.com/casey-2/

    00:00 Welcome And New Orleans 02:02 Worse Than The Worst Case 05:11 $136 Oil On The Ground 06:52 Markets You Can't Trust 10:36 Refineries And Fuel Shortages 13:03 Saudi Arabia Is Next 17:36 Egypt's Ticking Time Bomb 20:50 Israel Fatigue 26:04 Indonesia's Gas Lines 31:07 We Saw The Flash. Where's The Bang? 33:33 Rates, Bonds, And A Bifurcated America 36:09 AI And The New Rust Belt 39:37 Billionaires And Their Bodyguards 41:57 Kunstler And Agreeing To Disagree 44:37 Tankers In The Strait 47:36 Books: Vikings And The Mandibles 51:06 Overproduction Of Elites 52:33 Trump's $5,000 Video 54:09 The Fort Hood Execution 1:05:59 Press Secretary And Guilfoyle 1:09:23 Monica's Podcast 1:13:21 Wrap Up


    Kunstler: Half the Country Is Literally Insane Oct 14, 2026
    Show notes

    Novelist and essayist James Howard Kunstler (The Long Emergency, the World Made by Hand series) joins Doug Casey and Matt Smith. Kunstler expects prosecutions after the midterms, starting with John Brennan's grand jury appearance. He also says the US military won't let radicals take the levers of power, and that the country has slid from high trust to no trust. Doug and Kunstler clash over the Iran war. Also: Europe tottering, why US shale is more fragile than it looks, what Kunstler got wrong in The Long Emergency, Israel and Gaza, Ukraine and NATO, and the deep state.

    Kunstler's Substack: https://www.kunstler.com Find us at https://crisisinvesting.com New Orleans Investment Conference, Oct 28-31: https://neworleansconference.com/casey-2/

    00:00 Welcome James Howard Kunstler 01:08 Will Anyone Face Justice? 07:11 Brennan Before A Grand Jury 13:39 Bondi, Bongino, And Silence 18:42 Will The Military Step In? 22:35 Two Flavors Of Authoritarianism 26:14 Civil War And A Trump Bet 28:54 Europe Is Tottering 31:10 Iran, Oil, And Shale 37:31 Doug Pushes Back On Iran 41:43 Islam And Europe's Future 45:39 Invasion, Hochul, And New York 49:55 Where Are The Men Of Quality? 51:41 Trump The Paradox 55:44 Markets, Bonds, And The Carry Trade 1:01:11 Kunstler On Gold 1:02:58 The Long Emergency, 20 Years On 1:05:15 From High Trust To No Trust 1:07:59 Half The Country Is Insane 1:12:13 A Steak Of Justice 1:15:13 Is Trump An Authoritarian? 1:18:37 Israel, Gaza, And Tucker 1:24:39 The Iran Blockade 1:26:08 Ukraine And Leaving NATO 1:28:11 Brennan And The Deep State 1:31:54 Wrap Up


    Is This World War III? Oct 07, 2026
    Show notes

    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com After a brief hiatus, Doug and Matt discuss Trump's escalating rhetoric about Iran potentially nuking U.S. cities and argue the U.S. bears historical responsibility for the conflict, citing oil interests, the CIA-backed coup against Mossadegh, the Shah, and the 1979–1980 embassy crisis. Doug says Trump's actions have worsened the situation, advocates a public apology and possible indemnity to de-escalate, and predicts Trump will not complete his term due to impeachment, the 25th Amendment, assassination, or broader instability. They debate nuclear delivery realities, warn that antagonizing adversaries invites catastrophe, and frame current conflicts—Middle East shipping chokepoints, Houthi-Saudi fighting, and Russia-Ukraine maritime attacks—as kindling for World War III. They also cover French unrest, demographic and religious shifts, bond-market stress, a potential tech-bubble burst, and conclude by favoring energy and mining stocks. 00:00 Back From Hiatus 00:28 Trump Iran Nukes Talk 03:07 Why Iran Hates US 05:45 Apology Not Escalation 07:55 Trump Term Prediction 09:43 Nuclear Delivery Reality 14:33 World War Three Path 15:12 Saudi Yemen Flashpoint 20:15 Chokepoints And Shipping 26:05 Empire Bases Vulnerable 27:52 Elections And Dissidents 30:36 Islam And Instability 31:52 France Protests Breakdown 36:46 Bond Market To Collapse 39:43 Fourth Turning Theory 41:22 Worst President Forecast 43:05 Wrap Up And Investing


    Investing, Morality, and Drones Sep 18, 2026
    Show notes

    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com

    Doug and Matt discuss escalating Yemen-Houthi conflict impacts, including disruption of Saudi oil infrastructure and potential wider geopolitical fallout as oil supplies to Europe tighten and fuel prices rise. They pivot to U.S. policy and market fragility, criticizing short-term political decision-making (including possible diesel export bans), warning about deficits, rising rates, and a looming financial crisis, while outlining a defensive investment stance favoring gold, agriculture, and energy. They debate AI fear narratives as regulatory capture, question returns on massive AI capital spending, and consider state intervention if major firms fail, noting cheaper Chinese models undercut U.S. frontier labs. Viewer Q&A covers taking state money as a moral dilemma, risk management without stop-losses in illiquid resource stocks, prospects for conflict in Latin America vs. Africa/Middle East, evaluating moral character, Botswana's diamond dependence, legal system critiques, offshore vs. onshore precious-metals storage, private deal drawbacks, and future drone warfare shifting to swarms and eventually nanotechnology.

    00:00 News and Viewer Qs

    00:08 Houthis and Saudi Setback

    06:03 Oil Shock and Markets

    08:22 Diesel Export Ban Fallout

    10:02 Trade Threats and Politics

    13:25 Rates Debt and Bear Case

    15:15 AI Fear and Regulation

    18:35 China Models and Bubble Risk

    21:29 Taking Money from State

    24:52 Managing Trades Without Stops

    27:25 Wars Latin America Outlook

    28:14 Testing Character in Relationships

    34:19 Botswana and Diamond Risk

    35:59 Legal System as Slavery

    37:02 Battle Bank vs Offshore Vaults

    38:19 Private Deals Pros and Cons

    40:04 Drones Swarms and Nanobots

    44:11 Wrap Up and Italy Trip


    Lies, Chaos, and 9/11 Sep 11, 2026
    Show notes

    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com

    Doug speaking at New Orleans Investment Conference: https://neworleansconference.com/casey-2/

    Doug and Matt reflect on the 25th anniversary of 9/11, arguing the official narrative remains unconvincing, citing unresolved issues like Building 7 and the lack of thorough investigation, and linking this to widespread public distrust in government. They discuss escalating Middle East conflict, including Houthi territorial gains in Yemen, threats to shipping near Bab-el-Mandeb, attacks on Saudi infrastructure, and U.S. strikes on Iranian-linked tankers, while noting oil prices and market fragility amid potential rate hikes; Doug discloses he has shorted Nasdaq. They compare alleged state cover-ups to the Charlie Kirk assassination and other disputed events, then address viewer questions on AI-driven job losses, potential debt defaults, protecting oneself via assets and residency abroad, central bank gold moves (including Argentina shipping gold to London), meetups and conferences, precious-metal storage jurisdictions, and Doug's negative view of Nike as an investment.

    00:00 9/11 Anniversary Reflections

    02:08 Doubting the Official Story

    03:35 Building 7 and Media Oddities

    07:45 Middle East Escalation and Oil

    12:43 Charlie Kirk Conspiracy Questions

    15:34 Trust Collapse and State Power

    18:20 Trump 5K Proposal Fallout

    23:08 Renaming Hormuz and Narcissism

    25:27 AI Job Losses Market Impact

    27:27 UBI via Tax Credits

    28:57 Bribing Voters Warning

    30:19 Default Fallout Prep

    31:36 Hard vs Soft Default

    33:28 Escape Political Risk

    34:05 Central Banks Move Gold

    35:53 DC Meetups and Events

    39:13 Uruguay Free Zone Idea

    40:06 Argentina Gold to London

    44:25 Where to Store Metals

    46:42 Nike Stock and Woke Brands

    50:21 Weekend Sign Off


    AI Data Centers, a Stock Market Hyper-Bubble, and the Coming Love & War Robot Age Sep 09, 2026
    Show notes

    Matt and Doug discuss the rapid buildout of AI data centers, local backlash, and Doug's view that the frenzy reflects an unprecedented stock-market "hyper-bubble" led by major tech and AI firms. Doug argues most data-center capacity is used to surveil and influence citizens more than to "manipulate atoms" in the real world, making it a threat to personal freedom, and notes the trend runs counter to technology historically becoming smaller, cheaper, and more dispersed. They explore whether AI could become "alive" and indistinguishable from humans (via the Turing test idea), cite concerns from an Anthropic researcher about self-improving AI, and focus on innovation driven by "love and war," including robots, sex bots, and drone-heavy modern warfare, warning of major societal disruption regardless of outcomes.

    00:00 AI Data Center Backlash 01:28 Tech Bubble Warning 04:30 What Data Centers Do 05:21 Surveillance And Control 07:15 Tech Trends Reversed 09:13 Trillions And Centralization 12:00 Bubble Predictions Ahead 13:56 AI Becoming Alive 16:42 Overlords And Lab Fears 17:58 Love And War Robots 21:09 Drones And Autonomy 25:08 Society Upended Fast 31:00 Utopia Versus Dystopia 35:08 Milestones To Watch 37:02 Closing Thoughts


    Lindsay Clancy, Data Centers, And Another Falklands War Sep 04, 2026
    Show notes

    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com

    Doug and Matt discuss the Lindsay Clancy case, noting reports of an 11–1 jury split favoring a temporary-insanity outcome and debating punishment versus lifelong institutionalization, deterrence, and an anarcho-capitalist justice model focused on restitution rather than "debt to society." They react to a Gallup poll showing 89% of Americans believe government corruption is widespread and consider implications for institutional trust and social stability. Viewer questions cover backlash to AI data centers (noise, surveillance fears, and a potential trillion-dollar FOMO-driven bubble), hostility to flock cameras, Doug's limited debate history and dislike of formal debates, and the likely futility and escalation risks of "D-Day" secondary sanctions on Iran. They also discuss Roman emperors, war's societal effects and drone casualties in Ukraine, ETF versus individual mining-stock exposure, Argentina and the Falklands amid Milei's moves, race tensions, and a dismissed scenario of Argentina attacking Brazil.

    00:00 Case Overview

    02:35 Insanity Or Punishment

    03:52 Ancap Justice System

    07:43 Corruption Poll Shock

    10:50 AI Data Center Backlash

    16:28 Debate Team Memories

    19:31 Iran Sanctions Fallout

    27:14 Wine With Emperors

    29:19 Trump Personality Critique

    29:58 Wars And Male Casualties

    31:05 Drone Warfare In Ukraine

    32:02 Race And Western Decline

    33:28 ETFs Versus Stock Picks

    36:42 Falklands And Milei

    41:44 NATO And Demographics Debate

    44:07 China Brazil Corridor Fears

    49:25 Weekend Wrap And Signoff


    The Great Game with michael Yon Sep 03, 2026
    Show notes

    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com

    Find @michaelyon at https://substack.com/@michaelyon

    Michael Yon the "Great Game": Chokepoints, Hydraulic Warfare, and Where Conflict Spreads Next

    The host interviews Michael Yon from Japan as he prepares for his baby's imminent birth, briefly discussing Japanese traditions around the kiri (paulownia) tree, then shifts to geopolitics and Yon's view of a global "great game" centered on routes, resources, and information warfare. Yon says the Strait of Hormuz is effectively closed and argues conflicts are interconnected, predicting flashpoints including the Falklands/Malvinas involving Argentina, possible spillover into Brazil and Uruguay, and wider fighting affecting Europe and the North Sea. He emphasizes hydraulic warfare, describing how dams on the Nile (GERD in Ethiopia), Euphrates (Atatürk Dam), Tigris (Mosul Dam), and China's Three Gorges could be used for famine and destruction. He also discusses Tibet/Nepal flood events, chokepoints like Suez, Gibraltar/Ceuta, Bab-el-Mandeb, Panama, and Malacca, plus language, migration, intoxicants, music, demographic, and economic warfare.

    00:00 Morning Intro in Japan

    00:32 Baby Due Soon

    01:38 Kiri Tree Tradition

    04:16 Hormuz and Global War

    05:48 South Atlantic Flashpoints

    08:15 Nepal Disaster and Tibet

    13:24 Hydraulic Warfare Explained

    15:13 Egypt and the Nile Dams

    29:45 Turkey Iraq and China Dams

    34:28 Prayer Wheel Spycraft

    36:35 Local Flood Risks and Drought

    38:53 Ceuta Flashpoint

    39:32 Gibraltar Chokepoint History

    41:16 Phosphate Power Politics

    41:43 Global Chokepoints Strategy

    45:05 Florida And Brazil Predictions

    48:22 Ceuta Migrants As Weapon

    51:32 Language Warfare Morocco

    56:27 Books Burned And Forecasts

    59:17 Safe Havens And Zionism

    01:02:49 Cults And Empire Origins

    01:05:51 Warfare Taxonomy Explained

    01:12:36 Corporate Superstructure Wrap

    01:15:01 Closing Thanks And Anecdote


    Special Guest: Kolja Spöri Aug 28, 2026
    Show notes

    Find us at www.crisisinvesting.com

    Read Dr. Danger Zone by Kolja Spöri at https://www.amazon.com/dp/3903713023

    Doug and Matt interview elite traveler Kolja Spöri about his new book, Dr. Danger Zone, a collection of 25 highlight stories from a lifetime of travel to remote and dangerous places, paired with his on-the-ground conclusions that often contradict mainstream narratives. Kolja recounts driving Russia's northern ice roads in extreme cold, visiting conflict zones and politically sensitive regions, and seeking out famous "watering hole" hotels, including Haiti's Hotel Oloffson. The conversation shifts to his views on Turkey's development under Erdoğan, increasing surveillance and political repression in Western Europe—especially Germany—and his belief that Europe is being pushed toward a wider war with Russia while migration is used as a weapon against European civilization. They also discuss his Libya trip during the Arab Spring, his connections that enabled access to places like Chechnya, the FARC, and Mindanao, a rap song made about his life, and his Formula 1 sponsorship career.

    00:00 Meet Kolja Spöri

    01:09 Inside Dr Danger Zone

    04:33 Languages and Turkey

    07:48 Europe Turning Point

    10:24 War With Russia Fears

    15:10 Migration and Culture Clash

    21:32 Ice Road Adventure

    25:17 Haiti Hotel Legends

    27:41 Goma Danger Factors

    30:22 Entering Libya During Spring

    32:11 Armed Kids Reality

    32:51 Planning Warzone Access

    33:36 Libya Benghazi Insights

    35:16 Borders And Breakups

    36:40 Chechnya To FARC

    39:00 Mindanao And Militants

    41:20 Rap Tribute Breakdown

    45:31 Karabakh And Azerbaijan

    47:15 Formula One Backstory

    49:05 Next Chapter Reflections

    50:13 Book Plug And Farewell


    1 2 3 11 Next

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