Predictable with Stu Burguiere

Latest Episodes:

The UNDERCOVER Election: Party ID Goes ROGUE for the Midterms Oct 01, 2026

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On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere examines our unintentional theme from our shows this week: Republicans and Democrats seem to be running in record numbers as the opposite party or as straight-up independents. What could this mean for the integrity of our elections and what effect is it having on the prediction markets? Then, new economic polling could mean more trouble for the GOP and some leaked audio from Ken Paxton could be having a disastrous impact on the Texas Senate race. Plus, Stu tries to conjure the “Candidate Countdown!” curse for a midterms race in Florida.

The Latest Midterms RED ALERT Hits the GOP Sep 30, 2026

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On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down the latest major warning sign for Republicans in the midterm elections and compares it to what the prediction markets are saying about November. Then, a new edition of “Candidate Countdown” focuses in on a small, but important, New Jersey House race. And Stu reacts to the news that Adam Kinzinger is being investigated for prediction market insider trading regarding his preemptive pardon from former-President Joe Biden.

Oh Look, Another Race We Were TOTALLY Ahead of the Curve On! Sep 29, 2026

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On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere takes a look at the state of the midterm elections as we hit the five-weeks-away mark and breaks down some of the newest polling and prediction market info on the race for Los Angeles mayor between incumbent Karen Bass and Democratic Socialist Nithya Raman. Then, a new edition of “Candidate Countdown!” focusing on an independent in Nebraska. And Stu checks in on the record of his beloved Philadelphia Eagles.

The Rise of the FAKE Independents & Senate Balance Check Sep 28, 2026

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On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere reveals the latest on his Predictable Midterm Consensus and breaks down what the Senate makeup could look like post-election season in November. Plus, an investigation into how so-called “Independent” candidates are affecting the polls in several states around the country. Then, Mick Bransfield of Kingston Chase Consulting joins for a look at the current legal issues facing prediction markets as they gain popularity nationwide. And today’s edition of “Candidate Countdown!” features a very handsome and polished race out of Georgia.

You Won’t Believe this MAJOR Twist in Critical Senate Race Sep 24, 2026

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On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere breaks down a crazy twist in one of this November’s major Senate races and theorizes on whether or not this show is cursed and responsible. Then, another edition of “Candidate Countdown!”... this time out of Illinois. And Brent Evans joins to talk about some of his favorite market investments involving the NFL and professional golf.

When Is the Right Time for MIDTERMS PANIC?! Sep 23, 2026

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On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere takes a logical and dispassionate look at the November midterms and zeroes in on which exact day is the right one for conservatives and Republicans to truly start panicking. Then, a new edition of “Candidate Countdown!” out of Alaska. And, Stu goes over a market he “kinda likes” regarding Nathen Fielder’s wild new documentary on Theranos founder Elizabeth Holmes.

The GOP’s BEST-CASE Scenario for Midterms EXPLAINED Sep 22, 2026

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On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere outlines the best-case scenario for Republicans to emerge victorious from the midterm elections this November, and what the prediction markets are hinting at as we get closer to voting day. Then, Jesse Rosen and Tanner Lux from the Predict2026 conference join the program to outline what their New York City event will contain this coming December. Plus, a new edition of “Candidate Countdown!” out of Florida and Stu reveals his newest “Stranger Trade.”

The Republicans STRIKE BACK! Sep 21, 2026

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On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere reveals the GOP’s plans to turn their approach to the midterms around and checks in on the markets to analyze the viability of their plans. Then, it’s a brand new edition of “Candidate Countdown!”... this time out of Ohio. Plus, Stu breaks down a couple of markets he ‘kinda likes’ including ones involving Kamala Harris’s 2028 plans and the MLB playoff chances of the Toronto Blue Jays.

The Senate Midterms Info You NEED to Maximize Your Election Investment Value! Sep 17, 2026

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On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere reveals his long-awaited midterm election GUT CHECK for the Senate. Then, Dan Andros joins to react to those predictions and teams up with Stu for a special edition of “Candidate Countdown!”... this time out of Maine.

Sydney Sweeney & Lebron James: When Prediction Markets and Celebs Collide! Sep 16, 2026

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On this episode of “Predictable w/ Stu,” Stu Burguiere looks at the prediction market industry through the lens of culture and examines the LeBron James / Polymarket situation as well as actress Sydney Sweeney and her provocative deal (and advertisement) with Novig. Then, Stu heads to Minnesota for today’s “Candidate Countdown!” Plus, Stu analyzes what the market has to say about potential 2028 presidential runs from Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom.