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IOWA RESULTS EMERGENCY: Trump romps, Ron survives, Vivek drops Jan 16, 2024

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A low turnout caucus means Donald Trump dominates, Nikki Haley underperforms and Vivek Ramaswamy beams up to the MAGAship.

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Trump Dominance, Christie Aversion and DeSantis Deflation: The Iowa Caucus Story Up Till Now (with Seth Masket) Jan 12, 2024

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Blizzard prevents Justin from getting to Iowa and/or any campaign events happening... However we still have an interview!

Seth Masket discusses his research on the Republican Party and its decision-making process. He conducted a survey of county chairs across the US to understand their thoughts on the Republican presidential contest and the state of the party. Initial findings showed that county chairs were divided in their candidate preferences, with about 50% remaining undecided. However, Trump gained significant support after his indictments, consolidating his position as the frontrunner. Masket explores the reasons behind county chairs' support for Trump, including transactional support from evangelicals. He also draws parallels between evangelicals' support for Trump and black voters' support for Biden. Masket discusses the decline in support for Ron DeSantis and the rise of Nikki Haley as a non-Trump candidate. He also touches on the initial appeal and subsequent decline of other candidates like Vivek Ramaswamy. Masket plans to continue his research and provide updates on the candidates' popularity.

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Congressional Chaos, Missing SecDef and the Border Deal No One Likes (with Katy Stech Ferek and Bill Scher) Jan 10, 2024

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Justin catches up with congress before leaving for the campaign trial.

Wall Street Journal reporter Katy Stech-Ferek discusses the challenges Congress is facing in funding the government and passing the 12 individual bills. She highlights the issues with the unpassed House bills and the hesitation among House Republican moderates. Stech-Ferek also discusses the potential for a speaker fight and the slim majority in the House. She touches on the impeachment proceedings against President Biden and Alejandro Mayorkas. Additionally, she explores the impact of the upcoming election year on House races and the difficulty of negotiating immigration reform.

Bill Scher of Washington Monthly joins to discuss the unfolding events surrounding Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin's hospitalization and the lack of communication within the White House. The focus then shifts to Biden's attempt to kick off the general election campaign and the framing of the 2024 campaign. The discussion moves on to media coverage of Trump and Biden's messaging, particularly regarding immigration. The conversation then delves into the debate over foreign aid and border security, exploring the challenges in reaching a deal. Finally, there is a discussion about the strategic concerns of running against Trump's border policies and the prospects of a deal on immigration.

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This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Signs a campaign is about to die (with Michael Cohen) Jan 05, 2024

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Michael Cohen rejoins the show to break down the tell tale signs of a flailing campaign, Nikki Haley's progress in the GOP primary, and how Trump 2024 has been ruthlessly efficient in squashing competition.

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Dropout Predictions for Iowa. Dem Coalition Fracturing. Nikki Haley Optimism Overload (with Evan Scrimshaw) Jan 03, 2024

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Justin discusses the upcoming Iowa caucus and makes predictions about two potential dropouts. He also covers the proposal for a hostage deal between Hamas and Israel, Trump's decision to appear in a Fox News town hall, and Nikki Haley's path to the nomination.

Evan Scrimshaw then joins to discuss the current standings of the failed candidate fantasy draft and the implications of recent polls. They delve into the trust issues in the black community and the potential impact on the upcoming election. The conversation also covers the weaknesses of the Biden administration, messaging challenges, and the role of inflation. They analyze the Iowa poll averages and the race for second place, with a focus on Nikki Haley's path to victory. The potential campaign dropouts and the future prospects of Chris Christie and Ron DeSantis are also discussed. The conversation concludes with predictions for the primary and an off-topic discussion on the NFL playoffs.

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This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Thug Shaker! Chinese Balloon! Tupac! 2023 Year in Review (with Kevin Ryan) Dec 26, 2023

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The pursuit of political purity, the impact of social media on public opinion, the failure of Disney's movie 'Wish', and the influence of celebrity power. Justin and Kevin the collapse of traditional institutions, the threat of AI and automation, and the dichotomy between individual autonomy and collectivism.

Double stuffed episode only slightly shorter than it took to end Kevin McCarthy's career in electoral politics.

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From the Vault: The Grinch is better at political discourse than you Dec 22, 2023

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Merry Christmas!

We pull this segment from the Px3 vault: what the Grinch can teach us about empathy as we enter an election year.

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This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

If Nikki Haley has a path, this is it. Recapping insane congressional year from Capital Hill (with Matt Laslo) Dec 20, 2023

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A new poll in New Hampshire provides us something we haven't had all summer... a theoretically plausible pathway for someone not named Trump to win the nomination. How Nikki Haley can emulate and reject the McCain 2000 template.

Matt Laslo (Raw Story) gives us a recap of the latest border deal and remembers the five most insane moments of 2023 that he witnessed himself. Including an witheringly sad moment with Diane Feinstein and when he found Matt Gaetz' plot to remove the speaker laying on the floor of the men's room.

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This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

War, Lies and Everything In Between Dec 15, 2023

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Ryan McBeth (https://www.youtube.com/@ryanmcbethprogramming) joins the show to discuss misinformation during wartime, the state of play in Ukraine and Gaza as well as some predictions about future wars.

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This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

Trump Iowa dominance reaches new height. Is 1968 the key to 2024? Dec 13, 2023

Show notes

The gold-standard poll for the Iowa Caucus shows Trump with his biggest lead yet with not a lot of time to go. Why has he been so much more effective? What's the right way to attack him?

A new memo suggests that if we want to predict 2024, we need to look back to 1968. Is Biden entering LBJ territory?

Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.

This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.politicspoliticspolitics.com/subscribe

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