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Survivor Podcast - NFL Week 2 Entry Sep 12, 2025

Show notes

Mackenzie Rivers and Dane Rivera talk NFL Survivor for Week 2.

NFL Week 2 Survivor Picks Recap

Mackenzie Rivers (0:14–1:30) opened celebrating Week 1: “Favorites go 12 and four… our selections go three and oh.” He outlined their pool strategies, from consensus picks to sharp alternatives.

Dan Rivera (1:30–2:53) avoided heavy betting, warning the Chiefs “might just be average… until they get this wide receiver situation figured out.”

Rivers (2:53–7:06) noted scoring dipped because of pace: “10 drives per game would be the lowest since 2002.” He pushed the Ravens, citing a 29–5 straight-up trend for teams rebounding from blown leads.

Rivera (7:06–10:48) backed multiple Ravens entries but recalled Buffalo’s shocking 2021 upset as a turnover caution.

Both (10:48–18:10) debated Arizona. Rivera doubted Kyler Murray’s consistency, but Rivers cited Carolina’s weak defense and Bryce Young’s struggles.

Rivera (18:11–21:50) floated Detroit but questioned Caleb Williams’ NFL readiness. Rivers hesitated: “The Lions just don’t have the muscle memory of being a good team.”

On Buffalo (22:59–28:15) Rivera labeled them “buyer beware,” warning of a Jets upset.

Dallas & Rams (28:16–37:46) split opinions: Rivera leaned pass, while Rivers praised Dallas’ efficiency. Both agreed the Rams are risky but usable now.

Closing (37:46–43:37): Consensus formed: load heavily on Baltimore, sprinkle one on Arizona, and take a contrarian shot with Denver. “Our official official consensus pick is the Baltimore Ravens.”

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NFL Contest Pod - Week 2 Picks !! Sep 11, 2025

Show notes

Munaf Manji, Mackenzie Rives and Dave Essler talk NFL contest picks for week 2. He argues the Jets “could have won” and notes Buffalo’s heavy workload (78 offensive plays). With division games historically close, he sees value in the Jets.

Munaf (12:06 – 13:24) – Agrees, adding Justin Fields’ dual-threat potential and Breece Hall’s role against Buffalo’s shaky run defense. He stresses line shopping, noting DraftKings had Jets +7.

McKenzie (13:24 – 15:24) – Supports Jets further, highlighting success rate: Jets ranked third-best in Week 1. He warns of historical ATS struggles for teams after miracle comebacks like Buffalo’s.

Consensus Pick – All three lock in the Jets.

McKenzie Rivers (15:51 – 17:30) – Takes the Chargers -3.5 vs. Raiders, praising Justin Herbert’s breakout game and offensive dominance. He dismisses concerns about travel from Brazil, saying rest days and comfort offset it.

Munaf (17:31 – 18:52) – Agrees, even bought Herbert MVP futures. He views Raiders as vulnerable after travel from Foxborough.

Dave (19:11 – 20:20) – Adds Chargers dominated Raiders last year, credits their underrated defense, and believes they can win the AFC West.

Munaf Manji (20:21 – 23:22) – Picks the Cowboys -6 vs. Giants, citing Dak Prescott’s history:

22-5 straight up vs. division opponents at home since 2016.

20-7 ATS (74.1%).

8-1 straight up vs. Giants at home, winning by 15.4 points on average.

He doubts Russell Wilson can lead the Giants’ offense, predicting Dallas rebounds strong.

Dave (23:22 – 24:49) – Fully agrees, pointing out the Giants’ defense allowed 220 rushing yards and committed penalties that masked their weakness.

McKenzie (24:51 – 26:52) – Notes Dak was PFF’s second-best QB in Week 1. Dallas showed top-10 offensive success despite losing to Philadelphia. He supports Cowboys strongly.

Survivor Picks (30:04 – 34:58)

Dave – Chooses Steelers, betting against Sam Darnold’s inconsistency and praising Pittsburgh’s home-field edge.

Munaf – Chooses Chargers, preferring their divisional setup and momentum.

McKenzie – Keeps his pick for a separate Survivor pod but warns Week 2 will bring “carnage.”

Closing (35:36 – 38:44)

The trio agree the Jets are their collective best bet for Week 2. Dave closes with thoughts on fading Carolina, noting Bryce Young’s struggles and a porous Panthers run defense that allowed Jacksonville 200 rushing yards. Munaf echoes that Arizona may exploit Carolina’s weakness with James Conner, Trey Benson, or Kyler Murray.

Munaf wraps the show by thanking his co-hosts, reminding listeners of Pregame.com promotions, and urging them to enjoy the fast-moving NFL season.

✅ Final Consensus Best Bet: New York Jets +6.5 (with value at +7).

✅ Additional Contest Picks: Chargers -3.5, Cowboys -6.

✅ Survivor Selections: Steelers (Dave), Chargers (Munaf).

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BMW PGA Championship and Procore Championship Picks Sep 10, 2025

Show notes

Will Doctor gives you the sharpest cards for the BMW PGA and Procore Championship. BMW PGA Championship and Procore Championship Picks

Will Doctor (0:16 – 0:29)

Will Doctor welcomed listeners to the Golf Preview Podcast on Pre-Games Network, promising sharp betting insights for the week’s events.

Will Doctor (0:38 – 41:38)

He covered three tournaments: the BMW PGA Championship at Wentworth, the Procore Championship in Napa, and the Korn Ferry Playoffs. While focusing on the first two, he noted Rory McIlroy’s Irish Open win: “Rory won at the K Club… in a three-hole playoff.” Doctor regretted missing the chance to back him, stressing Rory has five wins in his last 25 starts.

He compared betting returns, noting: “If you bet $100 on Sheffler every tournament this year, you only made $180.” Surprisingly, Brian Campbell was more profitable despite fewer wins, showing how odds shape outcomes.

His Irish Open card was “a total nightmare” as Shane Lowry’s elite ball striking was undone by poor putting, while Andy Sullivan and Rasmus Højgaard also disappointed. Despite setbacks, his season record remained +16.9 units.

Wentworth Breakdown

The course is 7,300 yards, tree-lined, with small greens. Doctor emphasized accuracy, elite approach shots, and strong short game: “I will not have one player on this card who is a below average chipper.”

BMW PGA Picks

Rory McIlroy (+650): Recent driving accuracy and hot putting make him “unbeatable.” Strong history at Wentworth, including a win and multiple runner-ups.

Jon Rahm (+750): Consistent podium finishes at Wentworth, though driving accuracy is a concern. Backed for top five (+160).

Tommy Fleetwood (10-1): Riding momentum after first PGA Tour win. Doctor chose him for top 10 (-110).

Others: Ludvig Åberg (22-1) considered overpriced; Matt Fitzpatrick (22-1) solid but unproven here; Viktor Hovland (22-1) dangerous but better as a live bet.

Additional Plays:

Matteo Manassero: Top Italian (+175).

Oliver Lindell: Top 20 (+275), praised for form despite no recent wins.

Outrights: Rory McIlroy (+650) and Ángel Ayora (100-1), the latter a young Spaniard with elite driving and emerging results.

Sleeper: Ayora top 20 (+275).

First Round: Ayora over Schneider & Juan Co (-110).

Procore Championship Picks

Scottie Scheffler (+260): Primary outright pick; no Rory, Rahm, or Fleetwood in field boosts his chances.

Maverick McNeely (30-1): Outright and top 20 (+105), strong local history including 2022 runner-up.

Sleeper: Sami Välimäki top 20 (+300), praised for accuracy and iron play.

Matchup: Davis Thompson over Max Gracerman (-120).

Best Bet: Patrick Cantlay top 10 (+150), citing improved putting under Phil Kenyon and strong playoff form.

Closing

Doctor ended by pointing ahead to coverage of the French Open and Nationwide Children’s Hospital Championship, with additional updates promised on X (@DRMedia59).

Takeaways

Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm are central BMW PGA contenders, while Ángel Ayora offers sleeper upside. In Napa, Scottie Scheffler dominates the board, with McNeely and Cantlay positioned as strong alternatives. For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59

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MLB Wednesday Preview + Best Bets !! Sep 10, 2025

Show notes

Munaf Manji and Griffin Warner talk MLB betting for Wednesday. Munaf added that Sanchez had struggled against the Mets, allowing six earned runs in their most recent matchup. Despite bullpen issues, he leaned Mets money line at +145.

Griffin Warner (27:58 – 29:11)

On Tigers vs. Yankees, Griffin doubted Jack Flaherty, calling him prone to multi-run homers. He worried about Rodon’s stamina but acknowledged New York’s motivation.

Munaf Manji (29:12 – 33:05)

Munaf highlighted Rodon’s stellar season: 16-7, 3.12 ERA, 180 strikeouts, and strong home splits (9-3 with a 2.86 ERA at Yankee Stadium). He recommended Yankees first-five run line.

Griffin Warner (33:06 – 34:48)

Turning to Reds vs. Padres, Griffin praised Nick Pivetta but noted Cincinnati’s struggles with Abbott. He leaned toward the under at 7.5.

Munaf Manji (34:49 – 36:38)

Munaf confirmed Abbott’s poor form but mentioned his prior dominance against San Diego (0.92 ERA). He leaned Reds at +147 but strongest angle was under 7.5.

Griffin Warner (36:39 – 38:33)

On Cardinals vs. Mariners, Griffin distrusted St. Louis’ bullpen but leaned under 7.5 due to Seattle’s inconsistency.

Munaf Manji (38:34 – 40:25)

Munaf praised Gilbert’s recent 13-strikeout outing but noted Seattle’s poor run support. He leaned under as well, avoiding the heavy -220 money line.

Griffin Warner (40:26 – 41:16)

For Rockies vs. Dodgers, Griffin dismissed Colorado’s chances despite their brief no-hit bid. He labeled the Dodgers flawed but said Colorado couldn’t capitalize.

Munaf Manji (41:16 – 43:16)

Munaf suggested Rockies team total under or full-game under 8.5, pointing out regression risk for Kyle Freeland despite his recent shutout.

Griffin Warner (43:39 – 44:37)

For his best bet, Griffin chose Pirates-Orioles under 7.5, banking on Skeen’s dominance and limited Baltimore bats.

Munaf Manji (44:37 – 46:22)

Munaf’s best bet was Brewers-Rangers under 7.5, citing Peralta’s 28 scoreless innings and Globe Life’s 63.9% season-long under trend.

Closing (46:23 – 47:14)

Both hosts reminded listeners of the Pregame promo code HIT99, offering discounted packages, and wrapped up the show.

Final Word: The Wednesday card preview was dominated by pitching matchups, regression angles, and bullpen vulnerabilities. Both hosts ultimately aligned on unders as their strongest plays—Pirates/Orioles and Brewers/Rangers—reflecting confidence in elite arms and scoring suppression trends.

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NFL Waiver Wire Moves for NFL Week 2 Sep 09, 2025

Show notes

Rod Villagomez and Munaf Manji talk NFL waiver wire moves.

NFL Week 2 Waiver Wire Highlights

Rod Villagomez (0:06 – 0:49) opened with Week 1’s excitement, calling Josh Allen “a dangerous man” after a monster fantasy outing.

Munaf Manji (0:50 – 2:26) noted sluggish early games but praised Sunday night football. He reminded that survivor pools had low Week 1 eliminations compared to prior years.

Rod (2:26 – 3:47) stressed the need to hit waivers early, sharing Allen gave him 50 fantasy points yet he still lost.

Munaf (3:48 – 5:03) highlighted injuries: George Kittle, Drake London, Evan Engram, Brock Bowers. He spotlighted Dylan Sampson (CLE): weak rushing (12 for 29) but stellar receiving (8 catches, 64 yards, 43% snaps).

Rod (5:04 – 6:23) added Bijan Robinson picked up London’s slack as a pass-catcher, while Jake Tonja could fill in for Kittle.

Munaf (6:24 – 8:13) praised CLE’s defense holding Burrow to 113 yds and Chase to 26, while Sampson looked like a waiver gem.

Rod (8:14 – 10:52) hyped Daniel Jones (IND): 22/29, 272 yds, 1 TD, just 5% rostered.

Munaf (10:53 – 13:16) added Jones’ 2 rushing TDs, 87.6 QBR, noting he scored on every drive.

Rod & Munaf (13:17 – 19:38) warned on Tua (7.3 pts), Darnold (5.4), Dak (7.8) and blasted Russell Wilson’s 25.6 QBR, saying Jackson Dart could replace him soon.

Chargers (19:39 – 24:06): Quentin Johnston exploded with 5 catches, 79 yds, 2 TDs; still only 9% rostered Yahoo. Keenan Allen also strong (7 for 68, 1 TD).

Chiefs (26:10 – 28:36): With Xavier Worthy hurt, Hollywood Brown drew 16 targets, 10 for 99; JuJu added 5 for 55.

Patriots (30:18 – 34:44): Kayshon Boutte shined (6 for 103) and is 1% rostered.

Tight Ends (34:45 – 41:52): Juwan Johnson (NO) led TEs with 8 for 76 on 11 targets, rostered in just 2%.

Steelers (41:47 – 47:40): Aaron Rodgers torched his old Jets with 244 yds, 4 TDs; 7th-best QB of Week 1. Available in most leagues. Justin Fields added 218 pass yds + 2 rushing TDs.

Rod (47:41 – 48:34) closed urging proactive waiver moves and flagged Pregame’s Kickoff25 promo.

✅ Top Adds: Dylan Sampson, Daniel Jones, Quentin Johnston, Hollywood Brown, Kayshon Boutte, Juwan Johnson, Aaron Rodgers.

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SOVam Weekend Rewind - NFL Week 1 + MNF Preview Sep 08, 2025

Show notes

Munaf Manji and Mackenzie Rivers talk NFL Week 1 Recap and much more.

Munaf Manji (0:17 – 0:59)

Munaf introduced the season’s first weekend recap, joined by Mackenzie Rivers to break down Sunday’s action and preview Monday Night Football.

Mackenzie pointed out Baltimore’s recurring late-game collapses: “This is the 10th 10-point lead in the Lamar Jackson, John Harbaugh era where it didn’t go as planned with the fourth quarter loss.” Despite strong stats, the Ravens again fell short.

Munaf described how a 15-point lead vanished after Derrick Henry’s fumble. Baltimore punted on 4th-and-2, allowing Josh Allen to hit Keon Coleman for the decisive score. Jair Alexander’s tackle instead of letting a TD sealed their fate.

Mackenzie noted that decision flipped the odds: “As soon as he tackled him, the live line is minus 3,000 Bills.”

Ravens scored 40 but defense failed again.
Lamar Jackson: 14/19, 209 yards, 2 TDs, 0 INTs.
Derrick Henry: 18 carries, 169 yards, 2 TDs.
Zay Flowers: 7 catches, 143 yards, 1 TD.
Josh Allen: 394 total yards, 4 TDs, pushing his MVP odds to +350.

Favorites went 11-1 Sunday; unders dominated. Mackenzie used line shifts to grade upgrades: Jaguars, Chargers, Raiders, and Packers. Munaf praised Justin Herbert’s performance, Travis Etienne’s 143 rushing yards, and Green Bay’s defensive dominance.

Teams falling:

Miami — Daniel Jones looked like “Peyton Jones,” posting 272 yards, 3 total TDs vs. their broken defense.
Chiefs — WR injuries (Xavier Worthy, Rashee Rice suspended) leave them thin.
Giants & Panthers also slipped.
Bengals downgraded slightly after Joe Burrow’s 113-yard outing; Chase (26 yards) and Higgins (33) were quiet.

Jaguars vs. Bengals line movement suggests value on Jacksonville.
Bills heavy favorites vs. Jets.
49ers injuries: George Kittle (hamstring), Jauan Jennings (shoulder). Christian McCaffrey still posted 130 yards. Brock Purdy showed poise despite 2 INTs.

Bears: New coach Ben Johnson looks to revive Chicago.
Vikings: Rookie J.J. McCarthy makes his first start with Jefferson returning and Thielen rejoining.
Mackenzie leaned to the under, citing Brian Flores’ exotic blitz packages.
Munaf backed the Bears +1.5, doubting McCarthy’s readiness.

Player Props:

Munaf: Aaron Jones over 18.5 receiving yards, with nine straight games clearing that vs. Chicago.
Mackenzie: J.J. McCarthy under passing yards, expecting a conservative plan.

The hosts promoted Pregame.com with promo code “WINNING25,” praised their debut recap, and noted both started 3-0 in Survivor contests. They promised weekly updates with upgrades, downgrades, betting edges, and contest talk.

✅ Key Themes:

Ravens’ defense undermines elite offensive stats.
Week 1 unders and favorites dominate.
Chargers, Jaguars, Raiders, Packers upgraded; Dolphins, Chiefs, Bengals downgraded.
Betting value: Jaguars vs. Bengals, Bears vs. Vikings under.
Player props spotlight Aaron Jones and J.J. McCarthy.

Mackenzie Rivers (1:00 – 2:26)Munaf Manji (2:27 – 4:02)Mackenzie Rivers (4:02 – 4:46)Key Stats & Takeaways (5:05 – 7:43)League Trends & Upgrades (7:43 – 12:59)Downgrades (14:09 – 20:29)Betting & Injuries (20:30 – 25:08)MNF Preview – Bears vs. Vikings (25:11 – 35:32)Closing (36:05 – 40:17)

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NFL Fantasy Football - Week 1 Player Options Sep 06, 2025

Show notes

Rod Villagomez and Munaf Manji talk NFL fantasy football for week 1

Week one of the NFL season is here, and fantasy football owners are facing those familiar flex spot dilemmas that often decide championships. Rod Villagomez and Munaf Manji dive deep into the most pressing start-sit questions, breaking down wide receiver matchups, running back depth charts, and how injuries shape early lineups .

The discussion opens with Cooper Kupp’s sharp decline and Ricky Pearsall’s rise as San Francisco’s surprise weapon. With Brandon Aiyuk banged up and Deebo Samuel absent, Purdy’s chemistry with Pearsall makes him the stronger play, especially compared to Kupp adapting to a new offense in Seattle. Munaf reinforces the point, stressing that Pearsall’s end-of-season surge and target share translate into legitimate WR2 or flex value. The pair even rank Pearsall above Calvin Ridley in week one, given Ridley’s tough matchup against Denver’s shutdown corner Patrick Surtain .

The show then pivots to DJ Moore versus DK Metcalf. Moore’s chemistry with Caleb Williams and strong history against Minnesota stand out, but the allure of Aaron Rodgers throwing deep to Metcalf lingers. Ultimately, both agree that Moore offers the safer floor, while Metcalf is a gamble for owners already trailing after Thursday night. That tension between security and upside is exactly what makes these early-season choices agonizing .

Next, they spotlight Mika Yubikei, Tampa Bay’s rookie wideout, thrust into action with Chris Godwin sidelined. With Mike Evans drawing top coverage, Yubikei could quietly pile up targets against Atlanta, especially if Baker Mayfield is forced into a shootout. Both Rod and Munaf lean toward starting him, seeing opportunity in volume and game script .

Running back depth is another theme. The uncertainty around Christian McCaffrey’s calf injury leaves Isaac Guerendo and Brian Robinson Jr. as next-man-up options. Shanahan’s system historically leans on multiple backs, and Robinson’s signing signals trust. Owners who handcuffed correctly may be rewarded right away. Meanwhile, the hosts debate Cortland Sutton versus Tyrone Tracy Jr. The Broncos receiver brings talent but faces Tennessee’s elite pass defense, while Tracy benefits from Washington’s leaky run defense. Both lean Tracy, siding with matchup over pedigree .

They also tackle Garrett Wilson’s value under Justin Fields. Despite quarterback inconsistency, Wilson’s target volume makes him hard to bench. Comparing him to Sutton, Munaf sides with Wilson, highlighting how opportunity can outweigh efficiency. Another big-name dilemma: Stefan Diggs versus Jauan Jennings. Diggs, now in New England, offers veteran stability for Drake May, while Jennings is a tertiary option in San Francisco’s crowded offense. Both analysts see Diggs as the better play, predicting a potential bounce-back year .

The show closes on Austin Ekeler versus Nick Chubb. Ekeler brings dual-threat ability but declining efficiency, while Chubb returns from injury with questions about workload. Rod admits he already benched Ekeler in one league for Chubb, preferring the steadier ground game. They stress that early weeks often spark overreactions, but data on snap counts and usage will soon clarify future decisions. Flex spots may not be glamorous, but as the hosts remind listeners, they swing weekly outcomes and, ultimately, titles .

In the end, this week one preview isn’t just about names—it’s about context, matchups, and opportunity. From Pearsall’s emergence in San Francisco to Tracy’s rushing upside in New York, the nuances matter. Owners who weigh talent against defensive strength, who balance floor and ceiling, will position themselves for early-season wins. And as always, championships are decided in the margins, in those tricky flex calls that define Sunday glory.

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NFL Survivor Contest - Week 1 Entry Sep 05, 2025

Show notes

Mackenzie Rivers and Dan Rivera talk NFL Survivor for Week 1.

0:15–1:23 — Mackenzie Rivers kicks things off by welcoming listeners back, noting the show’s growth from a small SoundCloud project to a widely followed contest discussion. His opening blends humor with a promise of actionable insight, reminding everyone the goal is making sharp picks and lasting deep into the season.

1:24–2:07 — Dan Rivera admits he’s moved away from fantasy football, finding Survivor contests more rewarding. He frames it as a different kind of grind where deep runs matter more than fantasy titles, setting a tone of seriousness and strategy.

2:07–3:35 — Rivers highlights Philadelphia’s opener, where betting lines moved from around −315 pregame to as high as −450 live. He credits Jalen Hurts’ rushing as the difference-maker and cautions against overreacting to the close margin, signaling to Survivor players that patience pays.

3:57–6:34 — Rivera turns to Dallas, pointing out their lack of pass rush, reliance on penalties, and roster questions. His verdict is that Week 1 divisional games can be misleading, and bettors shouldn’t make rash judgments about either team.

6:34–8:26 — Rivers adds that both sides had only eight possessions, skewing scoring totals. He sees Philly as a missed opportunity for those who didn’t take them, stressing that contest entries using the Eagles now sit with an early advantage.

8:26–12:37 — The two break down contest formats. Circa runs 20 weeks with holidays as separate slates, BetOnline uses 19, and Splash demands double picks late in the season. Rivera calls Splash unfair, while Rivers corrects a schedule note, underscoring the importance of knowing rules inside out.

14:41–22:11 — The Denver Broncos emerge as the strongest pick. Rivera cites Tennessee’s limited passing attack and shaky quarterback situation, while Rivers builds the case with history: rookie Week 1 quarterbacks are 2–10 straight up, No. 1 overall picks 1–8–1 in debuts, and Denver is 17–5 in Week 1 at altitude. He also stresses Sean Payton’s strong Week 1 record.

25:46–32:51 — Washington versus the Giants is flagged as dangerous. Rivera notes regression risk for the Commanders’ defense and praises New York’s pass rush, while Rivers points out Kliff Kingsbury’s teams often fade quickly. Survivor takeaway: avoid this shaky matchup.

32:52–41:54 — Arizona against New Orleans is another focus. Rivera is low on the Saints’ offense, while Rivers goes further, calling them possibly the league’s worst. Both see the Cardinals as nearly as safe as Denver, particularly with defensive pressure likely to cause problems.

46:41–49:53 — Rivers warns against Cincinnati as a Survivor choice, pointing to their September struggles under Zach Taylor and the Browns’ ability to keep games close as divisional home dogs.

49:55–54:38 — Kansas City against the Chargers in Brazil is floated as a contrarian option. Rivera highlights the Chiefs’ healthier roster and defensive strength, while Rivers acknowledges the upside but warns about neutral-site volatility.

54:39–1:01:12 — The Steelers versus Jets round out the debate. Rivera believes Tomlin will force Fields into passing errors and lean on the defensive front. Rivers adds historical data showing quarterbacks like Fields struggle early. They agree Pittsburgh is a viable but risky third option.

Closing — The consensus locks Denver as the top pick, Arizona as a strong secondary, and Pittsburgh as a situational third. For formats allowing repeats, they lean toward doubling up on Denver. The wrap emphasizes discipline, historical awareness, and knowing contest rules as the keys to staying alive week after week.

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NFL Contest Pod - Week 1 Picks !! Sep 04, 2025

Show notes

Steve Fezzik, Mackenzie Rivers and Munaf Manji talk all thing NFL contests this week.

NFL Contest Pod – Week 1 Picks Recap

At 0:09–1:11, host Munaf Manji introduced a new series on RJ Bell’s Dream Preview focused on Las Vegas ATS contests like the SuperContest, Circa Millions, and Survivor formats. The goal: share do’s and don’ts to help players map a winning season.

At 1:11–1:26, Mackenzie Rivers highlighted his track record of “never less than a 55% record,” underscoring how even solid numbers don’t always cash. Munaf at 1:27–1:51 set up Steve Fezzik as the two-time SuperContest champion, with Fezzik admitting at 1:51–2:28 that staying motivated after elimination has been his biggest challenge.

Munaf recalled at 2:28–3:37 placing in 2019 with a $4,500 cash, stressing contests as a learning tool for NFL handicapping. Fezzik at 3:37–6:39 traced his rise from parlay cards to winning five contests between 2008–2009 and most recently finishing 21st in Circa Millions with a $400,000 Survivor payout. His advice: start with free contests, move to low-cost formats like “Last Man Standing,” then scale to Circa Millions or the $100,000-entry Grandissimo depending on bankroll.

At 7:06–7:53, Mackenzie recalled entering Westgate and Circa via free entries, noting a 57% year still didn’t cash. Munaf said his 2019 success came with a 60%+ record when payouts reached the top 100.

Fezzik stressed at 8:45–10:56 the importance of overlays, preferring Circa Millions to Westgate, and warned against submitting picks early, especially before Thursday games, since injury news can shift opinions. His top rule: never miss deadlines but don’t rush.

At 12:11–16:19, discussion turned to Circa’s rise. Fezzik pointed to cheaper entry fees, quarterly prizes, heavy marketing, and the excitement of downtown Las Vegas. By contrast, Westgate lost ground with high rake, fewer prizes, weak advertising, and restrictive betting limits.

Fezzik’s lesson at 17:47–19:00: “Don’t play a bad number.” Contest picks should mirror real bets, with plus three always better than plus two-and-a-half. Hitting 60% requires value-driven selections.

At 19:01–20:45, Munaf promoted Pregame’s free “SuperContest 25 Free and Easier,” highlighting flexible pick submission and a $1,500 prize or Westgate entry for winners. Fezzik cautioned at 20:45–21:11 that no system guarantees profit, reminding listeners it’s still gambling.

Survivor strategy took over at 22:19–25:54, with Fezzik urging players to save elite teams like Philadelphia for holiday weeks but also noting overlays emerge when big favorites lose, creating profitable re-entry opportunities. At 26:46–28:33, he explained his simplified approach: keep holiday teams available, ride big favorites like Denver, and avoid coin-flip games.

At 29:25–31:11, Fezzik described partnering with players by buying entry shares below market and offering consultation, a cleaner hedge alternative. He reaffirmed at 31:23–32:48 that hedging late in Survivor is essential, locking life-changing profits without eliminating rooting interest.

The pod closed at 36:20–36:38 with Fezzik naming Denver as his Week 1 survivor pick. Mackenzie at 36:47–37:36 promoted his “Straight Outta Vegas AM” survivor show, while Munaf previewed weekly contest coverage. Fezzik wrapped at 37:57–38:04 with a playful reminder: “survive, survive, survive.”

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Irish Open picks Sep 03, 2025

Show notes

Will Doctor delivers the sharpest card for the DP World Tour action at the Irish Open.
-Discussing top 4 on odds board at K Club
-1 matchup, 1 t10
-1 outright
-Sleeper, best bet
Will Doctor (0:15–0:28) launches the Golf Preview Podcast with intensity: “A lot of energy, a lot of focus. Let’s get a roll.” That opening frames the episode as both sharp handicapping and urgent insight for fans eager to follow the Irish Open at The K Club.

Will Doctor (0:37–1:46) reviews the European Masters where Tristan Lawrence won at 22-under, moving to 19th in the Order of Merit. Rasmus Højgaard and Sami Välimäki tied second at 20-under with Matt Wallace, while Matthew Fitzpatrick closed at 19-under. The clustering of elite scores highlights a high-form field, critical when projecting into this week’s event on a demanding course.

Will Doctor (1:47–2:31) then plays an emotional post-round exchange with Matt Wallace. “You put yourself into the Ryder Cup conversations” frames the stakes. “He’s boring” drops oddly, followed by silence that signals heartbreak. “You’ve shown some serious courage” reframes that silence into grit. “Can’t talk” conveys how raw the moment is. “I’d never give up on the Ryder Cup, you know” defines Wallace’s mentality: pursuit against odds. “Thank you” closes the scene, showing how deeply personal these finishes are.

Will Doctor (2:32–25:46) pivots: “Golf is not some game… It is life and death for most of these guys.” That statement underscores career volatility across the DP World Tour, Korn Ferry, and PGA Tour fall. Ryder Cup selections—Lowry, Straka, Åberg, Hovland, Rahm, Fitzpatrick—illustrate the difficulty of breaking through. Lawrence’s resume, with five DP World Tour wins and streaky putting, shows how volatility drives outcomes: he went from missed cuts to a top-four at Sudal before surging. Betting context is backed by numbers: +2.1 units last week, 20.9 units on the season. Player stats matter—Nikolai Højgaard went 73–67, missing the cut by two with costly doubles including OB on 7, inflating his driving stats despite foul balls. Rasmus Højgaard fired a Sunday 62, notching 24 birdies and an eagle, nearly forcing a playoff but undone by a double Thursday. Välimäki has two runner-ups in three starts and four rounds of 67 or better last week with all clubs clicking. Lindell cashed a matchup over Eugenio Chikara, who missed the cut. Side notes—an Oasis concert and Felix Auger Aliassime’s upset at Armstrong—reinforce the theme that momentum fuels performance.

Irish Open preview: The K Club stretches over 7,300 yards with 15 water hazards, demanding precision on approach and a confident putter on undulating greens. Driving accuracy is less vital than second-shot brilliance. Historical scoring—McIlroy 12-under in 2016, Norman 14-under in 2023—signals moderate winning totals. Market outlook: Rory at +425 is passed on after BMW 12th and Tour Championship 23rd, where putting and short game regressed. Tyrrell Hatton at 14-1 is avoided after no top-20 in four starts and prior missed cuts here. Marco Ping at 16-1 is faded on regressing irons and cold putter despite headline results.

The actionable card: Shane Lowry 16-1 outright, backed by elite approach play and a resurgent putter, plus deep history at home including T3 here last year. Rasmus Niergaard-Peterson, with three straight top-16s and nearly +2 on approach last week, is a top-10 bet at +187 and favored in a matchup over Keita Nakajima, whose approach play is negative and chipping shaky. Sleeper Andy Sullivan is a top-10 at 5-1 after strong ball striking and putting through Scotland (17th), Nexo (7th), Danish (16th), and 5th at the Belfry, with The K Club minimizing his lack of distance. Best bet: Lowry top-10 at +150. The show closes urging listeners to use code PUT25 at Pregame for picks and to follow @drmedia59, with a preview of the BMW PGA at Wentworth next week.

For the latest on the world of golf, follow Doc on X @drmedia59

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